Temporal Decay of Co-Citation Predictability: A 20-Year Statute Retrieval Benchmark from 396M Ukrainian Court Citations
Paper • 2605.17639 • Published
year int64 2.01k 2.02k | mrr_original float64 0.27 0.46 | mrr_fixed_article float64 0.29 0.43 | mrr_train_test float64 0.27 0.51 |
|---|---|---|---|
2,008 | 0.4201 | 0.424 | 0.4791 |
2,010 | 0.3557 | 0.3643 | 0.3378 |
2,012 | 0.4649 | 0.4265 | 0.5093 |
2,014 | 0.368 | 0.3581 | 0.3219 |
2,016 | 0.3529 | 0.3598 | 0.3514 |
2,018 | 0.3094 | 0.3245 | 0.3099 |
2,020 | 0.2918 | 0.3001 | 0.2907 |
2,022 | 0.2799 | 0.2906 | 0.2795 |
2,024 | 0.272 | 0.285 | 0.2707 |
A large-scale benchmark for evaluating temporal stability of legal statute retrieval methods. Ground truth is derived exhaustively from 396 million codex-article citations extracted from 101 million Ukrainian court decisions (2007--2026).
Paper: Temporal Decay of Co-Citation Predictability: A 20-Year Statute Retrieval Benchmark from 396M Ukrainian Court Citations (Ovcharov, 2025)
| Config | Description | Rows |
|---|---|---|
article_performance |
Per-article MRR, Hit@5, degree for 3,667 articles (2024 snapshot) | 3,667 |
ablation_comparison |
Original / fixed-article / train-test MRR per year (2008--2024) | 9 |
sliding_window |
Mitigation experiment: MRR by eval year x window size (1, 3, 5, 10, all) | 30 |
embedding_drift |
Per-article semantic drift (cosine distance 2012 -> 2024) via E5-large | 116 |
Leave-one-out on the full bipartite citation graph:
For each court decision with cited articles {a1, ..., an}:
| Method | Hit@10 | MRR |
|---|---|---|
| Adamic-Adar | 0.545 | 0.272 |
| Common Neighbors | 0.534 | 0.266 |
| E5-large (dense) | 0.192 | 0.090 |
| BGE-M3 (dense) | 0.240 | 0.096 |
| BM25 (lexical) | 0.082 | 0.047 |
| Degree Baseline | 0.111 | 0.059 |
| Bin | Articles | MRR (AA) |
|---|---|---|
| Hub (>100K cites) | 21 | 0.536 |
| High (10K--100K) | 354 | 0.274 |
| Mid (1K--10K) | 864 | 0.074 |
| Low (100--1K) | 1,689 | 0.020 |
| Rare (<100) | 739 | 0.010 |
from datasets import load_dataset
# Per-article performance (2024)
articles = load_dataset("overthelex/ua-statute-retrieval", "article_performance", split="train")
print(articles.to_pandas()[["target_article", "degree", "mrr_aa"]].head(10))
# Temporal ablation (Fig 2 in paper)
ablation = load_dataset("overthelex/ua-statute-retrieval", "ablation_comparison", split="train")
print(ablation.to_pandas())
# Sliding-window mitigation (Table 6 in paper)
sw = load_dataset("overthelex/ua-statute-retrieval", "sliding_window", split="train")
print(sw.to_pandas().pivot(index="eval_year", columns="window_label", values="mrr_aa"))
# Embedding drift (Fig 9 in paper)
drift = load_dataset("overthelex/ua-statute-retrieval", "embedding_drift", split="train")
print(drift.to_pandas().groupby("law_number")["drift"].mean().sort_values(ascending=False))
@article{ovcharov2025statute,
title={Temporal Decay of Co-Citation Predictability: A 20-Year Statute Retrieval Benchmark from 396M Ukrainian Court Citations},
author={Ovcharov, Volodymyr},
year={2025}
}
Derived from the Ukrainian Unified State Register of Court Decisions (EDRSR, https://reyestr.court.gov.ua). Raw citation data (502M records) remains proprietary; the co-citation graph is available separately at overthelex/ua-court-citation-graph.