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import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import json
import io
from PIL import Image
# ============================================================================
# PAK System Configuration and Constants
# ============================================================================
PAK_EFFICACY = 0.92 # 92% infestation reduction
CURRENT_IPM_EFFICACY = 0.70 # 70% average for Triple IPM
PAK_COST_PER_HA = 95 # S$ per hectare
CURRENT_IPM_COST_PER_HA = 150 # S$ per hectare
PAK_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA = 8 # hours per hectare
CURRENT_IPM_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA = 16 # hours per hectare
LABOR_COST_PER_HOUR = 5 # S$ per hour
BASELINE_INFESTATION_RATE = 0.41 # 41% baseline infestation
YIELD_PER_HA_BASELINE = 1200 # kg per hectare
COFFEE_PRICE_PER_KG = 2.50 # S$ per kg
# ============================================================================
# Core Calculation Functions
# ============================================================================
def calculate_infestation_rate(baseline_rate, efficacy):
"""Calculate resulting infestation rate after treatment."""
return baseline_rate * (1 - efficacy)
def calculate_yield_impact(baseline_yield, infestation_reduction):
"""
Calculate yield improvement based on infestation reduction.
Assumes 2% yield loss per 1% infestation rate.
"""
yield_loss_per_infestation = 0.02
yield_improvement = baseline_yield * infestation_reduction * yield_loss_per_infestation
return baseline_yield + yield_improvement
def calculate_costs(farm_size_ha, use_pak=True):
"""Calculate total costs for pest management."""
if use_pak:
material_cost = farm_size_ha * PAK_COST_PER_HA
labor_cost = farm_size_ha * PAK_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA * LABOR_COST_PER_HOUR
else:
material_cost = farm_size_ha * CURRENT_IPM_COST_PER_HA
labor_cost = farm_size_ha * CURRENT_IPM_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA * LABOR_COST_PER_HOUR
total_cost = material_cost + labor_cost
return {
'material_cost': material_cost,
'labor_cost': labor_cost,
'total_cost': total_cost
}
def calculate_roi(farm_size_ha, years=1):
"""Calculate Return on Investment for PAK System vs Current IPM."""
# Current IPM scenario
current_infestation = calculate_infestation_rate(BASELINE_INFESTATION_RATE, CURRENT_IPM_EFFICACY)
current_yield = calculate_yield_impact(YIELD_PER_HA_BASELINE,
CURRENT_IPM_EFFICACY * BASELINE_INFESTATION_RATE)
current_revenue = farm_size_ha * current_yield * COFFEE_PRICE_PER_KG
current_costs = calculate_costs(farm_size_ha, use_pak=False)['total_cost']
current_profit = current_revenue - current_costs
# PAK System scenario
pak_infestation = calculate_infestation_rate(BASELINE_INFESTATION_RATE, PAK_EFFICACY)
pak_yield = calculate_yield_impact(YIELD_PER_HA_BASELINE,
PAK_EFFICACY * BASELINE_INFESTATION_RATE)
pak_revenue = farm_size_ha * pak_yield * COFFEE_PRICE_PER_KG
pak_costs = calculate_costs(farm_size_ha, use_pak=True)['total_cost']
pak_profit = pak_revenue - pak_costs
# ROI Calculation
profit_improvement = pak_profit - current_profit
cost_savings = current_costs - pak_costs
roi_percentage = (profit_improvement / current_costs) * 100 if current_costs > 0 else 0
return {
'current_infestation': current_infestation,
'pak_infestation': pak_infestation,
'current_yield': current_yield,
'pak_yield': pak_yield,
'current_revenue': current_revenue,
'pak_revenue': pak_revenue,
'current_costs': current_costs,
'pak_costs': pak_costs,
'current_profit': current_profit,
'pak_profit': pak_profit,
'profit_improvement': profit_improvement,
'cost_savings': cost_savings,
'roi_percentage': roi_percentage,
'payback_period_months': (pak_costs / (profit_improvement / 12)) if profit_improvement > 0 else float('inf')
}
def generate_comparison_chart(farm_size_ha):
"""Generate comparison charts for PAK vs Current IPM."""
roi_data = calculate_roi(farm_size_ha)
fig, axes = plt.subplots(2, 2, figsize=(14, 10))
fig.suptitle(f'PAK System vs Current IPM - {farm_size_ha} hectares', fontsize=16, fontweight='bold')
# Infestation Rate Comparison
ax1 = axes[0, 0]
methods = ['Current IPM', 'PAK System']
infestation_rates = [roi_data['current_infestation'] * 100, roi_data['pak_infestation'] * 100]
colors = ['#C85A3C', '#7A9E3F']
bars1 = ax1.bar(methods, infestation_rates, color=colors, alpha=0.8, edgecolor='black', linewidth=1.5)
ax1.set_ylabel('Infestation Rate (%)', fontweight='bold')
ax1.set_title('Infestation Rate Comparison', fontweight='bold')
ax1.set_ylim(0, 50)
for bar, rate in zip(bars1, infestation_rates):
height = bar.get_height()
ax1.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2., height,
f'{rate:.1f}%', ha='center', va='bottom', fontweight='bold')
# Yield Comparison
ax2 = axes[0, 1]
yields = [roi_data['current_yield'], roi_data['pak_yield']]
bars2 = ax2.bar(methods, yields, color=colors, alpha=0.8, edgecolor='black', linewidth=1.5)
ax2.set_ylabel('Yield (kg/ha)', fontweight='bold')
ax2.set_title('Yield Comparison', fontweight='bold')
ax2.set_ylim(0, max(yields) * 1.2)
for bar, yield_val in zip(bars2, yields):
height = bar.get_height()
ax2.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2., height,
f'{yield_val:.0f}', ha='center', va='bottom', fontweight='bold')
# Cost Comparison
ax3 = axes[1, 0]
costs = [roi_data['current_costs'], roi_data['pak_costs']]
bars3 = ax3.bar(methods, costs, color=colors, alpha=0.8, edgecolor='black', linewidth=1.5)
ax3.set_ylabel('Total Cost (S$)', fontweight='bold')
ax3.set_title('Annual Cost Comparison', fontweight='bold')
ax3.set_ylim(0, max(costs) * 1.2)
for bar, cost in zip(bars3, costs):
height = bar.get_height()
ax3.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2., height,
f'S${cost:.0f}', ha='center', va='bottom', fontweight='bold')
# Profit Comparison
ax4 = axes[1, 1]
profits = [roi_data['current_profit'], roi_data['pak_profit']]
bars4 = ax4.bar(methods, profits, color=colors, alpha=0.8, edgecolor='black', linewidth=1.5)
ax4.set_ylabel('Annual Profit (S$)', fontweight='bold')
ax4.set_title('Annual Profit Comparison', fontweight='bold')
ax4.set_ylim(0, max(profits) * 1.2)
for bar, profit in zip(bars4, profits):
height = bar.get_height()
ax4.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2., height,
f'S${profit:.0f}', ha='center', va='bottom', fontweight='bold')
plt.tight_layout()
return fig
def generate_timeline_projection(farm_size_ha, years=5):
"""Generate 5-year financial projection."""
years_range = np.arange(0, years + 1)
current_profits = []
pak_profits = []
for year in years_range:
roi = calculate_roi(farm_size_ha)
current_profits.append(roi['current_profit'] * year)
pak_profits.append(roi['pak_profit'] * year)
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 6))
ax.plot(years_range, current_profits, marker='o', linewidth=2.5, markersize=8,
label='Current IPM', color='#C85A3C')
ax.plot(years_range, pak_profits, marker='s', linewidth=2.5, markersize=8,
label='PAK System', color='#7A9E3F')
ax.set_xlabel('Years', fontweight='bold', fontsize=12)
ax.set_ylabel('Cumulative Profit (S$)', fontweight='bold', fontsize=12)
ax.set_title(f'5-Year Financial Projection - {farm_size_ha} hectares', fontweight='bold', fontsize=14)
ax.legend(fontsize=11, loc='upper left')
ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3)
# Format y-axis as currency
ax.yaxis.set_major_formatter(plt.FuncFormatter(lambda x, p: f'S${x/1000:.0f}K'))
plt.tight_layout()
return fig
# ============================================================================
# Gradio Interface Functions
# ============================================================================
def analyze_farm(farm_size_ha, baseline_infestation=41):
"""Main analysis function for farm-level ROI calculation."""
if farm_size_ha <= 0:
return "Error: Farm size must be greater than 0", None, None
roi_data = calculate_roi(farm_size_ha)
# Generate summary report
summary = f"""
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
β PAK SYSTEM ROI ANALYSIS - {farm_size_ha} HECTARES
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
INFESTATION CONTROL
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Current IPM Infestation Rate: {roi_data['current_infestation']*100:.1f}%
PAK System Infestation Rate: {roi_data['pak_infestation']*100:.1f}%
Improvement: {(roi_data['current_infestation'] - roi_data['pak_infestation'])*100:.1f}%
YIELD IMPACT
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Current IPM Yield: {roi_data['current_yield']:.0f} kg/ha
PAK System Yield: {roi_data['pak_yield']:.0f} kg/ha
Additional Yield: {roi_data['pak_yield'] - roi_data['current_yield']:.0f} kg/ha
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS (Annual)
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Current IPM:
β’ Total Cost: S${roi_data['current_costs']:,.0f}
β’ Revenue: S${roi_data['current_revenue']:,.0f}
β’ Profit: S${roi_data['current_profit']:,.0f}
PAK System:
β’ Total Cost: S${roi_data['pak_costs']:,.0f}
β’ Revenue: S${roi_data['pak_revenue']:,.0f}
β’ Profit: S${roi_data['pak_profit']:,.0f}
RETURN ON INVESTMENT
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Annual Profit Improvement: S${roi_data['profit_improvement']:,.0f}
Annual Cost Savings: S${roi_data['cost_savings']:,.0f}
ROI Percentage: {roi_data['roi_percentage']:.1f}%
Payback Period: {roi_data['payback_period_months']:.1f} months
5-YEAR PROJECTION
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Current IPM Total Profit (5 years): S${roi_data['current_profit']*5:,.0f}
PAK System Total Profit (5 years): S${roi_data['pak_profit']*5:,.0f}
Additional Profit (5 years): S${(roi_data['pak_profit'] - roi_data['current_profit'])*5:,.0f}
"""
comparison_chart = generate_comparison_chart(farm_size_ha)
timeline_chart = generate_timeline_projection(farm_size_ha, years=5)
return summary, comparison_chart, timeline_chart
def network_analysis(total_farmers, avg_farm_size_ha):
"""Analyze PAK System impact across farmer network."""
if total_farmers <= 0 or avg_farm_size_ha <= 0:
return "Error: Please enter valid values", None
total_hectares = total_farmers * avg_farm_size_ha
roi_data = calculate_roi(total_hectares)
summary = f"""
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
β NETWORK-LEVEL PAK SYSTEM IMPACT ANALYSIS
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
NETWORK SCALE
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Total Farmers: {total_farmers:,}
Average Farm Size: {avg_farm_size_ha} hectares
Total Network Area: {total_hectares:,} hectares
AGGREGATE ANNUAL IMPACT
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Total Cost Savings: S${roi_data['cost_savings']:,.0f}
Total Profit Improvement: S${roi_data['profit_improvement']:,.0f}
Total Additional Yield: {(roi_data['pak_yield'] - roi_data['current_yield']) * total_hectares:,.0f} kg
PER-FARMER ANNUAL IMPACT
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Cost Savings per Farmer: S${roi_data['cost_savings']/total_farmers:,.0f}
Profit Improvement per Farmer: S${roi_data['profit_improvement']/total_farmers:,.0f}
Additional Income per Farmer: S${(roi_data['profit_improvement']/total_farmers):,.0f}
SUSTAINABILITY METRICS
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Synthetic Pesticide Elimination: 100%
Labor Reduction: 50%+
Organic Certification Compliance: 100%
Biodiversity Impact: Positive (no harm to beneficial insects)
5-YEAR NETWORK PROJECTION
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Total Additional Income (5 years): S${(roi_data['profit_improvement'] - roi_data['cost_savings'])*5:,.0f}
Cumulative Farmers Benefited: {total_farmers:,}
Estimated Yield Increase (5 years): {(roi_data['pak_yield'] - roi_data['current_yield']) * total_hectares * 5:,.0f} kg
"""
# Create network visualization
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(14, 6))
fig.suptitle(f'Network Impact: {total_farmers:,} Farmers, {total_hectares:,} hectares',
fontsize=14, fontweight='bold')
# Cost savings breakdown
ax1 = axes[0]
categories = ['Material\nCosts', 'Labor\nCosts']
current_material = (total_hectares * CURRENT_IPM_COST_PER_HA)
current_labor = (total_hectares * CURRENT_IPM_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA * LABOR_COST_PER_HOUR)
pak_material = (total_hectares * PAK_COST_PER_HA)
pak_labor = (total_hectares * PAK_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA * LABOR_COST_PER_HOUR)
x = np.arange(len(categories))
width = 0.35
bars1 = ax1.bar(x - width/2, [current_material, current_labor], width,
label='Current IPM', color='#C85A3C', alpha=0.8, edgecolor='black')
bars2 = ax1.bar(x + width/2, [pak_material, pak_labor], width,
label='PAK System', color='#7A9E3F', alpha=0.8, edgecolor='black')
ax1.set_ylabel('Annual Cost (S$)', fontweight='bold')
ax1.set_title('Cost Breakdown Comparison', fontweight='bold')
ax1.set_xticks(x)
ax1.set_xticklabels(categories)
ax1.legend()
ax1.yaxis.set_major_formatter(plt.FuncFormatter(lambda x, p: f'S${x/1000:.0f}K'))
# Profit distribution
ax2 = axes[1]
profit_data = [roi_data['current_profit'], roi_data['pak_profit']]
colors = ['#C85A3C', '#7A9E3F']
bars = ax2.bar(['Current IPM', 'PAK System'], profit_data, color=colors, alpha=0.8, edgecolor='black')
ax2.set_ylabel('Annual Profit (S$)', fontweight='bold')
ax2.set_title('Network Annual Profit', fontweight='bold')
ax2.yaxis.set_major_formatter(plt.FuncFormatter(lambda x, p: f'S${x/1000:.0f}K'))
for bar, profit in zip(bars, profit_data):
height = bar.get_height()
ax2.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2., height,
f'S${profit/1000:.0f}K', ha='center', va='bottom', fontweight='bold')
plt.tight_layout()
return summary, fig
def generate_detailed_report(farm_size_ha, years=5):
"""Generate comprehensive PDF-ready report."""
roi_data = calculate_roi(farm_size_ha)
report = f"""
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
PRECISION ATTRACT-AND-KILL (PAK) SYSTEM
DETAILED FEASIBILITY REPORT
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
The Precision Attract-and-Kill System represents a transformative approach to
Coffee Berry Borer management. This report analyzes the technical, financial,
and operational feasibility of implementing the PAK System on a {farm_size_ha}-hectare
farm or network.
KEY FINDINGS:
β’ Infestation Reduction: {roi_data['current_infestation']*100:.1f}% β {roi_data['pak_infestation']*100:.1f}% ({(roi_data['current_infestation'] - roi_data['pak_infestation'])*100:.1f}% improvement)
β’ Annual Cost Savings: S${roi_data['cost_savings']:,.0f}
β’ Annual Profit Improvement: S${roi_data['profit_improvement']:,.0f}
β’ ROI: {roi_data['roi_percentage']:.1f}%
β’ Payback Period: {roi_data['payback_period_months']:.1f} months
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Active Ingredients:
β’ Semiochemical Lure: Optimized blend of CBB aggregation pheromone and host volatiles
β’ Biological Agent: Beauveria bassiana (entomopathogenic fungus)
β’ Formulation: Micro-encapsulated paste/gel for weather resistance
Application Methods:
β’ Drone/UAV: Automated spot-spraying for estates and farmer clusters
β’ Backpack Sprayer: Semi-automated application for individual smallholders
β’ Application Frequency: 2-3 times per season during peak CBB activity
Safety & Compliance:
β’ Organic Certification: Fully compliant (Rainforest Alliance, 4C, etc.)
β’ Environmental Impact: No harm to pollinators or beneficial insects
β’ Biodiversity: Supports regenerative agriculture practices
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
YEAR 1 ANALYSIS ({farm_size_ha} hectares):
Current IPM Approach:
Material Costs: S${farm_size_ha * CURRENT_IPM_COST_PER_HA:,.0f}
Labor Costs: S${farm_size_ha * CURRENT_IPM_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA * LABOR_COST_PER_HOUR:,.0f}
Total Costs: S${roi_data['current_costs']:,.0f}
Gross Revenue: S${roi_data['current_revenue']:,.0f}
Net Profit: S${roi_data['current_profit']:,.0f}
PAK System Approach:
Material Costs: S${farm_size_ha * PAK_COST_PER_HA:,.0f}
Labor Costs: S${farm_size_ha * PAK_LABOR_HOURS_PER_HA * LABOR_COST_PER_HOUR:,.0f}
Total Costs: S${roi_data['pak_costs']:,.0f}
Gross Revenue: S${roi_data['pak_revenue']:,.0f}
Net Profit: S${roi_data['pak_profit']:,.0f}
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE:
Cost Savings: S${roi_data['cost_savings']:,.0f} ({(roi_data['cost_savings']/roi_data['current_costs'])*100:.1f}%)
Revenue Increase: S${roi_data['pak_revenue'] - roi_data['current_revenue']:,.0f} ({((roi_data['pak_revenue'] - roi_data['current_revenue'])/roi_data['current_revenue'])*100:.1f}%)
Profit Improvement: S${roi_data['profit_improvement']:,.0f} ({(roi_data['profit_improvement']/roi_data['current_profit'])*100:.1f}%)
{years}-YEAR PROJECTION:
Current IPM Total Profit: S${roi_data['current_profit']*years:,.0f}
PAK System Total Profit: S${roi_data['pak_profit']*years:,.0f}
Additional Profit ({years} years): S${(roi_data['pak_profit'] - roi_data['current_profit'])*years:,.0f}
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
IMPLEMENTATION ROADMAP
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
PHASE 1: PROOF OF CONCEPT (2026)
Timeline: 12 months
Investment: S$6,500 (for 5-10 hectares)
Deliverables:
β’ Field trial validation in Vietnam
β’ Efficacy data (target: 90%+ infestation reduction)
β’ Cost-benefit analysis
β’ Farmer feedback and adoption metrics
PHASE 2: EXPANSION & STANDARDIZATION (2027)
Timeline: 12 months
Investment: S$12,500-15,000 (for Indonesia & PNG)
Deliverables:
β’ Formulation adaptation for regional conditions
β’ Expanded field trials (50+ farmers)
β’ Standardized protocols and training materials
β’ Regional scale-up plan
PHASE 3: COMMERCIALIZATION (2028+)
Timeline: Ongoing
Model: IPM-as-a-Service
β’ ECOM or partner provides formulation and application
β’ Fixed post-harvest fee (S$5-10/bag)
β’ Rapid adoption across farmer network
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
RISK ASSESSMENT & MITIGATION
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Risk: Formulation efficacy below target
Probability: Medium | Impact: High
Mitigation: Preliminary lab testing; contingency budget for adjustments
Risk: Weather impact on field trials
Probability: Medium | Impact: Medium
Mitigation: Multiple demo plot locations; extended trial period if needed
Risk: Farmer adoption challenges
Probability: Medium | Impact: Medium
Mitigation: Early engagement; clear training; peer learning networks
Risk: Regulatory or certification issues
Probability: Low | Impact: High
Mitigation: Early engagement with certification bodies; full documentation
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
SUSTAINABILITY & LIVELIHOOD IMPACT
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Environmental Benefits:
β’ Elimination of synthetic pesticides
β’ Support for soil health and biodiversity
β’ Reduced carbon intensity of coffee production
β’ Climate-smart agriculture alignment
Livelihood Benefits:
β’ Reduced labor burden (50% reduction)
β’ Improved income stability
β’ Enhanced quality of life for farming communities
β’ Scalable across ECOM's global network
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
CONCLUSION
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
The Precision Attract-and-Kill System represents a transformative opportunity
for ECOM to address the Coffee Berry Borer challenge with a single, nature-based,
and highly scalable solution. The financial analysis demonstrates clear ROI,
with payback periods under 12 months and substantial long-term profit improvements.
The modest Phase 1 investment of S$6,500 is justified by the potential impact
across ECOM's network of 6,000+ smallholder farmers, with estimated total
additional income exceeding S$300,000 annually once fully scaled.
We recommend proceeding with Phase 1 validation in Vietnam in 2026, with clear
success metrics and a defined pathway to Phase 2 expansion and commercialization.
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Report Generated: {datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S')}
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
"""
return report
# ============================================================================
# Gradio Interface Setup
# ============================================================================
def create_interface():
"""Create the Gradio interface for the PAK System POC platform."""
with gr.Blocks(title="PAK System POC Platform", theme=gr.themes.Soft()) as demo:
gr.Markdown("""
# π± Precision Attract-and-Kill (PAK) System
## Interactive POC Platform for Coffee Berry Borer Management
Welcome to the PAK System Proof of Concept platform. Use the tools below to analyze
the financial and operational feasibility of implementing the PAK System on your farm
or across your farmer network.
""")
with gr.Tabs():
# ================================================================
# TAB 1: FARM-LEVEL ANALYSIS
# ================================================================
with gr.TabItem("π Farm Analysis"):
gr.Markdown("""
### Individual Farm ROI Calculator
Enter your farm size to see detailed financial projections comparing
the PAK System with current IPM approaches.
""")
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column():
farm_size = gr.Slider(
label="Farm Size (hectares)",
minimum=0.5,
maximum=50,
value=2,
step=0.5
)
analyze_btn = gr.Button("Analyze Farm", variant="primary", size="lg")
with gr.Column():
gr.Markdown("**Quick Reference**\n\n"
"β’ Smallholder: 0.5-2 ha\n"
"β’ Medium Farm: 2-10 ha\n"
"β’ Estate: 10-50+ ha")
with gr.Row():
summary_output = gr.Textbox(
label="Analysis Summary",
lines=25,
interactive=False,
max_lines=50
)
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column():
chart1 = gr.Plot(label="Comparison Charts")
with gr.Column():
chart2 = gr.Plot(label="5-Year Projection")
analyze_btn.click(
fn=analyze_farm,
inputs=[farm_size],
outputs=[summary_output, chart1, chart2]
)
# ================================================================
# TAB 2: NETWORK ANALYSIS
# ================================================================
with gr.TabItem("π Network Analysis"):
gr.Markdown("""
### Farmer Network Impact Calculator
Analyze the aggregate impact of implementing the PAK System
across a farmer network or sourcing region.
""")
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column():
total_farmers = gr.Slider(
label="Total Farmers",
minimum=10,
maximum=10000,
value=100,
step=10
)
with gr.Column():
avg_farm_size = gr.Slider(
label="Average Farm Size (hectares)",
minimum=0.5,
maximum=10,
value=1.5,
step=0.5
)
analyze_network_btn = gr.Button("Analyze Network", variant="primary", size="lg")
with gr.Row():
network_summary = gr.Textbox(
label="Network Analysis",
lines=25,
interactive=False,
max_lines=50
)
with gr.Row():
network_chart = gr.Plot(label="Network Impact Visualization")
analyze_network_btn.click(
fn=network_analysis,
inputs=[total_farmers, avg_farm_size],
outputs=[network_summary, network_chart]
)
# ================================================================
# TAB 3: DETAILED REPORT
# ================================================================
with gr.TabItem("π Detailed Report"):
gr.Markdown("""
### Comprehensive Feasibility Report
Generate a detailed, publication-ready report for stakeholder
presentations and decision-making.
""")
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column():
report_farm_size = gr.Slider(
label="Farm Size (hectares)",
minimum=0.5,
maximum=100,
value=5,
step=0.5
)
with gr.Column():
report_years = gr.Slider(
label="Projection Period (years)",
minimum=1,
maximum=10,
value=5,
step=1
)
generate_report_btn = gr.Button("Generate Report", variant="primary", size="lg")
report_output = gr.Textbox(
label="Detailed Report",
lines=40,
interactive=False,
max_lines=100
)
generate_report_btn.click(
fn=generate_detailed_report,
inputs=[report_farm_size, report_years],
outputs=report_output
)
# ================================================================
# TAB 4: SYSTEM INFORMATION
# ================================================================
with gr.TabItem("βΉοΈ System Information"):
gr.Markdown("""
### PAK System Technical Specifications
#### Active Ingredients
- **Semiochemical Lure**: Optimized blend of CBB aggregation pheromone and host volatiles
- **Biological Agent**: Beauveria bassiana (entomopathogenic fungus)
- **Formulation**: Micro-encapsulated paste/gel for weather resistance
#### Application Methods
- **Drone/UAV**: Automated spot-spraying for estates and farmer clusters
- **Backpack Sprayer**: Semi-automated application for individual smallholders
- **Frequency**: 2-3 applications per season during peak CBB activity
#### Performance Metrics
- **Infestation Reduction**: 90%+ (vs. 50-90% for current IPM)
- **Cost Reduction**: 33% (from S$150/ha to <S$100/ha)
- **Labor Reduction**: 50%+ (from 16 to 8 hours/ha)
- **Standardization**: High consistency across farm types
#### Safety & Compliance
- β
Organic Certification: Fully compliant
- β
Environmental Impact: No harm to beneficial insects
- β
Biodiversity: Supports regenerative agriculture
- β
Regulatory: Aligns with international standards
#### Implementation Timeline
- **Phase 1 (2026)**: Proof of Concept in Vietnam (S$6,500)
- **Phase 2 (2027)**: Expansion to Indonesia & PNG (S$12,500-15,000)
- **Phase 3 (2028+)**: Commercial rollout via IPM-as-a-Service model
#### Business Model
- **Service Delivery**: ECOM or partner provides formulation and application
- **Pricing**: Fixed post-harvest fee (S$5-10/bag)
- **Farmer Benefit**: Clear ROI with payback period <12 months
- **Scalability**: Applicable across ECOM's global network
""")
return demo
# ============================================================================
# Main Execution
# ============================================================================
if __name__ == "__main__":
demo = create_interface()
demo.launch(
server_name="0.0.0.0",
server_port=7860,
share=False,
show_error=True
)
|