id int64 28.1k 30.8k | title stringlengths 18 192 | description stringlengths 0 5.49k | resolution stringclasses 29
values | close stringlengths 20 20 | open stringlengths 20 20 | status stringclasses 1
value | __index_level_0__ int64 23 696 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29,174 | Will Mayor Brandon Scott receive 70% of the vote in the 2024 Baltimore mayoral race? | From Wikipedia: "The 2024 Baltimore mayoral election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the mayor of Baltimore, Maryland. Incumbent Brandon Scott was first elected in 2020 with 70.5% of the vote and is running for re-election to a second term.[1] Scott was considered vulnerable, as polls found that Baltimore re... | yes | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-28T14:30:00Z | resolved | 515 |
29,173 | Will Democratic Congresswoman Yadira Caraveo be re-elected in Colorado's 8th Congressional District in the 2024 election? | Ballotpedia: [Colorado's 8th Congressional District](https://ballotpedia.org/Colorado%27s_8th_Congressional_District). The 2024 US general election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. | no | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-28T14:30:00Z | resolved | 516 |
29,167 | For 2024, will there be more than one bank listed on the FDIC's Failed Bank List? | As of September 26, 2024, there was only one bank on the Failed Bank List: Republic First Bank dba Republic Bank | annulled | 2024-10-29T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-28T14:30:00Z | resolved | 522 |
29,145 | [Short fuse] Will California's Proposition 33 (allowing rent control) pass in the 2024 general election? | Proposition 33 ([Ballotpedia](https://ballotpedia.org/California_Proposition_33,_Prohibit_State_Limitations_on_Local_Rent_Control_Initiative_(2024))) will appear on the state-wide ballot in California for the US General Election on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. It will pass if a simple majority who vote on the measure app... | no | 2024-11-05T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 528 |
29,119 | Will Republican Congressman David Schweikert be re-elected in Arizona's 1st Congressional District in the 2024 election? | Ballotpedia: [Arizona's 1st Congressional District](https://ballotpedia.org/Arizona%27s_1st_Congressional_District). The 2024 US general election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. | yes | 2024-10-26T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | resolved | 534 |
29,116 | Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before January 1, 2025? | According to the Federal Reserve's [target funds rate history page](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), the most recent rate cuts were on September 19, 2024, after a few years of relatively higher and rising interest rates. Previous cuts were on March 16, 2020, and March 3, 2020. Before then,... | yes | 2024-10-26T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | resolved | 537 |
29,115 | Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before December 1, 2024? | According to the Federal Reserve's [target funds rate history page](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), the most recent rate cuts were on September 19, 2024, after a few years of relatively higher and rising interest rates. Previous cuts were on March 16, 2020, and March 3, 2020. Before then,... | yes | 2024-10-26T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | resolved | 538 |
29,114 | Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before November 1, 2024? | According to the Federal Reserve's [target funds rate history page](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), the most recent rate cuts were on September 19, 2024, after a few years of relatively higher and rising interest rates. Previous cuts were on March 16, 2020, and March 3, 2020. Before then,... | no | 2024-10-26T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | resolved | 539 |
29,108 | Will any more United Kingdom MPs be suspended from their party, resign, or change allegiance before 2025? | The United Kingdom has seen several MPs suspended from their parties, resign, or change political allegiance in recent years due to various factors such as political scandals, internal party conflicts, or shifting personal or ideological stances. Since the July 4, 2024 general election, seven Labour MPs [were suspended... | yes | 2024-10-26T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | resolved | 545 |
29,091 | What will Pennsylvania's voter turnout percentage be for the 2024 presidential election? | Pennsylvania, a key battleground state in U.S. presidential elections, plays a significant role in determining the outcome of national elections. Voter turnout in Pennsylvania can vary based on factors such as political engagement, voter registration efforts, and the competitiveness of the election. In the 2020 electio... | 69.6 | 2024-11-04T23:34:00Z | 2024-10-24T21:00:00Z | resolved | 547 |
29,090 | What percentage of the national popular vote will third party candidates hold by 6 pm on 11/07, in total? | As reported by the Associated Press. | 1.5149 | 2024-10-31T22:00:00Z | 2024-10-24T22:06:00Z | resolved | 548 |
29,089 | Will Kelly Ayotte win the New Hampshire gubernatorial election in 2024? | Kelly Ayotte, a former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire, is running in the 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. As a Republican candidate with a significant political background, she has a strong presence in the state’s political landscape. However, New Hampshire’s gubernatorial elections can be competitive, with ... | yes | 2024-11-05T23:02:00Z | 2024-10-24T22:00:00Z | resolved | 549 |
29,088 | What will the margin (%) be in Rhode Island for the 2024 presidential election as of 2:00 PM EST on 11/7/2024? | Rhode Island, while historically a Democratic-leaning state in presidential elections, still represents an important indicator of broader political trends, especially in the New England region. In previous elections, Democratic candidates have won the state by significant margins, with the 2020 election seeing Joe Bide... | 13.6 | 2024-11-05T22:58:00Z | 2024-10-24T22:00:00Z | resolved | 550 |
29,087 | Will the 2024 US presidential election be called before 5:00 PM on 11/7/2024? | The Associated Press (AP) has historically been one of the most trusted and widely cited news organizations in the United States when it comes to officially declaring election results. In previous elections, the AP has made its call once a candidate has secured a sufficient number of electoral votes, based on reliable ... | yes | 2024-11-05T22:55:00Z | 2024-10-24T22:00:00Z | resolved | 551 |
29,086 | What is the probability that the Brown Daily Herald (BDH) will report on student response to the outcome of the 2024 presidential election (either negative or positive) by 2:00 PM EST on 11/7? | BDH is the Brown Daily Herald: https://www.browndailyherald.com/ | yes | 2024-11-05T23:00:00Z | 2024-10-24T22:00:00Z | resolved | 552 |
29,083 | What is the probability that Jon Tester be re-elected to the Montana Senate? | https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/21/montana-senate-race-jon-tester-democrats | no | 2024-11-07T19:20:00Z | 2024-10-24T18:34:00Z | resolved | 553 |
29,081 | [DELETED QUESTION] | [DELETED QUESTION] | annulled | 2024-10-24T22:43:45Z | 2024-10-25T18:38:08Z | resolved | 554 |
29,075 | Before Election Day, will Kamala Harris appear on the Joe Rogan podcast? | Newsweek: [Joe Rogan Ridicules Donald Trump, Says Kamala Harris Is 'Nailing It'](https://www.newsweek.com/joe-rogan-donald-trump-kamala-harris-nailing-it-1955173) | no | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | resolved | 556 |
29,074 | Before Election Day, will Donald Trump appear on the Call Her Daddy podcast? | Vulture: [Alex Cooper Invited Trump on Call Her Daddy, Too](https://www.vulture.com/article/call-her-daddy-kamala-harris-trump-invited.html) | no | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | resolved | 557 |
29,070 | Will JD Vance cease to be Donald Trump's running mate before November 5, 2024? | On July 31, 1972, the Democratic nominee for vice president, Thomas Eagleton, withdrew his candidacy. Information had come out that in the 1960s he had received electrical shock treatments for what was described at the time as nervous exhaustion and depression. This is an example of the unknown unknowns that can change... | no | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | resolved | 560 |
29,069 | Will the S&P 500 index go up in November 2024? | The S&P 500, also known as the Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the stock performance of 500 large companies listed on the stock exchanges in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices and is considered to be one of the best representations of the U.S. stock mark... | yes | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | resolved | 561 |
29,068 | On October 31, 2024, will VoteHub's Early Voting Tracker show Democrats having 2/3rd or higher of the mail and absentee ballots returned in Pennsylvania? | VoteHub [describes itself](https://about.votehub.us/) as "an election media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey aggregations, and analysis on election results and trends. We are nonpartisan an... | no | 2024-10-25T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | resolved | 562 |
29,037 | Will rapper 50 Cent endorse Donald Trump in the 2024 election before November 5, 2024? | According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/50_Cent): "Jackson endorsed Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in the run-up for the 2016 U.S. presidential election.[242] He rejected an offer of $500,000 from the Trump campaign to make an appearance on the candidate's behalf.[243] However, he endorsed Donald T... | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 569 |
29,036 | Will South Dakota voters approve Constitutional Amendment G, which would provide for a state constitutional right to an abortion? | Ballotpedia: [South Dakota Constitutional Amendment G, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)](https://ballotpedia.org/South_Dakota_Constitutional_Amendment_G,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)) | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 570 |
29,035 | Will Republican Congressman Juan Ciscomani be re-elected in Arizona's 6th Congressional District in the 2024 election? | Ballotpedia: [Arizona's 6th Congressional District](https://ballotpedia.org/Arizona%27s_6th_Congressional_District). The 2024 US general election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. | yes | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 571 |
29,034 | Will the USDA-posted recall of Boar's Head deli meat be closed before December 1, 2024? | According to [the NY Times](https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/10/health/boars-head-deli-meat-listeria.html), "Genome sequencing tests by public health officials in New York and Maryland tied a strain of listeria found in Boar’s Head liverwurst to the bacteria from people who died or fell ill, according to the Centers for... | yes | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 572 |
29,030 | Will the New York Yankees lose the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 7 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 576 |
29,029 | Will the New York Yankees lose the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 6 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 577 |
29,028 | Will the New York Yankees lose the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 5 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | yes | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 578 |
29,027 | Will the New York Yankees lose the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 4 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 579 |
29,026 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 7 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 580 |
29,025 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 6 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 581 |
29,024 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 5 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 582 |
29,023 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2024 World Series in baseball in exactly 4 games? | The 2024 baseball World Series is scheduled to begin on October 25, 2024, between the NY Yankees, who are the American League champions, and the LA Dodgers, who are the champions of the National League. | no | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 583 |
29,022 | Will Intel get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before January 1, 2025? | Reuters: [Intel's Dow status under threat as struggling chipmaker's shares plunge
](https://www.reuters.com/technology/intels-dow-status-under-threat-struggling-chipmakers-shares-plunge-2024-09-03/) | yes | 2024-10-24T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 584 |
28,999 | Will the recreational marijuana amendment pass in the November 2024 election? | Florida voters are preparing to decide on the legalization of recreational marijuana through Amendment 3. Polls indicate strong public support, although opposition campaigns have intensified, particularly from Governor Ron DeSantis' administration. The amendment requires at least 60% of votes to pass. | no | 2024-11-04T23:41:00Z | 2024-10-23T21:28:00Z | resolved | 589 |
28,998 | Will Don Gaetz win the Florida State Senate District 1 election in 2024? | Don Gaetz, a former Florida Senate President, is running for the State Senate District 1 seat against Lisa Newell, a political newcomer. Newell aims to give voters a fresh choice, citing frustrations with Gaetz’s long political career and concerns about representation. This race draws attention as it involves key issu... | yes | 2024-11-04T23:37:00Z | 2024-10-23T21:28:00Z | resolved | 590 |
28,995 | Will the Schwab Trading Activity Index be lower for October 2024 than it was for September 2024? | [Schwab Trading Activity Index™: September Score Slides by Biggest Margin Since June ’22](https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241007024576/en/): "The Schwab Trading Activity Index™ (STAX) decreased to 47.10 in September, down from its score of 53.16 in August. The only index of its kind, the STAX is a proprietary,... | no | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 593 |
28,991 | Will Spirit Airlines file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2025? | Spirit Airlines, a deep discount airline which has been unprofitable from an operating standpoint since the start of the 2020 pandemic, recently had a buyout from JetBlue rejected by antitrust regulators. As of Q2 2024 results it continues to face declining revenues and negative earnings and cash flows.Spirit AIrlines ... | yes | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 597 |
28,989 | Will RCP's polling bias for Trump based on national polls in the month before the 2024 election be greater than 1.0 percentage points? | Polling bias is calculated by subtracting the actual voting percentage spread from the pre-election polled percentage spread of the candidate in question. For example, [Activote's](https://www.activote.net/polling-analysis/) national 2020 poll reported Trump trailing Biden by a 6 percentage point spread. The actual ele... | no | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 599 |
28,988 | Will RCP's polling bias for Trump based on national polls in the month before the 2024 election be greater than or equal to 0 percentage points and less than or equal to 1.0 percentage points? | Polling bias is calculated by subtracting the actual voting percentage spread from the pre-election polled percentage spread of the candidate in question. For example, [Activote's](https://www.activote.net/polling-analysis/) national 2020 poll reported Trump trailing Biden by a 6 percentage point spread. The actual ele... | no | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 600 |
28,987 | Will RCP's polling bias for Trump based on national polls in the month before the 2024 election be greater than -1.0 and less than 0 percentage points? | Polling bias is calculated by subtracting the actual voting percentage spread from the pre-election polled percentage spread of the candidate in question. For example, [Activote's](https://www.activote.net/polling-analysis/) national 2020 poll reported Trump trailing Biden by a 6 percentage point spread. The actual ele... | no | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 601 |
28,986 | Will RCP's polling bias for Trump based on national polls in the month before the 2024 election be greater than or equal to -2.0 and less than or equal to -1.0 percentage points? | Polling bias is calculated by subtracting the actual voting percentage spread from the pre-election polled percentage spread of the candidate in question. For example, [Activote's](https://www.activote.net/polling-analysis/) national 2020 poll reported Trump trailing Biden by a 6 percentage point spread. The actual ele... | no | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 602 |
28,985 | Will RCP's polling bias for Trump based on national polls in the month before the 2024 election be less than -2.0 percentage points? | Polling bias is calculated by subtracting the actual voting percentage spread from the pre-election polled percentage spread of the candidate in question. For example, [Activote's](https://www.activote.net/polling-analysis/) national 2020 poll reported Trump trailing Biden by a 6 percentage point spread. The actual ele... | yes | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 603 |
28,960 | Will the Botswana Democratic Party win the 2024 general election? | Botswana is among the most prosperous and stable countries in Africa. It has been ruled by the [Botswana Democratic Party](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Botswana_Democratic_Party) since independence from the United Kingdom in 1966. The party has continuously won [free and fair elections](https://www.voanews.com/a/botsw... | no | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 604 |
28,959 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the 2024 Japanese general election? | Soon after taking office, Prime Minister of Japan Shigeru Ishiba had the House of Representatives dissolved, leading to [new elections](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Japanese_general_election). Ishiba hopes to [get a fresh mandate](https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/10/japans-snap-election-why-ishibas-gamble-might-... | no | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | resolved | 605 |
28,953 | How many arms sales globally will the US State Department approve in the fourth quarter of 2024? | The United States is the largest arms exporter in the world, [accounting for](https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2024-03/fs_2403_at_2023.pdf) 42% of global arms exports, with France and Russia tied for a distant 2nd, at 11%, and China in 4th place at 6%. In the past 5 years, State Department-approved arms sales ... | above_upper_bound | 2024-12-11T05:00:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 607 |
28,937 | Will the Warren Buffett Indicator exceed 205% before November 15, 2024?
| In a 2001 article co-written with Fortune Magazine's Carol Loomis, Warren Buffett [said](https://web.archive.org/web/20141013162215/https://archive.fortune.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2001/12/10/314691/index.htm):
>The chart shows the market value of all publicly traded securities as a percentage of the coun... | yes | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-21T14:30:00Z | resolved | 611 |
28,936 | Will US airline passenger volume for the Veterans Day weekend of 2024 be up year over year, according to the TSA? | Veterans Day in the US is [federal holiday](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_holidays_in_the_United_States) and is a celebrated on November 11th, regardless of the day of the week upon which it falls. In 2023 it fell on a Saturday, and in 2024 it will fall on a Monday. | yes | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-21T14:30:00Z | resolved | 612 |
28,935 | On October 31, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's? | Since late 2022, Nvidia Corporation has experienced nearly 10x growth in market capitalization, driven by its [dominance in the AI chip market](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidias-ai-chip-dominance-continue-210200974.html). Nvidia's GPUs are critical in the development of large language models, and are highly sought... | no | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-21T14:30:00Z | resolved | 613 |
28,933 | Will the CBOE S&P 500 3-Month Volatility Index (VXVCLS) be higher Year-over-Year on October 30, 2024? | According to [FRED](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/VXVCLS): > Chicago Board Options Exchange, CBOE S&P 500 3-Month Volatility Index [VXVCLS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VIX), VIX is the ticker symbol and the popular name for the Chi... | no | 2024-10-22T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-21T14:30:00Z | resolved | 615 |
28,909 | [Short Fuse] Will the Botswana Democratic Party win the 2024 general election? | Botswana is among the most prosperous and stable countries in Africa. It has been ruled by the [Botswana Democratic Party](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Botswana_Democratic_Party) since independence from the United Kingdom in 1966. The party has continuously won [free and fair elections](https://www.voanews.com/a/botsw... | no | 2024-10-30T04:00:00Z | 2024-10-21T22:29:00Z | resolved | 620 |
28,907 | [Short Fuse] Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the 2024 Japanese general election? | Soon after taking office, Prime Minister of Japan Shigeru Ishiba had the House of Representatives dissolved, leading to [new elections](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Japanese_general_election). Ishiba hopes to [get a fresh mandate](https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/10/japans-snap-election-why-ishibas-gamble-might-... | no | 2024-10-26T21:00:00Z | 2024-10-21T22:15:00Z | resolved | 622 |
28,906 | [Short fuse] Who will win the 2024 Uruguayan Presidential election? | Uruguay is holding [general elections](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Uruguayan_general_election) in 2024, the ninth since redemocratization in the 1980s. The Constitution prevents the re-election of incumbent President Luis Lacalle Pou; his National Party has nominated Álvaro Delgado as its candidate, facing off a... | Yamandú Orsi | 2024-11-24T00:00:00Z | 2024-10-22T09:00:00Z | resolved | 623 |
28,871 | Will Donald Trump concede if he loses the 2024 presidential election? | Donald Trump has maintained for the past four years that he won the 2020 election despite the fact that election officials and Congress certified Joe Biden's victory in that race. A recent [poll](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/10/10/most-voters-say-harris-will-concede-and-trump-wont-if-defeated-in-the-electi... | annulled | 2024-10-23T13:00:00Z | 2024-10-17T14:24:00Z | resolved | 627 |
28,858 | Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election? | [The Joe Rogan Experience](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Joe_Rogan_Experience) (JRE) is a podcast hosted by [Joe Rogan](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Rogan) a comedian, actor, and commentator. Joe Rogan's [website](https://www.joerogan.com/) describes the JRE as:
>a long form conversation hosted by comedian ... | no | 2024-10-27T02:00:00Z | 2024-10-16T15:03:00Z | resolved | 629 |
28,857 | Will Tim Walz cease to be Kamala Harriss's running mate before November 1, 2024? | On July 31, 1972, the Democratic nominee for vice president, Thomas Eagleton, withdrew his candidacy. Information had come out that in the 1960s he had received electrical shock treatments for what was described at the time as nervous exhaustion and depression. This is an example of the unknown unknowns that can change... | no | 2024-10-21T14:30:00Z | 2024-10-15T14:30:00Z | resolved | 630 |
28,812 | Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025? | [Erik ten Hag](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erik_ten_Hag)'s tenure as Manchester United's manager, which began in 2022, has seen a mix of highs and lows. After a successful first season where the team secured a top-four finish and [won the EFL Cup](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_EFL_Cup_final), United's form in th... | yes | 2024-10-28T06:50:00Z | 2024-10-16T14:30:00Z | resolved | 635 |
28,811 | Will any more United Kingdom MPs be suspended from their party, resign, or change allegiance before 2025? | The United Kingdom has seen several MPs suspended from their parties, resign, or change political allegiance in recent years due to various factors such as political scandals, internal party conflicts, or shifting personal or ideological stances. Since the July 4, 2024 general election, seven Labour MPs [were suspended... | yes | 2024-10-27T17:15:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 636 |
28,809 | [Short fuse] Will the Moldovan European Union membership referendum cross the turnout threshold to be valid? | On October 20, alongside [presidential elections](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22788/moldovan-election-winner-2024/), Moldova will hold a referendum. If it passes, the Constitution will be amended to enshrine the country's aspiration to join the European Union. The move is intended to prevent future governments ... | yes | 2024-10-20T01:00:00Z | 2024-10-16T11:00:00Z | resolved | 637 |
28,808 | [Short fuse] Will there be a majority of "Yes" votes in the Moldovan European Union membership referendum? | On October 20, alongside [presidential elections](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22788/moldovan-election-winner-2024/), Moldova will hold a referendum. If it passes, the Constitution will be amended to enshrine the country's aspiration to join the European Union. The move is intended to prevent future governments ... | yes | 2024-10-20T01:00:00Z | 2024-10-16T14:30:00Z | resolved | 638 |
28,798 | Will the 2024 World Chess Champion be decided in the first 10 games? | The [World Chess Championship 2024](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2024) match between the reigning world champion Ding Liren (Rating: 2728 as of 1 Nov 2024) and the challenger Gukesh Dommaraju (Rating: 2783 as of 1 Nov 2024) is set to take place between 25 November and 13 December 2024, in Sing... | no | 2024-12-01T13:15:00Z | 2024-11-07T15:30:00Z | resolved | 644 |
28,795 | What is the probability that a Westbound Amtrak Sunset Limited train reports a delay of more than 4 hours upon arriving at its terminus before the 10:00 AM on 10/24? | https://juckins.net/amtrak_status/archive/html/history.php?train_num=1&station=LAX&date_start=09%2F9%2F2024&date_end=10%2F10%2F2024&df1=1&df2=1&df3=1&df4=1&df5=1&df6=1&df7=1&sort=schAr&sort_dir=DESC&co=gt&limit_mins=&dfon=1 | no | 2024-10-20T23:02:00Z | 2024-10-10T23:02:00Z | resolved | 646 |
28,794 | How many western teams will be in the top 8 of the League of Legends Worlds 2024 Tournament? (Western teams are defined as teams in the LEC or LCS regions) | Western teams kinda suck | 1 | 2024-10-12T05:00:00Z | 2024-10-10T23:00:00Z | resolved | 647 |
28,792 | Odds Dan wins in fantasy this week (week of 10/7). | dan really thought the bills would win... | no | 2024-10-12T14:00:00Z | 2024-10-10T22:54:00Z | resolved | 649 |
28,791 | Playboy Carti drops album by Oct 24. | .... | annulled | 2024-10-15T18:54:00Z | 2024-10-11T22:53:56Z | resolved | 650 |
28,790 | How many birbs will be released by 10:00 AM on 10/24 | birbs. | 6-9 | 2024-10-23T22:50:00Z | 2024-10-10T22:51:00Z | resolved | 651 |
28,789 | Probability that CPax sends an email from president@brown.edu by the next meeting (10/24)? | It has to be from that specific email address! | no | 2024-10-17T16:00:00Z | 2024-10-10T22:49:00Z | resolved | 652 |
28,787 | Probability APMA 1650 (Amelia Culiuc) exam results gets released by 10/24? | APMA 1650 is a big class... | yes | 2024-10-20T22:46:00Z | 2024-10-01T22:48:00Z | resolved | 654 |
28,785 | Probability of any police being called to end a student protest by OCT 24th | Protests? | no | 2024-10-20T22:44:00Z | 2024-10-10T22:44:00Z | resolved | 655 |
28,778 | Will Israel strike Iranian nuclear facilities before the 2024 US general election? | As the conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, foreign policy analysts are now speculating about whether Israel will decide to strike Iranian nuclear enrichment facilities in an effort to set back Tehran's nuclear program. Israel has long wanted to carry out such an attack, but the US has reportedly [tr... | no | 2024-11-05T07:01:00Z | 2024-10-08T14:51:00Z | resolved | 657 |
28,772 | Will Israel strike Iranian nuclear facilities before the 2024 US general election? | As the conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, foreign policy analysts are now speculating about whether Israel will decide to strike Iranian nuclear enrichment facilities in an effort to set back Tehran's nuclear program. Israel has long wanted to carry out such an attack, but the US has reportedly [tr... | annulled | 2024-10-14T12:53:00Z | 2024-10-08T14:43:00Z | resolved | 658 |
28,771 | Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2024? | Many children wish for a white Christmas, i.e. snow on the days 24th or 25th December. Transit operators and homeless people enjoy it less. It is an important cultural event around the northern Atlantic, though; hence this question!
Cultural note: The majority of inhabitants of Instanbul do not celebrate Christmas at ... | no | 2024-12-15T23:00:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 659 |
28,747 | Anitta será indicada ao Grammy Awards 2025 em uma categoria principal? | Anitta ganhou o Grammy Latino de Album do Ano em 2024 [Grammy Latino 2024](https://www.grammy.com/news/2024-latin-grammys-nominations-record-of-the-year). | no | 2024-11-08T07:59:00Z | 2024-10-07T17:58:00Z | resolved | 660 |
28,733 | [Short Fuse] Will the vote of no confidence in Michel Barnier's government pass in the French National Assembly? | Prime Minister of France Michel Barnier, from the Republicans party, faces a [no-confidence vote](https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/french-left-moves-no-confidence-vote-against-barnier-with-little-hope-it-passes/) filed on October 4th by the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP).
The snap legislative election... | no | 2024-10-08T05:30:00Z | 2024-10-06T13:40:00Z | resolved | 664 |
28,670 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on November 8, 2024? | The [S&P 500](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%26P_500), also known as the Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the stock performance of 500 large companies listed on the stock exchanges in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices and is considered to be one of the ... | 5995.54 | 2024-11-07T23:59:00Z | 2024-10-01T13:20:00Z | resolved | 670 |
28,657 | Will China officially announce export restrictions on any additional metals before January 1, 2025? | China's [recent announcement](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/chinas-antimony-export-controls-rattle-the-tungsten-industry.html) of export controls on antimony, effective September 15, 2024, has raised concerns among industry insiders about the country's willingness to leverage its dominance in the global supply chain ... | yes | 2024-11-15T21:00:00Z | 2024-10-23T14:30:00Z | resolved | 673 |
28,651 | When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | [Starship](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship) is a two stage launch vehicle being developed by SpaceX consisting of a [Super Heavy booster](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Super_Heavy) as the first stage and the [Starship spacecraft](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship_(spacecraft)) as the se... | 2024-11-19 22:00:00+00:00 | 2024-11-19T22:00:00Z | 2024-10-16T14:30:00Z | resolved | 675 |
28,648 | What party will win the most seats in the 2025 Republic of Ireland Parliamentary election? | In the [2020 general election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Irish_general_election), citizens of the Republic of Ireland elected the most fragmented Parliament in the history of the State, with the largest party, [Fianna Fáil](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fianna_F%C3%A1il) (FF), winning just 38 out of the 160 se... | Fianna Fáil | 2024-12-02T17:15:00Z | 2024-10-01T18:23:00Z | resolved | 677 |
28,613 | [Short Fuse] When will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) strike end for the Port of New York and New Jersey? | The current labor agreement between the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and US port operators on the East Coast and Gulf Coast [is set to expire](https://www.huschblackwell.com/newsandinsights/ila-labor-agreement-set-to-expire-strike-looms) on September 30, 2024. The ILA has announced its intent to strik... | 2024-10-03 17:30:00+00:00 | 2024-10-03T22:30:00Z | 2024-10-02T11:29:00Z | resolved | 679 |
28,550 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on Tuesday November 5, 2024, according to AAA? | As of September 26, 2024, US national average gas prices [were](https://gasprices.aaa.com/) $3.220, down almost 62 cents a gallon or 16% from year-ago prices. According to [Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/gas-prices-could-break-below-three-dollars-before-election-1957121):
>Gas prices could hit below $3 before thi... | 3.102 | 2024-11-05T04:59:00Z | 2024-10-08T14:30:00Z | resolved | 683 |
28,546 | Who will win the 2024 World Chess Championship? | As of 2024, the [world chess champion](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2024) is determined by a match of 14 games between the current world champion and the winner of the Candidates tournament. In the previous world chess championship in 2023, Ding Liren defeated Ian Nepomniachtchi in a nerve-wra... | Gukesh Dommaraju | 2024-12-12T05:01:00Z | 2024-10-30T14:30:00Z | resolved | 684 |
28,123 | Who will be the new leader of PASOK after the elections of October 2024? | Ποιος θα είναι ο καινούργιος αρχηγός του ΠΑΣΟΚ μετά τις εκλογές του Οκτωβρίου του 2024; | The PASOK leadership elections are set for October 6, 2024, with a potential second round on October 13, if no candidate secures a majority. Six prominent candidates are featured, reflecting the internal diversity and strategic visions within the party:
Nikos Androulakis (current PASOK leader): Androulakis, 45, seeks ... | Nikos Androulakis | 2024-10-13T19:22:00Z | 2024-10-05T14:00:00Z | resolved | 696 |
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