| { | |
| "generated_utc": "2026-04-30T12:16:00+00:00", | |
| "package_version": "nuclear_uap_hf_space_package_v0", | |
| "assessment": { | |
| "assessment_version": "nuclear_uap_explanatory_private_preview_v1", | |
| "population_explanation_strength_score": 78, | |
| "airport_confounder_strength_score": 90, | |
| "nuclear_non_support_strength_score": 95, | |
| "missing_geocode_handling": { | |
| "analysis_status": "completed", | |
| "total_us_rows": 123013, | |
| "missing_geocode_rows": 17783, | |
| "missing_geocode_share": 0.144562, | |
| "reason_bucket_counts": { | |
| "unmatched_place_name": 14584, | |
| "landmark_or_route_location": 1351, | |
| "compound_or_parenthetical_place": 1059, | |
| "county_level_location": 340, | |
| "relative_location_phrase": 270, | |
| "blank_city": 179 | |
| }, | |
| "generated_utc": "2026-04-29T01:25:15+00:00", | |
| "safe_handling": "Missing geocodes are not imputed into the spatial tests. They are counted and routed to explicit recovery paths." | |
| }, | |
| "what_we_can_claim": [ | |
| "The missing NUFORC-derived rows were not geocoded by assumption; they were excluded from spatial tests and logged for recovery.", | |
| "The public geocoded report rows can be compared against Census place population and commercial-airport proximity as explanatory covariates.", | |
| "At the place level, report counts can be assessed against population concentration without claiming reports are true or false.", | |
| "Airport proximity can be treated as a public-source confounder, not as proof that airplanes caused specific reports.", | |
| "The nuclear power-plant proximity claim remains unsupported in this evidence surface after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls." | |
| ], | |
| "what_we_cannot_claim": [ | |
| "This dataset cannot prove what witnesses saw.", | |
| "This dataset cannot claim aircraft explain every report.", | |
| "This dataset cannot treat city/place centroids as exact sighting coordinates.", | |
| "This dataset cannot rule out all nuclear-weapons, military, or classified-site hypotheses.", | |
| "This dataset cannot assume the skipped missing-geocode rows would preserve or reverse the result without a separate recovery run." | |
| ], | |
| "safe_claim_language_passes": true, | |
| "plain_english_assessment": "The better explanation surface is population/reporting geography plus ordinary aviation proximity, while the nuclear-specific proximity claim remains unsupported after controls." | |
| }, | |
| "population_summary": { | |
| "event_count": 105250, | |
| "matched_population_event_count": 105086, | |
| "matched_population_event_share": 0.998442, | |
| "unique_event_places": 13660, | |
| "census_place_count": 31805, | |
| "population_bin_event_distribution": { | |
| "10k_50k": { | |
| "event_count": 28759, | |
| "event_share": 0.273245 | |
| }, | |
| "lt_10k": { | |
| "event_count": 29671, | |
| "event_share": 0.28191 | |
| }, | |
| "50k_250k": { | |
| "event_count": 28951, | |
| "event_share": 0.275069 | |
| }, | |
| "gte_1m": { | |
| "event_count": 4635, | |
| "event_share": 0.044038 | |
| }, | |
| "250k_1m": { | |
| "event_count": 13070, | |
| "event_share": 0.124181 | |
| }, | |
| "unknown_population": { | |
| "event_count": 164, | |
| "event_share": 0.001558 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "log_population_log_event_count_pearson": 0.641288, | |
| "top_10pct_places_by_population_event_share": 0.668548, | |
| "top_10pct_places_by_population_population_share": 0.775352, | |
| "top_places_by_event_count": [ | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "New York city", | |
| "state": "NY", | |
| "population": 8804190, | |
| "event_count": 858, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 9.745 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Phoenix city", | |
| "state": "AZ", | |
| "population": 1608139, | |
| "event_count": 781, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 48.565 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Seattle city", | |
| "state": "WA", | |
| "population": 737015, | |
| "event_count": 774, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 105.018 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Las Vegas city", | |
| "state": "NV", | |
| "population": 641903, | |
| "event_count": 658, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 102.508 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Portland city", | |
| "state": "OR", | |
| "population": 652503, | |
| "event_count": 580, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 88.888 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Los Angeles city", | |
| "state": "CA", | |
| "population": 3898747, | |
| "event_count": 572, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 14.671 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "San Diego city", | |
| "state": "CA", | |
| "population": 1386932, | |
| "event_count": 553, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 39.872 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Chicago city", | |
| "state": "IL", | |
| "population": 2746388, | |
| "event_count": 443, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 16.13 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Tucson city", | |
| "state": "AZ", | |
| "population": 542629, | |
| "event_count": 441, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 81.271 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Houston city", | |
| "state": "TX", | |
| "population": 2304580, | |
| "event_count": 429, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 18.615 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Albuquerque city", | |
| "state": "NM", | |
| "population": 564559, | |
| "event_count": 390, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 69.08 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Orlando city", | |
| "state": "FL", | |
| "population": 307573, | |
| "event_count": 383, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 124.523 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Miami city", | |
| "state": "FL", | |
| "population": 442241, | |
| "event_count": 356, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 80.499 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Austin city", | |
| "state": "TX", | |
| "population": 961855, | |
| "event_count": 336, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 34.933 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Denver city", | |
| "state": "CO", | |
| "population": 715522, | |
| "event_count": 330, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 46.12 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Sacramento city", | |
| "state": "CA", | |
| "population": 524943, | |
| "event_count": 314, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 59.816 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Myrtle Beach city", | |
| "state": "SC", | |
| "population": 35682, | |
| "event_count": 298, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 835.155 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "San Jose city", | |
| "state": "CA", | |
| "population": 1013240, | |
| "event_count": 283, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 27.93 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "San Antonio city", | |
| "state": "TX", | |
| "population": 1434625, | |
| "event_count": 274, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 19.099 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "St. Louis city", | |
| "state": "MO", | |
| "population": 301578, | |
| "event_count": 273, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 90.524 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Colorado Springs city", | |
| "state": "CO", | |
| "population": 478961, | |
| "event_count": 271, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 56.581 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Jacksonville city", | |
| "state": "FL", | |
| "population": 949611, | |
| "event_count": 261, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 27.485 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Columbus city", | |
| "state": "OH", | |
| "population": 905748, | |
| "event_count": 260, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 28.706 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Indianapolis city (balance)", | |
| "state": "IN", | |
| "population": 887642, | |
| "event_count": 256, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 28.84 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "San Francisco city", | |
| "state": "CA", | |
| "population": 873965, | |
| "event_count": 250, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 28.605 | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "top_places_by_per_capita_rate_min_10_events": [ | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Newburgh town", | |
| "state": "IN", | |
| "population": 3344, | |
| "event_count": 84, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 2511.962 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Norris City village", | |
| "state": "IL", | |
| "population": 1145, | |
| "event_count": 27, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 2358.079 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Gila Bend town", | |
| "state": "AZ", | |
| "population": 1892, | |
| "event_count": 37, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1955.603 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Garrettsville village", | |
| "state": "OH", | |
| "population": 2449, | |
| "event_count": 43, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1755.819 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Woodbine city", | |
| "state": "GA", | |
| "population": 1062, | |
| "event_count": 17, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1600.753 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Payson village", | |
| "state": "IL", | |
| "population": 1025, | |
| "event_count": 16, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1560.976 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Lake George village", | |
| "state": "NY", | |
| "population": 1008, | |
| "event_count": 14, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1388.889 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Star Valley town", | |
| "state": "AZ", | |
| "population": 2484, | |
| "event_count": 33, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1328.502 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Quincy CDP", | |
| "state": "CA", | |
| "population": 1630, | |
| "event_count": 19, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1165.644 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Santa Claus town", | |
| "state": "IN", | |
| "population": 2586, | |
| "event_count": 30, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1160.093 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "North Pole city", | |
| "state": "AK", | |
| "population": 2243, | |
| "event_count": 25, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1114.579 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Surfside Beach town", | |
| "state": "SC", | |
| "population": 4155, | |
| "event_count": 46, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1107.1 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Keaau CDP", | |
| "state": "HI", | |
| "population": 1195, | |
| "event_count": 13, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1087.866 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Rehoboth Beach city", | |
| "state": "DE", | |
| "population": 1108, | |
| "event_count": 12, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1083.032 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Davenport city", | |
| "state": "WA", | |
| "population": 1703, | |
| "event_count": 18, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1056.958 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Langhorne borough", | |
| "state": "PA", | |
| "population": 1643, | |
| "event_count": 17, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 1034.693 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Sedona city", | |
| "state": "AZ", | |
| "population": 9684, | |
| "event_count": 96, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 991.326 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Burnsville town", | |
| "state": "NC", | |
| "population": 1614, | |
| "event_count": 16, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 991.326 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Pine Bush CDP", | |
| "state": "NY", | |
| "population": 1751, | |
| "event_count": 16, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 913.764 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Tonasket city", | |
| "state": "WA", | |
| "population": 1103, | |
| "event_count": 10, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 906.618 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Wendover city", | |
| "state": "UT", | |
| "population": 1115, | |
| "event_count": 10, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 896.861 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Langley city", | |
| "state": "WA", | |
| "population": 1147, | |
| "event_count": 10, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 871.84 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Nags Head town", | |
| "state": "NC", | |
| "population": 3168, | |
| "event_count": 27, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 852.273 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Liverpool village", | |
| "state": "NY", | |
| "population": 2242, | |
| "event_count": 19, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 847.458 | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "place_name": "Newtown borough", | |
| "state": "CT", | |
| "population": 1914, | |
| "event_count": 16, | |
| "events_per_100k_population": 835.946 | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "airport_summary": { | |
| "major_airport_count": 504, | |
| "event_nearest_major_airport_distance_median_miles": 13.277, | |
| "event_nearest_major_airport_distance_p90_miles": 41.701, | |
| "population_weighted_nearest_major_airport_distance_median_miles": 10.764, | |
| "event_share_within_10_miles_major_airport": 0.3838, | |
| "population_weighted_share_within_10_miles_major_airport": 0.468384, | |
| "event_vs_population_lift_within_10_miles_major_airport": 0.819413, | |
| "event_share_within_25_miles_major_airport": 0.736105, | |
| "population_weighted_share_within_25_miles_major_airport": 0.819608, | |
| "event_vs_population_lift_within_25_miles_major_airport": 0.898117, | |
| "event_share_within_50_miles_major_airport": 0.94172, | |
| "population_weighted_share_within_50_miles_major_airport": 0.961939, | |
| "event_vs_population_lift_within_50_miles_major_airport": 0.978981 | |
| }, | |
| "missing_geocode_summary": { | |
| "analysis_status": "completed", | |
| "total_us_rows": 123013, | |
| "missing_geocode_rows": 17783, | |
| "missing_geocode_share": 0.144562, | |
| "reason_bucket_counts": { | |
| "unmatched_place_name": 14584, | |
| "landmark_or_route_location": 1351, | |
| "compound_or_parenthetical_place": 1059, | |
| "county_level_location": 340, | |
| "relative_location_phrase": 270, | |
| "blank_city": 179 | |
| }, | |
| "generated_utc": "2026-04-29T01:25:15+00:00", | |
| "safe_handling": "Missing geocodes are not imputed into the spatial tests. They are counted and routed to explicit recovery paths." | |
| }, | |
| "nuclear_statistical_tests": { | |
| "statistical_tests_version": "nuclear_uap_correlation_index_private_preview_v1:statistical_tests", | |
| "uap_event_count": 105250, | |
| "nuclear_site_count": 57, | |
| "control_site_count": 285, | |
| "near_any_nuclear_event_counts": { | |
| "25": 8023, | |
| "50": 27781, | |
| "100": 52567 | |
| }, | |
| "tests_by_radius": { | |
| "25": { | |
| "radius_miles": 25, | |
| "nuclear_site_count": 57, | |
| "control_site_count": 285, | |
| "nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 156.2105, | |
| "control_mean_reports_per_site": 268.0561, | |
| "nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.582753, | |
| "nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 118, | |
| "control_median_reports_per_site": 117, | |
| "observed_mean_difference": -111.845614, | |
| "p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.994006, | |
| "p_value_two_sided": 0.024975, | |
| "permutations": 1000, | |
| "seed": 1337 | |
| }, | |
| "50": { | |
| "radius_miles": 50, | |
| "nuclear_site_count": 57, | |
| "control_site_count": 285, | |
| "nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 649.9825, | |
| "control_mean_reports_per_site": 763.0491, | |
| "nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.851823, | |
| "nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 446, | |
| "control_median_reports_per_site": 452, | |
| "observed_mean_difference": -113.066667, | |
| "p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.85015, | |
| "p_value_two_sided": 0.290709, | |
| "permutations": 1000, | |
| "seed": 1337 | |
| }, | |
| "100": { | |
| "radius_miles": 100, | |
| "nuclear_site_count": 57, | |
| "control_site_count": 285, | |
| "nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 2062.7018, | |
| "control_mean_reports_per_site": 2125.4667, | |
| "nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.97047, | |
| "nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 1593, | |
| "control_median_reports_per_site": 1617, | |
| "observed_mean_difference": -62.764912, | |
| "p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.611389, | |
| "p_value_two_sided": 0.752248, | |
| "permutations": 1000, | |
| "seed": 1337 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "primary_test_radius_miles": 50, | |
| "resolution_status": "not_supported_after_matched_power_plant_controls", | |
| "assessment_confidence": "high", | |
| "recommended_plain_english": "The public geocoded report rows do not show a nuclear-specific proximity signal after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls in the primary 50-mile test.", | |
| "what_we_can_claim": [ | |
| "This run tests whether public geocoded UFO-report mirror rows are closer to geolocated nuclear power-plant sites than to matched non-nuclear power-plant controls.", | |
| "The primary assessment is spatial and comparative; it is not a causal test." | |
| ], | |
| "what_we_cannot_claim": [ | |
| "This run cannot claim nuclear activity attracts UAP or UFO reports.", | |
| "This run cannot evaluate classified military or weapons-site activity unless those sites are represented by public geocoded source rows.", | |
| "City-level report geocoding introduces location uncertainty and should not be treated as eyewitness-level coordinates." | |
| ], | |
| "statistical_tests_hash": "4d32a1462acc66128ec60c3a39e3cfafcf02ed2223d29ee83810a460021a55fc", | |
| "public_infrastructure_layers": { | |
| "layer_stats_version": "nuclear_uap_correlation_index_private_preview_v1:public_infrastructure_layers", | |
| "layer_reports": { | |
| "public_military_installation": { | |
| "label": "Public military installations", | |
| "site_count": 815, | |
| "event_count": 105250, | |
| "near_any_counts": { | |
| "25": 68840, | |
| "50": 91139, | |
| "100": 103093 | |
| }, | |
| "event_share_within_50_miles": 0.865929, | |
| "mean_reports_per_site_50_miles": 552.0736, | |
| "interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only" | |
| }, | |
| "public_nuclear_security_enterprise": { | |
| "label": "Public NNSA / nuclear-security-enterprise sites", | |
| "site_count": 8, | |
| "event_count": 105250, | |
| "near_any_counts": { | |
| "25": 2298, | |
| "50": 4496, | |
| "100": 9207 | |
| }, | |
| "event_share_within_50_miles": 0.042717, | |
| "mean_reports_per_site_50_miles": 504.375, | |
| "interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only" | |
| }, | |
| "public_strategic_delivery_installation": { | |
| "label": "Public strategic delivery installations identified inside the military layer", | |
| "site_count": 10, | |
| "event_count": 105250, | |
| "near_any_counts": { | |
| "25": 2781, | |
| "50": 5325, | |
| "100": 9402 | |
| }, | |
| "event_share_within_50_miles": 0.050594, | |
| "rows_with_nearest_or_nearby_signal": 105250, | |
| "interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only" | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "what_we_can_claim": [ | |
| "This layer measures public report proximity to public-source military-installation and NNSA site anchors.", | |
| "The public military layer is official NTAD geometry; the public NNSA layer is official location text anchored to Census place centroids or source-backed public coordinates." | |
| ], | |
| "what_we_cannot_claim": [ | |
| "This layer does not identify classified activity, weapons storage, operational status, or causation.", | |
| "The public NNSA layer uses place centroids or public coordinate anchors, not exact facility boundaries.", | |
| "Descriptive proximity to military infrastructure is not a matched-control causal or attraction test." | |
| ], | |
| "layer_stats_hash": "cfb6f58a4139401263226f472daa9003eef79c0103405574b6d54571cb1736d6" | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "public_infrastructure_layers": { | |
| "layer_stats_version": "nuclear_uap_correlation_index_private_preview_v1:public_infrastructure_layers", | |
| "layer_reports": { | |
| "public_military_installation": { | |
| "label": "Public military installations", | |
| "site_count": 815, | |
| "event_count": 105250, | |
| "near_any_counts": { | |
| "25": 68840, | |
| "50": 91139, | |
| "100": 103093 | |
| }, | |
| "event_share_within_50_miles": 0.865929, | |
| "mean_reports_per_site_50_miles": 552.0736, | |
| "interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only" | |
| }, | |
| "public_nuclear_security_enterprise": { | |
| "label": "Public NNSA / nuclear-security-enterprise sites", | |
| "site_count": 8, | |
| "event_count": 105250, | |
| "near_any_counts": { | |
| "25": 2298, | |
| "50": 4496, | |
| "100": 9207 | |
| }, | |
| "event_share_within_50_miles": 0.042717, | |
| "mean_reports_per_site_50_miles": 504.375, | |
| "interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only" | |
| }, | |
| "public_strategic_delivery_installation": { | |
| "label": "Public strategic delivery installations identified inside the military layer", | |
| "site_count": 10, | |
| "event_count": 105250, | |
| "near_any_counts": { | |
| "25": 2781, | |
| "50": 5325, | |
| "100": 9402 | |
| }, | |
| "event_share_within_50_miles": 0.050594, | |
| "rows_with_nearest_or_nearby_signal": 105250, | |
| "interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only" | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "what_we_can_claim": [ | |
| "This layer measures public report proximity to public-source military-installation and NNSA site anchors.", | |
| "The public military layer is official NTAD geometry; the public NNSA layer is official location text anchored to Census place centroids or source-backed public coordinates." | |
| ], | |
| "what_we_cannot_claim": [ | |
| "This layer does not identify classified activity, weapons storage, operational status, or causation.", | |
| "The public NNSA layer uses place centroids or public coordinate anchors, not exact facility boundaries.", | |
| "Descriptive proximity to military infrastructure is not a matched-control causal or attraction test." | |
| ], | |
| "layer_stats_hash": "cfb6f58a4139401263226f472daa9003eef79c0103405574b6d54571cb1736d6" | |
| }, | |
| "plain_language": { | |
| "what_it_is": "A public-source evidence surface for testing whether public UAP/UFO report rows cluster around nuclear power plants after simple controls, with descriptive public military/NNSA proximity layers.", | |
| "what_it_is_not": "It is not a claim that reports are true, false, alien, aircraft, coordinated, or caused by any one factor.", | |
| "headline_finding": "In this evidence surface, public geocoded report rows do not show a nuclear-specific proximity signal after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls.", | |
| "best_supported_explanation": "Population/reporting geography is a strong observable factor; major-airport proximity appears mostly consistent with where people live." | |
| } | |
| } |