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ERROR: type should be string, got "https://preview.redd.it/q39324n4g56e1.png?width=1480&format=png&auto=webp&s=0260bb0ba6641453c5653d6eaea8777b102d1426\n\nThe much-anticipated earnings report for Restoration Hardware (RH) is here! And just to clear up some confusion—RH is **not** the ticker for Robinhood, which goes by **HOOD**. These are two completely different companies operating in entirely separate industries. So let’s not mix them up! Now, let’s dive into the exciting part—analyzing the chart. Think of it as reading a map, with the goal of figuring out where the stock price might be headed next. Charts are like a story—they tell us where the price has been, where it hesitated, and where it’s eager to go next.\n\nHere’s what the chart says about RH:\n\n* **September 2023 Selloff**: On Friday, September 8, 2023, RH reported earnings, and it was an ugly day for the stock. The market reacted violently, pushing the price down to a low of **$220**. This became a critical support level, where the stock essentially said, “Okay, this is as low as I’m going.”\n* **Consolidation Zone**: After that dramatic drop, the stock spent months trading between **$260 and $300**. This period is what we call the “fair price” range—traders found balance here, agreeing on the stock’s value at that time.\n* **March 2024 Surprise Rally**: Fast forward to March 27, 2024, RH reported worse-than-expected earnings—revenues came in at **$738.26M**, well below the **$777.5M** estimate. Oddly enough, the stock didn’t crash. Instead, it rallied, climbing all the way back to **$355**, showing the market's resilience and optimism about RH.\n\nNow, let’s talk about more recent events:\n\n* **September Earnings Gap Up**: This time, RH reported earnings that seemed to excite the market. The stock gapped up and started consolidating in a higher price range. But there’s a catch—it recently tested the **$400 resistance level** twice and got rejected both times. This formed a classic **double top**, which typically signals a lack of buying interest at higher levels. Essentially, buyers said, “Not yet.”\n\nSo, what could happen next?\n\n* The **50-day SMA** at **$342** looks like the first line of defense. If the price drops, it’ll likely touch this level to find support.\n* But here’s where it gets interesting—there’s also an unfilled gap at **$290**. Gaps on charts act like unfinished business, and prices often revisit them to “fill” the gap. If selling pressure increases, we could see the stock heading back to that level.\n\nLet’s not forget about Citadel's role in this story. On **September 26, 2024**, Citadel filed a **Schedule 13G**, revealing they collectively own about **3.9%** of RH’s shares. That’s a pretty significant chunk! Kenneth Griffin, Citadel’s founder, has shared voting and dispositive power over these holdings. This kind of institutional backing can be a positive signal—it shows confidence in RH’s potential. However, if Citadel ever decides to sell a substantial portion of their shares, it could create downward pressure on the stock price.\n\nAnd what’s Jim Cramer’s take? He’s bullish on RH! Cramer believes the company’s performance is closely tied to the housing market, which has been showing strength. He even included RH in his top stock picks, emphasizing that it’s outperforming Wall Street’s expectations. His advice? **“Buy early to get ahead of the turn.”** Basically, he thinks RH is a smart long-term play, especially if the housing sector continues to grow.\n\nIn summary, RH’s chart is telling an exciting story of recovery, resistance, and potential. While the **$400 resistance** remains a tough hurdle, strong support levels at **$342** and **$290** could offer opportunities for buyers. Add to that the confidence from Citadel and optimism from Jim Cramer, and you’ve got a stock that’s definitely worth keeping an eye on!"

ERROR: type should be string, got "https://preview.redd.it/hbzkp23fz26e1.png?width=3840&format=png&auto=webp&s=698c4992c16ee91fc7afc47c3a28e81add772ebc\n\nUnity Software Inc. (doing business as **Unity Technologies**) is a technology company that specializes in developing and operating a platform for creating real-time 3D content and experiences. Unity is primarily known for its game engine and development tools, which allow creators to build, run, and monetize interactive 2D and 3D content across various platforms.\n\nTheir engine and development tools is used in wide range of industries including Video game development , architecture and design , automotive , film and animation , and virtual and augmented reality.\n\nThey are a duopoly in the game engine market with Epic Games (Unreal Engine). Unity holds approximately 40-50% of the game engine market share, while Unreal Engine accounts for 10-20%. As of 2023, over 70% of the top mobile games globally were developed using Unity's platform. In 2024, mobile gaming is expected to generate approximately $92.6 billion in revenue compared to $51.9 billion for console gaming and $40 billion for PC gaming. As of 2024, a significant portion of VR apps in the Apple Store are likely created using Unity, with estimates suggesting that over 60% of AR/VR content across platforms is made with Unity.\n\nUnity's stock have been doing poorly ever since the great 2022 bear market , the John Riccitiello fee incident (2022) , and the dreadful IronSource purchase (2022) under his tenure. They have since fired him in 2023 and appointed Matthew Bromberg as Unity's new Chief Executive Officer, President, and a member of the Unity Board of Directors, effective May 15, 2024. Bromberg has since replaced all the C-suites with competent people. They did a reset on their portfolio to put their focus on their core business which they refer to as their \"Strategic Portfolio\": the Engine, Cloud and Monetization.\n\nThe Strategic Portfolio consists of two main segments:\n\n* Create Solutions: This segment encompasses Unity's game development platform and tools. In Q3 2024, Create Solutions revenue grew 5% year-over-year, driven by subscription growth. The Create segment includes:\n\n1. Unity game engine and development tools\n2. Unity 6, the latest version of the engine with over 500,000 downloads\n3. Expansion into non-gaming industries (Industry segment), which grew **59% year-over-year and represents 18% of Create revenue**\n\n* Grow Solutions: This segment includes advertising and monetization tools. In Q3 2024, Grow Solutions revenue declined by 5%. It focuses on:\n\n1. Advertising technology\n2. Monetization services for game developers\n3. Development of a new advertising model set to launch in 2025\n\nLet's discuss the mobile gaming monetization and advertising space and their competitor AppLovin (the stock that is up 768% YTD) . AppLovin wanted to buy Unity for $20B back in 2022 to form a monopoly but got rejected. Unity has since failed to keep up with AppLovin who is now the third largest mobile gaming in-app advertising network after Google and Meta. Unity-ironSource platform couldn't compete with AppLovin's platform but things are about to change because the new CEO hired Jim Payne to join the company as Chief Product Officer for Advertising effective August 12, 2024. Payne co-founded MoPub, the world’s largest mobile in-app ad server and exchange, and MAX Advertising Systems, a mobile header bidding platform (both acquired by AppLovin and are essential pieces to their success). In their latest earning's call Bromberg said they have a new machine learning model in their new neural network that is being tested on their live data that will be ready to launch when it's ready (probably sometime next year). APP's current mcap is $111B while Unity is at $10.78B , if their new ML model is competitive , the stock can easily **10x from here just from the Grow Solutions business**. This is why some people are looking to short AppLovin and long Unity.\n\nOn the Create Solution side Unity recently announced on Oct 30, 2024 they hired Ex-King CTO and Havok Co-Founder Steve Collins as CTO which will add key technical leadership to accelerate product innovation, quality, and stability. In 2023, Havok products were used in twelve of the top twenty best selling video games in the United States. Their 3D engine is utilized not only for game development but also by a diverse range of clients in non-gaming industries for real-time product visualization, virtual prototyping, AR customer experiences, digital twins and other 3D applications. This segment grew 59% year-over-year and is expected to become an increasingly significant contributor to their Create revenue in the future.\n\n[Palantir's Mixed Reality offerings are built with Unity's 3D engine. They are just one of several partners from industries outside of gaming. https:\\/\\/www.palantir.com\\/offerings\\/mixed-reality\\/](https://preview.redd.it/zw7w2aj2z26e1.png?width=2379&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4f900c7489db3c6841321cb494c66a8c0035add)\n\nUnity's engine and development tools is also utilized by the The Department of Defense (DoD). They primarily use the Unity engine to create realistic, immersive virtual training simulations for military personnel, allowing them to practice complex scenarios in a safe and controlled environment across various domains like combat tactics, vehicle operation, war simulations and situational awareness, all within a 3D digital world.\n\nUnity Technologies Corporation (UnityTec) has been awarded two significant contracts related to the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD):\n\n* [JETS 2.0 Contract](https://govtribe.com/opportunity/federal-contract-opportunity/dla-j6-enterprise-technology-services-jets-2-dot-0-sp470923r0001-45) : UnityTec secured a position on the Defense Logistics Agency's J6 Enterprise Technologies Services 2.0 (JETS 2.0) multiple-award, Indefinite Delivery Indefinite Quantity contract. This contract has a maximum value of $12 billion and will provide a broad range of IT-related services to the entire DoD for up to 12 years.\n* CACI Contract: Unity signed a \"multi-million dollar\" contract with enterprise technology firm CACI to become the \"preferred real-time 3D platform\" for U.S. government defense projects.\n\nNow back in 2015 [Mark Zuckerberg sent a four page internal email](https://sriramk.com/memos/zuck-unity.pdf) to key executives to get in early on the AR and VR future. In that email , Mark Zuckerberg wanted to purchase Unity because he believes AR/VR is the major computing platform after mobile and they will gain control over a key development platform for AR/VR content. He believes the acquisition of Unity would also mitigate the risk of a competitors like Google and Apple from acquiring them and limiting Meta (Facebook then) access to the platform. One of the possible reasons the acquisition fell through is antitrust concerns because Meta would be a monopoly in VR/AR if they own Unity.\n\nI believe the future is XR (extended reality) and that XR will be next major and final computing platform after mobile. I believe Meta could potentially become the largest company in the world within the next 10-20 years if Apple/Google/Microsoft don't catch up in XR especially in AR which Meta is leading. Regardless of who wins, Unity will be one of the main foundations behind the XR gold rush. In conclusion, I’m highly optimistic about Unity, as they hold a vital role in the XR ecosystem. This is a long-term investment for generational wealth.\n\nThis post is made for posterity.\n\nhttps://i.redd.it/ohx7bzjg16ie1.gif\n\nPositions:\n\nhttps://preview.redd.it/73iy0b8qu6ce1.png?width=2431&format=png&auto=webp&s=7996f5bdb6e650c8f398c1b41fa3bb103d38bd41"

ERROR: type should be string, got "https://preview.redd.it/6dhobb43hi2e1.png?width=971&format=png&auto=webp&s=362823b3680fec6fb1b8186bf1717e49f46c2920\n\nI made a comparison of the top btc-linked equities who own the most btc... a) MSTR, b) MARA, and c) HUT ... i want to preface this by saying *all* BTC-linked equities deserve *some* premia in a bull market. The question is how much & when.\n\nMSTR was trading at $478K per bitcoin yesterday morning... so yesterday's correction was *good* news... it re-rated... to <$400K per bitcoin... i have a feeling the premia is gona expand again though and Saylor will tap the convert markets 3-4x more from now until the Spring. The stock can double from here. Because MSTR's software operations are winding down, it justifies its premia by promising it will be a sort of 'bitcoin bank' in the future. TBD.\n\nMARA was never really known on Wall Street for its HODL, but since the shares were flat as BTC went from $60K to $90K, the HODL now puts it in the top 3 BTC treasury plays. In the past, 80-90% of MARA's market cap was attributable to its operating company: the mining facilities. That has now changed. It's become more & more of a BTC proxy. This is a monumental shift. I didn't believe it 100% until I crunched the numbers, and looked at their latest debt offering... MARA is a top 2 mining/HODL play. It's a new landscape for miners.\n\nHUT was always known as the classic HODL play if you didn't want to touch MSTR... especially as BTC ETFs didn't have any options contracts. If you wanted levered long BTC exposure, you had to either play MSTR or HUT. When MSTR got out of control, traders looked to call options on HUT to get that levered long exposure. HUT is still the biggest HODL play in the mining arena, and due to the recent underperformance, it's also the best value (in terms of cheapest price per BTC). HUT shareholders have also been much less diluted than MARA shareholders, and HUT's float is much tighter than MARA's. Furthermore, HUT's short intrst is double MARA's, creating extra volatility. I suspect the options market on HUT will begin to price this in as HUT shares begin to move again, but nobody knows. They can always sink too. HUT's smaller size has the added benefit of making it a more realistic M&A target (for both corporates and PE), which is always a nice uplift due to the premia often paid to shareholders in a buyout scenario. I like both HUT and MARA at these levels.\n\n"