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True | 2018-11-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1007 | <p>In 2012, the FWS published a <a href="https://www.fws.gov/policy/library/2012/2012-13488.pdf" target="_blank">final rule</a> designating 1,544 acres of private land in Louisiana as "critical habitat" for the endangered dusky gopher frog (<a href="http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/weyerhaeuser-company-v-unit... | 2018-12-03 | In Weyerhaeuser Company v. US Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS), will the Supreme Court rule that the FWS erroneously applied the Endangered Species Act (ESA) to any private land in St. Tammany Parish, Louisiana? | 2018-09-21 | [["2018-09-21", 0.85], ["2018-09-21", 0.75], ["2018-09-21", 0.8], ["2018-09-22", 0.865], ["2018-09-22", 0.89], ["2018-09-22", 0.9], ["2018-09-22", 0.91], ["2018-09-22", 0.905], ["2018-09-23", 0.93], ["2018-09-23", 0.955], ["2018-09-23", 0.93], ["2018-09-23", 0.955], ["2018-09-24", 0.95], ["2018-09-24", 0.95], ["2018-09... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-09-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/261 | This question was closed on option A with a closing date of 9/29/2016. On 29 September 2016, California's governor signed a bill into law which permits the use of autonomous vehicles on some state roads (<a href="http://www.roadandtrack.com/new-cars/car-technology/news/a31011/california-clears-fully-autonomous-cars-to-... | 2016-10-04 | Between 12 August 2016 and the end of 2016, will any US state enact legislation that allows autonomous vehicles to operate on its public roads? | 2016-08-12 | [["2016-08-12", 0.25], ["2016-08-12", 0.05], ["2016-08-12", 0.025], ["2016-08-12", 0.025], ["2016-08-12", 0.025], ["2016-08-12", 0.03], ["2016-08-12", 0.03], ["2016-08-12", 0.03], ["2016-08-12", 0.04], ["2016-08-12", 0.275], ["2016-08-12", 0.39], ["2016-08-12", 0.515], ["2016-08-12", 0.28], ["2016-08-12", 0.28], ["2016... | ["https://www.legislature.mi.gov/(S(memnahwpi4glxvkfxugfrf02))/mileg.aspx?page=GetObject&objectname=2016-HJ-09-22-068", "http://3dprintingfromscratch.com/2016/09/new-zealand-offers-the-first-drone-pizza-delivery-in-the-world/", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JwhyoUyJNoY", "http://www.topspeed.com/cars/car-news/mi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/524 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.625], ["2017-07-01", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.4], ["2017-07-02", 0.65], ["2017-07-02", 0.65], ["2017-07-03", 0.325], ["2017-07-03", 0.1], ["2017-07-03", 0.1], ["2017-07-03", 0... | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/south-sudan-election-risks-prolonging-civil-war-170909073239271.html", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/08/31/no-country-for-civilians-south-sudan/"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/833 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 1.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.175], ["2017-12-29", 0.4], ["2017-12-29", 0.225], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-30", 0.01], ["2017-12-30", 0.025], ["2017-12-31", 0.025], ["2017-12-31", 0.005], ["2017-12-31", 0.02], ["2017-12-3... | ["http://www.msf.org/en/article/myanmarbangladesh-msf-surveys-estimate-least-6700-rohingya-were-killed-during-attacks", "https://www.marinecorpstimes.com/flashpoints/2018/02/08/myanmars-place-at-us-military-drills-in-asia-draws-ire/", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jan/27/aung-san-suu-kyi-lives-in-bubble-says-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-04-24 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/56 | Winds of Winter is the sixth novel in the fantasy series that inspired HBO's Game of Thrones. In April 2015, George R.R. Martin told Entertainment Weekly that he hoped to release the book prior to the beginning of season 6 (<a href = "http://www.ew.com/article/2015/04/03/george-rr-martin-winds-date" target = "_blank">E... | 2016-04-25 | Will Winds of Winter be released before Season 6 of Game of Thrones airs? | 2015-10-05 | [["2015-10-05", 0.895], ["2015-10-06", 0.875], ["2015-10-06", 0.75], ["2015-10-06", 0.705], ["2015-10-06", 0.655], ["2015-10-07", 0.55], ["2015-10-07", 0.55], ["2015-10-07", 0.55], ["2015-10-08", 0.55], ["2015-10-09", 0.53], ["2015-10-09", 0.505], ["2015-10-09", 0.5], ["2015-10-09", 0.505], ["2015-10-10", 0.51], ["2015... | ["http://www.ew.com/article/2016/01/02/george-rr-martin-thrones-winds-of-winter", "http://www.indiewire.com/article/george-rr-martin-talks-comic-books-taxes-and-hating-game-of-thrones-interviews-20141021", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/81101", "http://www.kpopstarz.com/articles/267733/20160130/winds-winter-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-03-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/423 | This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 15 March 2017 (<a href = "https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20170315a1.htm"target="_blank">Federa Reserve</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> a... | 2017-03-16 | Will the Federal Open Market Committee decide to raise the interest rate on excess reserve balances at or before its scheduled September 2017 meeting? | 2017-02-24 | [["2017-02-24", 0.5], ["2017-02-24", 0.55], ["2017-02-24", 0.65], ["2017-02-24", 0.775], ["2017-02-24", 0.8], ["2017-02-24", 0.8], ["2017-02-24", 0.86], ["2017-02-25", 0.87], ["2017-02-25", 0.87], ["2017-02-25", 0.815], ["2017-02-25", 0.87], ["2017-02-25", 0.885], ["2017-02-25", 0.9], ["2017-02-25", 0.86], ["2017-02-25... | ["https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/april-2016/interest-rate-control-is-more-complicated-than-you-thought", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/455768", "http://fortune.com/2017/02/14/janet-yellen-federal-reserve-interest-rates-congress-testimony/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/831 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.075], ["2017-12-29", 0.1], ["2017-12-29", 0.025], ["2017-12-29", 0.01], ["2017-12-29", 0.01], ["2017-12-29", 0.04], ["2017-12-29", 0.025], ["2017-12-29", 0.02], ["2017-12-30", 0.005], ["2017-12-30", 0.005], ["2017-12-31", 0.005], ["2017-12-31", 0.045], ["2017-... | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/afghan-president-ghani-tells-country-that-pakistan-was-behind-recent-deadly-attacks/2018/02/02/abcf4cda-082a-11e8-aa61-f3391373867e_story.html?utm_term=.c62100cb6e0f"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/75 | Demonstrations in the capital have been calling for Prime Minister Djukanovic's ouster (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34630358 , http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/article/protests-won-t-stop-until-montenegro-pm-resigns-09-28-2015 , https://news.vice.com/article/police-break-up-protests-in-montenegro-with-tear-gas-... | 2016-01-04 | Will Montenegro's Milo Djukanovic resign, lose a vote of confidence, or cease to be Prime Minister before 1 January 2016? | 2015-11-10 | [["2015-11-10", 0.33], ["2015-11-10", 0.29], ["2015-11-10", 0.325], ["2015-11-10", 0.32], ["2015-11-10", 0.285], ["2015-11-10", 0.21], ["2015-11-10", 0.16], ["2015-11-10", 0.1], ["2015-11-10", 0.09], ["2015-11-10", 0.06], ["2015-11-10", 0.04], ["2015-11-10", 0.03], ["2015-11-10", 0.035], ["2015-11-10", 0.03], ["2015-11... | ["http://wire.seenews.com/news/montenegrin-pm-sees-nato-nod-in-dec-elections-in-spring-2016-492113", "http://www.dw.com/en/montenegros-fractious-opposition-takes-to-the-streets/a-18854198", "http://www.newsnow.co.uk/h/World+News/Europe/Western/Montenegro", "http://www.rferl.org/content/nato-montenegro-signal-moscow-can... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/158 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target ="_blank">Definitions</a> page.
According to those criteria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has an ongoing episode of state-led mass killi... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Democratic Republic of Congo before 1 January 2017? | 2016-03-08 | [["2016-03-08", 0.75], ["2016-03-08", 0.365], ["2016-03-08", 0.18], ["2016-03-08", 0.19], ["2016-03-09", 0.265], ["2016-03-09", 0.25], ["2016-03-09", 0.265], ["2016-03-09", 0.25], ["2016-03-09", 0.25], ["2016-03-09", 0.155], ["2016-03-10", 0.155], ["2016-03-10", 0.155], ["2016-03-10", 0.15], ["2016-03-10", 0.135], ["20... | ["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-36575584", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201605170512.html", "http://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/ACLED_Conflict-Trends-Report-No.49-June-2016_pdf.pdf", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/congo-leader-claims-interference-amid-vote-delay-tension-163807584.html", "http://ww... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/187 | This question was resolved as "yes" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The English Language press releases on the Chinese Association of Automotive Statistics have not included annual sales for electric vehicles in 2016 (<a href = "http://www.caam.org.cn/AutomotivesStatistics/20160120/1305184260.html"target="_blank"... | 2017-02-23 | Will annual sales of electric vehicles in China reach 500,000 in 2016? | 2016-04-22 | [["2016-04-22", 0.63], ["2016-04-22", 0.8], ["2016-04-22", 0.815], ["2016-04-22", 0.88], ["2016-04-22", 0.935], ["2016-04-22", 0.95], ["2016-04-22", 0.935], ["2016-04-22", 0.915], ["2016-04-22", 0.9], ["2016-04-22", 0.75], ["2016-04-22", 0.35], ["2016-04-22", 0.35], ["2016-04-22", 0.35], ["2016-04-22", 0.325], ["2016-0... | ["http://www.caam.org.cn/hangye/20161230/1005203391.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/384730", "http://www.caam.org.cn/qiyexinwen/20170104/0905203522.html", "http://www.hybridcars.com/china-issues-optimistic-forecast-for-new-energy-vehicle-sales-in-2017/", "http://www.hybridcars.com/china-takes-lead-as-n... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/458 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-05 | Between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2018, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe? | 2017-03-31 | [["2017-03-31", 0.05], ["2017-03-31", 0.2], ["2017-03-31", 0.6], ["2017-03-31", 0.875], ["2017-03-31", 0.85], ["2017-03-31", 0.75], ["2017-03-31", 0.25], ["2017-04-01", 0.17], ["2017-04-01", 0.07], ["2017-04-01", 0.07], ["2017-04-01", 0.05], ["2017-04-01", 0.05], ["2017-04-01", 0.07], ["2017-04-01", 0.125], ["2017-04-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/910 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.25], ["2018-04-02", 0.05], ["2018-04-03", 0.025], ["2018-04-03", 0.075], ["2018-04-03", 0.095], ["2018-04-03", 0.085], ["2018-04-03", 0.14], ["2018-04-03", 0.13], ["2018-04-04", 0.0], ["2018-04-04", 0.015], ["2018-04-04", 0.0], ["2018-04-04", 0.01], ["2018-04-04", 0.025], ["2018-04-04", 0.01], ["2018-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-09-11 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/585 | The <a href="https://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml" target="_blank">UN Security Council adopted</a> a DPRK resolution. This question closed as "a) yes" with and end date of 11 September 2017.
This question will resolve as "yes" if the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) adopts a resolution dur... | 2017-09-15 | Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution concerning the Democratic People's Republic of Korea between 7 September 2017 and 4 October 2017? | 2017-09-06 | [["2017-09-06", 0.79], ["2017-09-06", 0.83], ["2017-09-06", 0.79], ["2017-09-06", 0.425], ["2017-09-06", 0.05], ["2017-09-06", 0.48], ["2017-09-06", 0.85], ["2017-09-06", 0.85], ["2017-09-07", 0.79], ["2017-09-07", 0.74], ["2017-09-07", 0.74], ["2017-09-07", 0.75], ["2017-09-07", 0.76], ["2017-09-07", 0.8], ["2017-09-0... | ["http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-fg-us-northkorea-2017-story.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/567765", "https://usun.state.gov/remarks/7969", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/05/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-china.html", "http://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml", "http://www.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-05-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/176 | "Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice", produced by rival D.C. Comics, grossed $166,007,347 in its opening weekend (<a href="http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=superman2015.htm" target="_blank">Box Office Mojo</a>). "Captain America: Civil War", the next installment from Marvel Studios, opens in the U... | 2016-05-09 | Will "Captain America: Civil War" gross more in its opening weekend in the US than "Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice" did? | 2016-04-12 | [["2016-04-12", 0.0], ["2016-04-12", 0.005], ["2016-04-12", 0.05], ["2016-04-12", 0.6], ["2016-04-12", 0.6], ["2016-04-12", 0.82], ["2016-04-12", 0.9], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.9], ["2016-04-12", 0.9], ["2016-04-13", 0... | ["http://deadline.com/2016/03/batman-v-superman-dawn-of-justice-opening-box-office-results-international-1201725677/", "http://www.zueritipp.ch/kino/kino/krawumm-/story/11259154/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/gitrep-25apr16pm/", "http://deadline.com/2016/05/captain-america-civil-war-jungle-book-hunts... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/98 | This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
At a meeting in De... | 2017-01-06 | Will Montenegro become a NATO member in 2016? | 2015-12-15 | [["2015-12-15", 0.255], ["2015-12-15", 0.31], ["2015-12-15", 0.31], ["2015-12-15", 0.35], ["2015-12-15", 0.365], ["2015-12-15", 0.36], ["2015-12-16", 0.355], ["2015-12-16", 0.355], ["2015-12-16", 0.35], ["2015-12-16", 0.35], ["2015-12-16", 0.35], ["2015-12-16", 0.35], ["2015-12-16", 0.35], ["2015-12-16", 0.35], ["2015-... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-montenegro-election-idUSKCN12P2HY?il=0", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/01/spains-socialist-leader-pedro-sanchez-steps-down-to-clear-way-fo/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/26/world/europe/finger-pointed-at-russians-in-alleged-coup-plot-in-montenegro.html?emc=edit_th_2016... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-07-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/166 | This question was closed with the answer "yes" on 12 July 2016. The Hague released a summary of their findings, stating that "there was no legal basis for China to claim historic rights to resources within the sea areas falling within the 'nine-dash line'" (<a href="https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2990864/Pr... | 2016-07-12 | In 2016 will the Permanent Court of Arbitration rule that China's "nine-dash line" is contrary to the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS)? | 2016-03-22 | [["2016-03-22", 0.0], ["2016-03-22", 0.825], ["2016-03-22", 0.8], ["2016-03-22", 0.775], ["2016-03-22", 0.8], ["2016-03-22", 0.86], ["2016-03-22", 0.89], ["2016-03-22", 0.89], ["2016-03-22", 0.875], ["2016-03-22", 0.895], ["2016-03-22", 0.9], ["2016-03-22", 0.915], ["2016-03-22", 0.92], ["2016-03-23", 0.94], ["2016-03-... | ["https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2990864/Press-Release-on-South-China-Sea-Decision.pdf", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/11/world/asia/south-china-sea-philippines-hague.html?_r=0", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/philippines-v-china-decision-to-be-released-on-july-12-2016/", "http://globalnation.inquirer.ne... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/567 | The question will resolve as "yes" if the <a href = "http://eventdata.parusanalytics.com/data.dir/atrocities.html"target="_blank">PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset</a> records any event with a start date (Start Day, Start Month, Start Year) in the period of interest, inclusive, for which 'Event Location: Country' is th... | 2017-10-18 | Will the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a non-state actor in Honduras (HND) that starts between 1 September 2017 and 30 September 2017? | 2017-08-23 | [["2017-08-23", 0.12], ["2017-08-23", 0.35], ["2017-08-23", 0.225], ["2017-08-24", 0.075], ["2017-08-24", 0.06], ["2017-08-24", 0.02], ["2017-08-24", 0.01], ["2017-08-24", 0.02], ["2017-08-24", 0.03], ["2017-08-24", 0.03], ["2017-08-24", 0.065], ["2017-08-24", 0.04], ["2017-08-24", 0.04], ["2017-08-24", 0.025], ["2017-... | ["http://www.elclarin.cl/web/noticias/medios-y-periodismo/43-medios/23492-honduras-asesinado-por-sicarios-periodista-critico.html", "https://www.ifex.org/honduras/2017/09/19/carlos-william-flores-killed/", "https://knightcenter.utexas.edu/blog/00-18807-honduran-journalist-critical-irregularities-his-town-killed-hitmen"... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-06-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/994 | Protests in response to government pension reforms have expanded to focus on Ortega, including calls for him to step down (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/democracy-post/wp/2018/04/27/the-unlikely-origins-of-nicaraguas-epic-wave-of-protest/" target="_blank">The Washington Post</a>, <a href="https://www.reu... | 2019-07-01 | Before 1 July 2019, will Daniel Ortega cease to be president of Nicaragua? | 2018-08-15 | [["2018-08-15", 0.5], ["2018-08-15", 0.05], ["2018-08-15", 0.065], ["2018-08-15", 0.04], ["2018-08-15", 0.025], ["2018-08-15", 0.0], ["2018-08-15", 0.05], ["2018-08-16", 0.1], ["2018-08-16", 0.08], ["2018-08-16", 0.08], ["2018-08-16", 0.01], ["2018-08-16", 0.0], ["2018-08-16", 0.0], ["2018-08-16", 0.0], ["2018-08-16", ... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-01-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/162 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 January 2016. In October of 2016, it restructured some of its debt (<A HREF = "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-24/venezuela-wins-relief-from-bondholders-as-39-accept-pdvsa-swap"target = "_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href = "http://www.wsj.com/articles... | 2017-02-02 | Will Venezuela or its state-owned oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA) default on any of its foreign debt before 1 February 2017? | 2016-03-15 | [["2016-03-15", 0.8], ["2016-03-15", 0.705], ["2016-03-15", 0.75], ["2016-03-15", 0.8], ["2016-03-15", 0.76], ["2016-03-16", 0.85], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-17", 0.89], ["2016-03-17", 0.89], ["2016-03-17", 0.85], ["2016-03-17", 0.... | ["http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2016/07/21/venezuela-might-be-worse-country-in-latin-america-but-its-bonds-look-great/#4f297ae294ef", "https://qz.com/894841/the-most-tweetable-trial-in-us-history-happened-300-years-ago-and-its-just-as-relevant-today/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-oil-shell-idUS... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/307 | Read about Superforecasting for the farm at <i><a href="http://www.agriculture.com/news/technology/superforecasting-for-the-farm" target="_blank">Successful Farming</a></i>.
Falling commodity prices have prompted a decline in the value of agricultural land (<a href="http://www.agriculture.com/content/what-you-need-t... | 2017-05-17 | Will farmland values in the Seventh Federal Reserve District be higher in the first quarter of 2017 than they were in first quarter of 2016? | 2016-10-28 | [["2016-10-28", 0.6], ["2016-10-28", 0.55], ["2016-10-28", 0.0], ["2016-10-28", 0.025], ["2016-10-28", 0.08], ["2016-10-28", 0.08], ["2016-10-29", 0.225], ["2016-10-29", 0.46], ["2016-10-29", 0.25], ["2016-10-29", 0.3], ["2016-10-30", 0.3], ["2016-10-30", 0.325], ["2016-10-30", 0.3], ["2016-10-30", 0.35], ["2016-10-30"... | ["http://www.iowafarmertoday.com/news/regional/fed-conference-highlights-downturn-decisions/article_1a389962-eeda-11e6-ab20-8f405756ad9a.html", "https://www.extension.iastate.edu/AGDM/wholefarm/html/c2-70.html", "http://www.behavioraleconomics.com/BEGuide2016.pdf", "http://www.iowafarmertoday.com/news/regional/farmers-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/837 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 1.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.6], ["2017-12-29", 0.575], ["2017-12-29", 0.3], ["2017-12-29", 0.055], ["2017-12-29", 0.06], ["2017-12-29", 0.1], ["2017-12-29", 0.45], ["2017-12-29", 0.45], ["2017-12-30", 0.06], ["2017-12-30", 0.23], ["2017-12-31", 0.23], ["2017-12-31", 0.055], ["2017-12-31", 0.2], ["2017-12-31"... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2017/dec/18/the-future-is-very-dark-central-african-republics-relentless-cycle-of-suffering", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-13150040"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/979 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.5], ["2018-06-27", 0.85], ["2018-06-27", 0.63], ["2018-06-27", 0.28], ["2018-06-27", 0.115], ["2018-06-28", 0.08], ["2018-06-28", 0.01], ["2018-06-28", 0.005], ["2018-06-28", 0.01], ["2018-06-28", 0.005], ["2018-06-28", 0.01], ["2018-06-29", 0.015], ["2018-06-29", 0.02], ["2018-06-29", 0.02], ["2018-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1020 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | 2020-01-05 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe? | 2018-09-28 | [["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.04], ["2018-09-30", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.03], ["2018-10-03", 0.03], ["2018-10-04", 0.01], ["2018-10-05", 0.005], ["2018-10-06", 0.005], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-10-07", 0.005], ["2018-10-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/704 | The stability of Afghanistan's government remains tenuous (<a href = "http://www.latimes.com/world/asia/la-fg-afghanistan-protest-20170703-story.html"target="_blank">LA Times</a>, <a href = "http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/conflict/taliban-in-afghanistan"target="_blank">Council on Foreign Rel... | 2018-07-02 | Before 1 July 2018, will Ashraf Ghani cease to be president of Afghanistan? | 2017-11-21 | [["2017-11-21", 0.0], ["2017-11-22", 0.125], ["2017-11-22", 0.2], ["2017-11-22", 0.2], ["2017-11-22", 0.18], ["2017-11-22", 0.025], ["2017-11-23", 0.05], ["2017-11-23", 0.13], ["2017-11-23", 0.005], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.005], ["2017-11-25", 0.0], ["2017-11-25", 0.005], ["2017-11-26... | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/ashraf-ghani-philosopher-king-ethnonationalist-180201144845423.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/631465", "https://globalvoices.org/2018/02/05/in-afghanistan-governors-dont-just-step-down-because-you-ask-them-to/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/15/world/asia/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/309 | In August 2016, Turkey launched a significant military offensive in Syria (<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-24/turkey-coalition-begin-strike-against-islamic-state-in-jarablus" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>), and Turkish president Erdogan has reportedly asked NATO to support the operation by helpi... | 2017-04-03 | Before 1 April 2017, will any NATO member other than Turkey announce the establishment of a no-fly zone over any part of Syria? | 2016-11-01 | [["2016-11-01", 0.0], ["2016-11-01", 0.225], ["2016-11-01", 0.225], ["2016-11-01", 0.0], ["2016-11-01", 0.0], ["2016-11-01", 0.005], ["2016-11-01", 0.02], ["2016-11-01", 0.035], ["2016-11-01", 0.05], ["2016-11-02", 0.03], ["2016-11-02", 0.03], ["2016-11-02", 0.03], ["2016-11-02", 0.04], ["2016-11-02", 0.05], ["2016-11-... | ["https://www.dni.gov/index.php/global-trends/letter-nic-chairman", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-arms-idUSKBN14G12Y", "https://www.ft.com/content/e5625674-0ee6-11e7-b030-768954394623", "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/ap/article-3956384/Turkey-calls-US-allies-reconsider-Syria-no-fly-zone.htm... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-06-22 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/877 | In 2016, the US Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces dismissed (<a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/16-961-op-below-CAAF.pdf"target="_blank">SCOTUS Blog</a>) Nicole DalmazziÍs objections to Judge Martin Mitchell serving as an appellate military judge on the Air Force Court of Criminal Appea... | 2018-06-25 | In Dalmazzi v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Judge Martin Mitchell was disqualified to rule on Nicole Dalmazzi's appeal before the Air Force Court of Criminal Appeals?
| 2018-01-16 | [["2018-01-16", 0.2], ["2018-01-16", 1.0], ["2018-01-16", 0.925], ["2018-01-16", 0.8], ["2018-01-16", 0.75], ["2018-01-16", 0.75], ["2018-01-17", 0.55], ["2018-01-17", 0.65], ["2018-01-17", 0.7], ["2018-01-17", 0.725], ["2018-01-17", 0.775], ["2018-01-17", 0.825], ["2018-01-18", 0.825], ["2018-01-18", 0.83], ["2018-01-... | ["http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/675715", "https://ballotpedia.org/Cox_v._United_States", "https://www.oyez.org/cases/2017/16-961", "http://www.scotusblog.com/2018/01/argument-analysis-justices-debate-dual-officeholding-ban-jurisdiction-military-courts/", "https://www.lawfareblog.com/unconventional-test-case-c... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1087 | Ruth Bader Ginsburg was appointed to the Supreme Court in 1993, and has expressed her intent to remain on the Court through at least 2020 (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/08/politics/ruth-bader-ginsburg-2020/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>).
<sub>Confused? Check our <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#quest... | 2020-01-02 | Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020? | 2019-01-04 | [["2019-01-05", 0.2], ["2019-01-05", 0.13], ["2019-01-06", 0.135], ["2019-01-06", 0.15], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.475], ["2019-01-06", 0.275], ["2019-01-06", 0.35], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.35], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.35], ["2019-01-06", 0.275], ["2019-01-06... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/66 | RCEP is a regional trade agreement between Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) members and their free trade agreement partners. (http://www.fta.gov.sg/press_release%5CFACTSHEET%20ON%20RCEP_final.pdf ). The completion of the Trans-Pacific Partnership has increased pressure to finalize the deal (http://www.cnb... | 2016-01-04 | Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed before 1 January 2016? | 2015-10-27 | [["2015-10-27", 0.85], ["2015-10-27", 0.425], ["2015-10-27", 0.2], ["2015-10-27", 0.2], ["2015-10-27", 0.1], ["2015-10-27", 0.02], ["2015-10-27", 0.11], ["2015-10-27", 0.05], ["2015-10-27", 0.02], ["2015-10-27", 0.05], ["2015-10-27", 0.02], ["2015-10-27", 0.02], ["2015-10-27", 0.02], ["2015-10-27", 0.035], ["2015-10-27... | ["http://www.asean.org/storage/2015/12/RCEP-Leaders-Joint-Statement_22-Nov-2015_FINAL.pdf", "http://asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/International-Relations/Talks-stall-on-China-backed-Asia-Pacific-pact-no-deal-in-2015", "http://www.todayonline.com/world/comparing-rcep-tpp?page=1", "http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/news... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-02-20 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1038 | <p>In 2015, Tyson Timbs pleaded guilty to felony charges in an Indiana court, after which the State sought to make Timbs forfeit his vehicle (<a href="https://www.indystar.com/story/news/2018/10/29/tyson-timbs-institute-justice-civil-asset-forfeiture-us-supreme-court-eighth-amendment/1646693002/" target="_blank">The In... | 2019-02-21 | In Timbs v. Indiana, will the Supreme Court rule that the Excessive Fines Clause of the Eighth Amendment applies to states? | 2018-11-09 | [["2018-11-09", 0.5], ["2018-11-09", 0.0], ["2018-11-09", 0.45], ["2018-11-10", 0.6], ["2018-11-10", 0.75], ["2018-11-10", 0.625], ["2018-11-11", 0.45], ["2018-11-11", 0.55], ["2018-11-11", 0.4], ["2018-11-11", 0.6], ["2018-11-11", 0.6], ["2018-11-12", 0.55], ["2018-11-12", 0.575], ["2018-11-12", 0.4], ["2018-11-13", 0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1019 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | 2020-01-05 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh? | 2018-09-28 | [["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.045], ["2018-09-30", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.045], ["2018-10-03", 0.045], ["2018-10-04", 0.04], ["2018-10-06", 0.03], ["2018-10-06", 0.03], ["2018-10-07", 0.03], ["2018-10-09", 0.03], ["2018-10-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/518 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.235], ["2017-07-02", 0.675], ["2017-07-02", 0.675], ["2017-07-03", 0.24], ["2017-07-03", 0.065], ["2017... | ["https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016", "https://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2015/257526.htm", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/01/24/deadly-milestone-philippines-abusive-drug-war", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-drugs-idUSKCN1B80D5", "https://www.theguard... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/520 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.01], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-04", 0.02], ["2017-07... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-kurds-turkey/turkish-tanks-trained-on-northern-iraq-in-show-of-force-ahead-of-vote-idUSKCN1BU19S?il=0"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/834 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 1.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.25], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.01], ["2017-12-29", 0.01], ["2017-12-29", 0.055], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.125], ["2017-12-30", 0.075], ["2017-12-30", 0.05], ["2017-12-31", 0.05], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2017-1... | ["https://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21736167-peacekeepers-are-no-substitute-competent-government-why-un-forces-are", "https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ml.html", "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=58520"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-01-16 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/52 | As part of the nuclear deal, Iran agreed to reduce its uranium stockpile to less than 300 kg of 3.67% enriched uranium (http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2015/04/240170.htm , http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-33521655 , https://medium.com/the-iran-deal/joint-comprehensive-plan-of-action-5cdd9b320fd ). The IAEA m... | 2016-01-23 | Will the IAEA verify that Iran's uranium stockpile has been reduced to less than 300 kg of low-enriched uranium before 1 June 2016? | 2015-10-02 | [["2015-10-02", 0.75], ["2015-10-02", 0.705], ["2015-10-02", 0.66], ["2015-10-03", 0.75], ["2015-10-03", 0.775], ["2015-10-03", 0.75], ["2015-10-03", 0.8], ["2015-10-03", 0.8], ["2015-10-03", 0.8], ["2015-10-03", 0.75], ["2015-10-03", 0.8], ["2015-10-03", 0.8], ["2015-10-03", 0.8], ["2015-10-04", 0.775], ["2015-10-04",... | ["http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/01/01/461610337/as-iran-moves-swiftly-on-nuclear-deal-sanctions-could-go-soon", "http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Iran/US-hails-Iran-shipment-of-low-enriched-uranium-stockpile-to-Russia-438767", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/iaea-finds-some-iranian-nuclear-weapons-activity-co... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-12-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/769 | Libya's Sharara oil field, the country's largest, has been beset by production shutdowns (<a href = "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/business/energy/2017/09/06/Production-restarting-at-Libya-s-Sharara-oilfield-after-blockade-lifted.html"target="_blank">Al Arabiya</a>, <a href = "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya... | 2018-01-04 | Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will Libya's Sharara oil field experience a production shutdown? | 2017-11-28 | [["2017-11-29", 0.54], ["2017-11-29", 0.35], ["2017-11-29", 0.3], ["2017-11-29", 0.25], ["2017-11-29", 0.575], ["2017-11-30", 0.25], ["2017-11-30", 0.25], ["2017-11-30", 0.22], ["2017-11-30", 0.11], ["2017-11-30", 0.1], ["2017-11-30", 0.21], ["2017-12-01", 0.225], ["2017-12-01", 0.225], ["2017-12-01", 0.215], ["2017-12... | ["https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/commodities/views/crude-oil-outlook-positive-but-prices-seen-capped-at-62/articleshow/61930524.cms", "https://af.reuters.com/article/africaTech/idAFL8N1MD1UY", "https://kaplanherald.com/2017/12/27/us-oil-settles-at-53-08-a-barrel-up-84-cents-after-libyas-largest-oilfield-s... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/912 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.25], ["2018-04-03", 0.0], ["2018-04-03", 0.15], ["2018-04-03", 0.125], ["2018-04-03", 0.11], ["2018-04-03", 0.135], ["2018-04-03", 0.12], ["2018-04-04", 0.15], ["2018-04-04", 0.13], ["2018-04-04", 0.105], ["2018-04-04", 0.06], ["2018-04-04", 0.06], ["2018-04-04", 0.01], ["2018-04-05", 0.0], ["2018-04-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1078 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.0], ["2018-12-28", 0.0], ["2018-12-29", 0.0], ["2018-12-29", 0.0], ["2018-12-30", 0.005], ["2018-12-31", 0.005], ["2018-12-31", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-06", 0.0], ["2019-01-06", 0.0], ... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-06-20 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1006 | In 2016, Herman Gundy was convicted of violating SORNA for failing to register as a sex offender in New York (<a href="http://www.scotusblog.com/2018/03/justices-grant-review-two-new-cases/" target="_blank">SCOTUSBlog</a>). His underlying conviction requiring registration was in 2005, before the enactment of SORNA (<a ... | 2019-06-20 | In Gundy v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress' delegation of authority to the attorney general in the federal Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act (SORNA) violates the nondelegation doctrine? | 2018-09-21 | [["2018-09-21", 0.65], ["2018-09-22", 0.15], ["2018-09-22", 0.325], ["2018-09-22", 0.32], ["2018-09-22", 0.495], ["2018-09-23", 0.325], ["2018-09-23", 0.125], ["2018-09-23", 0.15], ["2018-09-23", 0.15], ["2018-09-24", 0.29], ["2018-09-24", 0.29], ["2018-09-24", 0.27], ["2018-09-24", 0.27], ["2018-09-24", 0.36], ["2018-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/625 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.08], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.35], ["2017-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/916 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">The Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a ser... | 2019-05-20 | Between 1 April 2018 and 31 March 2019, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?
| 2018-04-02 | [["2018-04-02", 0.05], ["2018-04-03", 0.0], ["2018-04-03", 0.005], ["2018-04-03", 0.335], ["2018-04-04", 0.33], ["2018-04-04", 0.1], ["2018-04-04", 0.0], ["2018-04-04", 0.01], ["2018-04-04", 0.005], ["2018-04-05", 0.005], ["2018-04-06", 0.01], ["2018-04-06", 0.01], ["2018-04-06", 0.01], ["2018-04-06", 0.01], ["2018-04-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-04-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/146 | Outcome will be determined by the daily closing spot price for wholesale Brent crude oil at <a href = "http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/prices.cfm" target = "_blank">US EIA Daily Prices</a>. For historical data, see <a href = "http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_d.htm" target = "_blank">history</a>. | 2016-05-02 | Will the closing spot price for a barrel of Brent crude oil dip below $20.00 before 1 May 2016? | 2016-02-16 | [["2016-02-16", 0.295], ["2016-02-16", 0.16], ["2016-02-16", 0.14], ["2016-02-16", 0.15], ["2016-02-16", 0.12], ["2016-02-16", 0.05], ["2016-02-16", 0.05], ["2016-02-16", 0.05], ["2016-02-16", 0.07], ["2016-02-17", 0.1], ["2016-02-17", 0.14], ["2016-02-17", 0.125], ["2016-02-17", 0.125], ["2016-02-17", 0.125], ["2016-0... | ["http://ngcsuthesaint.com/2016/03/oil-ouput-freeze-already-in-place-uae/", "http://www.commoditytrademantra.com/crude-oil-trading/doha-is-done-saudi-prince-says-no-oil-deal-without-iran/", "http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/08/oil-prices-dip-on-stronger-dollar-demand-concerns.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/13/opinio... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-09-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/55 | This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 9/30/2016.
Despite significant downward pressure on the ringgit, Malaysia's government has promised not to impose capital controls (<a href = "http://blogs.reuters.com/breakingviews/2015/08/21/asian-capital-controls-are-a-real-risk-once-again/" targe... | 2016-10-04 | Will Malaysia impose capital controls before 1 October 2016? | 2015-10-05 | [["2015-10-05", 0.4], ["2015-10-06", 0.28], ["2015-10-06", 0.25], ["2015-10-06", 0.325], ["2015-10-06", 0.25], ["2015-10-07", 0.235], ["2015-10-07", 0.235], ["2015-10-07", 0.16], ["2015-10-08", 0.16], ["2015-10-08", 0.15], ["2015-10-09", 0.14], ["2015-10-09", 0.14], ["2015-10-10", 0.14], ["2015-10-10", 0.145], ["2015-1... | ["https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/14/gitrep-13mar16pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/17/gitrep-16mar16pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/gitrep-25apr16pm/", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/gdp-growth-annual", "http://www.nst.com.my/news/2016/03/133373/malaysias-mon... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1012 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | 2020-01-05 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi? | 2018-09-28 | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.02], ["2018-09-29", 0.01], ["2018-09-30", 0.02], ["2018-09-30", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-03", 0.02], ["2018-10-04", 0.015], ["2018-10-04", 0.01], ["2018-10-05", 0.01], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-10-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/619 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.25], ["2017-09-29", 0.125], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.04], ["2017-10-02", 0.08], ["2017-10-02", 0.08], ["2017-10-02", 0.0... | ["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42071488#"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/811 | The last federal shutdown occurred in 2013 (<a href = "http://www.cnn.com/2013/09/30/politics/shutdown-showdown/index.html"target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/01/us/politics/congress-shutdown-debate.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>) and there may be a government shutdown this year (<a hr... | 2018-01-09 | Between 8 December 2017 and 1 January 2018, will there be a shutdown of the US federal government? | 2017-12-08 | [["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.01], ["2017-12-08", 0.005], ["2017-12-08", 0.375], ["2017-12-08", 0.375], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-09", 0.0], ["2017-12-09", 0.005], ["2017-12-09", 0... | ["https://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/obama-public-option-health-care-225383", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-tax/trump-signs-tax-government-spending-bills-into-law-idUSKBN1EG1T1", "https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/943856675294982145", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-congress-shutdown/cong... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/12 | Changes to the overall quota and the establishment or modification of country specific quotas will count.
Although OPEC forecasts an increase in demand for oil, the global oil market remains oversupplied; this a problem that will only be compounded as Iranian oil production increases. www.wsj.com/articles/opec-sees... | 2016-01-04 | Will OPEC announce any changes to its production quota before 1 January 2016? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-01", 0.15], ["2015-09-02", 0.375], ["2015-09-02", 0.4], ["2015-09-02", 0.375], ["2015-09-02", 0.35], ["2015-09-02", 0.225], ["2015-09-02", 0.15], ["2015-09-03", 0.16], ["2015-09-03", 0.15], ["2015-09-04", 0.15], ["2015-09-04", 0.17], ["2015-09-04", 0.2], ["2015-09-04", 0.2], ["2015-09-04", 0.225], ["2015-09-... | ["http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7363", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Prisoner", "http://www.usnews.com/news/business/articles/2015/12/04/opec-ponders-strategy-but-lacks-options-to-raise-oil-price", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2015/12/22/double-median-filter/", "https://alphaglider.com/blog/2015/01/14/oil-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1099 | Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed interest in adding a feature to navigate city streets, including traffic lights (<a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/12/elon-musk-promises-autopilot-update-to-allow-for-no-driver-input-at-all/" target="_blank">Ars Technica</a>, <a href="http://www.thedrive.com/news/25398/elon-mu... | 2020-01-02 | Before 1 January 2020, will Tesla release an Autopilot feature designed to navigate traffic lights? | 2019-01-18 | [["2019-01-18", 0.02], ["2019-01-18", 0.02], ["2019-01-18", 0.02], ["2019-01-18", 0.135], ["2019-01-19", 0.35], ["2019-01-19", 0.7], ["2019-01-19", 0.53], ["2019-01-20", 0.53], ["2019-01-20", 0.355], ["2019-01-20", 0.355], ["2019-01-20", 0.325], ["2019-01-20", 0.3], ["2019-01-21", 0.25], ["2019-01-21", 0.3], ["2019-01-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-24 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/640 | The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl... | 2017-11-07 | Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Sierra Leone between 15 October 2017 and 31 October 2017? | 2017-10-06 | [["2017-10-11", 0.1], ["2017-10-11", 0.15], ["2017-10-11", 0.2], ["2017-10-12", 0.225], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.2], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.15], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.35], ["2017-10-12", 0.35], ["2017-10-12", 0.275], ["2017-10-1... | ["http://awoko.org/2017/10/24/sierra-leone-news-disabled-people-protest-at-state-house/", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/546-will-acled-record-any-riot-protest-events-in-cote-d-ivoire-in-august-2017", "http://www.thesierraleonetelegraph.com/sierra-leone-political-parties-registration-commission-calls-for-democracy-t... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/757 | Tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran over control of the Middle East have intensified. Some wonder if they will engage in military aggression against each other (<a href = "http://www.newsweek.com/saudi-arabia-iran-conflict-ballistic-missile-yemen-war-702913"target="_blank">NewsWeek</a>, <a href = "https://www.cnbc.c... | 2018-01-02 | Will a lethal confrontation involving national military forces of Saudi Arabia and Iran result in at least one fatality for either side in December 2017? | 2017-11-28 | [["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.025], ["2017-11-29", 0.03], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30",... | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/12/20/whats-behind-the-feud-between-saudi-arabia-and-iran-power/?utm_term=.c83da14d6e07"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-03-04 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/364 | This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 4 March 2017 (<a href = "http://www.businessinsider.com/facebook-fake-news-solution-2017-3"target="_blank">Buisness Insider</a>, <a href = "https://www.forbes.com/sites/amitchowdhry/2017/03/05/facebook-fake-news-tool/#19749877ec1b"target="_blank">Forbes</a>, <a href... | 2017-03-07 | Will Facebook add warning labels to news stories before July 2017? | 2016-12-09 | [["2016-12-09", 0.1], ["2016-12-09", 0.14], ["2016-12-09", 0.045], ["2016-12-09", 0.045], ["2016-12-09", 0.35], ["2016-12-10", 0.45], ["2016-12-10", 0.75], ["2016-12-10", 0.65], ["2016-12-10", 0.575], ["2016-12-10", 0.36], ["2016-12-10", 0.22], ["2016-12-10", 0.175], ["2016-12-11", 0.2], ["2016-12-11", 0.22], ["2016-12... | ["https://www.rt.com/viral/379469-facebook-disputed-news-crackdown/", "http://www.poynter.org/fact-checkers-code-of-principles/", "https://www.facebook.com/help/733019746855448", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2017/03/06/facebook-begins-flagging-disputed-fake-news/98804948/", "http://gizmodo.com/facebook-fina... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/228 | The Taliban's refusal to join talks hosted by the Quadrilateral Coordination Group in May 2016 (<a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/03/afghan-talks-taliban-refuses-participate-160305135801134.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-pakistan-afghanistan-taliban-idUSKCN0Y9... | 2017-03-02 | Will the government of Afghanistan and the Afghan Taliban participate in official talks before 1 March 2017? | 2016-06-21 | [["2016-06-21", 0.25], ["2016-06-21", 0.315], ["2016-06-21", 0.28], ["2016-06-22", 0.1], ["2016-06-22", 0.05], ["2016-06-22", 0.125], ["2016-06-22", 0.3], ["2016-06-22", 0.35], ["2016-06-22", 0.35], ["2016-06-23", 0.31], ["2016-06-23", 0.26], ["2016-06-23", 0.21], ["2016-06-23", 0.21], ["2016-06-23", 0.21], ["2016-06-2... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-taliban-idUSKBN15F17I", "http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2017/01/03/russia-s-new-favorite-jihadis-the-taliban.html", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-38048604", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/18/taliban-afghanistan-secret-talks-qatar", "http://www.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/454 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-05 | Between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2018, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of Congo? | 2017-03-31 | [["2017-03-31", 0.25], ["2017-03-31", 0.12], ["2017-03-31", 0.06], ["2017-03-31", 0.375], ["2017-03-31", 0.85], ["2017-03-31", 0.75], ["2017-03-31", 0.25], ["2017-03-31", 0.95], ["2017-04-01", 0.925], ["2017-04-01", 0.8], ["2017-04-01", 0.8], ["2017-04-01", 0.7], ["2017-04-01", 0.6], ["2017-04-01", 0.575], ["2017-04-01... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-ebola-congo-idUSKCN18A0ZP?utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_content=5918bf7604d30146574db71f&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter", "http://time.com/4826117/dr-congo-kasai-conflict-death-toll/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/23/opinion/un-congo-m... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/807 | There are concerns that the U.S. drone base near Agadez, Niger may draw the attention of violent extremists (<a href = "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/a-city-in-niger-worries-a-new-us-drone-base-will-make-it-a-magnet-for-terrorists/2017/11/23/0b62fbf4-cef3-11e7-a87b-47f14b73162a_story.html"target="_blank">... | 2018-01-03 | Between 6 December and 31 December 2017, will there be an attack on the drone base near Agadez, Niger? | 2017-12-06 | [["2017-12-06", 0.25], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.005], ["2017-12-06", 0.005], ["2017-12-06", 0.01], ["2017-12-06", 0.01], ["2017-12-07", 0.01], ["2017-12-07", 0.01], ["2017-12-07", 0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-11-28 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/355 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 28 November 2016. Alibaba’s market capitalisation exceeded Tencent’s on 28 November.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.co... | 2016-12-01 | Will Alibaba's market capitalisation exceed Tencent's at any point between 23 November 2016 and 1 June 2017? | 2016-11-22 | [["2016-11-22", 0.75], ["2016-11-22", 0.05], ["2016-11-22", 0.525], ["2016-11-22", 0.71], ["2016-11-22", 0.825], ["2016-11-22", 0.685], ["2016-11-22", 0.65], ["2016-11-22", 0.72], ["2016-11-22", 0.585], ["2016-11-22", 0.39], ["2016-11-22", 0.465], ["2016-11-22", 0.45], ["2016-11-22", 0.45], ["2016-11-22", 0.45], ["2016... | ["http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-11/24/c_135856270.htm", "https://postimg.org/image/k6srewcvl/", "http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2016/11/01/alibaba-stock-sinks-insider-aiding-sec-inquiry/", "http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.111.6121&rep=rep1&type=pdf", "http://www.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/970 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.04], ["2018-06-27", 0.8], ["2018-06-27", 0.875], ["2018-06-27", 0.535], ["2018-06-27", 0.555], ["2018-06-27", 0.99], ["2018-06-28", 0.99], ["2018-06-28", 0.5], ["2018-06-28", 0.08], ["2018-06-28", 0.08], ["2018-06-29", 0.09], ["2018-06-29", 0.175], ["2018-06-29", 0.175], ["2018-07-01", 0.15], ["2018-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/836 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 1.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.75], ["2017-12-29", 0.85], ["2017-12-29", 0.5], ["2017-12-29", 0.035], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-29", 0.1], ["2017-12-29", 0.1], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-30", 0.01], ["2017-12-30", 0.03], ["2017-12-31", 0.03], ["2017-12-31", 0.075], ["2017-12-31", 0.075], ["2017-12-31... | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/01/investigate-killing-15-peacekeepers-drc-180106064338334.html", "https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/19/joseph-kabila-stopped-congolese-children-kasai-starvation-un?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other", "http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21737027-how-stop-catastrophe-congo-s... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/796 | On November 23, 2017, five (5) Ukrainian servicemen were killed in a military clash (<a href = "https://frontnews.eu/news/en/18177/Death-of-Ukrainian-military-in-Donbas-is-another-proof-of-tragic-consequences-of-Russian-aggression-Tusk"target="blank">Front News</a>). Question will resolve as "yes" if credible media re... | 2018-01-02 | Will there be any single day in December 2017 during which 15 or more Ukrainian military personnel are killed? | 2017-11-29 | [["2017-11-29", 0.25], ["2017-11-29", 0.05], ["2017-11-29", 0.15], ["2017-11-29", 0.165], ["2017-11-29", 0.44], ["2017-11-30", 0.11], ["2017-11-30", 0.11], ["2017-11-30", 0.08], ["2017-11-30", 0.03], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-3... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/nov/12/ukraine-on-the-front-line-of-europes-forgotten-war"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-04-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/188 | Omar al-Bashir came to power in a coup in 1989 before being elected President (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-16010445" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/1989/07/01/world/military-coup-in-sudan-ousts-civilian-regime.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). There are a number of underly... | 2017-05-02 | Will members of Sudan's military or paramilitary attempt to remove Omar al-Bashir as President of Sudan before 1 May 2017? | 2016-05-03 | [["2016-05-03", 0.03], ["2016-05-03", 0.03], ["2016-05-03", 0.105], ["2016-05-04", 0.18], ["2016-05-04", 0.18], ["2016-05-04", 0.1], ["2016-05-04", 0.1], ["2016-05-05", 0.08], ["2016-05-05", 0.09], ["2016-05-05", 0.09], ["2016-05-06", 0.12], ["2016-05-06", 0.09], ["2016-05-07", 0.075], ["2016-05-08", 0.08], ["2016-05-0... | ["http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article59153", "http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article61547", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/18/world/africa/us-south-sudan-arms-embargo-genocide.html?emc=edit_ee_20161118&nl=todaysheadlines-europe&nlid=70183565&_r=0", "https://dartthrowingchimp.wordpress.com/",... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/983 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.35], ["2018-06-27", 0.68], ["2018-06-27", 0.495], ["2018-06-27", 0.505], ["2018-06-27", 0.675], ["2018-06-27", 0.65], ["2018-06-27", 0.65], ["2018-06-27", 0.665], ["2018-06-27", 0.655], ["2018-06-27", 0.44], ["2018-06-27", 0.68], ["2018-06-28", 0.2], ["2018-06-28", 0.2], ["2018-06-28", 0.2], ["2018-06... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/18 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Resolution requires... | 2017-01-04 | Will negotiations on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) be completed before 1 January 2017? | 2015-09-07 | [["2015-09-08", 0.525], ["2015-09-09", 0.15], ["2015-09-10", 0.1], ["2015-09-10", 0.1], ["2015-09-10", 0.105], ["2015-09-11", 0.12], ["2015-09-12", 0.12], ["2015-09-12", 0.1], ["2015-09-13", 0.105], ["2015-09-13", 0.13], ["2015-09-14", 0.14], ["2015-09-15", 0.15], ["2015-09-15", 0.15], ["2015-09-16", 0.15], ["2015-09-1... | ["http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN11A08M", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eu-usa-trade-belgium-idUSKCN1190L0?il=0", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/315362", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/eu-mulls-change-tack-us-080209587.html", "https://chemicalwatch.com/50529/eu-us-complete-ghs-analysis-in-ttip-ne... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1049 | There has been a push among some Democrats to impeach President Trump (<a href="https://worldin2019.economist.com/Americaspartisanpolitics" target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-us-canada-46131046/democrats-and-trump-what-does-it-take-to-impeach-a-president" target="_blank">BBC</... | 2019-10-01 | Before 1 October 2019, will the U.S. House of Representatives pass an article of impeachment against President Trump? | 2018-11-30 | [["2018-12-01", 0.075], ["2018-12-02", 0.175], ["2018-12-03", 0.09], ["2018-12-04", 0.075], ["2018-12-05", 0.1], ["2018-12-07", 0.125], ["2018-12-08", 0.24], ["2018-12-10", 0.25], ["2018-12-11", 0.28], ["2018-12-13", 0.29], ["2018-12-13", 0.35], ["2018-12-13", 0.3], ["2018-12-13", 0.25], ["2018-12-13", 0.27], ["2018-12... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-03-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/109 | In mid-December, President Zuma's dramatic finance minister swap and Moody's change to the country's credit outlook raised questions about the future of the South African economy, currently rated by Moody's as Baa2 (<a href = "https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-changes-South-Africas-rating-outlook-to-negative-from-... | 2016-04-01 | Will Moody's downgrade South Africa's government issuer rating to B or below before 1 April 2016? | 2016-01-05 | [["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-05", 0.05], ["2016-01-06", 0.05], ["2016-01-06", 0.05], ["2016-01-06", 0.05], ["2016-01-06", 0.05], ["2016-01-06", 0.05], ["2016-01-0... | ["http://allafrica.com/stories/201602250881.html", "https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-downgrades-Republic-of-the-Congos-rating-to-B1-and--PR_344725", "http://www.timeslive.co.za/sundaytimes/businesstimes/2016/02/21/No-silver-bullet-for-Gordhan-as-he-prepares-to-deliver-defining-budget", "https://larswericson.wordp... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/967 | Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt faces multiple federal inquiries into his management practices at the agency (<a href = "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-04-25/here-s-a-scorecard-of-the-scott-pruitt-investigations-quicktake"target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href = "https://www.cnn... | 2018-07-06 | Before 1 January 2019, will Scott Pruitt cease to be Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency? | 2018-06-20 | [["2018-06-20", 0.9], ["2018-06-20", 0.9], ["2018-06-20", 0.95], ["2018-06-20", 0.575], ["2018-06-20", 0.3], ["2018-06-20", 0.25], ["2018-06-20", 0.45], ["2018-06-20", 0.475], ["2018-06-20", 0.575], ["2018-06-21", 0.575], ["2018-06-21", 0.65], ["2018-06-21", 0.65], ["2018-06-21", 0.7], ["2018-06-21", 0.645], ["2018-06-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/655 | Renewed tensions between Morocco and the Polisario Front in the Western Sahara (<a href = "https://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21717383-back-spotlight-fate-western-sahara-no-closer"target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/16/opinion/north-africas-next-war.html"targ... | 2018-01-02 | Before 1 January 2018, will the Moroccan government and the Polisario Front participate in official negotiations over Western Sahara?
| 2017-10-17 | [["2017-10-17", 0.0], ["2017-10-17", 0.025], ["2017-10-17", 0.17], ["2017-10-17", 0.1], ["2017-10-18", 0.02], ["2017-10-18", 0.01], ["2017-10-18", 0.02], ["2017-10-18", 0.005], ["2017-10-18", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.01], ["2017-10-20", 0... | ["https://www.news24.com/Africa/News/polisario-condemns-morocco-king-speech-on-western-sahara-20171108", "https://www.news24.com/Africa/News/new-un-envoy-in-morocco-to-restart-talks-on-disputed-western-sahara-20171017", "https://twitter.com/SamirBennis/status/921477268534329345", "https://www.spsrasd.info/news/en/artic... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/665 | In September 2017, Transport for London (TfL; London's transport authority) <a href = "https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/sep/22/uber-licence-transport-for-london-tfl"target="_blank">rejected</a> Uber's application for a new license. Talks between Uber and TfL are ongoing (<a href = "https://www.standard.co.uk... | 2018-01-04 | Before 1 January 2018, will Transport for London (TfL) issue a license for Uber? | 2017-10-23 | [["2017-10-25", 0.16], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-25", 0.08], ["2017-10-25", 0.08], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.04], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.03], ["2017-10-26", 0.03], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/apr/27/how-uber-conquered-london", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-24/after-london-ban-uber-s-latest-regulatory-nightmare-is-brazil", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41940018", "http://www.businessinsider.sg/uber-heads-to-court-in-fight-for-london-survi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/815 | President Trump has repeated his campaign commitment to either negotiating better terms with Mexico and Canada or risk the United States withdrawing from NAFTA (<a href = "http://money.cnn.com/2016/07/06/news/economy/trump-nafta/"target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href = "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-14/kil... | 2018-10-03 | Before 1 October 2018, will the U.S. provide notice of intent to withdraw from NAFTA? | 2017-12-12 | [["2017-12-12", 0.265], ["2017-12-12", 0.275], ["2017-12-13", 0.475], ["2017-12-13", 0.295], ["2017-12-13", 0.2], ["2017-12-14", 0.15], ["2017-12-15", 0.18], ["2017-12-15", 0.15], ["2017-12-16", 0.15], ["2017-12-16", 0.2], ["2017-12-16", 0.17], ["2017-12-16", 0.15], ["2017-12-17", 0.17], ["2017-12-18", 0.2], ["2017-12-... | ["https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/04/trump-nafta-withdrawal-order/524463/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/12/business/economy/what-would-happen-if-the-us-withdrew-from-nafta.html", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-11/trudeau-sees-clear-path-forward-on-nafta-despite-big-impasses", "h... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-12-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/894 | In the wake of the mass shooting in Parkland, Florida, President Trump signalled his willingness to regulate "bump stocks," an after-market accessory for semi-automatic rifles. (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/20/us/politics/trump-bump-stocks.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>) Legislation banning such devic... | 2018-12-27 | Before 1 January 2019, will the US federal government ban the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of bump stocks? | 2018-03-07 | [["2018-03-07", 0.2], ["2018-03-07", 0.25], ["2018-03-07", 0.1], ["2018-03-07", 0.2], ["2018-03-07", 0.475], ["2018-03-08", 0.225], ["2018-03-08", 0.3], ["2018-03-08", 0.35], ["2018-03-08", 0.35], ["2018-03-08", 0.55], ["2018-03-08", 0.375], ["2018-03-08", 0.325], ["2018-03-08", 0.36], ["2018-03-08", 0.56], ["2018-03-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-12-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/689 | The special election for Alabama's U.S. Senate seat vacated by now-Attorney General Jeff Sessions is scheduled for 12 December 2017 (<a href = "http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/new-alabama-poll-shows-warning-signs-for-republicans-elsewhere/article/2636366"target=_blank">The Washington Examiner</a>, <a href = "https://... | 2017-12-14 | Will a Republican win the special election for Alabama's U.S. Senate seat? | 2017-11-09 | [["2017-11-10", 0.75], ["2017-11-10", 1.0], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.68], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.875], ["2017-11-10", 0.875], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.635], ["2017-11-10", 0.5], ["2017-11-11", 0.445], ["2017-11-11", 0.47], ["2017-11-11", 0.49], ["2017-11... | ["https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.cq32okfgf", "https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/pollsters-pundits-say-alabama-senate-race-impossible-predict-n828236?cid=sm_npd_nn_tw_np", "http://pressthink.org/2011/08/why-political-coverage-is-broken/",... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1001 | On 5 September 2018, the New York Times published an op-ed from an anonymous writer cited as a senior official in the Trump administration (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/05/opinion/trump-white-house-anonymous-resistance.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>). Validation and/or acknowledgment by the suspected a... | 2019-01-02 | Before 2019, will the President, Vice President, White House Press Secretary, White House Chief of Staff, or Attorney General name a suspected author of the New York Times "Resistance" op-ed? | 2018-09-14 | [["2018-09-14", 0.1], ["2018-09-14", 0.2], ["2018-09-14", 0.6], ["2018-09-14", 0.6], ["2018-09-14", 0.1], ["2018-09-14", 0.2], ["2018-09-14", 0.65], ["2018-09-14", 0.525], ["2018-09-14", 0.65], ["2018-09-14", 0.525], ["2018-09-15", 0.575], ["2018-09-15", 0.75], ["2018-09-15", 0.65], ["2018-09-15", 0.7], ["2018-09-15", ... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1084 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.25], ["2018-12-28", 0.175], ["2018-12-28", 0.18], ["2018-12-28", 0.185], ["2018-12-29", 0.185], ["2018-12-29", 0.12], ["2018-12-29", 0.15], ["2018-12-31", 0.06], ["2018-12-31", 0.03], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.03], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/115 | This question was closed a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
RCEP is a regional ... | 2017-01-06 | Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2016? | 2016-01-19 | [["2016-01-19", 0.85], ["2016-01-20", 0.83], ["2016-01-20", 0.82], ["2016-01-20", 0.815], ["2016-01-20", 0.815], ["2016-01-20", 0.82], ["2016-01-20", 0.835], ["2016-01-21", 0.82], ["2016-01-21", 0.805], ["2016-01-21", 0.82], ["2016-01-22", 0.82], ["2016-01-22", 0.815], ["2016-01-22", 0.8], ["2016-01-22", 0.8], ["2016-0... | ["http://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/rcep-negotiations-may-miss-december-deadline/article9026863.ece", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-12-09/china-championed-asia-trade-pact-gains-traction-in-jakarta-talks", "http://www.bilaterals.org/?multinationals-launch-50-lawsuits", "http://www.asiantradecentre... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1024 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | 2020-01-05 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar? | 2018-09-28 | [["2018-09-29", 0.06], ["2018-09-29", 0.13], ["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-30", 0.07], ["2018-09-30", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.06], ["2018-10-03", 0.065], ["2018-10-04", 0.06], ["2018-10-05", 0.055], ["2018-10-05", 0.055], ["2018-10-06", 0.055], ["2018-10-06", 0.065], ["2018... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-17 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/803 | In 2016, the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit ruled that Microsoft did not have to comply with a warrant for records stored outside of the US, and the government appealed (<a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/united-states-v-microsoft-corp/"target="_blank">SCOUTS Blog</a>, <a href ... | 2018-04-18 | In United States v. Microsoft Corp, will the Supreme Court rule that the government can use a warrant to compel the disclosure of records stored outside of the United States?
| 2017-12-01 | [["2017-12-01", 0.0], ["2017-12-01", 0.75], ["2017-12-01", 0.8], ["2017-12-01", 0.43], ["2017-12-01", 0.265], ["2017-12-01", 0.4], ["2017-12-01", 0.52], ["2017-12-02", 0.46], ["2017-12-02", 0.375], ["2017-12-02", 0.2], ["2017-12-02", 0.35], ["2017-12-02", 0.35], ["2017-12-02", 0.35], ["2017-12-02", 0.45], ["2017-12-02"... | ["https://harvardlawreview.org/2016/12/microsoft-corp-v-united-states/", "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/united-states-v-microsoft-corp/", "https://judiciary.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/100517-USA-Liberty-Act.pdf", "http://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/17-2-tsac-states-of-vermont.pd... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/73 | This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
For this question,... | 2017-01-06 | Will there be a lethal confrontation in the South or East China Sea region involving China's and another country's national military forces or law enforcement personnel before 1 January 2017? | 2015-11-03 | [["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-04", 0.23], ["2015-11-04", 0.24], ["2015-11-04", 0.25], ["2015-11-0... | ["http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/10/12/beijing-tells-seoul-to-stay-calm-and-carry-on-after-chinese-fishermen-sink-a-south-korean-coast-guard-boat/", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/beijing-tells-seoul-stay-calm-205236784.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-hongkong-china-politics-idUSKBN13204P", "http://www.cnbc.com/2... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-06-28 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/958 | Revisions to the "outlook" will not suffice. Chile's economy has recently seen its best growth figures in five years (<a href="http://santiagotimes.cl/2018/05/08/boosted-by-mining-and-consumption-chilean-economy-activity-soars-4-6-in-march/" target="_blank">Santiago Times</a>, <a href="https://countryeconomy.com/rating... | 2018-07-02 | Will S&P, Moody's, or Fitch change Chile's long-term foreign currency rating before 29 June 2018? | 2018-05-16 | [["2018-05-16", 0.1], ["2018-05-16", 0.2], ["2018-05-16", 0.125], ["2018-05-16", 0.05], ["2018-05-17", 0.065], ["2018-05-17", 0.08], ["2018-05-17", 0.08], ["2018-05-17", 0.095], ["2018-05-18", 0.095], ["2018-05-19", 0.065], ["2018-05-19", 0.065], ["2018-05-19", 0.02], ["2018-05-20", 0.02], ["2018-05-21", 0.02], ["2018-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/632 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.6], ["2017-09-29", 0.3], ["2017-09-29", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.1], ["2017-09-30", 0.1], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-01", 0.075], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/70 | This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Article 4 was invo... | 2017-01-06 | Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 in response to actions taken by Russia before 1 January 2017? | 2015-11-03 | [["2015-11-03", 0.225], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.32], ["2015-11-03", 0.33], ["2015-11-03", 0.275], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-03", 0.25], ["2015-11-04", 0.275], ["2015-11-04", 0.315], ["2015-11-04", 0.33], ["2015-11-04", 0.33], ["2015-11-04", 0.33], ["2015-11-04", 0.33], ["2015-11-04", 0.315], ["2015... | ["http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2016/03/14/putin-changes-september-election-rules-to-prop-up-his-united-russia-party/#6a4ce2e458a2", "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/ap/article-3771895/The-Latest-Turkish-President-Erdogan-arrives-G-20-summit.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/411165", "h... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-05-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/78 | <img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=570990896342688&ev=PageView&noscript=1"/>The $5 billion expansion will double the capacity of the Panama Canal, allowing much larger ships to transit between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans (<a href="http://www.theworldin.com/article/104... | 2016-05-18 | Will the expanded Panama Canal open to shipping before 15 May 2016? | 2015-11-17 | [["2015-11-17", 0.305], ["2015-11-17", 0.3], ["2015-11-17", 0.3], ["2015-11-18", 0.3], ["2015-11-18", 0.275], ["2015-11-18", 0.25], ["2015-11-18", 0.25], ["2015-11-18", 0.25], ["2015-11-18", 0.25], ["2015-11-19", 0.25], ["2015-11-19", 0.25], ["2015-11-19", 0.25], ["2015-11-19", 0.25], ["2015-11-19", 0.25], ["2015-11-19... | ["http://www.sandandgravel.com/news/article.asp?v1=22866", "http://gcaptain.com/panama-canal-expansion-to-open-end-june/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/27/gitrep-27mar16pm", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/panama-aims-end-june-much-delayed-canal-expansion-001713762.html", "http://www.seatrade-maritime.com/ne... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/420 | The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to deliver relief in humanitarian crises is the object of increasing attention, including several ongoing initiatives (<a href = "http://drones.fsd.ch/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Drones-in-Humanitarian-Action.pdf"target="_blank">Swiss Foundation for Mine Action</a>, <a href = "... | 2018-01-16 | Will an unmanned aerial vehicle be used by a non-governmental or intra-governmental organization to deliver humanitarian aid to a conflict zone in 2017? | 2017-02-21 | [["2017-02-21", 0.56], ["2017-02-22", 0.88], ["2017-02-22", 0.995], ["2017-02-22", 1.0], ["2017-02-22", 1.0], ["2017-02-22", 1.0], ["2017-02-22", 0.99], ["2017-02-23", 0.95], ["2017-02-23", 0.925], ["2017-02-23", 0.85], ["2017-02-24", 0.95], ["2017-02-25", 0.95], ["2017-02-25", 0.895], ["2017-02-26", 0.95], ["2017-02-2... | ["https://www.devex.com/news/drone-meet-the-humanitarian-cluster-approach-91436", "https://slice.mit.edu/2017/11/06/drones-disappear-morse-corp/", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-aid-innovation-drones/its-a-bird-its-a-plane-its-an-edible-aid-drone-idUSKBN15Z1TG", "http://www.msf.org/en/article/yemen-crisis-update--... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-11-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/177 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Ron Johnson (R - WI) won his bid for reelection against Russ Feingold on November 8. (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/senate" target="_blank">NY Times</a>)
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="... | 2016-11-16 | Will Senator Ron Johnson (R-WI) be re-elected this November? | 2016-04-15 | [["2016-04-15", 0.44], ["2016-04-15", 0.475], ["2016-04-15", 0.34], ["2016-04-15", 0.325], ["2016-04-15", 0.28], ["2016-04-15", 0.26], ["2016-04-15", 0.26], ["2016-04-15", 0.3], ["2016-04-15", 0.28], ["2016-04-15", 0.3], ["2016-04-15", 0.31], ["2016-04-15", 0.25], ["2016-04-15", 0.2], ["2016-04-16", 0.235], ["2016-04-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/540 | Protests in Venezuela have become increasingly violent, with fatalities suffered by supporters of both sides, bystanders and members of the security forces (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN19A33U"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-p... | 2017-10-04 | Before 1 October 2017, will one day of protests in Venezuela result in more than 25 fatalities?
| 2017-07-25 | [["2017-07-25", 0.04], ["2017-07-25", 0.075], ["2017-07-25", 0.12], ["2017-07-26", 0.225], ["2017-07-26", 0.215], ["2017-07-26", 0.1], ["2017-07-26", 0.06], ["2017-07-27", 0.055], ["2017-07-27", 0.03], ["2017-07-27", 0.04], ["2017-07-27", 0.045], ["2017-07-28", 0.045], ["2017-07-28", 0.05], ["2017-07-28", 0.05], ["2017... | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-un-rights-idUSKCN1BA0ZN?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=US%20Reuters%20News%20Now%202017-08-30&utm_term=US%20Reuters%20News%20Now", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-41091745", "https://in.reuters.com/article/us-usa-venezuel... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/682 | Observers of North Korean politics have speculated about various ways in which Kim's tenure might end abruptly, including military coup (<a href = "http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/02/11/north-korea-s-generals-could-turn-against-kim-jong-un.html"target="_blank">The Daily Beast</a>), assassination (<a href = "... | 2018-10-03 | Before 1 October 2018, will Kim Jong-un cease to be supreme leader of North Korea? | 2017-11-07 | [["2017-11-07", 0.01], ["2017-11-07", 0.18], ["2017-11-08", 0.04], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.0], ["2017-11-09", 0.01], ["2017-11-09", 0.015], ["2017-11-09", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.03], ["2017-11-11", 0.035], ["2017-11-... | ["http://www.dw.com/en/can-north-koreas-elites-oust-kim-jong-un/a-39091374", "http://www.businessinsider.com/north-korean-defector-thae-yong-ho-kim-jong-un-overthrown-10-years-2017-8", "http://summitlake.com/wp_1commentary/?p=534", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2013/08/20/mapped-the-7-governments-the-u-s-has-overthrown/", ... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-02-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1005 | In 1985, Vernon Madison was first convicted of capital murder in state court (<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/death-row-inmate-who-murdered-police-office-could-be-spared-execution-he-cant-821881" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>). A series of strokes has since left him without any memory of the crime, and his counsel is ... | 2019-02-28 | In Madison v. Alabama, will the Supreme Court rule that the State of Alabama may not execute Vernon Madison? | 2018-09-21 | [["2018-09-21", 0.25], ["2018-09-21", 0.35], ["2018-09-22", 0.225], ["2018-09-22", 0.475], ["2018-09-22", 0.47], ["2018-09-22", 0.795], ["2018-09-22", 0.8], ["2018-09-23", 0.8], ["2018-09-23", 0.8], ["2018-09-24", 0.6], ["2018-09-24", 0.6], ["2018-09-24", 0.325], ["2018-09-24", 0.25], ["2018-09-24", 0.2], ["2018-09-24"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-06-21 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/901 | Currently, under the Supreme Court’s decision in Quill Corp. v. North Dakota , states and their political subdivisions are not permitted to impose sales taxes on sales made by firms that do not have a physical presence within their jurisdiction (<a href = "https://www.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/91-0194.ZO.html"target="... | 2018-06-22 | In South Dakota v. Wayfair, Inc., will the Supreme Court rule that a state may impose sales taxes on retail sales by firms that do not have a physical presence in the state? | 2018-03-14 | [["2018-03-14", 0.25], ["2018-03-14", 0.65], ["2018-03-14", 0.325], ["2018-03-15", 0.325], ["2018-03-15", 0.4], ["2018-03-15", 0.1], ["2018-03-15", 0.08], ["2018-03-15", 0.08], ["2018-03-16", 0.315], ["2018-03-16", 0.675], ["2018-03-16", 0.675], ["2018-03-16", 0.55], ["2018-03-17", 0.55], ["2018-03-17", 0.475], ["2018-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-04-05 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/886 | Water ministers refer to Egypt's Minister of Water Resources and Irrigation, Ethiopia's Minister of Water Irrigation and Electricity, and Sudan's Minister of Electricity and Water Resources. Construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), located in Ethiopia, is more than halfway complete. However, ongoing ... | 2018-04-06 | Before 1 October 2018, will the water ministers of Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan meet to resume technical negotiations over the Renaissance Dam?
| 2018-02-07 | [["2018-02-07", 0.55], ["2018-02-07", 1.0], ["2018-02-07", 1.0], ["2018-02-07", 0.995], ["2018-02-07", 0.795], ["2018-02-07", 0.6], ["2018-02-07", 0.6], ["2018-02-07", 0.725], ["2018-02-07", 0.725], ["2018-02-07", 0.675], ["2018-02-07", 0.675], ["2018-02-08", 0.5], ["2018-02-08", 0.5], ["2018-02-08", 0.45], ["2018-02-0... | ["https://qz.com/1181318/ethiopia-egypt-sudan-and-eritrea-tensions-over-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-on-nile-river/", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-africanunion-summit-nile/egypt-ethiopia-and-sudan-hope-to-break-nile-dam-talks-deadlock-in-one-month-idUSKBN1FI1LC", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2018/01/11/egypt-sud... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-06-20 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/572 | In November 2016, the District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin ruled 2-1 that the state legislature's redistricting plan was unconstitutional (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-wisconsin-redistricting-idUSKBN13H0SV"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href= "http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/fed... | 2018-06-21 | In Gill v. Whitford, will the Supreme Court rule that any part of Wisconsin's redistricting plan is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?
| 2017-09-01 | [["2017-09-01", 0.75], ["2017-09-02", 0.85], ["2017-09-02", 0.55], ["2017-09-03", 0.625], ["2017-09-03", 0.6], ["2017-09-04", 0.625], ["2017-09-05", 0.82], ["2017-09-05", 0.69], ["2017-09-06", 0.475], ["2017-09-07", 0.475], ["2017-09-09", 0.43], ["2017-09-13", 0.42], ["2017-09-14", 0.375], ["2017-09-16", 0.325], ["2017... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/04/opinion/gerrymandering-supreme-court.html", "http://www.cnn.com/2018/01/09/politics/north-carolina-gerrymandering-case/index.html", "http://www.phillyvoice.com/the-supreme-court-and-gerrymandering-what-it-means-for-pennsylvania/", "https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/05pdf/05-204.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | 2016-02-09 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/132 | This question has been voided.
In January 2016 China moved the HYSY 981 oil rig into a part of the South China sea claimed by both Vietnam and China, drawing protests from Hanoi (<a href = "http://www.wsj.com/articles/vietnam-claims-china-towed-oil-exploration-rig-into-disputed-waters-1453214761" target = "_blank">W... | None | Will China remove the HYSY 981 oil rig from disputed waters claimed by Vietnam before 1 April 2016? | 2016-02-02 | [["2016-02-02", 0.5], ["2016-02-02", 0.425], ["2016-02-02", 0.4], ["2016-02-02", 0.375], ["2016-02-02", 0.35], ["2016-02-02", 0.25], ["2016-02-02", 0.25], ["2016-02-02", 0.2], ["2016-02-02", 0.15], ["2016-02-02", 0.2], ["2016-02-02", 0.15], ["2016-02-02", 0.15], ["2016-02-02", 0.15], ["2016-02-02", 0.15], ["2016-02-02"... | ["https://twitter.com/fravel/status/690208795037925377", "http://nghiencuubiendong.vn/en/weekly-bulletin/1447-weekly-bulletin-2812-03012016", "http://www.adb.org/countries/viet-nam/economy", "https://www.google.com/maps/place/17%C2%B029'31.8%22N+110%C2%B057'10.8%22E/@17.7636939,106.495111,6z/data=!4m2!3m1!1s0x0... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2015-10-13 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/27 | Iran's Supreme Leader has ordered the Iranian Parliament -- the Islamic Consultative Assembly, or Majles -- to vote on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/04/world/middleeast/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-iran-supreme-leader-nuclear-deal-vote.html ). | 2015-10-13 | Will the Iranian Parliament approve the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action before 1 November 2015? | 2015-09-14 | [["2015-09-14", 0.65], ["2015-09-14", 0.5], ["2015-09-14", 0.65], ["2015-09-14", 0.65], ["2015-09-14", 0.775], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.775], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.775], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0.8], ["2015-09-15", 0... | ["http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=250028", "http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=249860", "http://www.rferl.mobi/a/iranian-parliament-approves-nuke-deal/27300338.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-34513363", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2015/10/four-ministers-warn-r... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/618 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.2], ["2017-09-29", 0.4], ["2017-09-30", 0.625], ["2017-10-01", 0.325], ["2017-10-01", 0.45], ["2017-10-01", 0.25], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.25], ["2017-10-02", 0.625], ["2017-10-02", 0.625], ["2017-10-03", 0.65], ["2017-10-03", 0.45], ["2017-10-... | ["https://www.sofx.com/2017/11/06/executed-741-civilians-mosul-battle-un-bbc-news/", "http://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2017/10/iraq-fresh-evidence-that-tens-of-thousands-forced-to-flee-tuz-khurmatu-amid-indiscriminate-attacks-lootings-and-arson/", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-kurds-khana... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-11-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/609 | At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of se... | 2018-03-14 | Will Iran execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017? | 2017-09-19 | [["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.625], ["2017-09-19", 0.125], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.075]... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/619415", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyber-hbo-indictment/u-s-prosecutors-charge-iranian-in-game-of-thrones-hack-idUSKBN1DL1YT", "http://l7.alamy.com/zooms/5f4451044af641f8985745d1fe7ce75d/teenage-girls-talking-on-telephone-in-bedroom-bxfff9.jpg", "https://www.iranhuma... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/94 | This question was closed as "No" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
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In 2012, Newsweek... | 2017-01-04 | Before 1 January 2017, will TIME magazine announce that they will no longer be publishing a weekly print edition in the US? | 2015-12-08 | [["2015-12-08", 0.01], ["2015-12-08", 0.01], ["2015-12-08", 0.01], ["2015-12-09", 0.06], ["2015-12-09", 0.18], ["2015-12-09", 0.1], ["2015-12-09", 0.105], ["2015-12-09", 0.1], ["2015-12-09", 0.13], ["2015-12-10", 0.17], ["2015-12-10", 0.17], ["2015-12-10", 0.17], ["2015-12-10", 0.16], ["2015-12-10", 0.22], ["2015-12-11... | ["http://nypost.com/2016/09/16/time-inc-names-new-exec-amid-companys-digital-push/", "http://www.foliomag.com/time-inc-quad-graphics-expand-printing-partnership/", "https://fortunedotcom.files.wordpress.com/2015/08/adrev-600x423.jpg?quality=80", "https://s3.amazonaws.com/lowres.cartoonstock.com/technology-obsolete-out_... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | 2017-11-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/606 | The question will resolve as "yes" if the <a href = "http://eventdata.parusanalytics.com/data.dir/atrocities.html"target="_blank">Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset</a> records any event with a start date (Start Day, Start Month, Start Year) in the period of interest, inclusive, for wh... | None | Will the PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a state actor in Iraq (IRQ) that starts between 1 October 2017 and 31 October 2017? | 2017-09-15 | [["2017-09-20", 0.35], ["2017-09-20", 0.17], ["2017-09-20", 0.31], ["2017-09-20", 0.725], ["2017-09-20", 0.625], ["2017-09-20", 0.25], ["2017-09-20", 0.25], ["2017-09-20", 0.285], ["2017-09-20", 0.17], ["2017-09-21", 0.185], ["2017-09-21", 0.185], ["2017-09-21", 0.05], ["2017-09-21", 0.05], ["2017-09-21", 0.035], ["201... | ["https://www.apnews.com/a4fd90bb573744729e6f82a58ecf6364", "https://www.stanford.edu/group/sjir/pdf/journalism_real_final_v2.pdf", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/10/19/sensationalized-news-is-fueling-tension-over-areas-disputed-between-iraqis-and-kurds/", "https://twitter.com/HaraldDoornbos/st... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2015-12-04 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/5 | The Export-Import Bank's authorization expired on 1 July, but proponents of the bank are working to get it re-authorized (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/01/business/international/though-charter-is-expiring-export-import-bank-will-keep-its-doors-open.html , http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/06/us/politics/us-export-import-... | 2015-12-07 | Will the Export-Import Bank of the United States be re-authorized before 1 January 2016? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-01", 0.375], ["2015-09-02", 0.6], ["2015-09-02", 0.425], ["2015-09-03", 0.425], ["2015-09-03", 0.6], ["2015-09-04", 0.475], ["2015-09-04", 0.6], ["2015-09-04", 0.6], ["2015-09-05", 0.6], ["2015-09-06", 0.6], ["2015-09-06", 0.61], ["2015-09-08", 0.6], ["2015-09-08", 0.6], ["2015-09-08", 0.605], ["2015-09-09",... | ["http://www.seattletimes.com/business/highway-bill-compromise-would-revive-export-import-bank/", "http://spacenews.com/ex-im-reauthorization-budget-deal-herald-a-hopefully-saner-u-s-congress/", "http://thehill.com/policy/transportation/260884-obama-signs-two-week-highway-bill", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comment... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-09-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/216 | This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 30 September 2016. A Spanish Minister had not won a vote of confidence as of that date and negotiations over government formation continued (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/03/world/europe/spain-socialists-sanchez-rajoy.html" target="_blank">NY ... | 2016-10-04 | Will a Spanish prime minister win a vote of confidence before 1 October 2016? | 2016-06-07 | [["2016-06-07", 1.0], ["2016-06-07", 0.775], ["2016-06-07", 0.45], ["2016-06-07", 0.45], ["2016-06-07", 0.425], ["2016-06-07", 0.475], ["2016-06-07", 0.55], ["2016-06-07", 0.635], ["2016-06-08", 0.67], ["2016-06-08", 0.635], ["2016-06-08", 0.59], ["2016-06-08", 0.55], ["2016-06-08", 0.55], ["2016-06-09", 0.55], ["2016-... | ["http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/09/04/483083/Spain-Mariano-Rajoy-attempts-formation-government-election", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/314958", "http://aa.com.tr/en/europe/messy-nomination-scandal-rocks-spain-s-ruling-party/644120", "http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/08/29/actualidad/1472463143_... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/633 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.09], ["2017-09-30", 0.09], ["2017-10-01", 0.295], ["2017-10-01", 0.07], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-0... | ["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-41708357", "https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/10/taliban-overruns-2-districts-in-southern-afghanistan.php", "https://unama.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/unama_protection_of_civilians_in_armed_conflict_quarterly_report_1_january_to_30_september_2017_-_english.pdf"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-12-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1051 | Whether the House of Commons will approve the Withdrawal Agreement of the United Kingdom from the European Union is object of a great deal of uncertainty and speculation (<a href = "https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887"target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/nov/28/eu-emergen... | 2018-12-17 | Before 15 December 2018, will the House of Commons approve the Withdrawal Agreement of the United Kingdom from the European Union? | 2018-11-30 | [["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.015], ["2018-11-30", 0.01], ["2018-11-30", 0.03], ["2018-11-30", 0.02], ["2018-11-30", 0.01], ["2018-11-30", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01",... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/621 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 0.03], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.085], ["2017-09-29", 0.09], ["2017-09-29", 0.015], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0... | ["https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/western-europemediterranean/turkey/turkey-s-pkk-conflict-death-toll", "https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/western-europemediterranean/turkey/turkeys-pkk-conflict-kills-almost-3000-two-years", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/14/world/europe/turkey-new-york-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1077 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.2], ["2018-12-28", 0.105], ["2018-12-28", 0.225], ["2018-12-29", 0.225], ["2018-12-29", 0.2], ["2018-12-29", 0.18], ["2018-12-31", 0.18], ["2018-12-31", 0.165], ["2018-12-31", 0.15], ["2019-01-01", 0.15], ["2019-01-02", 0.15], ["2019-01-02", 0.14], ["2019-01-03", 0.13], ["2019-01-03", 0.08], ["2019-01... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-11-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/900 | Sen. Claire McCaskill is seeking re-election to the United States Senate on 6 November 2018. Attorney General Josh Hawley currently leads the Republican field (<a href = "https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/mo/missouri_senate_hawley_vs_mccaskill-6280.html"target="_blank">Real Clear Politics</a>).
<s... | 2018-11-07 | Will Claire McCaskill (D-MO) be re-elected this November? | 2018-03-14 | [["2018-03-14", 0.35], ["2018-03-14", 0.55], ["2018-03-14", 0.275], ["2018-03-14", 0.3], ["2018-03-14", 0.55], ["2018-03-14", 0.6], ["2018-03-14", 0.6], ["2018-03-15", 0.65], ["2018-03-15", 0.7], ["2018-03-15", 0.7], ["2018-03-15", 0.7], ["2018-03-15", 0.7], ["2018-03-15", 0.6], ["2018-03-15", 0.65], ["2018-03-15", 0.6... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/624 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
| 2017-09-29 | [["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.15], ["2017-09-29", 0.075], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.025], ["2017-10-02", 0.175], ["2017-10-02"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
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Filtered and Sorted Resolved Cases
This query filters and displays detailed information about unresolved issues that were resolved after December 31, 2023, with various fields being non-null, and sorts them by their resolution date in descending order.