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510336 | Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6? | 0xcfcfd29413f4518ca68d7539c29d26a2c930d87a2d068d83370b27811b7b1b49 | will-the-associated-press-declare-a-winner-before-3am-on-november-6 | 2024-11-06T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-22T20:21:38.504Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 6, 2024, 2:59:59 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether t... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 117571.05462 | true | true | 2024-10-21T19:17:27.842898Z | 2024-11-07T09:17:06.338489Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xdd7e5640dccf28ce975fccd4c29298b77c07a2e9f9dd43b250b7495d641bd87a | true | 0.001 | 5 | 117,571.05462 | null | 2024-11-06T00:00:00 | 2024-10-22T00:00:00 | true | null | ["7945942021695836291449669683319790900554159201610586853966248812700864872807", "106737581466111780889919704509072715580103982876898551399297235674428872460187"] | 500 | 5 | null | 117,571.05462 | null | false | false | [
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500615 | Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | 0xac7162f96876ea602d984de6f9800b8a4b8a45897e798a7630d9e004ae5b9a0b | will-a-republican-win-arizona-us-senate-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-03T21:42:09.743Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Arizona US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate sha... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 8258327.18658 | true | true | 2024-04-02T16:19:32.623115Z | 2024-11-13T10:43:07.559681Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Kari Lake | 1 | 0x5391cb0e8759aab7ae978cedae3dbb6fe4b876f420515ef8221e9f8e9a222c01 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 8,258,327.18658 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-04-03T00:00:00 | true | null | ["46691825198205945656026007456894335541255549782914167592137952460021454784449", "79276436359828295026049170967517943932138990338843874789225895410237452024"] | 3750 | 15 | null | 8,258,327.18658 | null | false | true | [
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510887 | Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4? | 0x5409a10c28f0699a8a464abdc9b07ab0a9335ff61d1a4f7e53f70b7e82fe5b45 | will-harris-lead-in-rcp-by-0-0pt4-on-nov-4 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-25T15:45:33.041Z | This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to r... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 124696.389492 | true | true | 2024-10-25T00:28:03.024651Z | 2024-11-07T16:53:07.734599Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Harris by 0-0.4 | 6 | 0x6da98133ae6be7ed71b15e3b5309d954121a42b4f9f125f7e6adc56c4c0dc806 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 124,696.389492 | null | 2024-11-04T00:00:00 | 2024-10-25T00:00:00 | true | null | ["26605654016766444449767674295487290540260685727116438701866323102234572656228", "94660743134797586695423445708104437190951984062361896711290133946152981843542"] | 500 | 5 | null | 124,696.389492 | null | false | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.001 | 1 | null | 0.001 | true | true | false | false | -0.001 | null | null | null | null | 2024-11-05T15:28:00 | 2024-11-07T01:48:32 | 2024-11-07T01:48:32 | null | null | null | null | 0x6da98133ae6be7ed71b15e3b5309d954121a42b4f9f125f7e6adc56c4c0dc800 | null | null | null | null | null | resolved | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0x0cfe0cf35ec7df662be486a8a16e12f25423ccabfd9d0f23219c010c2c91f80a | null | null | null | true | 9,592 | 7.5 | 0 | 0.145 | |||||
500630 | 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House | 0xf4640cd41c414f694cd33e049e0c58092eea15bb7e463af0124695e46442742d | democratic-sweep-in-2024-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-24T19:25:01.402Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 United States general elections, the Democratic Party wins the Presidency, and secures control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Repre... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 5444340.53142 | true | true | 2024-04-02T19:57:39.791865Z | 2024-11-15T06:48:58.346763Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Democrats sweep | 0 | 0xebbf621279b1c7c8b341cf058d3e58bcb97a0686d836e58da792ffc7edec5c00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 5,444,340.53142 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-04-24T00:00:00 | true | null | ["23879627426961662812922169694268707374662971136118079896087093103802667054172", "47409381172023721466480360988176079028561606121909173291379114883147018350487"] | 500 | 5 | null | 5,444,340.53142 | null | false | true | [
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254578 | Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | 0x9d1f0296f3a016727193d2b45704e0debc3b8048fe0715f8bb1e91550d321872 | will-fed-cut-interest-rates-4-times-by-dec-meeting | 2024-12-30T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-21T16:44:15.8Z | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there is exactly 4 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 6812524.970527 | true | true | 2024-02-21T19:37:12.693Z | 2024-12-19T22:19:20.939092Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 4 (100 bps) | 5 | 0xbe40459af759a380a0bb905b6b6b7638183a7282d564c9b9e2e5c22120127904 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 6,812,524.970527 | null | 2024-12-30T00:00:00 | 2024-03-21T00:00:00 | true | null | ["101669189743438912873361127612589311253202068943959811456820079057046819967115", "113332423559050930347591987511234765387649957428761857688151517507261414072694"] | 500 | 5 | null | 6,812,524.970527 | null | false | true | [
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] | 200 | 3.5 | 0.002 | 1 | 0.998 | 1 | true | true | false | false | 0.0285 | null | null | null | null | 2024-12-18T22:29:52 | 2024-12-18T22:29:52 | null | null | true | null | 0xbe40459af759a380a0bb905b6b6b7638183a7282d564c9b9e2e5c22120127900 | false | false | null | null | null | resolved | false | null | null | normal | null | 20000000000000000 | null | 0 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0xa72249c2e91d3ed4c7f9187d5c96f30117edb1f9d1915fcb8c7411715b430824 | null | null | null | true | 22,632 | 225.5 | 1 | 0.6785 | |||||
500614 | Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | 0xb17631413f217b33763f011a61990dd420f760af13bba6cdccd68c52b2b72d4e | will-a-democrat-win-arizona-us-senate-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-03T21:42:04.216Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Arizona US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 6754633.942725 | true | true | 2024-04-02T16:18:36.616087Z | 2024-11-13T10:43:07.562934Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Ruben Gallego | 0 | 0x5391cb0e8759aab7ae978cedae3dbb6fe4b876f420515ef8221e9f8e9a222c00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 6,754,633.942725 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-04-03T00:00:00 | true | null | ["104418202650000003466724307383826189852812346194106831978945737070954365347089", "18774476248896549691678360856198707466024027698380587795158227245793286303542"] | 3750 | 15 | null | 6,754,633.942725 | null | false | true | [
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511244 | Will Trump say "Wisconsin" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0x6a28c395d97f82388631f7928f1def3ca452120a71e7dff616d3aed475ecbe03 | will-trump-say-wisconsin-20-or-more-times-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-28T23:58:22.579882Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Wisconsin" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the marke... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 20350.837995 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:14:01.748328Z | 2024-11-03T05:23:06.330576Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Wisconsin 20+ times | 4 | 0x47f26e9532660ce8c321efe89a1f7bf2ebabfe82dc8ebb3dc5e41d973a96db57 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 20,350.837995 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-28T00:00:00 | true | null | ["88591458812565296461313075353029977181438454214177674065736675057262478848145", "42752895150784180135129488545066923247644726020051341503184693062605137100299"] | 500 | 5 | null | 20,350.837995 | null | false | false | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.007 | 1 | null | 0.007 | true | true | false | false | -0.1065 | null | null | null | null | null | 2024-11-02T05:56:10 | 2024-11-02T05:56:10 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | resolved | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | true | 5,087 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.115 | |||||
254254 | Will another movie gross most in 2024? | 0xaa69f9c948b8a162eb305285bf31a581868c23a289573889b27361726c213b64 | will-another-movie-gross-most-in-2024 | 2024-12-29T00:00:00 | null | 2024-01-31T23:47:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows any movie other than 'Deadpool 3', 'Joker: Folie à Deux', 'Dune: Part 2', 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga', 'Despicable Me 4', or 'Inside Out 2' as the film with the highest total gross for t... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 5967248.83797894 | true | true | 2024-01-31T22:13:18.395Z | 2025-01-04T14:56:48.16152Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Other | 7 | 0x3f3ae07223492f5ba2e46adba8c64c98df1995a1002d78f96434611a4b459206 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 5,967,248.837979 | null | 2024-12-29T00:00:00 | 2024-01-31T00:00:00 | true | null | ["63775998971536686202924577393689977829942546291218090292399569090154779758410", "105017688945203941576760895705095450544505091994237065142261624086818794893926"] | 500.0 | 5.0 | null | 5,967,248.837979 | null | false | true | [
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510886 | Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.1-0.4 on Nov 4? | 0x401a9b9540ed899ddd8c1452d1fda87f43178f5255f5b7ebe2caab68c09b5ee7 | will-trump-lead-in-rcp-by-0pt1-0pt4-on-nov-4 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-25T15:44:13.772517Z | This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to r... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 98547.416957 | true | true | 2024-10-25T00:26:15.075265Z | 2024-11-05T20:13:23.175032Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Trump by 0.1-0.4 | 5 | 0x6da98133ae6be7ed71b15e3b5309d954121a42b4f9f125f7e6adc56c4c0dc805 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 98,547.416957 | null | 2024-11-04T00:00:00 | 2024-10-25T00:00:00 | true | null | ["10384653779646790669786071972017483978755790373225452719999398939311160949069", "63885374419148461867568579141345232985784038222586679281275631579422716360516"] | 500 | 5 | null | 98,547.416957 | null | false | true | [
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253679 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34 | 0x8651d7d8b6f27328ad61fab52940f3e689c73695d622e193df138b19685da421 | 2024-presidential-election-gop-wins-by-15-34 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-01-10T01:41:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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510044 | Will Trump do better with men than in 2020 election? | 0x0c030d2c004d18928065001ac973ef5ab44e70998ea1cf600501f719bbcb3076 | will-trump-do-better-with-men-in-2024-than-2020 | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-17T22:44:14.169Z | This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.
According to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 53% of the male vote. You can see CNN's ... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 58300.358175 | true | true | 2024-10-16T22:36:10.510407Z | 2024-11-12T18:23:10.414814Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x4fd7a2529105c317a412e8e257d47d3cb5beb0e66097b6837f5b7e99b78e8453 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 58,300.358175 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-10-17T00:00:00 | true | null | ["105618341957088085370957929597831798463139507577183260126829464442589647434999", "83126359599644148292294393594600178259814056135861690539305793172121919565243"] | 500 | 5 | null | 58,300.358175 | null | false | false | [
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509980 | NJ-07 election: Altman (D) vs. Kean (R) | 0x0258ab81c4235252986c9464286bf839a847f11af164f64f1405b33a75126254 | nj-07-election-altman-d-vs-kean-r | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-16T19:02:32.658218Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Altman" if Democrat Sue Altman wins the congressional election in New Jersey's 7th district.
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511248 | Will Trump say "Venezuela" or "Venezuelan" 5 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0x90806581bc6f91545c4c8cdd8b833a4d6806656215f8171ec0256f42966d4516 | will-trump-say-venezuela-or-venezuelan-5-or-more-times-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-29T00:00:49.079444Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Venezuela" or "Venezuelan" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Other... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 20998.663427 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:21:41.836448Z | 2024-11-03T06:07:03.331722Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | 8 | 0x92fb920b4ee95d23a672afb8c43f2c276b4113e8bca0cc4e34fa3bd8438beac1 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 20,998.663427 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-29T00:00:00 | true | null | ["34095659585113579423469187399780257042937324134155171585965868775838577136639", "13228515203022238208992590336842405119361534003050602391489973235816825555680"] | 500 | 5 | null | 20,998.663427 | null | false | false | [
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507706 | Will Berachain launch a token in December? | 0xcbc596c7f92eea16cd3e5609c5074cfdb6ed76e919e3af890a4776ceb1247cf3 | will-berachain-launch-a-token-in-december | 2024-12-31T12:00:00 | null | 2024-09-23T17:41:19.456841Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Berachain (https://www.berachain.com/) officially launches a token between December 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside ... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 223161.730377 | true | true | 2024-09-23T15:45:49.381993Z | 2025-01-02T10:11:08.804515Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | December | 3 | 0x445aa7f41fd1cf8097846d4b372d06111216b3ab1f94f6fe494613ee0da51b03 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 223,161.730377 | null | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2024-09-23T00:00:00 | true | null | ["78505193875306725431565017311892208680285539751502050918584191691066428230606", "11095030816700579023823394644760414170705051579851900744758761342359471682097"] | 500 | 5 | null | 223,161.730377 | null | false | true | [
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255152 | Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | 0xa923afcb8297e3ade170f2f8c088f3c277557fadef2c67054d72cc59f8504b2b | will-a-republican-win-pennsylvania-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-07T02:47:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise ident... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 12519682.451836 | true | true | 2024-03-01T18:57:20.607Z | 2024-11-07T20:37:12.228748Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Donald Trump | 1 | 0x253510b086f0c23c1b1a58ace144563775eeac978e2c983d0f68832d619a2101 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 12,519,682.451836 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-03-07T00:00:00 | true | null | ["75951511934878014812323289513632732239356274541965522720897159608390126393735", "80692267952118231579739078214722079301718527753004959099480302005191158711065"] | 24750.0 | 25.0 | null | 12,519,682.451836 | null | false | true | [
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255053 | Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | 0x8f20ff6ed2ba1e234f35e701a50c274ffb64fdd8d621254d017db0445486ab79 | will-a-democrat-win-nevada-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-07T23:25:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Nevada in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiabl... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 5159200.178448 | true | true | 2024-03-01T17:25:23.898Z | 2024-11-10T14:32:50.818187Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Kamala Harris | 0 | 0x367be8313ab188e17a50370d037de4555f076e3ed988a3ca1701746c5d378300 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 5,159,200.178448 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-03-07T00:00:00 | true | null | ["23452090462928163585257733383879365528898800849298930788345778676568194082451", "18451662766052921550337197202319358927639757816615225507586069380328523693166"] | 24750.0 | 25.0 | null | 5,159,200.178448 | null | false | true | [
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509656 | Who will 538 predict to win the election? | 0xeef75d4ead3c090aaa50b3c825595a6010ebf99633b40b0de3e3d9f1ed8b8e6e | who-will-538-predict-to-win-the-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-11T22:39:36.685541Z | This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election .
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506356 | Starmer out as UK prime minister in 2024? | 0x8a2ae5fe3795afdd425c93105915391ca4a3778e6940970900524ea0166dfab0 | starmer-out-as-uk-prime-minister-in-2024 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00 | null | 2024-09-03T23:42:47.953823Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 2, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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500105 | Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election? | 0x05904e19533e1babd563de24a3da89d87d00741b98b6dc692025f21ef6c52319 | will-a-democrat-win-michigan-senate-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-03T22:05:58.477Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nevada US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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510885 | Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Nov 4? | 0x40efe8ee9b850aca3d4c2321e0dd214de04f9a0f93ebec3c0eeec641ed138981 | will-trump-lead-in-rcp-by-0pt5-0pt9-on-nov-4 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-25T15:43:35.248044Z | This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to r... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 17151.372194 | true | true | 2024-10-25T00:21:21.17041Z | 2024-11-05T18:57:06.348217Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Trump by 0.5-0.9 | 4 | 0x6da98133ae6be7ed71b15e3b5309d954121a42b4f9f125f7e6adc56c4c0dc804 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 17,151.372194 | null | 2024-11-04T00:00:00 | 2024-10-25T00:00:00 | true | null | ["83489579741984513806515493766022457896450729292270279915921082927364464735974", "86632232849086555151439170799595822480876720904961437322816280007703572664583"] | 500 | 5 | null | 17,151.372194 | null | false | true | [
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505105 | Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election? | 0xfe0681e64050471f45ffc85487e89e1430d9fcca307601301aa7f00fd1fbf095 | will-republicans-have-between-225-and-229-seats-in-house-after-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-08-14T16:18:15.858992Z | The 2024 United States House elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with all 435 seats in the House being contested.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. House elections between 225 (inclusive) and 229 (inclusive) of voting House members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will res... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 185403.955994 | true | true | 2024-08-14T16:18:15.858992Z | 2024-12-05T20:05:36.774192Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 225-229 | 6 | 0x2c03239ae62d5b0660b8ba8f4bd1595178fe94af56b0d44960db247e7b772a06 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 185,403.955994 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-08-14T00:00:00 | true | null | ["46705022787080138496166609145225041694115109924329421570473827387621751099358", "54610694215781031821186655611547864333252198641309223719888409842695157439689"] | 500 | 5 | null | 185,403.955994 | null | false | true | [
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509162 | Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more? | 0xdc359276ecb11f0f5f3ce0f5dd5e4a43ce3dc829bf7e388b1846e3be38db7cc3 | will-the-republican-candidate-win-wisconsin-by-4pt0-or-more | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-08T16:08:55.649131Z | This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 4.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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511258 | Will Trump say "weave" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0xcee16e26356ba3a65012453422bb9e6d4b04a1476ed2fd0de1b9b7d422a3b56a | will-trump-say-weave-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-29T00:07:11.964Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weave" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 84335.380272 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:31:17.268718Z | 2024-11-03T04:11:09.313191Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Weave | 18 | 0xbf9175302d4398289d8b177a835fef4594988eef572629c1014727c04bbbf968 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 84,335.380272 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-29T00:00:00 | true | null | ["73857929090079532519172075628379411062680002597627412451347382197008607819574", "27222227373852583193169500777507761234496300438774135444590954989941193328890"] | 500 | 5 | null | 84,335.380272 | null | false | false | [
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510846 | Will Arizona be the last state to be called by the AP? | 0x1bf993133e4479b4fc7c3dd9469a80efcadcbd15c23901aaf5f291f308149bc0 | will-arizona-be-the-last-state-to-be-called-by-the-ap | 2024-12-10T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-24T21:47:57.002881Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 26959.444177 | true | true | 2024-10-24T20:47:26.917567Z | 2024-11-10T09:52:48.149881Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Arizona | 8 | 0xaf3df5f8af7e69960c6aa41b603e3079df9fddc16120f9a82630d3cfbece9808 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 26,959.444177 | null | 2024-12-10T00:00:00 | 2024-10-24T00:00:00 | true | null | ["113125246433922260868415561224368234406744211382752558064005769650818992322511", "15943569533427526970267912598073189442163983726262072432714856623195259213651"] | 500 | 5 | null | 26,959.444177 | null | false | true | [
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] | 50 | 3.5 | 0.001 | 1 | 0.999 | 1 | true | true | false | false | 0.191 | null | null | null | null | null | 2024-11-09T11:07:58 | 2024-11-09T11:07:58 | null | null | null | null | 0xaf3df5f8af7e69960c6aa41b603e3079df9fddc16120f9a82630d3cfbece9800 | null | null | null | null | null | resolved | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0x61b54e8fa120704f484dadb1858e6baf2e21cb708452bbcd67500e174422cdb8 | null | null | null | true | 1,797 | 8.5 | 1 | 0.14 | |||||
501698 | Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election? | 0x96261daed8514e7626debfe92b1c7b33d61f065580a2c991b6d6d3fb366b7372 | will-republicans-have-53-seats-in-senate-after-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-05-20T17:01:30.335919Z | The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. Senate elections 53 voting Senate members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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255206 | Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | 0xa59e2e79dc1a564477c8d77dc32c30b37c0f4c8782c8cc062a7f788295cd91bb | will-a-republican-win-wisconsin-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-08T00:06:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifi... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 4183199.18926 | true | true | 2024-03-01T20:13:29.266Z | 2024-11-08T00:08:58.944633Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Donald Trump | 1 | 0x773a2323665c6c8b6d2d9cd022cef4672d78675d34bb7f4ca0681fa0a642bb01 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 4,183,199.18926 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-03-08T00:00:00 | true | null | ["8506489790932625039746959405160059426243994232527626857062384302531008283468", "37895399735091212468277241955774995998030599087730955643490691793429355663153"] | 24750.0 | 25.0 | null | 4,183,199.18926 | null | false | true | [
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] | 200 | 3.5 | 0.001 | 1 | 0.999 | 1 | true | true | false | false | 0.5095 | null | null | null | null | 2024-11-07T00:20:15 | 2024-11-07T00:20:15 | null | null | false | null | 0x773a2323665c6c8b6d2d9cd022cef4672d78675d34bb7f4ca0681fa0a642bb00 | false | false | null | null | null | resolved | true | red | false | normal | null | 20000000000000000 | false | 0 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0xae2ce87702266ecbbd05b412c5969d1d3f2f4908ccdd3813e1d1c4074d6c2f81 | null | null | null | true | 16,732 | 239 | 1 | 0.475 | |||||
255130 | Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election? | 0x372f717882a5bf292d2f9de80ab3c43c7dc4817e88d7134ae36484238486c622 | will-a-democrat-win-maine-in-the-2024-us-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-28T21:56:41.648Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maine in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 945209.908494 | true | true | 2024-03-01T18:40:43.355Z | 2024-11-08T02:13:03.724886Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Kamala Harris | 0 | 0x2496f15029391fef066b0787cb033b5b2a4295616cdfe373c85cc8b73b081500 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 945,209.908494 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-03-28T00:00:00 | true | null | ["63274742746038569072318845948029196973566077735853942521705267174312134280433", "108260717097084241002749434845576431198573267502043668276157663782351327612238"] | 1250.0 | 10.0 | null | 945,209.908494 | null | false | true | [
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] | 200 | 3.5 | 0.002 | 1 | 0.998 | 1 | true | true | false | false | 0.054 | null | null | null | null | 2024-11-07T03:38:48 | 2024-11-07T03:38:48 | null | null | false | null | 0x2496f15029391fef066b0787cb033b5b2a4295616cdfe373c85cc8b73b081500 | false | false | null | null | null | resolved | false | blue | false | normal | null | 20000000000000000 | false | 0 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0x5fb876e0758e00c6d2df84d4011677010accc2750720821835bea75036363c20 | null | null | null | true | 3,780 | 218.5 | 1 | 0.9 | |||||
510541 | Will Kamala get more votes than Biden? | 0xa0b7a02ecfc982ec17ed1d6f61b2365981e0f64e7e931fa8e78e5f678ba4fcac | will-kamala-get-more-votes-than-biden | 2024-12-17T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-23T16:23:19.897486Z | According to uselectionatlas.org Joe Biden received 81,286,454 votes in the 2020 Presidential election (see: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala receives 81,286,455 or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 101811.54052 | true | true | 2024-10-22T15:43:32.829611Z | 2024-12-18T13:21:17.95133Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xe1307260630b0ca7c607cbff077bcd116173a5ffcd0913faf8b2d1b76ea366a7 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 101,811.54052 | null | 2024-12-17T00:00:00 | 2024-10-23T00:00:00 | true | null | ["94206816495803558870861330785964631021933967752995931172260787050633657651204", "12461089352361873729108623919228472943902202035771854645665899654765611218986"] | 500 | 5 | null | 101,811.54052 | null | false | false | [
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"countryName": nul... | false | false | 2024-10-23T16:22:09 | false | null | false | true | null | 50 | 3.5 | 0.001 | 1 | null | 0.001 | true | true | false | false | -0.005 | null | null | null | null | null | 2024-12-18T00:08:25 | 2024-12-18T00:08:25 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | resolved | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | true | 1,818 | 9.5 | 0 | 0.405 | |||||
511260 | Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0x06b50556351831010bc73d365b414d5dba8ca23abad18424a8a7307dff658936 | will-trump-say-teamster-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-28T23:55:18.19164Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Teamster" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to ... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 29603.815551 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:33:43.654728Z | 2024-11-03T05:03:04.977564Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Teamster | 1 | 0xa182359480efef467857f9e9a37a9f156601e353cdf042b2f85b92dd8de23068 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 29,603.815551 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-28T00:00:00 | true | null | ["83378210176628646054364927563101112877756709703431619725294507318668356155735", "23253773886057335946192905623959566898833753553579729655593985764902928115892"] | 500 | 5 | null | 29,603.815551 | null | false | false | [
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"countryName": nu... | false | false | 2024-10-28T23:54:06 | false | null | false | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.003 | 1 | null | 0.003 | true | true | false | false | -0.8135 | null | null | null | null | null | 2024-11-02T05:55:59 | 2024-11-02T05:55:59 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | resolved | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | true | 7,400 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.47 | |||||
504763 | Will South Dakota's abortion protection measure pass? | 0x4736c0f30bacb26bb49ac51c7ef277423658c153c44d56808d2a36d5a87b56a7 | will-south-dakotas-abortion-protection-measure-pass | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-08-10T21:30:51.45Z | The South Dakota Constitutional Amendment G, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024), is set to be voted on during the November 5, 2024 US general elections. More information on this initiative can be found here: https://ballotpedia.org/South_Dakota_Constitutional_Amendment_G,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)
This mark... | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 190067.178621 | true | true | 2024-08-08T19:19:07.15897Z | 2024-11-07T08:34:22.467901Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | South Dakota | 1 | 0xd9511b2ba16189990e7cc83384d58be83385daf65ce7c1f7087e63e5ebda55a2 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 190,067.178621 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-08-10T00:00:00 | true | null | ["53655954452991290445412592093475095022555508227612616721900138124828742108064", "38222408145715823357300673117055630780503189163860625879812856460361584558435"] | 500 | 5 | null | 190,067.178621 | null | false | false | [
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] | 100 | 3.5 | 0.001 | 0.42 | null | 0.001 | true | true | false | false | -0.0045 | null | null | null | null | null | 2024-11-07T08:31:35 | 2024-11-07T08:31:35 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | resolved | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | true | 2,111 | 85.5 | 0 | 0.595 |
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