| { | |
| "assessment_version": "nuclear_uap_explanatory_private_preview_v1", | |
| "population_explanation_strength_score": 78, | |
| "airport_confounder_strength_score": 90, | |
| "nuclear_non_support_strength_score": 95, | |
| "missing_geocode_handling": { | |
| "analysis_status": "completed", | |
| "total_us_rows": 123013, | |
| "missing_geocode_rows": 17783, | |
| "missing_geocode_share": 0.144562, | |
| "reason_bucket_counts": { | |
| "unmatched_place_name": 14584, | |
| "landmark_or_route_location": 1351, | |
| "compound_or_parenthetical_place": 1059, | |
| "county_level_location": 340, | |
| "relative_location_phrase": 270, | |
| "blank_city": 179 | |
| }, | |
| "generated_utc": "2026-04-29T01:25:15+00:00", | |
| "safe_handling": "Missing geocodes are not imputed into the spatial tests. They are counted and routed to explicit recovery paths." | |
| }, | |
| "what_we_can_claim": [ | |
| "The missing NUFORC-derived rows were not geocoded by assumption; they were excluded from spatial tests and logged for recovery.", | |
| "The public geocoded report rows can be compared against Census place population and commercial-airport proximity as explanatory covariates.", | |
| "At the place level, report counts can be assessed against population concentration without claiming reports are true or false.", | |
| "Airport proximity can be treated as a public-source confounder, not as proof that airplanes caused specific reports.", | |
| "The nuclear power-plant proximity claim remains unsupported in this evidence surface after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls." | |
| ], | |
| "what_we_cannot_claim": [ | |
| "This dataset cannot prove what witnesses saw.", | |
| "This dataset cannot claim aircraft explain every report.", | |
| "This dataset cannot treat city/place centroids as exact sighting coordinates.", | |
| "This dataset cannot rule out all nuclear-weapons, military, or classified-site hypotheses.", | |
| "This dataset cannot assume the skipped missing-geocode rows would preserve or reverse the result without a separate recovery run." | |
| ], | |
| "safe_claim_language_passes": true, | |
| "plain_english_assessment": "The better explanation surface is population/reporting geography plus ordinary aviation proximity, while the nuclear-specific proximity claim remains unsupported after controls." | |
| } |