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True | 2017-04-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/426 | Easing sanctions (e.g. allowing the import of goods from Crimea while retaining the investment ban on Crimea, removing specific individuals or entities from the cyber sanctions list) will not count. The United States imposed sanctions on Russia in March 2014 in response to the annexation of Crimea, in December 2014 in ... | 2017-05-02 | Before 30 April 2017, will the U.S. lift sanctions imposed on Russia for cyber activity, the annexation of Crimea, or its actions in Eastern Ukraine? | 2017-03-03 | [["2017-03-03", 0.03], ["2017-03-03", 0.03], ["2017-03-03", 0.005], ["2017-03-03", 0.01], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-04", 0.0], ["2017-03-04", 0.0], ["2017-03-04", 0.0],... | ["https://www.voanews.com/a/lawmakers-say-trumps-former-security-advisor-may-have-broken-law/3824989.html", "http://www.statesman.com/news/sign-probes-into-russia-trump-campaign-will-die-down/bzix6oZhal03mR8xXdCvHK/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2017/04/27/top-pentagon-watchdog-launches-investiga... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/300 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. Although there were some reports that Uber vehicle was involved in an accident in October (<a href = "http://www.wtae.com/news/selfdriving-uber-involved-in-collision-downtown/42187584"target = "_blank">WTAE Pittsburgh</a>), there was no evidence tha... | 2017-01-05 | Will an Uber self-driving car with a member of the public as a passenger be involved in an auto accident while driving autonomously between 14 October 2016 and 1 January 2017? | 2016-10-14 | [["2016-10-14", 0.82], ["2016-10-14", 0.5], ["2016-10-14", 0.66], ["2016-10-14", 0.075], ["2016-10-14", 0.075], ["2016-10-14", 0.04], ["2016-10-15", 0.05], ["2016-10-15", 0.025], ["2016-10-15", 0.02], ["2016-10-15", 0.02], ["2016-10-15", 0.03], ["2016-10-15", 0.05], ["2016-10-15", 0.05], ["2016-10-16", 0.05], ["2016-10... | ["http://qz.com/798092/a-self-driving-uber-car-went-the-wrong-way-on-a-one-way-street-in-pittsburgh/", "http://www.latimes.com/business/autos/la-fi-hy-google-waymo-self-driving-20161213-story.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/365412", "http://www.wtae.com/news/selfd... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/829 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.15], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-29", 0.25], ["2017-12-29", 0.02], ["2017-12-29", 0.1], ["2017-12-29", 0.3], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-30", 0.085], ["2017-12-30", 0.085], ["2017-12-31", 0.085], ["2017-12-31", 0.01], ["2017-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/182 | This question was closed a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Calls for Zuma to... | 2017-01-06 | Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 January 2017? | 2016-04-19 | [["2016-04-19", 0.475], ["2016-04-19", 0.2], ["2016-04-19", 0.125], ["2016-04-19", 0.15], ["2016-04-19", 0.08], ["2016-04-20", 0.06], ["2016-04-20", 0.055], ["2016-04-20", 0.06], ["2016-04-20", 0.09], ["2016-04-20", 0.07], ["2016-04-20", 0.08], ["2016-04-20", 0.08], ["2016-04-20", 0.08], ["2016-04-21", 0.065], ["2016-0... | ["http://www.theglobeandmail.com//news/world/abruptly-dropped-charges-against-minister-a-fresh-defeat-for-zuma/article32589827/", "http://www.fin24.com/BizNews/how-world-sees-sa-zuma-now-increasingly-vulnerable-after-latest-bombshells-20161018", "http://www.timeslive.co.za/politics/2016/11/11/Did-35-ANC-MPs-who-missed-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | 2017-11-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/607 | At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of s... | None | Will China execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017? | 2017-09-19 | [["2017-09-19", 0.99], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.75], ["2017-09-19", 0.25], ["2017-09-19", 0.01], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.02], ["2017-09-20", 0.01], ["2017-09-20", 0.225], ["2017-09-20", 0.225], ["2017-09-20", 0.225], ["2017-09-20", 0.235], ["2017-09-20", 0.02], ["2017-09-... | ["https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-governments-battle-against-fugitive-guo-wengui-spills-into-washington-1507260255", "http://securityaffairs.co/wordpress/65505/malware/china-hackers-reaver-malware.html", "https://www.wired.com/2016/12/obama-russia-hacking-sanctions-china/", "http://freebeacon.com/national-security... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/919 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.01], ["2018-04-02", 0.35], ["2018-04-02", 0.425], ["2018-04-03", 0.26], ["2018-04-03", 0.06], ["2018-04-03", 0.1], ["2018-04-03", 0.1], ["2018-04-04", 0.1], ["2018-04-04", 0.2], ["2018-04-04", 0.06], ["2018-04-04", 0.2], ["2018-04-04", 0.2], ["2018-04-04", 0.3], ["2018-04-05", 0.1], ["2018-04-05", 0.0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/977 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.09], ["2018-06-27", 0.05], ["2018-06-27", 0.035], ["2018-06-27", 0.01], ["2018-06-27", 0.02], ["2018-06-27", 0.0], ["2018-06-27", 0.04], ["2018-06-28", 0.02], ["2018-06-28", 0.025], ["2018-06-28", 0.02], ["2018-06-28", 0.02], ["2018-06-28", 0.0], ["2018-06-28", 0.0], ["2018-06-29", 0.0], ["2018-06-29"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/463 | Media reports indicate the EU intends to demand the UK to pay a “hefty” bill to cover various commitments the UK made as a member of the EU (<a href = "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/02/20/eus-chief-negotiator-michelbarnier-wants-tie-down50bn-brexit/"target="_blank">The Telegraph</a>, <a href = "http://www.indepe... | 2017-12-18 | Before 1 January 2018, will the United Kingdom and the European Union reach an agreement on payment of the UK's outstanding liabilities to the EU? | 2017-04-07 | [["2017-04-07", 0.625], ["2017-04-07", 0.19], ["2017-04-07", 0.15], ["2017-04-08", 0.11], ["2017-04-08", 0.02], ["2017-04-08", 0.02], ["2017-04-08", 0.035], ["2017-04-09", 0.02], ["2017-04-09", 0.02], ["2017-04-09", 0.02], ["2017-04-09", 0.035], ["2017-04-09", 0.05], ["2017-04-10", 0.09], ["2017-04-10", 0.1], ["2017-04... | ["https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/938739138341359617?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2Fpolitics%2Fblog%2Flive%2F2017%2Fdec%2F07%2Fbrexit-deal-may-varadkar-eu-less-hospitable-for-foreign-talent-after-brexit-says-banking-chief-politics-live%3Fpage%3Dwith%253Ablock-5a2934375483ae06... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1073 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.08], ["2018-12-28", 0.215], ["2018-12-28", 0.115], ["2018-12-29", 0.08], ["2018-12-31", 0.08], ["2018-12-31", 0.08], ["2019-01-01", 0.08], ["2019-01-02", 0.08], ["2019-01-02", 0.08], ["2019-01-03", 0.065], ["2019-01-03", 0.05], ["2019-01-04", 0.05], ["2019-01-04", 0.045], ["2019-01-04", 0.045], ["2019... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/511 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.16], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.04], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.5], ["2017-07-02", 0.5], ["2017-07-03", 0.5], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03"... | ["https://warisboring.com/whats-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-doing-with-these-ukrainian-tanks/", "http://medafricatimes.com/13360-drc-violence-exodus-from-kasai-region-continue.html"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/921 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.25], ["2018-04-02", 0.1], ["2018-04-03", 0.275], ["2018-04-03", 0.23], ["2018-04-03", 0.08], ["2018-04-03", 0.15], ["2018-04-04", 0.15], ["2018-04-04", 0.125], ["2018-04-04", 0.125], ["2018-04-04", 0.075], ["2018-04-04", 0.1], ["2018-04-04", 0.15], ["2018-04-05", 0.15], ["2018-04-06", 0.1], ["2018-04-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-08-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/143 | This question was closed with the answer "No" on 9 August 2016 with an end date of 5 August 2016. The Olympics began on 5 August 2016 (<a href="http://www.nbcolympics.com/live-stream-schedule" target="_blank">NBC</a>), at which time the CDC' s categorization of travel to Brazil was still "Alert Level 2" (<a href="http... | 2016-08-09 | Will the Centers for Disease Control elevate their travel guidance for Brazil to Warning Level 3 due to the Zika virus before the Olympics begin? | 2016-02-16 | [["2016-02-16", 0.1], ["2016-02-16", 0.175], ["2016-02-16", 0.095], ["2016-02-16", 0.15], ["2016-02-16", 0.725], ["2016-02-16", 0.2], ["2016-02-16", 0.48], ["2016-02-17", 0.55], ["2016-02-17", 0.38], ["2016-02-17", 0.35], ["2016-02-17", 0.3], ["2016-02-17", 0.18], ["2016-02-17", 0.18], ["2016-02-17", 0.215], ["2016-02-... | ["https://youtu.be/Axmtz8g8Jzk", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/olympics/rio-2016/2016/07/21/10-arrested-allegedly-planning-attack-involving-rio-olympics/87382726/", "http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2016/07/14/486047678/zika-epidemic-may-have-peaked-but-will-threaten-u-s-for-years", "https://cameronwebb... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/414 | Tesla has been faced with questions over its financial solvency over the years (<a href = "http://fortune.com/2016/12/02/tesla-model-3-stock-elon-musk/"target="_blank">Fortune</a>, <a href = "http://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Did-Tesla-nearly-go-bankrupt-without-investors-6239762.php"target="_blank"> SF Gate</a>).... | 2018-01-07 | Before 2018, will Tesla file for bankruptcy or begin restructuring its debt in a corporate workout? | 2017-02-16 | [["2017-02-16", 0.065], ["2017-02-16", 0.02], ["2017-02-16", 0.055], ["2017-02-16", 0.03], ["2017-02-16", 0.04], ["2017-02-16", 0.03], ["2017-02-16", 0.03], ["2017-02-17", 0.03], ["2017-02-17", 0.04], ["2017-02-17", 0.04], ["2017-02-17", 0.03], ["2017-02-17", 0.03], ["2017-02-17", 0.04], ["2017-02-17", 0.045], ["2017-0... | ["https://www.technologyreview.com/s/604087/the-dark-secret-at-the-heart-of-ai/", "https://www.google.com/search?q=tesla+stocks", "https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/19/tesla-to-plunge-nearly-30-percent-on-weak-profitability-jefferies.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-musk-neuralink-idUSKBN17N0CU", "https://www.bloom... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/906 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.5], ["2018-04-03", 0.65], ["2018-04-03", 0.335], ["2018-04-03", 0.185], ["2018-04-03", 0.25], ["2018-04-03", 0.35], ["2018-04-03", 0.35], ["2018-04-03", 0.25], ["2018-04-03", 0.4], ["2018-04-03", 0.375], ["2018-04-03", 0.35], ["2018-04-03", 0.15], ["2018-04-04", 0.175], ["2018-04-04", 0.275], ["2018-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/507 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan? | 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.45], ["2017-07-01", 0.225], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.015], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-01", 0.03], ["2017-07-01", 0.03], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-02", 0.285], ["2017-07-02", 0.625], ["2017-07-02", 0.625], ["2017-07-03", 0.55], ["201... | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/08/taliban-suicide-bomber-kills-civilians-helmand-170823072606297.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-casualties-idUSKBN1A20RL", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/08/gunmen-attack-shia-imam-zaman-mosque-kabul-170825095421445.html"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/265 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project's Definitions page</a>). The Early Warning Project’s <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/libya" target="_blank">2015 statistical r... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Libya before 1 January 2017? | 2016-08-23 | [["2016-08-23", 0.15], ["2016-08-23", 0.0], ["2016-08-23", 0.005], ["2016-08-23", 0.02], ["2016-08-23", 0.025], ["2016-08-23", 0.03], ["2016-08-23", 0.03], ["2016-08-24", 0.025], ["2016-08-24", 0.04], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.055], ["2016-0... | ["http://unsmil.unmissions.org/Default.aspx?tabid=3543&ctl=Details&mid=6187&Itemid=2099677&language=en-US", "https://www.libyaherald.com/2016/04/11/271-violent-deaths-in-libya-up-to-february/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-38049950", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-sirte-idUSK... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/199 | This question resolved on 30 June 2016: The European Commission has stated that Turkey has failed to meet certain conditions required for visa liberalization, but talks will continue (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jun/15/turkey-misses-deadline-visa-free-travel-eu-ambassador-withdraw" target="_blank">T... | 2016-07-05 | Will the EU lift visa requirements for Turkish citizens before July 2016? | 2016-05-10 | [["2016-05-10", 0.66], ["2016-05-10", 0.25], ["2016-05-10", 0.15], ["2016-05-10", 0.2], ["2016-05-10", 0.2], ["2016-05-10", 0.38], ["2016-05-10", 0.315], ["2016-05-10", 0.465], ["2016-05-10", 0.2], ["2016-05-10", 0.135], ["2016-05-10", 0.12], ["2016-05-10", 0.05], ["2016-05-10", 0.075], ["2016-05-10", 0.05], ["2016-05-... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-eu-turkey-idUSKCN0YA1E9", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/12/merkel-ready-to-cave-to-turkish-pressure-on-visas-british-diplom/", "https://next.ft.com/content/3d08f86c-29a3-11e6-8ba3-cdd781d02d89", "http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/8072/eu-turkey-migrant-deal... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-03-02 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/135 | The U.S. and China appear to disagree over how to respond to North Korea's recent nuclear test and rocket launch (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-35518058" target = "_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/28/world/asia/us-china-north-korea.html" target = "_blank">NY Times 1</a>, <a hre... | 2016-03-04 | Will the UN Security Council pass a resolution expanding sanctions on North Korea before 1 June 2016? | 2016-02-09 | [["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.775], ["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-09", 0.85], ["2016-02-09", 0.84], ["2016-02-09", 0.73], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.8], ["2016-02-09", 0.875], ["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-09", 0.925], ["2016-02-09... | ["http://tinyurl.com/GJODPRKsanctions", "http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/02/26/468297948/u-s-proposes-tough-new-sanctions-on-north-korea-with-chinas-support", "http://www.businessinsider.com/north-korea-facing-expanded-sanctions-over-recent-missile-launches-2016-2", "http://nyti.ms/1KNN37i", "http://www.wsj.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2015-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/49 | A government shut down occurs when the President and Congress fail to agree on full year or interim funding for government agencies and programs ( http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/congress-shutdown-boehner-planned-parenthood-214122 , https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL34680.pdf , http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s... | 2016-01-07 | Will there be a partial or full government shutdown in the United States before the end of the year? | 2015-09-28 | [["2015-09-28", 0.125], ["2015-09-28", 0.305], ["2015-09-28", 0.275], ["2015-09-28", 0.14], ["2015-09-29", 0.15], ["2015-09-29", 0.225], ["2015-09-29", 0.225], ["2015-09-29", 0.15], ["2015-09-29", 0.13], ["2015-09-29", 0.15], ["2015-09-29", 0.15], ["2015-09-29", 0.15], ["2015-09-29", 0.15], ["2015-09-29", 0.15], ["2015... | ["http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/dec/9/house-leaders-introduce-short-term-bill-keep-gover/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-fiscal-senate-idUSKBN0TT2PD20151210", "http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN0TT2PD20151210", "http://billmoyers.com/story/lurking-within-that-ominous-omnibus-spending-bill/",... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/211 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project’s Definitions page</a>. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified Turkey as one of the 31 countries at greatest risk ... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Turkey before 1 January 2017? | 2016-05-25 | [["2016-05-25", 0.515], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.1], ["2016-05-26", 0.08], ["2016-05-26", 0.085], ["2016-05-26", 0.09], ["2016-05-26", 0.125], ["2016-05-26", 0.105], ["2016-05-26", 0.125], ["2016-05-26", 0.14], ["2016-05-26", 0.075], ["2016-05-27", 0.05], ["2016... | ["https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2016/06/06/trends-over-time-in-state-led-mass-killing-through-2015", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/321615", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-security-kurds-idUSKBN13109Y?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_cam... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/800 | If the diplomatic crisis between Qatar and its neighbors escalates, the supply and distribution of Qatari natural gas could be disrupted (<a href = "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-09/qatari-lng-diversions-shock-eu-gas-traders-as-crisis-intensifies"target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href = "https://www.z... | 2018-01-03 | Before 1 January 2018, will Qatar announce that it will cease to export natural gas to any country? | 2017-11-29 | [["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.02], ["2017-11-29", 0.07], ["2017-11-29", 0.05], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", ... | ["https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=36338", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-gas/qatar-wont-cut-gas-to-uae-qatar-petroleum-ceo-idUSKBN1990Q2", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia%E2%80%93Ukraine_gas_disputes", "http://welcomeqatar.com/articles/qatar-gulf-crisis-questions-answered-3/", "htt... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/65 | The continued dominance of Maduro's PSUV is uncertain as Venezuela faces a crumbling economy, a legal scandal, border disputes, and protests (https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/venezuelas-next-election-poses-double-threat-leaders , http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/12/venezuela-opposition-leader-jailed-leopoldo-... | 2015-12-07 | Will the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) maintain its majority in Venezuela's National Assembly after the next legislative elections? | 2015-10-27 | [["2015-10-27", 0.545], ["2015-10-27", 0.725], ["2015-10-27", 0.73], ["2015-10-27", 0.73], ["2015-10-27", 0.73], ["2015-10-27", 0.775], ["2015-10-28", 0.775], ["2015-10-28", 0.73], ["2015-10-28", 0.705], ["2015-10-28", 0.7], ["2015-10-28", 0.7], ["2015-10-28", 0.71], ["2015-10-28", 0.75], ["2015-10-28", 0.75], ["2015-1... | ["http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2015/12/5/venezuela-gears-for-socialist-party-defeat.html", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/12/03/venezuela-leopoldo-lopez-nicolas-maduro-election/", "http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/908ebf6a-9756-11e5-9228-87e603d47bdc.html#ixzz3tEYfmQYu", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-10-17 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/252 | This question was closed on option B) 'No' on 17 October, 2016. There have been no reports of fatal confrontation between Iranian military forces and other national military forces in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, or the Gulf of Oman during the time frame in question.
For the purposes of this question, Ira... | 2016-10-18 | Before 18 October 2016, will there be a confrontation involving Iran's and another country's national military forces that produces at least one fatality in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, or the Gulf of Oman? | 2016-08-02 | [["2016-08-02", 0.25], ["2016-08-02", 0.035], ["2016-08-02", 0.03], ["2016-08-02", 0.0], ["2016-08-02", 0.0], ["2016-08-02", 0.03], ["2016-08-02", 0.03], ["2016-08-02", 0.03], ["2016-08-02", 0.06], ["2016-08-02", 0.045], ["2016-08-02", 0.055], ["2016-08-03", 0.06], ["2016-08-03", 0.05], ["2016-08-03", 0.05], ["2016-08-... | ["http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2016/Oct-13/376270-iran-warships-sent-to-waters-off-conflict-hit-yemen.ashx", "http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/analysis-of-the-iaeas-third-iran-deal-report-filling-in-missing-details", "http://pilotonline.com/news/military/local/norfolk-based-uss-san-antonio-cam... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-06-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/427 | The European Commission (EC) initiated multiple antitrust proceedings against Alphabet/Google, Inc in 2016 (<a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/31/technology/google-europe-antitrust.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href = "http://www.wsj.com/articles/google-ceo-to-meet-with-eu-antitrust-chief-1479314230"targ... | 2017-06-28 | Before 1 January 2018, will the European Commission find Google liable in an antitrust case? | 2017-03-03 | [["2017-03-03", 0.45], ["2017-03-03", 0.2], ["2017-03-03", 0.35], ["2017-03-03", 0.38], ["2017-03-03", 0.355], ["2017-03-03", 0.45], ["2017-03-04", 0.45], ["2017-03-04", 0.45], ["2017-03-04", 0.475], ["2017-03-04", 0.45], ["2017-03-04", 0.45], ["2017-03-04", 0.4], ["2017-03-04", 0.4], ["2017-03-04", 0.365], ["2017-03-0... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/jun/16/google-fine-eu-case-shopping-search-result", "http://www.nasdaq.com/article/eu-to-resolve-google-antitrust-cases-in-the-next-few-months-cm793420#ixzz4i7s374hS", "http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-17-1784_en.htm", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/27/technology/e... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-01-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/374 | This question was resolves as "yes" with an end date of 27 January 2016 (<a href = "http://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2017-01-27/a-look-at-trumps-executive-order-on-refugees-immigration"target="_blank">US News</a>, <a href = "https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-expected-sign-directive-halting-refugee-flows-us-1... | 2017-01-30 | Before 30 April 2017, will the U.S. suspend immigration from any country designated as a state sponsor of terrorism or a terrorist safe haven? | 2016-12-27 | [["2016-12-27", 0.795], ["2016-12-27", 0.775], ["2016-12-27", 0.8], ["2016-12-27", 0.575], ["2016-12-27", 0.11], ["2016-12-27", 0.38], ["2016-12-28", 0.725], ["2016-12-28", 0.8], ["2016-12-28", 0.725], ["2016-12-28", 0.75], ["2016-12-28", 0.65], ["2016-12-28", 0.6], ["2016-12-28", 0.75], ["2016-12-28", 0.75], ["2016-12... | ["http://www.npr.org/2017/01/30/512066715/executive-order-or-memorandum-lets-call-the-whole-thing-an-action", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/27/us/politics/refugee-muslim-executive-order-trump.html?_r=1", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/28/us/refugees-detained-at-us-airports-prompting-legal-challenges-to-trumps-immi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/825 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 1.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.025], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-29", 0.025], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-29", 0.02], ["2017-12-29", 0.06], ["2017-12-29", 0.1], ["2017-12-29", 0.06], ["2017-12-30", 0.06], ["2017-12-30", 0.085], ["2017-12-31", 0.085], ["2017-12-31", 0.085], ["2017-12... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/623 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.435], ["2017-10-01", 0.85], ["2017-10-01", 0.85], ["2017-10-01", 0.43], ["2017-10-01", 0.005], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.01], ["2017-10-02", 0.105], ["2017-10-02", 0.525], ["2017-10... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/02/world/asia/philippines-rodrigo-duterte-drugs.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fasia&action=click&contentCollection=asia&region=strea", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-drugs/philippines-war-on-drugs-and-crime-intensifies-at-least-60-killed-in-thre... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1066 | China's National People's Congress Standing Committee has initiated the legislative process to codify property taxes into law, with large implications for China's $44 trillion real estate market (<a href="https://worldin2019.economist.com/Chinaseconomy" target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href="https://npcobserver.co... | 2019-10-01 | Will China's National People's Congress or its Standing Committee pass a property tax law before 1 October 2019? | 2018-12-21 | [["2018-12-22", 0.51], ["2018-12-22", 0.1], ["2018-12-22", 0.15], ["2018-12-23", 0.495], ["2018-12-23", 0.55], ["2018-12-24", 0.6], ["2018-12-25", 0.66], ["2018-12-26", 0.725], ["2018-12-26", 0.775], ["2018-12-27", 0.8], ["2018-12-28", 0.7], ["2018-12-28", 0.675], ["2018-12-29", 0.675], ["2018-12-30", 0.65], ["2018-12-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-16 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/24 | The U.S. federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (<a href="http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/federalfundsrate.asp" target="_blank">http://www.investope... | 2015-12-17 | Will the US federal-funds rate be increased before the end of the year [2015]? | 2015-09-07 | [["2015-09-08", 0.8], ["2015-09-09", 0.765], ["2015-09-09", 0.79], ["2015-09-09", 0.765], ["2015-09-09", 0.765], ["2015-09-09", 0.78], ["2015-09-09", 0.78], ["2015-09-09", 0.75], ["2015-09-09", 0.75], ["2015-09-10", 0.75], ["2015-09-10", 0.75], ["2015-09-10", 0.75], ["2015-09-10", 0.75], ["2015-09-10", 0.75], ["2015-09... | ["http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-15/he-fed-s-new-chapter-will-be-written-in-dollar-denominated-oil", "http://business.financialpost.com/investing/global-investor/imagine-a-world-in-2016-where-black-swans-really-do-come-true", "http://www.thetakeaway.org/story/all-eyes-fed-interest-hike/", "http://www.th... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/756 | Some CEO's and Government officials have begun to call for a second referendum on Brexit (<a href = "http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/anti-brexit-momentum-gaining-in-britain-a-1179590.html"target="_blank">Spiegel</a>, <a href = "https://www.ft.com/content/2b7c4192-d04d-11e7-9dbb-291a884dd8c6"target="_blank">F... | 2018-01-02 | Will Great Britain announce a second referendum on Brexit by 31 December 2017? | 2017-11-28 | [["2017-11-29", 0.25], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.005], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ... | ["http://www.politicalbetting.com/", "https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/01/project-fear-brexit-cold-reality-vote-again-second-referendum", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/britons-majority-in-favour-of-public-vote-on-final-brexit-deal-uk-politics-a8089161.html", "https://www.facebook.com/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/909 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.0], ["2018-04-03", 0.0], ["2018-04-03", 0.0], ["2018-04-03", 0.275], ["2018-04-03", 0.4], ["2018-04-03", 0.3], ["2018-04-03", 0.25], ["2018-04-03", 0.2], ["2018-04-04", 0.075], ["2018-04-04", 0.015], ["2018-04-04", 0.0], ["2018-04-04", 0.0], ["2018-04-04", 0.03], ["2018-04-04", 0.05], ["2018-04-04", 0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-08-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/467 | Under present federal income tax law, the interest received from municipal bonds is free from federal income taxes (<a href = "http://www.investinginbonds.com/learnmore.asp?catid=8&subcatid=53&id=233"target="_blank">The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association</a>). The Republican-controlled Congress has p... | 2017-08-10 | Before 1 August 2017, will the US president sign legislation that eliminates or caps the tax exemption on municipal bond interest? | 2017-04-11 | [["2017-04-11", 0.08], ["2017-04-11", 0.04], ["2017-04-11", 0.0], ["2017-04-11", 0.0], ["2017-04-12", 0.0], ["2017-04-12", 0.0], ["2017-04-12", 0.0], ["2017-04-12", 0.0], ["2017-04-12", 0.0], ["2017-04-12", 0.0], ["2017-04-13", 0.0], ["2017-04-13", 0.0], ["2017-04-13", 0.005], ["2017-04-13", 0.005], ["2017-04-13", 0.0]... | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/mcconnell-delays-august-recess-to-complete-work-on-health-care-bill-other-issues/2017/07/11/1d90e3d2-6647-11e7-9928-22d00a47778f_story.html", "https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/basics/investment-products/municipal-bonds", "http://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/nn/a... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/832 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.175], ["2017-12-29", 0.3], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.25], ["2017-12-29", 0.01], ["2017-12-29", 0.055], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.055], ["2017-12-29", 0.055], ["2017-12-30", 0.01], ["2017-12-30", 0.01], ["2017-12-31", 0.01], ["2017-1... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jun/23/refugees-die-starvation-illness-nigeria-camp-bama-boko-haram", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/09/27/cameroon-mass-forced-return-nigerian-refugees", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/world/nigeria-boko-haram/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42735414?ocid=soc... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/407 | The regulatory decision over AT&T's bid for Time Warner awaits the new administration (<a href = "http://www.theworldin.com/article/12757/waving-goodbye"target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href = "http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2017/02/02/5-things-to-look-for-in-snaps-ipo-filing/"target="_blank">WSJ</a>, <a href = "htt... | 2017-10-04 | Will the U.S. Department of Justice approve AT&T's bid for Time Warner before 1 October 2017? | 2017-02-07 | [["2017-02-07", 0.815], ["2017-02-07", 0.5], ["2017-02-07", 0.525], ["2017-02-07", 0.68], ["2017-02-07", 0.68], ["2017-02-08", 0.68], ["2017-02-08", 0.68], ["2017-02-08", 0.65], ["2017-02-08", 0.68], ["2017-02-09", 0.65], ["2017-02-09", 0.64], ["2017-02-09", 0.68], ["2017-02-09", 0.69], ["2017-02-09", 0.7], ["2017-02-0... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/09/technology/att-time-warner-merger.html", "http://marketrealist.com/2017/08/whats-really-stalling-the-att-time-warner-merger/", "http://www.knoxnews.com/story/opinion/columnists/mark-harmon/2017/08/30/hold-line-against-media-oligopolies/616407001/", "http://deadline.com/2017/08/brazi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1033 | Jamal Khashoggi's death has triggered an international outcry (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-politics-dissident/saudi-arabia-admits-khashoggi-died-in-consulate-fires-two-senior-officials-idUSKCN1MT1MH" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/22/world/middleeast/khashogg... | 2019-03-02 | Before 1 March 2019, will the U.S. impose Global Magnitsky Sanctions on any member of Saudi Arabia's Council of Ministers for the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi? | 2018-10-26 | [["2018-10-26", 0.01], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.01], ["2018-10-27", 0.03], ["2018-10-27", 0.045], ["2018-10-27", 0.05], ["2018-10-27", 0.05], ["2018-10-27", 0.0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/64 | This question resolved on 30 June 2016: The two leaders met in Sochi, Russia in May, and Putin is rumored to be considering a trip to PM Abe's hometown later this year (<a href="http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2016/05/07/national/politics-diplomacy/abe-meets-putin-advance-bilateral-talks-isle-row-peace-treaty/#.V3J-uf... | 2016-07-05 | Will President Putin meet with Prime Minister Abe in Japan before 1 July 2016? | 2015-10-27 | [["2015-10-27", 0.775], ["2015-10-27", 0.575], ["2015-10-27", 0.6], ["2015-10-27", 0.65], ["2015-10-27", 0.55], ["2015-10-28", 0.45], ["2015-10-28", 0.4], ["2015-10-28", 0.35], ["2015-10-28", 0.35], ["2015-10-28", 0.35], ["2015-10-28", 0.35], ["2015-10-28", 0.34], ["2015-10-28", 0.35], ["2015-10-28", 0.3], ["2015-10-28... | ["http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/91298", "http://www.stripes.com/news/pacific/abe-putin-to-negotiate-on-territories-peace-treaty-1.408499", "http://www.japantoday.com/smartphone/view/politics/abe-putin-agree-to-advance-japan-russia-territorial-talks", "http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/xwfw_665399/s2510_665401/t... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/914 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.0], ["2018-04-03", 0.05], ["2018-04-03", 0.125], ["2018-04-03", 0.105], ["2018-04-03", 0.08], ["2018-04-03", 0.095], ["2018-04-03", 0.15], ["2018-04-03", 0.32], ["2018-04-03", 0.275], ["2018-04-04", 0.275], ["2018-04-04", 0.165], ["2018-04-04", 0.1], ["2018-04-04", 0.05], ["2018-04-04", 0.05], ["2018-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/451 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-05 | Between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2018, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic? | 2017-03-31 | [["2017-03-31", 0.25], ["2017-03-31", 0.35], ["2017-03-31", 0.16], ["2017-03-31", 0.255], ["2017-03-31", 0.175], ["2017-03-31", 0.475], ["2017-03-31", 0.2], ["2017-03-31", 0.2], ["2017-04-01", 0.11], ["2017-04-01", 0.035], ["2017-04-01", 0.035], ["2017-04-01", 0.05], ["2017-04-01", 0.06], ["2017-04-01", 0.055], ["2017-... | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/05/100-killed-car-fighting-170517025938882.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-40350057", "http://news.sky.com/story/congo-militia-attack-babies-and-toddlers-in-wave-of-violence-10921274?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/06/100-killed-car-bria-truce-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-02-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/373 | This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 1 February 2017 (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/01/us/politics/rex-tillerson-secretary-of-state-confirmed.html"target = "_blank">NY Times</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resol... | 2017-02-02 | Will Rex Tillerson be confirmed by the Senate as secretary of state before 30 April 2017? | 2016-12-27 | [["2016-12-27", 0.89], ["2016-12-27", 0.7], ["2016-12-27", 0.805], ["2016-12-27", 0.6], ["2016-12-27", 0.75], ["2016-12-28", 0.85], ["2016-12-28", 0.825], ["2016-12-28", 0.85], ["2016-12-28", 0.85], ["2016-12-28", 0.8], ["2016-12-28", 0.88], ["2016-12-28", 0.905], ["2016-12-28", 0.875], ["2016-12-28", 0.9], ["2016-12-2... | ["http://www.businessinsider.com/carter-page-trump-russia-igor-sechin-dossier-2017-1", "http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/8672672.stm", "https://www.lawfareblog.com/what-do-we-know-about-investigations-trump-associates-ties-russia", "http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/trump-nominati... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-04-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/377 | Throughout President-elect Trump's campaign, he labeled NAFTA the "worst trade deal in history" and has repeated a commitment to either negotiating better terms with Mexico and Canada or withdrawing (<a href ="http://www.forbes.com/sites/eriksherman/2016/12/06/nafta-is-here-to-stay-even-under-trump/#5b91a740560f"target... | 2017-05-09 | Before 30 April 2017, will the U.S. provide notice of intent to withdraw from NAFTA? | 2016-12-27 | [["2016-12-27", 0.05], ["2016-12-27", 0.165], ["2016-12-27", 0.175], ["2016-12-28", 0.175], ["2016-12-28", 0.13], ["2016-12-28", 0.075], ["2016-12-28", 0.05], ["2016-12-28", 0.075], ["2016-12-28", 0.05], ["2016-12-28", 0.05], ["2016-12-28", 0.05], ["2016-12-29", 0.05], ["2016-12-29", 0.05], ["2016-12-29", 0.05], ["2016... | ["http://www.politico.com/story/2017/04/26/white-house-nafta-withdraw-trump-237632", "http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/04/26/525701964/wto-says-mexico-can-seek-millions-from-u-s-in-dolphin-safe-tuna-dispute", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/donald-trump-oval-office-desk-red-button-butler-co... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/128 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
Violence erupted in Burundi in May 2015 following an attempted coup after President Pierre Nkurunziza announced he w... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Burundi before 1 January 2017? | 2016-02-02 | [["2016-02-02", 0.05], ["2016-02-02", 0.25], ["2016-02-02", 0.32], ["2016-02-03", 0.32], ["2016-02-03", 0.335], ["2016-02-03", 0.4], ["2016-02-03", 0.45], ["2016-02-03", 0.35], ["2016-02-03", 0.37], ["2016-02-03", 0.37], ["2016-02-04", 0.4], ["2016-02-04", 0.45], ["2016-02-04", 0.47], ["2016-02-04", 0.5], ["2016-02-05"... | ["https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1z3n9FWa0OYqt8knFlJNTzC32AZworiZAhvqgWauSlhg/edit?usp=sharing", "http://www.france24.com/en/20160920-risk-genocide-crimes-against-humanity-burundi-un-investigators-warn", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/334650", "http://www.ohchr.org/EN/HRBodies/HRC/UNIIB/Pages/UNIIB.as... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/264 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project's Definitions page</a>. The Early Warning Project’s <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/ukraine" target="_blank">2015 statistical ... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ukraine before 1 January 2017? | 2016-08-23 | [["2016-08-23", 0.01], ["2016-08-23", 0.04], ["2016-08-23", 0.03], ["2016-08-23", 0.51], ["2016-08-23", 0.5], ["2016-08-23", 0.5], ["2016-08-23", 0.0], ["2016-08-23", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.095], ["2016-08-24", 0.045], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24", 0.05], ["2016-08-24... | ["http://www.politico.eu/article/dutch-government-delays-ukraine-trade-deal-decision-mark-rutte-prime-minister/", "http://uatoday.tv/business/further-imf-bailout-for-ukraine-delayed-731752.html", "http://tass.com/politics/898487", "http://bharatuntoldstory.tumblr.com/post/31804149753/operation-vijaythe-liberation-of-go... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/387 | Albania and Macedonia are both candidate countries for EU membership, but neither has begun the formal membership negotiations that must conclude in order for the country to join; Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo have been told that they can become candidate countries when they are ready (<a href = "http://ec.europa.e... | 2018-01-08 | Before 1 January 2018, will the European Council announce the opening of formal membership negotiations with any candidate countries or designate any new country as an official candidate for membership? | 2017-01-16 | [["2017-01-17", 0.45], ["2017-01-17", 0.325], ["2017-01-17", 0.18], ["2017-01-18", 0.15], ["2017-01-18", 0.2], ["2017-01-18", 0.25], ["2017-01-18", 0.25], ["2017-01-18", 0.235], ["2017-01-18", 0.2], ["2017-01-18", 0.18], ["2017-01-18", 0.165], ["2017-01-19", 0.165], ["2017-01-19", 0.15], ["2017-01-19", 0.125], ["2017-0... | ["https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/2017/03/02/bih-citizens-offer-395-ansers-to-questions-from-ec-questionnaire/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-03-08/brexit-talks-where-will-the-eu-red-lines-be-after-article-50", "http://www.eurocrisismonitor.com/img/Target2%20graph%20-%20%20ecb%20data%20-%20large... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-08-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/258 | This question was closed as a "yes'. Debbie Wasserman Schultz won her primary (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida-congressional-23-primary-wasserman-schultz-canova" target="_blank">NY Times</a>).
Incumbent Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who recently resigned as chair of the Democrati... | 2016-08-31 | Will Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL) win her 30 August primary race? | 2016-08-12 | [["2016-08-12", 0.65], ["2016-08-12", 0.65], ["2016-08-12", 0.81], ["2016-08-12", 0.915], ["2016-08-12", 0.84], ["2016-08-12", 0.86], ["2016-08-12", 0.82], ["2016-08-12", 0.855], ["2016-08-12", 0.87], ["2016-08-12", 0.875], ["2016-08-12", 0.9], ["2016-08-12", 0.95], ["2016-08-12", 0.95], ["2016-08-12", 0.95], ["2016-08... | ["http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/debbie-wasserman-schultz-primary-226830", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida_Democratic_primary,_2016", "https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2732/Will-Debbie-Wasserman-Schultz-win-the-Democratic-primary-in-Florida's-23rd-Congressional-District#data", "https://www.opensec... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/302 | The United States' current Syria policy calls for the removal of Bashar al-Assad from power (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/26/us-policy-syria-refugees-assad-rebels" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>, <a href="http://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2014/01/220605.htm" target="_blank">US Department o... | 2017-07-05 | Before 1 July 2017, will the US endorse a peace plan which allows Bashar al-Assad to remain in power? | 2016-10-18 | [["2016-10-18", 0.08], ["2016-10-18", 0.015], ["2016-10-18", 0.03], ["2016-10-18", 0.01], ["2016-10-18", 0.055], ["2016-10-19", 0.1], ["2016-10-19", 0.18], ["2016-10-19", 0.11], ["2016-10-19", 0.06], ["2016-10-19", 0.05], ["2016-10-20", 0.05], ["2016-10-20", 0.04], ["2016-10-20", 0.05], ["2016-10-20", 0.045], ["2016-10... | ["https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2017/05/270647.htm", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/06/world/middleeast/us-said-to-weigh-military-responses-to-syrian-chemical-attack.html", "http://www.smh.com.au/world/donald-trump-something-should-happen-with-bashar-alassad-us-mulls-response-20170406-gvfk9c.html", "http://foxtro... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-01-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/76 | Past examples of North Korean nuclear tests include those listed here: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-17823706 . | 2016-01-07 | Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before 1 January 2017? | 2015-11-10 | [["2015-11-10", 0.435], ["2015-11-10", 0.55], ["2015-11-10", 0.635], ["2015-11-10", 0.55], ["2015-11-10", 0.55], ["2015-11-10", 0.45], ["2015-11-10", 0.45], ["2015-11-11", 0.5], ["2015-11-11", 0.5], ["2015-11-11", 0.5], ["2015-11-11", 0.4], ["2015-11-11", 0.4], ["2015-11-11", 0.4], ["2015-11-11", 0.5], ["2015-11-11", 0... | ["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-35240012", "https://www.ctbto.org/press-centre/press-releases/2013/ctbto-detects-radioactivity-consistent-with-12-february-announced-north-korean-nuclear-test/", "https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-difference-between-an-atomic-bomb-and-a-hydrogen-bomb", "http://nypost.com/2016/01/05/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/826 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 1.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.225], ["2017-12-29", 0.3], ["2017-12-29", 0.075], ["2017-12-29", 0.1], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.025], ["2017-12-29", 0.075], ["2017-12-29", 0.095], ["2017-12-29", 0.095], ["2017-12-30", 0.07], ["2017-12-30", 0.025], ["2017-12-31", 0.025], ["2017-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/498 | The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. Outcome will be determined based on the reported intraday values calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (<a href="http://www.cboe.com/delayedquote/advanced-charts?ticker=VIX" target="_blank">CBOE</a>... | 2018-01-07 | Before 1 January 2018, will the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) exceed 30? | 2017-06-13 | [["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.15], ["2017-06-14", 0.08], ["2017-06-14", 0.0], ["2017-06-14", 0.005], ["2017-06-14", 0.05], ["2017-06-15", 0.05], ["2017-06-15", 0.175], ["2017-06-15", 0.375], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-15", 0.1], ["2017-06-16", 0.08], ["2017-06-16", 0.11], ["2017-06-16", 0.155], ["2017-06-... | ["http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/1350485021012458", "https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYKVpiW4AIUtNG.jpg:large", "https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=32&t=6", "http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/the-world-turned-upside-down", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/498-before-1-january-2018-w... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/233 | This question was closed as "no" on 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
In a deal struck in March 2016, the ... | 2017-01-10 | Will the EU lift visa requirements for Turkish citizens before the end of 2016? | 2016-07-05 | [["2016-07-05", 0.0], ["2016-07-05", 0.165], ["2016-07-05", 0.54], ["2016-07-05", 0.35], ["2016-07-05", 0.215], ["2016-07-05", 0.08], ["2016-07-05", 0.15], ["2016-07-05", 0.1], ["2016-07-06", 0.035], ["2016-07-06", 0.02], ["2016-07-06", 0.02], ["2016-07-06", 0.035], ["2016-07-06", 0.05], ["2016-07-06", 0.01], ["2016-07... | ["https://www.yahoo.com/news/europe-close-limits-refugee-influx-tusk-063809482.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/02/opinion/can-turkeys-democracy-survive-president-erdogan.html", "http://www.dw.com/en/eu-parliament-chief-softens-line-on-visa-free-travel-for-turkey/a-19520203", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-tu... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-01-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/47 | Investors are debating whether the release of the iPhone 6S will push Apple's iPhone sales past last years quarterly record (http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/09/18/2-iphone-numbers-apple-investors-need-to-know.aspx , http://www.forbes.com/sites/maggiemcgrath/2015/09/18/forget-ios9-glitches-iphone-6s-sales-wil... | 2016-01-27 | Will Apple sell more than 75 million iPhones in its December quarter? | 2015-09-28 | [["2015-09-28", 0.92], ["2015-09-28", 0.89], ["2015-09-28", 0.92], ["2015-09-29", 0.855], ["2015-09-29", 0.86], ["2015-09-29", 0.88], ["2015-09-29", 0.88], ["2015-09-29", 0.92], ["2015-09-29", 0.9], ["2015-09-29", 0.9], ["2015-09-29", 0.9], ["2015-09-29", 0.9], ["2015-09-29", 0.9], ["2015-09-29", 0.9], ["2015-09-29", 0... | ["http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-22/russia-retailers-run-out-of-iphones-as-buyers-eye-ruble-plunge?cmpid=wsdemand", "http://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2016/01/25/apple-dangerously-close-to-being-short-of-december-quarters-revenue-guidance/#2ba5192e4129", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/350 | Both countries must attend the same summit to resolve this question. The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation is an intergovernmental group made up of the countries of South Asia (<a href="http://saarc-sec.org/" target="_blank">SAARC</a>). India recently said it will boycott the SAARC summit scheduled to be... | 2018-01-02 | Will India and Pakistan both attend a South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) summit before 1 January 2018? | 2016-11-15 | [["2016-11-15", 0.375], ["2016-11-15", 0.175], ["2016-11-15", 0.23], ["2016-11-16", 0.4], ["2016-11-16", 0.4], ["2016-11-16", 0.4], ["2016-11-16", 0.39], ["2016-11-17", 0.3], ["2016-11-17", 0.24], ["2016-11-17", 0.23], ["2016-11-18", 0.235], ["2016-11-18", 0.2], ["2016-11-19", 0.2], ["2016-11-19", 0.22], ["2016-11-20",... | ["http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/india-attempting-to-block-new-saarc-chief-pakistan-daily/articleshow/56918968.cms", "https://tribune.com.pk/story/1464468/pakistan-highlight-cpec-benefits-saarc-meeting/", "http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/beheading-of-two-indian-soldiers-in... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-12-20 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1094 | The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis releases three estimates for each quarter: advance, second, and third, and the release dates for 2019 can be found here: <a href="https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule" target="_blank">The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis</a>. This question will be resolved based on the third estimates ... | 2019-12-20 | Will the United States experience two consecutive quarters of a negative real GDP growth rate in 2019? | 2019-01-04 | [["2019-01-05", 0.45], ["2019-01-05", 0.01], ["2019-01-06", 0.0], ["2019-01-06", 0.065], ["2019-01-06", 0.12], ["2019-01-06", 0.15], ["2019-01-06", 0.21], ["2019-01-06", 0.24], ["2019-01-06", 0.275], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.425], ["2019-01-06", 0.4], ["2019-01-06", 0.4], ["2019-01-06"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | 2016-12-16 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/186 | <b>This question was voided on 16 December 2016 due to a change in how the Department of Energy (DoE) calculates the total number of Partners and in the way DoE data is presented at the links provided. These changes make the clarification issued on October 4th inconsistent with the way DoE counts affiliates.
</b>
In ... | None | Will at least 400 employers participate as partners in the US Department of Energy’s Workplace Charging Challenge in 2016? | 2016-04-22 | [["2016-04-22", 0.63], ["2016-04-22", 0.85], ["2016-04-22", 0.7], ["2016-04-22", 0.75], ["2016-04-22", 0.755], ["2016-04-22", 0.75], ["2016-04-22", 0.735], ["2016-04-22", 0.8], ["2016-04-22", 0.84], ["2016-04-23", 0.78], ["2016-04-23", 0.845], ["2016-04-23", 0.85], ["2016-04-23", 0.795], ["2016-04-24", 0.725], ["2016-0... | ["http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/341344", "https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2016/07/21/fact-sheet-obama-administration-announces-federal-and-private-sector", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/321579", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/261057", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comment... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/392 | Congress passed the 21st Century Cures Act in December 2016, meant to accelerate the discovery, development, and delivery of new cures (<a href = "https://www.congress.gov/bill/114th-congress/house-bill/6/text"target = "_blank">US Congress</a>). Spark Therapeutics could become the first company to receive FDA approval ... | 2017-10-04 | Before 1 October 2017, will the FDA approve the sale of a gene-therapy treatment for inherited diseases? | 2017-01-24 | [["2017-01-24", 0.36], ["2017-01-24", 0.25], ["2017-01-24", 0.65], ["2017-01-24", 0.525], ["2017-01-25", 0.3], ["2017-01-25", 0.3], ["2017-01-25", 0.25], ["2017-01-25", 0.25], ["2017-01-25", 0.35], ["2017-01-25", 0.045], ["2017-01-25", 0.35], ["2017-01-26", 0.125], ["2017-01-26", 0.375], ["2017-01-26", 0.4], ["2017-01-... | ["https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4481591/", "http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/341748-fda-votes-to-recommend-gene-therapy-leukemia-treatment", "http://ir.sparktx.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=253900&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=2286691", "http://www.in-pharmatechnologist.com/Regulatory-Safety/US-FDA-to-decide-o... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-01-16 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/7 | For details of the case involving Jason Rezaian, the Washington Post correspondent being held in Iran, see:
www.nytimes.com/2015/07/29/world/middleeast/irans-trial-of-jason-rezaian-illustrates-perils-faced-by-reporters.html www.cbsnews.com/news/lawyer-jason-rezaian-iran-free-washington-post-reporter-iran-nuclear-dea... | 2016-01-23 | Will Iran release Jason Rezaian before 31 October 2016? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-02", 0.15], ["2015-09-02", 0.15], ["2015-09-02", 0.29], ["2015-09-02", 0.32], ["2015-09-03", 0.15], ["2015-09-03", 0.245], ["2015-09-04", 0.32], ["2015-09-04", 0.475], ["2015-09-05", 0.5], ["2015-09-05", 0.5], ["2015-09-06", 0.5], ["2015-09-06", 0.5], ["2015-09-08", 0.5], ["2015-09-10", 0.475], ["2015-09-10"... | ["http://thesovereigninvestor.com/exclusives/stocks-economy-on-verge-of-collapse/", "http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13941026001314", "http://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2016/01/10/966940/kerry-urged-to-secure-post-reporter-s-release", "http://money.cnn.com/2016/01/08/media/news-outlets-kerry-jason-rezaian/index... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-12-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/203 | This question was closed as "Yes" with an end date of 14 December, 2016. Lucid Motors, formerly Atieva (<a href= "https://electrek.co/2016/10/20/atieva-becomes-lucid-motors-teaser-images-atvus-sedan/"target = "_blank">Electrek</a>), began taking orders in December 2016 (<a href = "https://lucidmotors.com/car/reserve" t... | 2016-12-21 | Will Faraday Future, NextEV, or Atieva start taking orders for electric vehicles in 2016? | 2016-05-17 | [["2016-05-17", 0.25], ["2016-05-17", 0.125], ["2016-05-17", 0.55], ["2016-05-17", 0.1], ["2016-05-17", 0.15], ["2016-05-18", 0.225], ["2016-05-18", 0.2], ["2016-05-18", 0.15], ["2016-05-18", 0.15], ["2016-05-18", 0.1], ["2016-05-19", 0.1], ["2016-05-19", 0.175], ["2016-05-19", 0.25], ["2016-05-19", 0.16], ["2016-05-19... | ["https://electrek.co/2016/11/21/nextev-nio-ep9-electric-1-mw-supercar/?preview_id=31674", "http://www.carnewschina.com/2016/10/24/nextev-electric-supercar-from-china-spied-testing-on-the-nurburgring/", "http://www.teslarati.com/faraday-future-contractor-halts-construction-nevada-factory/", "http://www.businessinsider.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2015-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/35 | Question will be resolved based on data from Box Office Mojo (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/domestic.htm ). | 2016-01-04 | Will Jurassic World (2015) pass Titanic (1997) to become the #2 all-time highest-grossing movie domestically by the end of the year? | 2015-09-14 | [["2015-09-14", 0.75], ["2015-09-15", 0.65], ["2015-09-15", 0.65], ["2015-09-15", 0.65], ["2015-09-15", 0.6], ["2015-09-15", 0.6], ["2015-09-15", 0.5], ["2015-09-15", 0.5], ["2015-09-15", 0.55], ["2015-09-15", 0.5], ["2015-09-15", 0.55], ["2015-09-15", 0.55], ["2015-09-15", 0.55], ["2015-09-15", 0.55], ["2015-09-16", 0... | ["http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=jurassicpark4.htm", "http://www.amazon.com/Jurassic-World-Limited-Edition-Packaging/dp/B00NYC5TVG", "http://www.boxofficemojo.com/seasonal/?chart=byseason&season=Holiday&view=releasedate", "http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekly&id=amazingsp... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/429 | In the 1995-96 Taiwan Straits crises, China test-fired missiles in the Taiwan Strait (<a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/1996/03/12/world/china-warns-us-to-stay-out-of-taiwan-feud.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>).
<sub>Confused? Check our <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">FAQ</a> or <a ... | 2017-07-06 | Before 1 July 2017, will China fire a missile that lands within 50 nautical miles of Taiwan? | 2017-03-07 | [["2017-03-07", 0.01], ["2017-03-07", 0.01], ["2017-03-07", 0.04], ["2017-03-08", 0.01], ["2017-03-08", 0.055], ["2017-03-08", 0.06], ["2017-03-08", 0.045], ["2017-03-08", 0.02], ["2017-03-08", 0.01], ["2017-03-09", 0.005], ["2017-03-09", 0.005], ["2017-03-09", 0.01], ["2017-03-10", 0.005], ["2017-03-10", 0.005], ["201... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-china-idUSKBN16V04A", "https://asiancorrespondent.com/2017/01/china-taiwan-tensions-tinderbox-set-asia-pacific-alight/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-03-21/taiwan-launches-homegrown-submarine-program-to-counter-china", "http://www.reuters.com/articl... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/971 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.05], ["2018-06-27", 0.01], ["2018-06-27", 0.08], ["2018-06-27", 0.4], ["2018-06-27", 0.375], ["2018-06-27", 0.44], ["2018-06-27", 0.15], ["2018-06-27", 0.15], ["2018-06-27", 0.19], ["2018-06-28", 0.24], ["2018-06-28", 0.19], ["2018-06-28", 0.19], ["2018-06-29", 0.15], ["2018-06-29", 0.14], ["2018-06-2... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-06-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/363 | The Dakota Access Pipeline is a 1,172 mile pipeline built to transport oil from the Bakken shale oil fields of North Dakota to Illinois (<a href="http://www.daplpipelinefacts.com/" target="_blank">Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.</a>). Originally scheduled to be operational by the end of 2016, its completion has been sta... | 2017-06-06 | Will the Dakota Access Pipeline begin transporting oil before January 2018? | 2016-12-09 | [["2016-12-09", 0.545], ["2016-12-09", 0.72], ["2016-12-10", 0.75], ["2016-12-10", 0.35], ["2016-12-10", 0.365], ["2016-12-10", 0.54], ["2016-12-10", 0.57], ["2016-12-11", 0.545], ["2016-12-11", 0.55], ["2016-12-11", 0.54], ["2016-12-11", 0.45], ["2016-12-12", 0.3], ["2016-12-12", 0.275], ["2016-12-12", 0.275], ["2016-... | ["https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/1996", "http://www.cnn.com/2017/03/15/asia/river-personhood-trnd/", "https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/04/03/dakota-access-oil-by-rail", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-energy-nationalparks-idUSKBN14V1EP", "https://origin-nyi.thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2019-06-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1057 | In February 2018, the Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit affirmed a district court's ruling that Tennessee's minimum residency requirements for retail or wholesale liquor license applicants violated the dormant Commerce Clause of the Constitution by discriminating against out-of-state individuals and entities (<a ... | 2019-06-26 | In Tennessee Wine & Spirits Retailers Association v. Blair, will the Supreme Court rule that Tennessee's residency requirements for issuing liquor licenses are unconstitutional? | 2018-12-07 | [["2018-12-07", 1.0], ["2018-12-07", 0.0], ["2018-12-07", 0.165], ["2018-12-07", 0.465], ["2018-12-08", 0.675], ["2018-12-08", 0.6], ["2018-12-08", 0.15], ["2018-12-09", 0.15], ["2018-12-10", 0.11], ["2018-12-10", 0.13], ["2018-12-10", 0.125], ["2018-12-10", 0.095], ["2018-12-10", 0.12], ["2018-12-11", 0.12], ["2018-12... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/819 | A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality for the national military forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps, including Quds and Basij (<a href = "http://iranprimer.usip.org/resource/revolutionary-guards"tar... | 2019-01-02 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States before 1 January 2019? | 2017-12-15 | [["2017-12-15", 0.03], ["2017-12-16", 0.05], ["2017-12-16", 0.05], ["2017-12-16", 0.15], ["2017-12-16", 0.15], ["2017-12-16", 0.11], ["2017-12-17", 0.05], ["2017-12-18", 0.04], ["2017-12-18", 0.02], ["2017-12-18", 0.04], ["2017-12-19", 0.02], ["2017-12-20", 0.02], ["2017-12-21", 0.02], ["2017-12-22", 0.025], ["2017-12-... | ["https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-21vccBEZxM", "https://en.radiofarda.com/a/iran-withdraw-from-nuclear-deal-if-no-economic-benefit/29056526.html", "http://www.personalitypage.com/html/INTJ.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/816-what-will-be-the-daily-closing-spot-price-of-brent-crude-oil-usd-per-barrel-on-20-dec... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/969 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.03], ["2018-06-27", 0.1], ["2018-06-27", 0.15], ["2018-06-27", 0.475], ["2018-06-27", 0.51], ["2018-06-27", 0.27], ["2018-06-27", 0.27], ["2018-06-27", 0.315], ["2018-06-28", 0.21], ["2018-06-28", 0.205], ["2018-06-28", 0.205], ["2018-06-29", 0.05], ["2018-06-29", 0.05], ["2018-06-29", 0.05], ["2018-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/251 | The Shanghai-based New Development Bank, a.k.a. the BRICS bank, issued its first yuan-denominated bonds in July of 2016, and bank officials have said that in the future the bank will consider issuing more bonds in its members' local currencies, including the Indian rupee (INR) (<a href="http://www.firstpost.com/world/b... | 2017-07-06 | Before July 2017, will the New Development Bank issue any rupee-denominated bonds? | 2016-08-02 | [["2016-08-02", 0.3], ["2016-08-02", 0.525], ["2016-08-02", 1.0], ["2016-08-02", 0.97], ["2016-08-02", 0.72], ["2016-08-03", 0.82], ["2016-08-03", 0.735], ["2016-08-03", 0.86], ["2016-08-03", 0.82], ["2016-08-03", 0.86], ["2016-08-03", 0.86], ["2016-08-04", 0.67], ["2016-08-04", 0.71], ["2016-08-04", 0.79], ["2016-08-0... | ["http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/02/reuters-america-brics-bank-to-lend-between-25-3-bln-in-2017--china-daily.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/business-38807695?utm_campaign=Daily+Fringe+&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=41707707&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_UPVDjdVigBoLKO3vme7R4Ycpxrxn-zyYpmxtpv9UNUR43wg... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/390 | RCEP is a regional trade agreement between Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members and their free trade agreement partners (<a href = "https://aric.adb.org/fta/regional-comprehensive-economic-partnership"target = "_blank">Asia Regional Integration Center</a>, <a href = "http://www.scmp.com/week-asia/geop... | 2018-01-02 | Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2017? | 2017-01-24 | [["2017-01-24", 0.475], ["2017-01-24", 0.7], ["2017-01-24", 0.775], ["2017-01-25", 0.75], ["2017-01-25", 0.35], ["2017-01-25", 0.25], ["2017-01-26", 0.375], ["2017-01-26", 0.375], ["2017-01-27", 0.25], ["2017-01-28", 0.125], ["2017-01-28", 0.1], ["2017-01-29", 0.1], ["2017-01-29", 0.14], ["2017-01-30", 0.15], ["2017-01... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-asean-philippines-idUSKBN1AL05R", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-apec-vietnam-idUSKCN18H02B", "http://www.india.com/news/agencies/with-tpp-gone-rcep-is-now-more-urgent-malaysian-pm-1988910/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-13/agreeing-on-china-s-favorite-trade-d... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-11-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/345 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 13 November 2016. The government of Columbia and the FARC reached an agreement on a new peace deal on 13 November 2016 (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-37965392" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/... | 2016-11-16 | Will the government of Colombia and the FARC renegotiate a peace agreement before 1 March 2017? | 2016-11-08 | [["2016-11-08", 0.85], ["2016-11-08", 0.8], ["2016-11-08", 0.85], ["2016-11-08", 0.8], ["2016-11-08", 0.375], ["2016-11-08", 0.15], ["2016-11-08", 0.18], ["2016-11-08", 0.25], ["2016-11-08", 0.275], ["2016-11-08", 0.215], ["2016-11-08", 0.2], ["2016-11-08", 0.15], ["2016-11-09", 0.15], ["2016-11-09", 0.3], ["2016-11-09... | ["http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/future-of-colombias-new-peace-deal-with-farc-rests-with-no-campaign/article32847123/", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/02/colombias-peace-deal-with-farc-risks-dragging-it-further-down-th/", "http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21710152-will-second-attempt-fare-bet... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-04-19 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/357 | General elections are not due again in the UK until 2020, but the recent court ruling requiring parliamentary approval for Brexit has prompted some calls for a snap election (<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/1a00ab3a-a270-11e6-82c3-4351ce86813f" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.u... | 2017-04-20 | Before 1 July 2017, will a date be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom? | 2016-11-22 | [["2016-11-22", 0.15], ["2016-11-22", 0.125], ["2016-11-22", 0.2], ["2016-11-22", 0.275], ["2016-11-22", 0.365], ["2016-11-22", 0.225], ["2016-11-22", 0.25], ["2016-11-22", 0.2], ["2016-11-22", 0.2], ["2016-11-23", 0.285], ["2016-11-23", 0.225], ["2016-11-23", 0.25], ["2016-11-23", 0.235], ["2016-11-23", 0.22], ["2016-... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/09/world/europe/britain-theresa-may-brexit-european-union.html?ribbon-ad-idx=5&rref=world/europe", "http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-39629603", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39643804", "https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/lib-dems-would-surge-in-snap-election-tories-told... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-02-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/8 | A launch for military or testing purposes would count, i.e., www.nytimes.com/2012/12/24/world/asia/north-korean-rocket-had-military-purpose-seoul-says.html . The success of the launch, and the actual distance traveled, are irrelevant. | 2016-02-08 | Will North Korea launch a land based missile with the capacity to reach Alaska, Hawaii, or the continental United States before 1 January 2017? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-02", 0.2], ["2015-09-02", 0.25], ["2015-09-03", 0.25], ["2015-09-04", 0.25], ["2015-09-04", 0.25], ["2015-09-05", 0.25], ["2015-09-09", 0.25], ["2015-09-09", 0.25], ["2015-09-10", 0.25], ["2015-09-10", 0.25], ["2015-09-11", 0.25], ["2015-09-11", 0.25], ["2015-09-11", 0.25], ["2015-09-11", 0.25], ["2015-09-12... | ["http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/07/world/asia/north-korea-moves-up-rocket-launching-plan.html?smid=pl-share", "http://www.levantinegroup.com/", "http://allthingsnuclear.org/dwright/north-korea-is-launching-a-rocket-soon-what-do-we-know-about-it", "http://www.northkoreatech.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Sat-Track-Scre... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-06-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/597 | The Iranian nuclear deal established a Joint Commission to adjudicate disputes between the IAEA and Iran over access to undeclared nuclear facilities (<a href="http://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/nuclear-iran-weekly/how-will-inspections-work-iran-under-nuclear-deal" target="_blank">Iran Watch</a>).
<sub>Confus... | 2018-07-02 | Will any disputes over IAEA access to Iranian sites be referred to the Joint Commission before 1 July 2018? | 2017-09-12 | [["2017-09-12", 0.6], ["2017-09-12", 0.19], ["2017-09-12", 0.01], ["2017-09-12", 0.02], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-14", 0.02], ["2017-09-14", 0.085], ["2017-09-14", 0.1], ["2017-09-14", 0.035], ["2017-09-15", 0.0], ["2017-09-15", 0.02], ["2017-09-15", 0.02], ["2017-09-... | ["http://iranprimer.usip.org/resource/iran-and-iaea", "http://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2017/sep/11/report-iran%E2%80%99s-military-sites-and-nuclear-deal", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/29/iran-foreign-minister-zarif-europe-trump-nuclear", "http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/10/01/russia-giving-cover-to-ira... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1076 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.05], ["2018-12-28", 0.075], ["2018-12-29", 0.075], ["2018-12-29", 0.05], ["2018-12-31", 0.05], ["2018-12-31", 0.05], ["2019-01-01", 0.04], ["2019-01-02", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.015], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-09-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/204 | This question was closed on "No," with an end date of 30 September 2016. Kraftfahrt-Bundqesamt, the source for the best-selling-cars report mentioned below, reported 3,321 new battery electric vehicles were registered in the third quarter (<a href="http://www.kba.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2016/Fahrzeugzulassungen... | 2016-10-14 | Will more than 6,000 new battery electric vehicles be registered in Germany in the third quarter of 2016? | 2016-05-17 | [["2016-05-17", 1.0], ["2016-05-17", 0.5], ["2016-05-17", 0.45], ["2016-05-17", 0.72], ["2016-05-17", 0.72], ["2016-05-17", 0.45], ["2016-05-18", 0.45], ["2016-05-18", 0.45], ["2016-05-18", 0.45], ["2016-05-18", 0.45], ["2016-05-18", 0.39], ["2016-05-18", 0.45], ["2016-05-18", 0.33], ["2016-05-18", 0.315], ["2016-05-18... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-electric-germany-idUSKCN10F276", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/germany/car-registrations", "http://www.bafa.de/bafa/de/presse/pressemitteilungen/2016/19_emob.html", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Statistik/Fahrzeuge/Neuzulassungen/MonatlicheNeuzulassungen/2016/201607GV1monatlich/2016... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/298 | The war that began in Yemen in 2014 has killed thousands (<a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/08/10000-killed-yemen-conflict-160830173324902.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>, <a href="https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/yemen/yemen-peace-possible" target="_blank">... | 2018-01-02 | Before 1 January 2018, will Yemen's Houthi rebels sign a peace agreement that includes provisions about the establishment or recognition of a single, national government? | 2016-10-11 | [["2016-10-11", 0.09], ["2016-10-12", 0.13], ["2016-10-12", 0.1], ["2016-10-12", 0.035], ["2016-10-12", 0.09], ["2016-10-13", 0.07], ["2016-10-14", 0.05], ["2016-10-14", 0.1], ["2016-10-15", 0.05], ["2016-10-16", 0.05], ["2016-10-16", 0.05], ["2016-10-16", 0.045], ["2016-10-17", 0.045], ["2016-10-17", 0.05], ["2016-10-... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/nov/07/saudi-arabia-accuses-iran-of-supplying-missile-to-houthi-rebels-in-yemen", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/yemen-rebels-reject-envoy-mediator-conflict-47850994", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-saudi-yemen-idUSKBN17M2ZK", "http://www.reuters.com/arti... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-11-21 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/686 | Nnamdi Kanu is the leader of the IPOB separatist movement in Nigeria, but <a href = "http://www.dw.com/en/nigeria-pro-biafra-leader-nnamdi-kanu-missing-as-trial-resumes/a-40999227"target="_blank">has not been seen</a> in public since soldiers allegedly invaded his home in mid-September. <a href ="http://www.dw.com/en/n... | 2017-11-29 | Before 21 November 2017, will Nnamdi Kanu, leader of Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), be found? | 2017-11-08 | [["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.275], ["2017-11-08", 0.225], ["2017-11-08", 0.1], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.0], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.06], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-0... | ["https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/calls-biafran-independence-return-south-east-nigeria", "https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-east/249751-biafra-dismiss-suit-make-produce-nnamdi-kanu-buratai-tells-court.html"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/389 | Leopoldo Lopez, a member of Venezuela's opposition, has been imprisoned since 2014 (<a href= "http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/07/27/the-making-of-leopoldo-lopez-democratic-venezuela-opposition/"target = "_blank">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href = "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/08/13/venezuelan-court-upholds-14-year-jai... | 2017-07-06 | Will Leopoldo Lopez be released from prison before 1 July 2017? | 2017-01-24 | [["2017-01-24", 0.1], ["2017-01-24", 0.475], ["2017-01-24", 0.35], ["2017-01-24", 0.285], ["2017-01-24", 0.22], ["2017-01-24", 0.22], ["2017-01-25", 0.21], ["2017-01-25", 0.225], ["2017-01-25", 0.25], ["2017-01-25", 0.25], ["2017-01-25", 0.225], ["2017-01-25", 0.175], ["2017-01-26", 0.135], ["2017-01-26", 0.125], ["201... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/24/opinion/how-venezuela-can-avoid-suspension-from-the-oas.html", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-snap-stocks-idUSKBN19V2LT", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-venezuela-sanctions-idUSKBN15T1KN", "http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/319798-trump-calls-for-venezuela-to-r... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-07-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/206 | This question was closed with the answer "No" on 19 July 2016 with an end date of 15 July 2016. Donald Trump announced that Mike Pence would be his vice presidential running mate on 15 July 2016 (<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/14/politics/donald-trump-vice-presidential-choice/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="ht... | 2016-07-19 | Will Donald Trump pick one of the former candidates for the Republican nomination as his vice presidential running mate? | 2016-05-20 | [["2016-05-20", 0.25], ["2016-05-20", 0.075], ["2016-05-20", 0.0], ["2016-05-20", 0.55], ["2016-05-20", 0.34], ["2016-05-20", 0.05], ["2016-05-20", 0.05], ["2016-05-20", 0.025], ["2016-05-20", 0.0], ["2016-05-20", 0.0], ["2016-05-20", 0.02], ["2016-05-20", 0.005], ["2016-05-20", 0.04], ["2016-05-20", 0.07], ["2016-05-2... | ["http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/2016-conventions/its-official-trump-announces-mike-pence-vp-pick-n610111", "http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/05/17/melania-trump-defends-donald-hes-not-hitler/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/01/us/politics/chris-christie-donald-trump.html?_r=0", "http://www.nyti... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1082 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-29", 0.005], ["2018-12-29", 0.01], ["2018-12-31", 0.01], ["2018-12-31", 0.005], ["2018-12-31", 0.005], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", ... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/291 | In July of 2016, the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) ruled on a long-running dispute between China and the Philippines about sovereignty over the strategically-located Scarborough Shoal or the Macclesfield Bank (<a href="https://amti.csis.org/arbitration-ruling-analysis/" target="_blank">Asia Maritime Transparency... | 2017-10-05 | Will China begin land reclamation activity at Scarborough Shoal or in the Macclesfield Bank before 1 October 2017? | 2016-10-04 | [["2016-10-04", 0.725], ["2016-10-04", 0.75], ["2016-10-04", 0.75], ["2016-10-05", 0.65], ["2016-10-05", 0.7], ["2016-10-06", 0.74], ["2016-10-06", 0.75], ["2016-10-07", 0.71], ["2016-10-07", 0.67], ["2016-10-08", 0.61], ["2016-10-09", 0.62], ["2016-10-09", 0.635], ["2016-10-10", 0.6], ["2016-10-10", 0.57], ["2016-10-1... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-asean-philippines-idUSKBN1AL05R", "http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/24/asia/china-south-china-sea-cinema/index.html", "https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/exclusive/preventing-zombie-intel-officers-stealing-any-secrets-they-can-1091?utm_content=buffer9c44b&utm_medium=social&utm_... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1101 | The Qualified Plug-In Electric Drive Motor Vehicle Credit applies to the first 200,000 units sold by a manufacturer (<a href="https://www.irs.gov/businesses/plug-in-electric-vehicle-credit-irc-30-and-irc-30d" target="_blank">The IRS</a>, <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/26/30D" target="_blank">Cornell L... | 2020-01-03 | Will legislation eliminating the unit limit per manufacturer for the U.S. federal electric vehicle tax credit become law before 1 January 2020? | 2019-01-18 | [["2019-01-18", 0.2], ["2019-01-18", 0.265], ["2019-01-18", 0.3], ["2019-01-18", 0.315], ["2019-01-18", 0.3], ["2019-01-18", 0.3], ["2019-01-18", 0.2], ["2019-01-18", 0.195], ["2019-01-19", 0.2], ["2019-01-19", 0.195], ["2019-01-19", 0.195], ["2019-01-19", 0.19], ["2019-01-20", 0.195], ["2019-01-20", 0.165], ["2019-01-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-04-24 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/175 | Presidential elections in Haiti in October 2015 failed to produce a clear winner. After being postponed twice, the runoffs are scheduled to be held 24 April 2016 (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-haiti-election-idUSKCN0SU36N20151106" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation... | 2016-04-25 | Will Haiti hold run-off presidential elections as scheduled on 24 April 2016? | 2016-04-05 | [["2016-04-05", 0.5], ["2016-04-05", 1.0], ["2016-04-05", 0.975], ["2016-04-05", 0.5], ["2016-04-05", 0.05], ["2016-04-05", 0.05], ["2016-04-05", 0.05], ["2016-04-05", 0.045], ["2016-04-05", 0.06], ["2016-04-05", 0.08], ["2016-04-05", 0.08], ["2016-04-05", 0.08], ["2016-04-05", 0.065], ["2016-04-05", 0.065], ["2016-04-... | ["http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article70110512.html", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/article68956712.html", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article56092280.html", "http://www.africanews.com/2016/04/19/haiti-to-miss-pol... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-02-21 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/86 | Tabletop exercises, war games, and simulations will not suffice to resolve the question. China's defense minister has expressed interest in holding joint naval exercises with members of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) amidst heightened tensions in the South China Sea; at least one ASEAN member gover... | 2016-02-24 | Will China conduct naval exercises with any ASEAN member before 1 June 2016? | 2015-11-24 | [["2015-11-24", 0.505], ["2015-11-24", 0.505], ["2015-11-24", 0.56], ["2015-11-25", 0.56], ["2015-11-25", 0.55], ["2015-11-25", 0.55], ["2015-11-25", 0.55], ["2015-11-25", 0.55], ["2015-11-25", 0.55], ["2015-11-25", 0.55], ["2015-11-25", 0.57], ["2015-11-25", 0.65], ["2015-11-26", 0.65], ["2015-11-26", 0.57], ["2015-11... | ["http://ensemble.va.com.au/tableau/suzy/TT_ResearchProjects/Hexen2039/PsyO/mkultra.html", "http://www.soundcloud.com/pabruce", "http://www.janes.com/article/56891/china-commissions-three-vessels-into-south-sea-fleet", "http://english.chinamil.com.cn/news-channels/china-military-news/2016-02/22/content_6922983.htm", "h... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/190 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified Bangladesh as one of the 15 countries at gr... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Bangladesh before 1 January 2017? | 2016-05-03 | [["2016-05-03", 0.31], ["2016-05-03", 0.03], ["2016-05-03", 0.06], ["2016-05-03", 0.055], ["2016-05-03", 0.035], ["2016-05-03", 0.05], ["2016-05-03", 0.05], ["2016-05-03", 0.035], ["2016-05-03", 0.02], ["2016-05-04", 0.02], ["2016-05-04", 0.02], ["2016-05-04", 0.02], ["2016-05-04", 0.02], ["2016-05-04", 0.02], ["2016-0... | ["http://bangladeshchronicle.net/2016/08/bangladesh-ranked-6th-riskiest-country-to-do-business/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/01/world/asia/myanmars-leader-faulted-for-silence-as-army-campaigns-against-rohingya.html?emc=edit_ee_20161202&nl=todaysheadlines-europe&nlid=70183565", "http://indiatoday.intoday.in... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-05-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/361 | The Balikatan exercise is the flagship exercise for the US-Philippine alliance and is normally held in the spring (<a href="http://www.marforpac.marines.mil/Exercises/Balikatan/" target="_blank">United States Marine Corps</a>, <a href="http://www.update.ph/2016/06/us-philippines-start-planning-balikatan-2017/6626" targ... | 2017-05-11 | Will the Philippines participate in the 2017 Balikatan military exercise? | 2016-12-06 | [["2016-12-06", 0.75], ["2016-12-06", 0.875], ["2016-12-06", 0.55], ["2016-12-07", 0.605], ["2016-12-07", 0.705], ["2016-12-07", 0.75], ["2016-12-07", 0.75], ["2016-12-07", 0.75], ["2016-12-07", 0.75], ["2016-12-07", 0.775], ["2016-12-07", 0.775], ["2016-12-07", 0.825], ["2016-12-08", 0.8], ["2016-12-08", 0.8], ["2016-... | ["http://news.mb.com.ph/2017/01/26/lorenzana-us-to-build-fix-facilities-in-ph-camps-under-edca/", "https://www.army.mil/article/155880/Welcome_to_the_Jungle___25th_ID_trains_jungle_experts", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-usa-defence-idUSKBN17Q120", "http://existentialcomics.com/comic/", "http://asianjo... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1071 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.02], ["2018-12-28", 0.135], ["2018-12-29", 0.135], ["2018-12-29", 0.07], ["2018-12-29", 0.07], ["2018-12-31", 0.07], ["2018-12-31", 0.045], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2019-01-01", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.035], ["2019-01-03", 0.03], ["2019-01-03", 0.025], ["2019-01-04", 0.025], ["201... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-09-18 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/964 | President Moon visiting Pyongyang is part of the Panmunjom Declaration signed by North and South Korea (<a href = "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2018/04/27/the-panmmunjom-declaration-full-text-of-agreement-between-north-korea-and-south-korea/"target="_blank">The Washington Post</a>, <a href = "http:... | 2018-09-19 | Before 1 January 2019, will South Korean President Moon Jae-in visit Pyongyang?
| 2018-06-06 | [["2018-06-06", 0.85], ["2018-06-06", 0.525], ["2018-06-06", 0.75], ["2018-06-07", 0.815], ["2018-06-07", 0.625], ["2018-06-07", 0.55], ["2018-06-07", 0.675], ["2018-06-07", 0.685], ["2018-06-07", 0.7], ["2018-06-08", 0.75], ["2018-06-08", 0.75], ["2018-06-08", 0.75], ["2018-06-08", 0.75], ["2018-06-09", 0.75], ["2018-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/968 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.45], ["2018-06-27", 0.05], ["2018-06-27", 0.45], ["2018-06-27", 0.665], ["2018-06-27", 0.3], ["2018-06-27", 0.48], ["2018-06-27", 0.66], ["2018-06-27", 0.43], ["2018-06-27", 0.43], ["2018-06-27", 0.43], ["2018-06-27", 0.4], ["2018-06-27", 0.4], ["2018-06-27", 0.36], ["2018-06-27", 0.5], ["2018-06-27",... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-01-20 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/150 | This question was closed on "No" with a suspend date of 20 January 2017.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
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The death of Sup... | 2017-01-20 | Will a new Supreme Court Justice be appointed before 20 January 2017? | 2016-03-01 | [["2016-03-01", 0.3], ["2016-03-01", 0.125], ["2016-03-01", 0.425], ["2016-03-01", 0.235], ["2016-03-01", 0.22], ["2016-03-01", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.325], ["2016-03-02", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.195], ["2016-03-02", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.225], ["2016-03-02", 0.24], ["2016-03-02", 0.24], ["2016... | ["https://hbr.org/2016/09/applying-game-theory-to-the-supreme-court-confirmation-fight", "http://dailysignal.com/2016/08/12/gop-at-odds-over-post-election-vote-on-obamas-supreme-court-nominee/", "https://www.bustle.com/articles/199055-can-merrick-garland-still-become-supreme-court-justice-democrats-have-a-few-loopholes... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/453 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-05 | Between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan? | 2017-03-31 | [["2017-03-31", 0.15], ["2017-03-31", 0.16], ["2017-03-31", 0.255], ["2017-03-31", 0.675], ["2017-03-31", 0.5], ["2017-03-31", 0.95], ["2017-03-31", 0.1], ["2017-03-31", 0.05], ["2017-04-01", 0.075], ["2017-04-01", 0.075], ["2017-04-01", 0.1], ["2017-04-01", 0.08], ["2017-04-01", 0.065], ["2017-04-01", 0.065], ["2017-0... | ["http://www.earlywarningproject.com/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016", "http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/pakistan/database/casualties.htm"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/512 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-05", 0.0],... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/02/ethiopia-many-dead-anti-government-protest-religious-festival"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-06-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/881 | Mark Janus, an Illinois government employee, is asking the Supreme Court to overrule Abood v. Detroit Board of Education (<a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/janus-v-american-federation-state-county-municipal-employees-council-31/"target="_blank">SCOTUS Blog</a>, <a href = "https://law.justia.com/case... | 2018-06-29 | In Janus v. American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees, Council 31, will the Supreme Court rule that mandatory payment of any agency fees by non-union government employees is unconstitutional? | 2018-01-24 | [["2018-01-24", 0.0], ["2018-01-24", 0.85], ["2018-01-24", 0.88], ["2018-01-24", 0.73], ["2018-01-24", 0.6], ["2018-01-24", 0.65], ["2018-01-25", 0.8], ["2018-01-25", 0.85], ["2018-01-25", 0.875], ["2018-01-25", 0.875], ["2018-01-25", 0.875], ["2018-01-25", 0.875], ["2018-01-25", 0.9], ["2018-01-25", 0.85], ["2018-01-2... | ["https://fantasyscotus.lexpredict.com/case-prediction/janus-v-afscme/", "https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED428067", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/georgeleef/2017/11/01/public-unions-are-about-to-lose-forced-dues-in-supreme-court-what-will-they-do/#4ceb93502400", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abood_v._Detroit_Board_of_Educati... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/827 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 1.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.8], ["2017-12-28", 0.525], ["2017-12-29", 0.25], ["2017-12-29", 0.15], ["2017-12-29", 0.5], ["2017-12-29", 0.25], ["2017-12-29", 0.09], ["2017-12-29", 0.37], ["2017-12-29", 0.22], ["2017-12-29", 0.5], ["2017-12-30", 0.5], ["2017-12-30", 0.25], ["2017-12-31", 0.25], ["2017-12-31", ... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/676069", "https://www.pri.org/stories/2017-12-20/after-1000-days-civil-war-yemen-violence-has-become-normalized", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-29319423", "https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/30/middleeast/yemen-nic-robertson-intl/index.html", "https://www.earlywarningpro... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/563 | The last ceasefire between Turkey and the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) broke down in 2015, and thousands have been killed since (<a href = "http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/conflict/kurdish-conflict, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-20971100"target="_blank">Council on Foreign Relations</... | 2018-01-02 | Will casualties from the Turkey-PKK conflict exceed 125 in any month from August through November 2017, according to the International Crisis Group?
| 2017-08-22 | [["2017-08-22", 0.91], ["2017-08-22", 0.9], ["2017-08-22", 0.95], ["2017-08-22", 0.97], ["2017-08-22", 0.97], ["2017-08-22", 0.945], ["2017-08-22", 0.94], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.775], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23",... | ["http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-army-engages-in-northern-iraq-for-first-time-in-nine-years-121032", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/614170", "http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/55-pkk-militants-killed-over-last-two-days-across-turkey-121828", "http://www.yenisafak.com/en/news/more-than-100-pkk-terror... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-18 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/33 | The 1973 Arab oil embargo led Congress to ban crude oil exports under nearly all circumstances; opening the U.S. oil industry to exports, analysts argue, would be a net positive for the U.S. economy (http://www.wsj.com/articles/move-to-allow-u-s-oil-exports-accelerates-1439143950 ). | 2015-12-21 | Will both houses of Congress pass legislation lifting or relaxing the oil-export ban before 1 April 2016? | 2015-09-14 | [["2015-09-14", 0.775], ["2015-09-15", 0.85], ["2015-09-15", 0.825], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.825], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.81], ["2015-09-15", 0.81], ["2015-09-15", 0.82], ["2015-09-15", 0.82], ["2015-09-15", 0.81], ["2015-09-15", 0.805], ["2015-09-15", 0.81], ["2015-09-... | ["http://thehill.com/policy/finance/263122-11t-spending-bill-could-be-unveiled-monday-night", "http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/15/politics/harry-reid-spending-bill-oil-exports/index.html", "http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-12-14/house-democrats-said-to-be-open-to-lifting-u-s-oil-export-ban-ii6dytba", "http://... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-02-09 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/537 | In February, Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet (Google's parent company), filed suit against Uber Technologies and some of its subsidiaries for stealing information related to autonomous vehicle development (<a href = "https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/waymo-vs-otto-aka-google-vs-uber/517683/"target=... | 2018-02-12 | Before 1 July 2018, will Uber, or any of its subsidiaries, agree to a settlement or be found liable for trade secrets violations in the case brought by Waymo in the Northern District of California? | 2017-07-21 | [["2017-07-21", 0.75], ["2017-07-22", 0.7], ["2017-07-22", 1.0], ["2017-07-22", 0.94], ["2017-07-22", 0.59], ["2017-07-22", 0.875], ["2017-07-23", 0.85], ["2017-07-23", 0.875], ["2017-07-23", 0.85], ["2017-07-23", 0.88], ["2017-07-23", 0.865], ["2017-07-24", 0.8], ["2017-07-24", 0.75], ["2017-07-24", 0.775], ["2017-07-... | ["https://www.docketbird.com/court-cases/Waymo-LLC-v-Uber-Technologies-Inc-et-al/cand-3:2017-cv-00939", "https://www.bloomberglaw.com/product/blaw/document/X1Q6NUBE2K82?bc=W1siQmxvb21iZXJnIExhdyIsIi9wcm9kdWN0L2JsYXcvc2VhcmNoL2h1Yi9ncm91cC81YzljODZjNjExNGRkN2JkODQxOTg", "https://www.natlawreview.com/article/federal-judg... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/370 | Russia may be looking to expand the number of military facilities it has abroad, and rumors have circulated since 2014 that Russia and Cuba have discussed reopening the Lourdes Signals Intelligence Center, which was closed in 2001 (<a href = "https://www.rt.com/politics/256829-russia-cuba-lourdes-base/" target = "_blan... | 2018-01-02 | Before 2018, will Russia and Cuba announce the reopening of the Lourdes Signals Intelligence Center? | 2016-12-20 | [["2016-12-20", 0.205], ["2016-12-20", 0.05], ["2016-12-20", 0.1], ["2016-12-20", 0.1], ["2016-12-21", 0.375], ["2016-12-21", 0.25], ["2016-12-21", 0.225], ["2016-12-21", 0.18], ["2016-12-21", 0.16], ["2016-12-21", 0.155], ["2016-12-22", 0.15], ["2016-12-22", 0.14], ["2016-12-22", 0.13], ["2016-12-23", 0.12], ["2016-12... | ["http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/07/russia-says-it-may-reopen-soviet-era-military-bases-in-cuba-and/", "http://www.globalsecurity.org/intell/world/cuba/lourdes.htm", "http://www.janes.com/article/64911/russian-defence-budget-set-to-drop-by-12", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/521869", "http://freebeac... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/130 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
We consider Myanmar to already be experiencing a mass killing episode perpetrated by the state and targeting separat... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Myanmar before 1 January 2017? | 2016-02-02 | [["2016-02-02", 0.65], ["2016-02-02", 0.65], ["2016-02-02", 0.55], ["2016-02-02", 0.55], ["2016-02-03", 0.49], ["2016-02-03", 0.55], ["2016-02-03", 0.56], ["2016-02-03", 0.525], ["2016-02-03", 0.5], ["2016-02-03", 0.465], ["2016-02-03", 0.415], ["2016-02-03", 0.35], ["2016-02-03", 0.35], ["2016-02-03", 0.25], ["2016-02... | ["http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/01/world/asia/myanmars-leader-faulted-for-silence-as-army-campaigns-against-rohingya.html?emc=edit_ee_20161202&nl=todaysheadlines-europe&nlid=70183565", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-38091816", "http://www.nytimes.com/topic/destination/myanmar", "http://www.gjopen.com/comm... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-06-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/153 | UPDATE 6/7/16: We have re-opened the question on Peru's election to allow forecasters to continue to discuss and engage with each other as the vote count continues. However, as with other election questions, we will only score forecasts made prior to the election: in this case forecasts made through the end of 4 June 1... | 2016-06-15 | Will Keiko Fujimori win Peru's upcoming presidential election? | 2016-03-08 | [["2016-03-08", 0.7], ["2016-03-08", 0.85], ["2016-03-08", 0.75], ["2016-03-08", 0.85], ["2016-03-08", 0.875], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.8], ["2016-03-09", 0.8], ["2016-03-09", 0.8], ["2016-03-09", 0.82], ["2016-03-09", 0.85], ["2016-03-10",... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-election-idUSKCN0YS0KW", "http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21700412-anti-fujimorismo-achieves-unlikely-victory-economic-liberal-fortunate-president", "https://www.google.ca/amp/s/amp.ft.com/content/8165e4a6-2ba7-11e6-a18d-a96ab29e3c95?client=ms-android-rogers-ca#", "https:... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/821 | Syrian President Bashar al-Assad still holds power despite a civil war that has lasted years and caused much destruction (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/10338256"target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://www.cnn.com/2017/11/21/europe/assad-putin-sochi/index.html"target="_blank">CNN</a>).
<sub>Confused? Check ou... | 2019-01-02 | Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2019? | 2017-12-15 | [["2017-12-15", 0.035], ["2017-12-16", 0.04], ["2017-12-16", 0.15], ["2017-12-16", 0.25], ["2017-12-16", 0.14], ["2017-12-16", 0.1], ["2017-12-17", 0.05], ["2017-12-17", 0.05], ["2017-12-17", 0.05], ["2017-12-18", 0.05], ["2017-12-18", 0.05], ["2017-12-19", 0.05], ["2017-12-19", 0.05], ["2017-12-20", 0.05], ["2017-12-2... | ["https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2018/02/14/controls-syria-al-assad-family-inner-circle-tycoons/", "https://www.cnn.com/2012/12/06/world/meast/bashar-al-assad---fast-facts/index.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/674689", "https://syria.liveuamap.com/", "https://www.albawaba.com/news/original-a-leader-without... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/103 | This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
The six party talks are a ... | 2017-01-06 | Will six party talks on North Korea's nuclear weapons program resume before 1 January 2017? | 2015-12-22 | [["2015-12-22", 0.08], ["2015-12-22", 0.1], ["2015-12-22", 0.11], ["2015-12-22", 0.1], ["2015-12-22", 0.12], ["2015-12-23", 0.12], ["2015-12-23", 0.11], ["2015-12-23", 0.1], ["2015-12-23", 0.1], ["2015-12-23", 0.1], ["2015-12-23", 0.1], ["2015-12-23", 0.1], ["2015-12-23", 0.1], ["2015-12-23", 0.1], ["2015-12-24", 0.1],... | ["http://www.gulf-times.com/story/514924/Going-nuclear-is-the-only-option-N-Korea-tells-UN", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-nuclear-idUSKCN12708S", "http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2016/10/304_217113.html", "http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/01/north-korea-tensions-us-will-pay-price-for-thaad-in-so... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/510 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.105], ["2017-07-02", 0.105], ["2017-07-03", 0.105], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-... | ["http://allafrica.com/stories/201709100041.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/07/rising-violence-forces-40000-flee-car-east-170710175551526.html", "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/risk_assessments", "http://www.unocha.org/sites/unocha/files/statement-and-speech/ERC_USG%20Stephen%20O%27Brien%20Statement%20t... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/293 | Thailand's government has promised to hold a general election in 2017, but it remains unclear how the elections will be conducted and how the Pheu Thai Party of former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra, ousted in a May 2014 coup, will factor into that process (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-politi... | 2018-01-02 | Will Thailand hold general elections before 1 January 2018? | 2016-10-04 | [["2016-10-04", 0.65], ["2016-10-04", 0.8], ["2016-10-04", 0.61], ["2016-10-05", 0.65], ["2016-10-05", 0.645], ["2016-10-05", 0.56], ["2016-10-05", 0.605], ["2016-10-06", 0.715], ["2016-10-06", 0.65], ["2016-10-06", 0.64], ["2016-10-07", 0.5], ["2016-10-07", 0.625], ["2016-10-08", 0.765], ["2016-10-09", 0.8], ["2016-10... | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/01/thailand-legislator-general-election-delayed-170102161345073.html", "http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/thailand-to-hold-general-election-in-mid-oct-2018-at-the-earliest-dec-2018-at-the", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-politics-idUSKBN15N19M", "http://thediplom... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
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