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BKSY BlackSky, the Most Interesting Space Stock You Haven't Heard Of | BlackSky owns a constellation of satellites that produce near real-time high-resolution imagery. Yesterday they successfully put the first of Gen-3 satellites into orbit with the help of Rocket Lab.
[https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/rocket-lab-successfully-launches-60th-electron-first-of-multiple-missions-for-blac... |
Dropbox $DBX is about to Drop (50k 0dte puts) | Ok i'll make it short, too much text and graph would make me looks smart wich would be misleading.
My DD is based on the simple fact that analyst estimates for Q4 are way too optimistic. You can see (despite beat) a decline/flatening of the EPS.
Coupled with the rise of expectation (pic 2) it could lead to a miss and ... |
WMT Earnings and the Impending Selloff(🌈🐻 porn) | TLDR: WMT paints bleak picture of 2025, market goes down
Alright guys, I’ve got my FD’s locked and loaded. It’s not a huge play, only 3K worth, but they’re out the money and very short expiry. I think WMT is going to tank the market tomorrow. Walmart has historically been the “canary in the coal mine” when it com... |
BOIL too far too fast. Pseudoscience and confirmation bias on why it will go down. | BOIL which is a leveraged natural gas futures ETF has gone up faster than my dick when I first saw my best friends sister in a thong. To quantify how hard my dick was in the past 5 days BOIL is up 42%. Some quick pseudoscience on what has happened since 2024 when BOIL has been up 30% in a 5 days span:
1. Jan 2 → Jan 9... |
Is FTAI a Goldmine or Fraud? A Special Situation With Hedge Fund Action | Alright, strap in and keep your seatbacks in the upright position because we’re about to take off into the best jet engine showdown since someone tried to fit an F-35 into a Spirit Airlines budget.
Now, I bought FTAI with the highly sophisticated investing strategy of “stock go down much, now stock go up” via a method... |
$SENS - The Sleeper Stock Set to Disrupt the $20B CGM Market with a Life-Changing 365-Day Sensor | Hi Everyone,
Senseonics Holdings ($SENS), has been on my radar for quite some time, and I finally believe it's time for this company to take off. I first got into SENS back in the beginning of 2021, when it ran from pennies to dollars. This run was caused by hype around their Continuous Glucose Monitor products (CGM) ... |
You're not getting any inheritance. [DD] | Fries in the bag, chud.
You're not getting the inheritance you thought you were. Nana's bagholding life, and she's not going to let the suits take it from her without a fight.
**PART 1: The Setup**
https://preview.redd.it/97p7mlj7oxje1.jpg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f31f08a9ec7a038a13bff2fd9eb4be8dca05255e
H... |
$PARA YOLO - Undervalued Giant with Massive Upside Potential | **Paramount Global ($PARA) is an undervalued giant hiding in plain sight.** The misunderstood fundamentals and exaggerated expectation for the death of traditional media has fueled a shockingly unique opportunity on a company that is fundamentally sound and poised for future growth due to its incredibly strong brands. ... |
The Nebius Boys Are Trying to Speedrun the Entire AI Cloud Industry—Will It Work? ($NBIS) | Nebius Group is the ultimate chip-on-the-shoulder company—literally. Here’s a group of ex-Yandex billionaires, sitting in Amsterdam, staring at Larry Page, Jeff Bezos, and Satya Nadella’s mega yachts, foaming at the mouth, thinking: *we built Google, Uber, and AWS for Russia, and we got stuck in Putin’s nightmare econo... |
$DBX: Dropbox Took out a FAT LOAN to pump itself and avoid a pile of debt repayment in 2026. Will it work? |
**TL/DR:🌈🐻 Case (my personal prediction):
Stock stays below $38.25.
They pay the full $695.8M 2026 convertible note in cash instead of converting the debt to stock.
The $2 Billion loan for buybacks ends up being a leveraged bag hold, and 2026 refinancing happens under terrible conditions.
Short sellers feast on a li... |
ANF is going to fly 🚀🚀🚀 | Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is a gold mine right now. I'll try to keep this brief, because we're all lazy.
\[Post writing update: It was not short. TLDR; ANF good. why down? idk? Me bought \~60k $ worth. Me likey ANF growth. Me likey money.\]
\[Edit: I'm more than happy with ANF hitting 120 or even 130, I think it coul... |
$278k+ in LUNR. Here’s how to play | Obviously do what you want. Not financial advice and whatever.
I posted DD a few weeks back about buying the dip on this stock. Back then it was 22 ish and I predicted it would have some potential dips before going higher. Well those dips happened and I hope you scooped up some longs or shares when it was in the 17s a... |
BlackBerry: A Legacy Stock That’s Going To Get Re-Rated And Run | BlackBerry is not a dead brand. It’s not a failed smartphone company. It’s not just another stock that spikes when retail traders pile in and then disappears.
It is a deeply entrenched, high-margin infrastructure software business that has gone completely unnoticed in the AI-driven rally. While every software stock re... |
This sector you've never touched is a 10-bagger. [DD] | I want to focus a sector that receives no love: Mining.
Trading at decade-lows with little investor interest, mining stocks today are like tech stocks in 2001. I'm going to show you how they have all the elements of a 10-bagger play, and how you should take advantage of the upcoming bull run
**PART 1: Qualities of a ... |
Steel DD: Trump Tariff Time | **Summary**
Before we knew Trump was getting elected we were looking at a reversion to the mean from the once in a lifetime bull market of 2021-2023. We also had China starting to dump insane amounts of steel globally. In 2024, China’s steel exports climbed to 110.72 million metric tons, reflecting a 22.7% rise from t... |
BB double down, | BB has completed the turn around. It's no longer a meme craze. A profitable company with a good balance sheet and growth. Dominant player in Automotive industry. What's your realistic price target for this company and why I should sell? |
$GENI: Genius Sports, it’s literally in the name | $GENI: The No-Brainer Play Before Earnings
Alright, I’m going to make this simple. Genius Sports ($GENI) is about to take off, and if you’re not paying attention, you’re going to be that guy watching from the sidelines. This stock is setting up technically, has a major catalyst on deck (earnings), and is riding indust... |
The next potential candidate for S&P inclusion - Coin | The Next s&p 500 inclusion - Coinbase
No one is talking about this so let’s discuss. Coin had a good run up day before earning reports. They had a good earning but stock tanked.
The next S&P 500 inclusion will happen on 21st March. We have seen what happens when they rebalance and add stocks like palantir..
I’m conv... |
The Future of Battery Technology is Here! - Enovix | Hey everyone,
I've been diving deep into the potential of Enovix lately, and I think this company might be gearing up to redefine the battery space as we know it. Here are a few reasons why I’m excited. I have 2000 share outside of this option play.
1. **Cutting-Edge 3D Battery Architecture:** Enovix’s innovative des... |
$350k Bet on a Foreign Airline - The Bull Case for Air Canada | Positions:
https://preview.redd.it/ynqr0i80j5je1.png?width=2540&format=png&auto=webp&s=abc925b48b084ed2d9cc89a34dadc488add3faa6
Air Canada (AC.TO) released earnings yesterday. Revenue increased more than anticipated, and EPS was just as with projections. They were able to perform in-line with the bullish guidance tha... |
Herbalife ($HLF) is going to bounce back HARD after EARNINGS | What's up snitches, I bet Herbalife ($HLF) is not the name you were expecting to see today when you opened up WSB.
**MISSION BRIEF**
For those of you that don't know Herbalife, it's a MLM pyramid scheme company that makes their affiliates sell Wendy's dumpster tier quality protein shakes to neighborhood moms. To make... |
Why CRZBY is my "crazy baby"! | Good day fellow crazy babies,
today I want to talk about one of the biggest German banks Commerzbank (CRZBY) and why I am heavily invested in them.
Honestly I won't bore you with the basics, but to summarize they have very good financials, with rising common business activity, profit, EPS, dividends and capital:
|... |
SMCI Bull Thesis | SMCI BULLISH Thesis
This has been the most time I've ever spent researching a stock. So far, in matters of relevance, key indicators have been used based on relevant facts over BS fiction short seller reports. Let's look at historical facts and readily available information. SMCI company is BRUTALLY HONEST, and they a... |
BigBear.AI (BBAI) -- Time to Get Off? Or go full regard? Here's my DD. | *\*Second submission attempt with hopefully appropriate position screenshot\**
First, let me give credit where credit is due and give props to this BBAI rally we're witnessing. Pretty impressive, though speculative.
Please see my short position below and allow me to explain why I'm bearish on BBAI and why this party ... |
Spotify Buy/Sell/Holf | Spotify Buy/Sell/Hold, is it overvalued?
I've been bullish on SPOT for years, started buying at $73 in 2022 and DCA'd up to a cost basis of $120, so I've done well so far but is my original thesis playing out and still intact?
**OG Thesis:**
My original thesis, shortened so we can focus on today and the future: The ... |
Moar!!!! Down with the TWLO . Someone please tell me what they do | null |
$SXT – THE DYING RAINBOW: worse for your portfolio than Red5 |
Listen up, degenerates. Tomorrow, the **Skittles Factory of Wall Street**, otherwise known as **Sensient Technologies ($SXT)**, drops its earnings. And I’m here to tell you why this thing is about to get curb-stomped harder than a bag of Doritos in a fat kid’s backpack.
1. FDA Just Banned Red Dye No. 3 – And This I... |
Analyzing Undervalued Tech: Intels Semiconductor Manufacturing | Alright bonobos, I put all my creativity into making a title that spells AUTISM so I hope that will be enough to make you at least skip all this text and read the TL;DR of this post. While I start this of in WSB style the content is supposed to be serious. I'm writing this post in tribute to Nana and hope her regarded ... |
Case for a super-stellar NVDA Earnings and unprecedented growth | **Case for a super-stellar NVDA Earnings and unprecedented growth**
**TL;DR**: Immediate PT 162 after earnings event on 2/26
*Disclaimer*: I have 10+ years of extensive AI background (before it was cool) in leading industry and academic institutions with multiple first-author top AI research papers and patents. Never... |
Tomorrow we go to Valhalla. TTD | 107 puts expiring 💝 day. I want $70. |
$INTC The most hated 10 bagger that will make grandma proud | TLDR; only truly American fab. With AI race at full speed, semiconductor hardware (NOT SOFTWARE) will become the defining strategic resource of the superpowers.
People will say oh but TSMC is better at production, but NVDA designs better chips, but AMD. We have to take a trip through the history of TSMC and its foun... |
Ultimate CELH dip to rip 🚀🚀🚀 | So an opportunity has presented itself and I want to share it with my regarded brothers. While rotating as a medical student at different hospitals across the country, one thing that was common amongst them: all doctors, residents, nurses, etc all had Celsius on tap in their hands. Compared to coffee, it tastes better,... |
QBTS D Wave primed for a pop? | Personally, I think this company is in a very advantageous position. They offer both Cloud services and functional quantum computers. And they’ve shown that their quantum computing can be scaled which all but alleviates the concern of precision degradation. Intel an IBM state within the next 3 to 5 years, quantum compu... |
Rocket Lab is more than a meme stock 🚀 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) had a great run in 2024. After hitting a quintuple bottom at $3.47 in April 2024, it broke out of a three year bear-market and rallied 690% to $27.44 last Friday, at 12.3 billion market cap. While the rocketing stock price seems too hot to touch, the stock is just getting started.
* Electron rocket h... |
Why Estimates For NVIDIA's Q4 Revenue Could Be Dead Wrong: The Case for NVIDIA's Next Blowout Report | TL;DR: Estimating NVIDIA's Q4 FY2025\* revenue from the capex of its four largest customers using linear regression results in an estimated revenue that is significantly higher than Wall Street's expectations.
*\*Note: Although it may sound confusing, NVIDIA is in fiscal year 2025 and will report its* [*Q4 FY2025 resu... |
NKE Potential High Reward Setup with full analysis and position. | **MONDAY UPDATE**: Monday closed at day high, above Friday's high, block trades shows institutional support the battle of 70 has clearly established it as strong accumulation support, this should gap up nicely tmr as analysts identify the trade blocks and feel more confident of entering position; could rally 2 days in ... |
Bullish on $RDDT | [RDDT Holdings \(Sold and Re-entered during some occasional dips\)](https://preview.redd.it/xkkht9oe9vhe1.png?width=407&format=png&auto=webp&s=513129307cc5aa993ff40c281b375306647e3832)
Listen up! RDDT is my ride-or-die play. This ain’t just another meme stock. This baby is primed to print tendies. Reddit’s got an army... |
$LUNR DD | $LUNR DD
intuitive machines ($LUNR)
market cap: 1.7B
current share price: $18.41
52-week range: 3.15-24.95
summary:
intuitive machines is based in Houston. they are a space exploration company specializing in lunar missions and infrastructure. they design, manufacture, and operate space products and services, aiming t... |
DD: Why I’m All In $NBIS | Alright degenerates, let’s talk about NBIS—the AI infrastructure company that Wall Street has been sleeping on but might be gearing up for a major post-earnings rip.
This company spun out of Yandex, but thanks to all the geopolitical drama, a lot of people still don’t know what it actually is. TL;DR: It’s basically Ru... |
🚀 HAS (Hasbro) is About to Move! 🚀 | Disclaimer: I'm just a person on the internet. I have been practicing tracking dark pool and large block orders on OpenBB and Whale Stream and using it to signal moves when the open interest on a stock lines up for it. Also, I got 3 HAS 2/21 $61 call contracts at open, so I am totally biased. Still, this is why I bough... |
BULLISH on CLSK's Earnings Today 2/6/25 | Disclosure: \~$32k in CLSK calls and \~$100k in CLSK shares between Schwab and RH accounts.
CleanSpark (CLSK) is the most heavily suppressed stock in the BTC mining industry. It has a 28% short interest due to covered callers shorting the stock. I ran numbers based on prior financials and accounted for appreciation of... |
$NVDA Calls - Why I’m in |
AI demand is exploding → Everyone needs GPUs
Who sells them? NVIDIA.
Stargate plan → More AI demand → More $$$
• Earnings per share (EPS) going up, but stock is down → Opportunity
• Fundamentals remain strong, analysts are bullish
Stock has been red for the last 3 months = Potential earnings run-up
• Earnings in... |
DD: Big Bear AI ($BBAI) - palantir 2.0 | I’m looking for the regardedest, lowest, humblest of you to confirm the way.
* Big brains didn’t agree when "[geneman7](https://www.reddit.com/user/geneman7/)" said PLTR bumpy revenues weren’t a concern (2022).
* Big brains didn’t agree when "[geneman7](https://www.reddit.com/user/geneman7/)" said get into Bitcoin bef... |
CLSK Earnings Today and What Follows | On 11/24/24, I called MSTR top at $422 and it dipped. From 11/8/24 to 11/21/24, I bought IREN expecting an HPC-AI update. It rallied 60% to $15.39 in a week. On 11/15/24, I bought SMCI believing extension approval likely. It rallied 138% to $44.16. With earnings tomorrow, Bitcoin miner CLSK is up next.
Don't be surpri... |
Great Time to Scoop up Some AMD! | I believe the market is overreacting to AMD Q4 earnings, representing a great time to add some shares. Let's get into it.
**Q4 Highlights -**
* Revenue of $7,658 billion, 24% increase YoY.
* Gross Profit of $3,882, 33% increase YoY.
* Increased Gross Margin of 51%.
* Operating Income of $871 million, 155% increase Yo... |
NVDA Pre-Earnings DD (Sentiment and Technical) To Go with 77k Position | Brief long NVDA thesis for earnings run-up
Fundamentals
* AI CAPEX accelerating into FY25 with hyper-scalers guidance (META, GOOG, MSFT, ORCL)
* Watch for AMZN earnings after mkt tmrw
* Don’t care if AI is a bubble; companies will keep spending in the short term
* Continued moat, industry dominance, and ma... |
**Thesis: Why You Should Go Bullish on PayPal Right Now** | Let’s talk about why jumping on PayPal (PYPL) is a no-brainer as of February 5, 2025.
1. **Totally Oversold**: PayPal’s stock has taken a hit lately, and it’s trading at a discount. When the market overreacts and pushes the price down, that’s a prime chance for a bounce back. Think of this as buying low before it star... |
Remember $PAA last year? It’s back. | Good evening degens. About ten months ago, Plains All American Pipeline had some great DD posted here about call options and IV in the midstream space.
Some key themes were around a potential Trump presidency and favorable domestic drilling policy. The implied moves on companies like this are low because they pay ou... |
NVO earnings | Hey lads, sorry i wish i could have shared a nice DD but i'm bad with ChatGPT.
So let's do this.
NVO will announce earnings tomorrow before the market openning and i think it's time to ride the tiger.
There is several indicator that shows how hard the rocket will go.
1) The stock is underevaluated, they are pioneer ... |
The market has not accurately priced in Recursion Pharmaceuticals' (RXRX) upcoming drug presentation. | Recursion Pharmacueticals is biotech company that claims they can use AI to develop drugs for less money, faster. They are presenting a late breaking science oral abstract session on REC-994 at the International Stroke Conference tomorrow. For those of you who (like me) didn't know what late breaking science oral abs... |
I hold both $PLTR Palantir and $BB Blackberry. Why I'm confident Blackberry will be the next Palantir | Ah yes, I'll say it first, "oh look, another BlackBerry thread, these always come up once every year and nothing ever happens" or "been holding BBags since $15". Well, I've been holding onto my BBags for 4 years (just as I have with Palantir) - you can check my posting history for receipts - and I'm holding for glory.
... |
Short Idea (w/ Position) - Sprout Farmers Market (Ticker: SFM) | **Position**: Posting again, with position ($15k short bet) as requested by Moderator (thank you for your support):
https://preview.redd.it/7nxxmrtkyxge1.png?width=1027&format=png&auto=webp&s=78d79580759c34db6689269a7adc1d0633314532
**Update** **#1** \- The Mexico tariffs are supposedly delayed by a month, which was ... |
Tariffs? Flight into safe Haven Assets -> Long $UUP | Alright degenerates, listen up. We're in uncharted waters with Canada slapping 25% tariffs on $115 billion of US goods, but if history’s any guide, our safe-haven play on the U.S. dollar is rock solid. When trade wars ramp up, uncertainty goes through the roof—and that’s exactly when global investors scramble for safet... |
$Grab stage 2 breakout | **Base Formation and Breakout:**
$Grab has built a solid **2.5-year base**, a period of consolidation that often precedes significant price movements. This extended base indicates that the stock has been accumulating, with sellers exhausted and buyers stepping in.The recent **breakout from this base** is a critical si... |
DD: Why I'm bearish on $DUOL's next earnings (As a Duolingo user) | tldr: bearish short-term as I'm worried about the conversion and retention rate of key revenue driver(GenAI paid subscription), optimistic on long-term growth, Duolingo is a great app.
DD:
$DUOL has seen tremendous growth since Dec 2022, about the same time ChatGPT was announced, stock has 4x since then. The platform... |
DD: What is going on with China's recent developments in quantum computing? | Google [Tianyan-504](https://duckduckgo.com/?q=tianyan-504&t=newext&atb=v452-1&ia=web). Google [Zuchongzhi 3.0](https://duckduckgo.com/?q=tianyan-504&t=newext&atb=v452-1&ia=web). Google it, right now. Who’s reporting this? China is right behind the USA in quantum computing research, and the markets don't seem to have a... |
$ACHR: Now Is the Time for Archer Aviation with Upcoming Certifications, Pilot-only Flight and UAE Confidence of 2025 Commercial Launch | This is going to be an amazing 2025 for Archer Aviation with upcoming catalysts that I will list below. Also, today Archer's Chief Commercial Officer, Nikhil Goal, is speaking today about upcoming KEY milestones for Archer Aviation heading into the print.
**TLDR**: Archer's earnings call is slated for February 24, 202... |
Intel will skyrocket after earnings today (AGAIN). Here's why | Intel reports its earnings today after the bell, and I am certain that the price will pump like last time.
I made a post last quarter predicting Intel would go up after earnings. My reasoning for this play was that the CEO at the time (Pat Gelsinger), was very active on X dropping bible quotes every day. You could jus... |
Corsair is back on the menu, boys | The future of gaming that rekt us all in 2021 is the future of gaming, again.
The upgrade cycle is upon us, as indicated by the Logitech report last night, which noted gaming sales were unexpectedly “near pandemic highs.” LOGI's gaming revenue was $467mm vs. est of $393mm. Adding to that is the NVDA RTX 5070 release, ... |
Nebius play | Core business is Nebius, but have 3 other businesses too.
1. Nebius: an AI-centric cloud platform built for intensive AI workloads. Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms and tools and services for developers.
2. Toloka: a data partner for all stages of gen... |
$MSTR the short that will keep on printing | BTC down 2%, MSTR down 4%. Welcome to the shareholder dilution clinic where you'll learn how to ignore the flashing warning signs of shares sold ATM and how to develop diamond hands to get you through bond conversion redemptions that further dilute shareholder equity.
Special guests will include the Fan Bois, who will... |
$MGNI Part 2: Why DOJ vs. Google Could Be a Multi-Bagger Opportunity | Glad you all enjoyed my [MGNI DD last week](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i7omel/why_mgni_will_soar_after_nflxs_blowout_earnings/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button). This afternoon, I did a deeper dive on a catalyst on the horizon that almost no ... |
DD: UiPath ($PATH) - Mispriced and Misunderstood | I’m looking for the regardedest, lowest, humblest of you to confirm the way.
* Big brains didn’t agree when I said PLTR bumpy revenues weren’t a concern (2022).
* Big brains didn’t agree when I said get into Bitcoin before the wall street wave (2017).
* Big brains didn’t agree when I said Tesla revenues were about to ... |
AMZN convoy on the way to delivery Tendies | null |
$ACHR, In Partnership With Anduril, With Potential DoD/DARPA Funding and Phase 1A Already Underway | Archer Aviation May Be About To Deliver Its 6 Military Aircraft to the USAF AFWERX Commitment Soon Including the Reveal of its NEW Hybrid-Propulsion Military-First Midnight/Anduril Variant Aircraft. I wish you and me small retail investors could invest in Anduril. Here's your chance!
**TLDR**; The Archer Aviation and ... |
$SANA DD - Short & Sweet: Sana immune evasive tech has unlocked previously impossible therapies -tens/hundreds of billions of dollars worth | SANA is the first and only one to demonstrate that cells from another person can survive in a HUMAN without immunosuppressant drugs (they literally just demonstrated this in a HUMAN a mere 3 weeks ago, see link below). Sana modified the cells in a specific way to make them evade immune rejection (they have patents on t... |
$ACHR 58K YOLO on Weeklies Based on Repeating Pattern Of Hinting A New Partnership | **TLDR:** My Hypothesis is that an Agreement/Partnership/Investment with **Saudi Arabia** will be announced very soon... Leading ACHR to All Time Highs and beyond...
Ok... will be doing another Regarded Highly speculative YOLO based on the repeating pattern I'm going to mention in this DD... **Very Speculative and Reg... |
I have 130k call expiring in Jan | Hopefully I don’t lose ALL of them. |
Why $MGNI Will Soar After $NFLX’s Blowout Earnings Yesterday | So after I posted my YOLO on Magnite this morning, some of you mentioned in the comments that it would be helpful for me to drop a DD. Buckle up, my friends— why I'm long Magnite $MGNI
(Although for some reason I don’t think of them as “Magnite” in my head, I say it at Magini or Maggie because that how the ticker soun... |
Decoding the leaked $XP Ponzi report. | NEWS: Yesterday afternoon a Hindenburg research short report [leaked](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/xp-shares-tumble-on-rumored-hindenburg-short-report-93CH-3822991). This appears to have been a report that they initially intended to publish, but when they made the decision to close down, was instead... |
Intel will be the surprise overperformer in 2025, starting with the 1/30 ER. | Before I start, I want to preface this by acknowledging the memes and negative connection between intel and the one guy who lost his grandma's funds, but I genuinely believe with how low st. expectations are, combined with intel's massive sell-off these few months, Intel will skyrocket leading up/during the ER @ 1/30/2... |
LUNR DD for Non-degenerates | LUNR DD for non-degenerates
Tl;Dr: LUNR will be volatile, but will just keep slowly rising over the next decade as space missions to the moon materialize and LUNR will be one of the main companies allowing it to happen.
LUNR caught my attention last spring during that moon landing that “failed” resulting in a spectac... |
Carvana - DD from a Senior Finance Manaer | Brief background - my day job is as a Senior Finance manager at a big tech firm and I have passed all 3 levels of the CFA (not currently working as an active CFA Charterholder). The following is not investment advice.
Been doing hours of research on Carvana since the Hindenberg Research report came out. [https://hinde... |
Missed Quantum Computing? UFO/alien narrative may be next | |
Betting $1M on BLOCK ($SQ) as a bitcoin mining play | Jack Dorsey (dad) is the second biggest bitcoin dick rider after Saylor. The problem with Jack is that he's a low key CEO that doesn't like to be in the public eye and therefore sucks at pumping his own stock. This is where we come in. Time to shed some light on how undervalued BLOCK is.
https://preview.redd.it/0jey9... |
From Hawley-Smoot to Soy Boy: Why I’m All-In on Puts for Tuesday | “In 1930, the Republican-controlled House of Representatives, in an effort to alleviate the effects of the... Anyone? Anyone?...
*The Great Depression, passed the...*
*Anyone? Anyone?* ***The tariff bill?***
*The Hawley-Smoot Tariff Act? Which, anyone? Raised or lowered?...*
***Raised tariffs***\*, in an effort to ... |
STNG Puts - Biden sanctions induced rally which provides good entry for shorts | [I wrote this dd](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/198ip3b/stng_part_2_of_my_4_part_red_sea_shipping_series/) some time ago where I bought STNG calls and it worked out [reasonably well,](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1992whu/stng_president_selling_i_am_selling_21k_gain_on/) I've been ... |
Spilling the Beans on Tariffs: The Untold Story of Soybeans Part II | My apologies for the double post. I believe my first post got deleted for failing to share a screen shot. That's fixed (hence the part 2).
I've got some deep seeded DD here, so lentil me your eyes. I promise to keep this brief, because I'm lazy as shit. Soybeans are my play, and we are closing in on the last days to g... |
NBIS - Options Activity and Call Walls | Positions have adapted slightly since my previous post but I’ll be long NBIS for the foreseeable future, conservatively targeting $65 a share.
PCR is around 0.3, with most OTM volume around $38 and $40 strikes.
This plays into the resistance at 38. The next major expiry comes into play on Feb 21st, with open interest... |
SENS: it’s back | Do you like making money? So do I, which is why I’m balls deep in SENS and my wife’s BF is balls deep in…well, you know.
Anywho, most of you have probably heard of SENS but if you haven’t, they are a boomed with the longest lasting CGM system with a whooping 365 day approval that just went live last quarter. Think dex... |
TH and the Immigration Trifecta | Target Hospitality (TH) is a relatively overlooked potential beneficiary of Trump’s Immigration policy. They are one of the largest providers of temporary accommodations. These temporary accommodations have been used for (a) immigration, and (b) large construction projects - think infrastructure build-outs or oil explo... |
CorMedix (CRMD): My Regarded DD & Position. | **A)You guys didn't like my last regarded post so here's my DD; and**
**(B)The following is my opinion, and is NOT investment advice**.
**TLDR:** I believe CorMedix will be $25-$50 by EOY… Mark my regardation... Enjoy.
**Summary:** CorMedix ran 214% since August 2024. I believe CRMD will run to $25-$50 before y... |
$RGTI CEO: US taxpayers are their main "customers" who pay their "revenue", need to lower expectations on commercial use | Hello quantum "experts",
Are your RGTI profits both in your account and not in your account? I guess it depends when you look at it.
Last I looked, I made 6X my money with $7 puts, In this post I questioned RGTI's revenue sources before the CEO admitted what they are, see below.
[https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetb... |
SERV's food delivery robots will fail and I can prove it | ERROR: type should be string, got "https://preview.redd.it/bofd5uleb7de1.png?width=452&format=png&auto=webp&s=ecd1178ed4bda7f8ef6c000f100fb769464dd705\n\nYou thought it would be because of crackheads and homeless people? Nope, those are the least of Serve Robotics' worries. \n\n\n\nThe company has a history of not only being unprofitable, but also having negative gross margins. That's REALLY bad, the cost of operating their robots is higher than the revenue generated from them. It's the equivalent of buying high and selling low, I'm sure you regards are familiar with that.\n\nThis would be fine if the company focused on improving the robot's efficiency, autonomy and costs until they can demonstrate potential future profitability...\n\nBut instead, this year they suddenly decided to start manufacturing 2000 of their 3rd generation robot. That's a 20x increase from their current fleet of 100 robots. These robots cost more to produce than an average car, this sudden ramp up will put a lot of financial pressure on the company. The CEO's reasoning: this mass production contract will help drive the robot's cost down.\n\n\n\n*By the way, did you know their robots are actually remote controlled with a PS5 controller 20% of the time?*\n\n[From SERV's 10-K 2023 SEC filing](https://preview.redd.it/q3zaju5vb7de1.png?width=560&format=png&auto=webp&s=d1aac7002652983d323481aaf88297d549d30988)\n\nAnyways, let's run the numbers down. Don't skip to the TLDR yet I'll try to make it interesting.\n\nWhat we want to figure out is a future projection of:\n\n* a robot's average yearly revenue\n* its associated yearly costs as well as production costs\n* calculate the years it takes to get a return on investment\n\nLet's first take a look at their fleet's current revenue.\n\n[From SERV's latest quarterly report](https://preview.redd.it/67fawqkec7de1.png?width=711&format=png&auto=webp&s=02b62e9a6900fd04f87a36d1891284e6161d91f0)\n\nExtrapolated yearly, that's $450k in delivery revenue generated by the robots. But how many robots were active during that period?\n\nhttps://preview.redd.it/hligx3cic7de1.png?width=559&format=png&auto=webp&s=5c085ee410181ab38760de0fc31c6f685e272444\n\nThe \"daily supply hours\" indicate a daily runtime of about 8h per robot. \n\nOn average, 59 daily active robots. Extrapolating the quarterly data, that gives us an average yearly delivery revenue per robot of... **$7612**.\n\n\n\nDoes that sound bad? We haven't even looked at the cost of operating each of these robots, and just comparing that yearly revenue to the manufacturing cost of the robot makes you question how they could ever reach profitability. \n\n\n\nI dug into their [SEC filings](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1832483/000121390024018566/ea0200355ex10-16_serverobot.htm) and found out their current 2nd generation robots cost them **$63,654** each. It's very unsurprising the CEO never talks about that number in any of his numerous interviews. It would currently take a robot 8 years to gain enough delivery revenue to pay back its initial production cost.\n\n\n\nWe haven't even talked about the cost of revenue yet, Is it already all over for Serve robotics? No, remember, what we're interested in is a projection of their future profitability. \n\n\n\nAccording to the company, their 3rd gen delivery robots that will begin manufacturing will have more battery autonomy, higher top speeds (up to 11mph, looking forward to the inevitable accidents and lawsuits), and a production cost per robot slashed by half.\n\n\n\nI booted up excel and ran the numbers. Considering the delivery revenue efficiency per robot hours barely went up between 2023 and 2024, I'm projecting a charitable improved daily robot runtime (currently at 8h) and delivery efficiency increase based on the new gen robot specs. Also accounting for the halved robot cost ($32,000):\n\n[values are per robot](https://preview.redd.it/ckldrv0dd7de1.png?width=995&format=png&auto=webp&s=02a0c75367a05a732cf3623d50ffea942aa52f83)\n\nNot looking great...\n\nAnd I'm not done, lets get to the fun part! Expenses.\n\n\n\nThese are the expenses that directly scale with the number of robots:\n\n* **Robot remote control and monitoring:**\n\nAs I've mentioned before, the robots need to be remote controlled 20% of the time to navigate \"complicated\" situations like intersection crossings. For a robot daily uptime of 10 hours, that's 2 hours of human work time. In reality, more than 2 hours would be necessary as the amount of robots needing human control at the same time will spike. Let's go with 2.5 hours as a conservative estimate. At a rate of 20$/hour, that's... $18,250 spent yearly per robot. \n\n* **Robot repairs and maintenance:**\n\nYearly robot repairs and maintenance typically amount to 10 to 20% of their initial cost. Considering SERV's robots operate outside, sometimes under rain and other bad conditions, their maintenance costs are probably higher but let's use the conservative estimate of 10%, so $3200 per year.\n\n\n\nThose are the two biggest expenses, I'll ignore mobile internet costs (each robot livestreams video feed to human operators), the cost to physically help the robot when it gets toppled over, energy cost to repair batteries, etc.\n\n\n\nBefore we get to the final projection, it's important to take into account a secondary revenue source for their robots: advertisement revenue. Ads they stick on the sides and top of the robot. I chose an estimate of $800 a month per robot in ad revenue. For reference, full car wrap ad services typically pay at maximum $400/month.\n\n\n\nAnd here we have the final projection:\n\n[values are per robot](https://preview.redd.it/4gr0dcn7e7de1.png?width=986&format=png&auto=webp&s=ab2493adeaa67574b7f9950de2da425b3b5f31ce)\n\nEven with the most charitable projection, 6 years to recoup the robot's production cost is way too long to be profitable. The robot's lifespan might not even exceed 5 years. The real cost of operating the robots will also very likely be much higher than my estimation.\n\n# A bit of history\n\nSERV is currently valued at over 1 billion dollars. When it IPOed, at the beginning of 2024, it was priced at a valuation of 100 Million, and its stock quickly dropped by half once it hit the market. Since then, it diluted its shares by more than 2x. \n\nSo why did the stock massively pump 2000% in the middle of the year? That happened after the reveal of NVIDIA's $12M investment (at the time, 10% ownership) in the company. \n\nNVIDIA's venture capital arm ([Nventures](https://www.nventures.ai/)), invested in the company back in 2022. It invests in all sorts of innovative AI companies who use their products. NVIDIA has a vested interest in the company successfully operating autonomous delivery robots, it's great advertisement for their Jetson modules and the advancement of AI. That does not mean NVIDIA believes or really cares that much about the company being able to generate a profit.\n\n# My prediction\n\nThe 2000 robots, all supposedly manufactured during 2025, will cost the company an initial 60 million dollars. As the robots begin operating, costs will balloon 20 times over and revenue won't catch up. Serve Robotics will continue bleeding money at a much faster pace, and will keep diluting shares. Insiders started selling a lot of shares in the past 2 months ($3M). I expect it might take a while for the price to correct itself, but considering how overvalued SERV is right now I'm confident in shorting it and I expect it to drop during future financial reports.\n\n\n\nI am short $3200, 180 shares at $17.80. Not financial advice.\n\nhttps://preview.redd.it/n9snsxcrf7de1.png?width=921&format=png&auto=webp&s=788feba3e1b0343e063bf5eb7ab7ac2ac383ced9\n\nI'd also like to declare myself the official winner against u/Remarkable_File9128 who [challenged](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1hrxxk7/kulr_bullish_dd/) my DD on KULR" |
NBIS - Picks & Shovels but make it AI | TL:DR :
* Company makes infrastructure for AI workloads at extremely impressive efficiency levels. Proprietary configuration for GPU clusters (first in NA to complete in Q1), has efficiency levels and compute performance beyond that of Tesla's latest creation, which NVDA Jensen said described as remarkable. Tip of the... |
KODAK will prosper under the new US Administration | I read this post by user Adventurous Date a couple months back:
"Kodak now has 1.4 Billion in cash after they sold the excess from the pension. They only have 400 million in debt.
They could literally pay off all their debt and still have a billion in cash.
And the market cap is only… 532 million. That means the amo... |
NVO Novo Nordisk A/S is trading at a discount. | While some might think of juicy burgers and crunchy chicken tendies when reading 'discount', it is actually Novo trading at a discount. Since the crazy market overreaction to Novo's latest GLP-1 drug study results, it has become evident, that Novo Nordisk is heavily undervalued.
While Novo can do better communicating ... |
$PLUG PlugPower could ROCKET this week on DOE Loan confirmation [Must Read DD] | Plug Power is a leading company in the hydrogen fuel cell industry. They are arguably the most "legit" hydrogen play with over 150 patents and Walmart and Amazon partnerships. However this isn't about the company long term. **It's about $1.6B coming there way any day now from a DOE Loan.**
First the setup. A huge amou... |
These puts could be 20 Baggers. Turn $1,000 into $20,000 | I want to keep this DD super simple. $DJT, Trump's "tech" company where he owns a controlling stake called Trump Media & Technology Group. Everyone knowns their financials are a dumpster fire, and the company has NEVER traded based on any real value or earnings. Seriously, take a glance at them. This is purely a game o... |
EIX is responsible for burning down an entire neighborhood | Hello All,
First and foremost - my condolences to all those who are effected by the wildfires in Los Angeles. It's truly a terrible situation, and as you will see, a completely preventable one.
On the night of Tuesday, January 7th, Los Angeles experienced historical winds reaching in excess of 80 mph. During that n... |
These calls could be 100 Baggers. Turn $1,000 into $100,000 | Okay, so everyone remembers me when I gave you the 500 bagger play on $DJT in March and everyone made a ton of money. I also gave the $DJT play in Jan and in Sep 2024. Well we're back one final time.
I want to keep this DD super simple. $DJT is Trump's tech company he owns like 60% of called Trump Media & Technology G... |
$RGTI needs to come clean on revenue sources, or Jensen is right | Hey all,
It's your favorite RGTI short story teller.
Below is the shortest short thesis I wrote on RGTI a week a go and made 10X on my puts.
[https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1hsszsq/rgti\_management\_sold\_at\_2\_giving\_us\_the\_shortest/](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1hsszsq/rg... |
Is Qatari Sheikh planning to take over Papa John’s? | Papa Johns has been dishing shitty pizza and shittier returns for a long time now
But it looks like it caught the eye of a Qatari sheikh who just created a hedge fund with a strategic partner who has the experience and intention to take PZZA private or at least shake things up
Some hedge fund called Irth Capita... |
Rumors of HUMA's demise are greatly exaggerated | This DD on HUMA requires the reader to be a bit off mentally. So I couldn't think of a better stage than this dumpster fire of a sub (behind Wendy's). After rimming the $10 level this summer, the stock has settled under $5 despite [FDA approval.](https://investors.humacyte.com/news-releases/news-release-details/humacyt... |
Meta ⭐️5 | Playing the TikTok ban. Posting for the 4th time….
¥\~Previous Events
=They posted beautiful numbers during earnings but Mark started talking about bad AI numbers and the market panicked a bit.
=The market was digesting Meta's insane comeback anyway. They need something big to impress outside of expected lar... |
Moderna (MRNA) upside potential | Lots of bad news in 2024 crashed the stock from its high of 166$ (May 2024) namely:
1) Declining covid-19 vaccine sales
2) Revised business outlook for long term about sales
3) R&D cuts and loss of investor confidence
4) RFK Jr running HHS (vaccine denial)
5) News of one vaccine side effects in elderly
Current price: ... |
CVNA puts…what yall think | Got CVNA puts 12/26/24 ..thank god for Hindi |
The current U.S. stock market valuation has reached 2000 and 2021 levels. Will this time be different? | Three different U.S. stock market valuation models (the Buffett Indicator, CAPE ratio, and Mean Reversion Model - three different ways of objectively looking at the overall valuation of the current market) are flashing extreme overvaluation warning signs that were both last seen in 2000 and 2021. Both 2000 and 2021 ma... |
2025 Options Mispricing | 4-14 day OTM call options on US indexes will be mispriced in 2025 due to market under pricing Trump effect.
The heat map shows % movement of SPY over time last year. SPY moved >2% 23 times over 3 days and 34 times over 4 days. c10% of trading days.
So we could buy an option every day or wait only for low IV weekly en... |
"New" Volkswagen Leaks | Alright degenerates, strap in because this is why Volkswagen might just be the juiciest short of 2025. Spoiler alert: this makes Dieselgate look like a warmup.
My Position: Just opened a -0,4 Delta 80€ put on Volkswagen (Vz.) for 5000 € expiring 19th June 26.
The Chaos Computer Club just (27.12.24) just revealed that... |
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