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Upload scripts

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scripts/inference.py ADDED
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1
+ #!/usr/bin/env python3
2
+ """
3
+ 加载已训练追踪器,处理新交易日。
4
+
5
+ 用法:
6
+ # 处理单个新日
7
+ python scripts/inference.py --date 20260401 --tracker outputs/tracker_state.pkl --output outputs/new_day/
8
+
9
+ # 批量处理
10
+ python scripts/inference.py --date 20260401,20260402,20260403 --tracker outputs/tracker_state.pkl
11
+ """
12
+
13
+ from __future__ import annotations
14
+
15
+ import argparse
16
+ import os
17
+ import sys
18
+ from pathlib import Path
19
+
20
+ import pandas as pd
21
+
22
+ sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent))
23
+
24
+ from src.data.loader import load_l2_day, BLACKLIST_DATES
25
+ from src.features.passive_orders import (
26
+ compute_vwap,
27
+ extract_passive_orders,
28
+ prepare_features,
29
+ select_candidates,
30
+ )
31
+ from src.clustering.daily_cluster import cluster_candidates
32
+ from src.matching.cross_day_match import match_multi_window
33
+ from src.tracking.entity_tracker import EntityTracker
34
+
35
+
36
+ def process_new_day(
37
+ tracker: EntityTracker,
38
+ date: int,
39
+ max_cost: float = 3.5,
40
+ ) -> dict:
41
+ """处理一个新交易日,更新追踪器并返回信号。"""
42
+ if date in BLACKLIST_DATES:
43
+ print(f"[{date}] blacklisted, skip")
44
+ return {"date": date, "score": 0.0, "error": "blacklisted"}
45
+
46
+ # 加载数据
47
+ try:
48
+ data = load_l2_day(date)
49
+ except Exception as e:
50
+ print(f"[{date}] load failed: {e}")
51
+ return {"date": date, "score": 0.0, "error": str(e)}
52
+
53
+ trades = data["trades"]
54
+ if "is_cancellation" in trades.columns:
55
+ trades = trades[~trades["is_cancellation"]]
56
+ trades = trades[trades["bs_flag_desc"].isin(["active_buy", "active_sell"])]
57
+ if trades.empty:
58
+ return {"date": date, "score": 0.0, "error": "empty trades"}
59
+
60
+ # 被动单 + 聚类
61
+ vwap = compute_vwap(trades)
62
+ passive = extract_passive_orders(trades, vwap)
63
+ candidates = select_candidates(passive, top_n=150)
64
+ if candidates.empty or len(candidates) < 5:
65
+ return {"date": date, "score": 0.0, "error": "too few candidates"}
66
+
67
+ feats = prepare_features(candidates)
68
+ _, centroids = cluster_candidates(candidates, feats)
69
+
70
+ if not centroids:
71
+ return {"date": date, "score": 0.0, "n_clusters": 0}
72
+
73
+ # 跨日匹配:往前看最近已处理日
74
+ recent = {}
75
+ for prev_date in sorted(tracker._processed_dates)[-2:]:
76
+ # 收集该日的簇信息(通过 cluster_registry 反查)
77
+ day_clusters = {
78
+ cid: tracker.entities[eid]
79
+ for (d, cid), eid in tracker.cluster_registry.items()
80
+ if d == prev_date and eid in tracker.entities
81
+ }
82
+ if day_clusters:
83
+ # 重建 centroid 信息(用最近一次记录的)
84
+ recent[prev_date] = {}
85
+ for cid, e in day_clusters.items():
86
+ if e.get("centroids"):
87
+ recent[prev_date][int(cid)] = {
88
+ "centroid_scaled": e["centroids"][-1][1]
89
+ if isinstance(e["centroids"][-1], tuple)
90
+ else e["centroids"][-1],
91
+ "centroid": e["centroids"][-1][1]
92
+ if isinstance(e["centroids"][-1], tuple)
93
+ else e["centroids"][-1],
94
+ "total_amount": e.get("total_amount_latest", 0),
95
+ "size": e.get("cluster_count", 1),
96
+ "dominant_side": e.get("dominant_sides", ["unknown"])[-1],
97
+ "bid_ratio": e.get("bid_ratio", 0.5),
98
+ }
99
+
100
+ matches = match_multi_window(date, centroids, recent, max_cost=max_cost)
101
+
102
+ # 更新追踪器
103
+ tracker.process_day(date, centroids, matches)
104
+ signal = tracker.compute_position_signal(date)
105
+ signal["date"] = date
106
+
107
+ print(
108
+ f"[{date}] clusters={len(centroids)}, "
109
+ f"matches={len(matches)}, "
110
+ f"entities={len(tracker.entities)}, "
111
+ f"score={signal['score']:.4f}"
112
+ )
113
+
114
+ return signal
115
+
116
+
117
+ def main():
118
+ parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="新日推理")
119
+ parser.add_argument("--date", required=True, help="日期 YYYYMMDD,多个用逗号分隔")
120
+ parser.add_argument("--tracker", default="./outputs/tracker_state.pkl", help="追踪器状态文件")
121
+ parser.add_argument("--output", default="./outputs/new_day", help="输出目录")
122
+ parser.add_argument("--save-state", action="store_true", help="推理后保存更新状态")
123
+ args = parser.parse_args()
124
+
125
+ # 加载追踪器
126
+ print(f"Loading tracker from {args.tracker}")
127
+ tracker = EntityTracker.load_state(args.tracker)
128
+ print(f" Loaded: {len(tracker.entities)} entities, {len(tracker._processed_dates)} processed days")
129
+ print(f" Last processed: {max(tracker._processed_dates) if tracker._processed_dates else 'N/A'}")
130
+
131
+ dates = [int(d.strip()) for d in args.date.split(",")]
132
+
133
+ os.makedirs(args.output, exist_ok=True)
134
+
135
+ signals = []
136
+ for date in sorted(dates):
137
+ sig = process_new_day(tracker, date)
138
+ signals.append(sig)
139
+
140
+ signals_df = pd.DataFrame(signals)
141
+
142
+ # 合并历史信号
143
+ hist_signals = tracker.get_daily_signals()
144
+ all_signals = pd.concat([hist_signals, signals_df], ignore_index=True)
145
+
146
+ sig_path = os.path.join(args.output, "position_signal_daily.parquet")
147
+ all_signals.to_parquet(sig_path)
148
+ print(f"\nSignals saved to {sig_path}")
149
+
150
+ if args.save_state:
151
+ state_path = os.path.join(args.output, "tracker_state_updated.pkl")
152
+ tracker.save_state(state_path)
153
+
154
+ # 最新信号
155
+ print("\n===== 最新信号 =====")
156
+ for sig in signals:
157
+ print(
158
+ f" {sig['date']}: score={sig.get('score', 'N/A')}, "
159
+ f"bid={sig.get('bid_entities', 'N/A')}, "
160
+ f"ask={sig.get('ask_entities', 'N/A')}"
161
+ )
162
+
163
+
164
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
165
+ main()
scripts/run_hf_jobs.py ADDED
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1
+ #!/usr/bin/env python3
2
+ """
3
+ HF Jobs 全量运行脚本:流水线 + 结果上传到 HF Dataset。
4
+
5
+ 在 HF Jobs 中运行:
6
+ hf jobs run --flavor cpu-large --timeout 12h --detach --secrets HF_TOKEN \\
7
+ --env DATASET_REPO=kangkangchen/cross-day-mainforce-600809 \\
8
+ pytorch/pytorch:2.5.1-cuda12.4-cudnn9-runtime -- \\
9
+ /bin/sh -lc '
10
+ pip install pandas pyarrow numpy scipy scikit-learn huggingface_hub tqdm
11
+ python scripts/run_hf_jobs.py
12
+ '
13
+ """
14
+
15
+ from __future__ import annotations
16
+
17
+ import json
18
+ import os
19
+ import sys
20
+ from datetime import datetime
21
+ from pathlib import Path
22
+
23
+ sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent))
24
+
25
+ from huggingface_hub import HfApi, create_repo, upload_folder
26
+
27
+ from src.scripts.pipeline import run_pipeline
28
+
29
+
30
+ def generate_dates(start: int, end: int):
31
+ """生成交易日期列表(周一-周五,排除黑名单)。"""
32
+ from datetime import timedelta
33
+ from src.data.loader import BLACKLIST_DATES
34
+
35
+ start_dt = datetime.strptime(str(start), "%Y%m%d")
36
+ end_dt = datetime.strptime(str(end), "%Y%m%d")
37
+ dates = []
38
+ curr = start_dt
39
+ while curr <= end_dt:
40
+ d = int(curr.strftime("%Y%m%d"))
41
+ if d not in BLACKLIST_DATES and curr.weekday() < 5:
42
+ dates.append(d)
43
+ curr += timedelta(days=1)
44
+ return dates
45
+
46
+
47
+ def main():
48
+ output_base = os.environ.get("OUTPUT_DIR", "./outputs")
49
+ dataset_repo = os.environ.get("DATASET_REPO", "kangkangchen/cross-day-mainforce-600809")
50
+ start_date = int(os.environ.get("START_DATE", "20230101"))
51
+ end_date = int(os.environ.get("END_DATE", "20260331"))
52
+
53
+ print(f"===== Cross-Day Main Force Pipeline =====")
54
+ print(f"Range: {start_date} ~ {end_date}")
55
+ print(f"Output: {output_base}")
56
+ print(f"Target dataset: {dataset_repo}")
57
+ print(f"Start: {datetime.now().isoformat()}")
58
+
59
+ # 1. 确保数据集 repo 存在
60
+ api = HfApi()
61
+ try:
62
+ create_repo(dataset_repo, repo_type="dataset", exist_ok=True)
63
+ print(f"Dataset repo {dataset_repo} ready")
64
+ except Exception as e:
65
+ print(f"Create repo warning: {e}")
66
+
67
+ # 2. 生成日期 & 运行流水线
68
+ dates = generate_dates(start_date, end_date)
69
+ print(f"Total trading days: {len(dates)}")
70
+
71
+ run_pipeline(dates, output_base, save_intermediate=False)
72
+
73
+ # 3. 复制源码到输出目录(方便 dataset 自包含)
74
+ import shutil
75
+ src_dest = os.path.join(output_base, "src")
76
+ if os.path.exists(src_dest):
77
+ shutil.rmtree(src_dest)
78
+ shutil.copytree("src", src_dest)
79
+ shutil.copy("DESIGN.md", os.path.join(output_base, "DESIGN.md"))
80
+ shutil.copy("README.md", os.path.join(output_base, "README.md"))
81
+
82
+ # 4. 写到 dataset README
83
+ write_dataset_readme(output_base)
84
+
85
+ # 5. 上传到 HF Dataset
86
+ print(f"\nUploading to {dataset_repo} ...")
87
+ upload_folder(
88
+ repo_id=dataset_repo,
89
+ folder_path=output_base,
90
+ repo_type="dataset",
91
+ commit_message=f"Full run {start_date}-{end_date} @ {datetime.now().isoformat()}",
92
+ )
93
+ print(f"Upload complete: https://huggingface.co/datasets/{dataset_repo}")
94
+
95
+ print(f"\nDone: {datetime.now().isoformat()}")
96
+
97
+
98
+ def write_dataset_readme(output_base: str):
99
+ """生成 dataset 的 README(包含模型使用说明)。"""
100
+ readme = """---
101
+ license: mit
102
+ task_categories:
103
+ - time-series-forecasting
104
+ tags:
105
+ - finance
106
+ - a-share
107
+ - level-2
108
+ - main-force
109
+ - position-tracking
110
+ pretty_name: Cross-Day Main Force Position Inference for 600809.SH
111
+ ---
112
+
113
+ # Cross-Day Main Force Position Inference for 600809.SH
114
+
115
+ 跨日主力行为指纹追踪——不追踪"谁",追踪"某种行为模式在增强还是衰减"。
116
+
117
+ ## 数据
118
+
119
+ - 股票: `600809.SH` (山西汾酒)
120
+ - 覆盖区间: 2023-01-01 ~ 2026-03-31
121
+ - 数据源: [a-share-l2-600809](https://huggingface.co/datasets/kangkangchen/a-share-l2-600809)
122
+
123
+ ## 核心方法
124
+
125
+ 上交所 L2 order_id 每日重置,无法跨日追踪同一账户。本方案利用**行为指纹**跨日匹配:
126
+
127
+ 1. **被动单提取**: 利用 `active_buy → ask_order_id`, `active_sell → bid_order_id` 语义,每日提取 top 150 被动挂单的行为特征
128
+ 2. **日级聚类**: OPTICS 密度聚类,发现"主力行为模式"
129
+ 3. **跨日匹配**: 匈牙利算法 + T→T+1/T+2 多窗口匹配
130
+ 4. **实体追踪**: 匹配对连成实体链,追踪金额/方向趋势
131
+ 5. **仓位推断**: 聚合活跃实体,计算日级主力仓位方向
132
+
133
+ 详细设计见 [DESIGN.md](./DESIGN.md)。
134
+
135
+ ## 输出文件
136
+
137
+ | 文件 | 内容 |
138
+ |---|---|
139
+ | `entity_timeline.parquet` | 每个实体的完整生命周期(first_seen, last_seen, dominant_side, amount_growth 等)|
140
+ | `cluster_registry.parquet` | 每日每个簇到实体的映射 |
141
+ | `signals/position_signal_daily.parquet` | **日级仓位推断信号**(核心输出) |
142
+ | `matches/match_pairs.parquet` | 跨日匹配记录 |
143
+ | `tracker_state.pkl` | 完整追踪器状态(可加载继续处理新日) |
144
+ | `reports/summary.json` | 汇总���计 |
145
+
146
+ ## 信号字段说明
147
+
148
+ `position_signal_daily.parquet` 核心字段:
149
+
150
+ | 字段 | 含义 |
151
+ |---|---|
152
+ | `date` | 交易日 YYYYMMDD |
153
+ | `score` | 仓位方向原始分(正值=吸筹倾向,负值=出货倾向) |
154
+ | `score_z` | 滚动 20 日 z-score 归一化后的分值 |
155
+ | `bid_entities` | 当日活跃的买方实体数 |
156
+ | `ask_entities` | 当日活跃的卖方实体数 |
157
+ | `n_active_entities` | 当日活跃实体总数 |
158
+ | `n_total_entities` | 历史累计发现的实体总数 |
159
+ | `accumulation_entities` | 正在扩张的买方实体 ID 列表 |
160
+ | `distribution_entities` | 正在扩张的卖方实体 ID 列表 |
161
+
162
+ **重要**: 所有分数和概率都应读成"证据强度",不是交易信号,不是买卖建议。
163
+
164
+ ## 如何使用(加载模型处理新日)
165
+
166
+ ### 1. 加载已训练的追踪器
167
+
168
+ ```python
169
+ import sys
170
+ sys.path.insert(0, 'src/')
171
+ from src.tracking.entity_tracker import EntityTracker
172
+
173
+ # 加载追踪器状态
174
+ tracker = EntityTracker.load_state("tracker_state.pkl")
175
+ print(f"Loaded: {len(tracker.entities)} entities")
176
+ print(f"Last date: {max(tracker._processed_dates)}")
177
+ ```
178
+
179
+ ### 2. 处理新交易日
180
+
181
+ ```python
182
+ import sys
183
+ sys.path.insert(0, 'src/')
184
+ from scripts.inference import process_new_day
185
+
186
+ # 处理单个新日
187
+ signal = process_new_day(tracker, 20260401)
188
+ print(f"Score: {signal['score']:.4f}, bid={signal['bid_entities']}, ask={signal['ask_entities']}")
189
+ ```
190
+
191
+ ### 3. 批量推理
192
+
193
+ ```bash
194
+ python scripts/inference.py \
195
+ --date 20260401,20260402,20260403 \
196
+ --tracker outputs/tracker_state.pkl \
197
+ --save-state
198
+ ```
199
+
200
+ ### 4. 查看实体详情
201
+
202
+ ```python
203
+ import pandas as pd
204
+ entities = pd.read_parquet("entity_timeline.parquet")
205
+
206
+ # 最活跃的买方实体
207
+ entities[entities['dominant_side'] == 'bid'].nlargest(10, 'active_days')
208
+
209
+ # 按金额增长排
210
+ entities.nlargest(10, 'amount_growth')
211
+ ```
212
+
213
+ ## 信号解读指南
214
+
215
+ 1. **score_z > 1.5**: 当日买方实体扩张显著强于卖方,可能有吸筹行为
216
+ 2. **score_z < -1.5**: 卖方实体扩张显著强于买方,可能有出货行为
217
+ 3. **bid_entities 持续 > ask_entities + 3**: 多日买方实体占优,可能处于吸筹阶段
218
+ 4. **实体集中新生/退出**: 旧实体批量退出 + 新实体批量出现 = 主力换防事件
219
+
220
+ ⚠️ 信号需要结合盘口复盘(价格、成交量、OBI 变化)验证,不可单独使用。
221
+
222
+ ## 校验
223
+
224
+ 与 Tushare `moneyflow_dc_daily` 主力净流入对比,确认推断方向不严重矛盾:
225
+
226
+ ```bash
227
+ python scripts/validate_with_moneyflow.py \
228
+ --signal outputs/signals/position_signal_daily.parquet
229
+ ```
230
+
231
+ ## 限制
232
+
233
+ - 仅 600809.SH 单只股票
234
+ - 不预测涨跌,只输出行为仓位方向
235
+ - 每日仅 150 个候选被动单,可能遗漏小主力
236
+ - 主力换防事件的识别依赖匹配阈值调优
237
+ - 需要至少 10 个交易日的历史才能产生有意义信号
238
+
239
+ ## 研究声明
240
+
241
+ 本项目仅供研究学习,不构成投资建议。所有分数、信号和实体标签都需要结合原始盘口数据和人工经验复核。
242
+ """
243
+
244
+ with open(os.path.join(output_base, "README.md"), "w") as f:
245
+ f.write(readme)
246
+ print("Dataset README written.")
247
+
248
+
249
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
250
+ main()
scripts/run_hf_sandbox.sh ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,23 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ #!/bin/bash
2
+ # HF Sandbox / Jobs 全量运行脚本
3
+ # 用法: bash scripts/run_hf_sandbox.sh
4
+
5
+ set -e
6
+
7
+ echo "===== Cross-Day Main Force Position Inference ====="
8
+ echo "Start: $(date)"
9
+
10
+ # 安装依赖(HF sandbox 里 huggingface_hub 通常已预装)
11
+ pip install -q pandas pyarrow numpy scipy scikit-learn tqdm
12
+
13
+ # 全量流水线
14
+ python src/scripts/pipeline.py \
15
+ --start 20230101 \
16
+ --end 20260331 \
17
+ --output ./outputs \
18
+ --full \
19
+ --save-intermediate
20
+
21
+ echo "===== Done: $(date) ====="
22
+ echo "Output files:"
23
+ find ./outputs -type f -name "*.parquet" -o -name "*.json" | sort
scripts/run_local_test.py ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,132 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ #!/usr/bin/env python3
2
+ """
3
+ 本地最小验证:5 个交易日,验证 pipeline 正确性。
4
+
5
+ 用法:
6
+ python scripts/run_local_test.py
7
+ """
8
+
9
+ import os
10
+ import sys
11
+ from pathlib import Path
12
+
13
+ # 保证项目根在 path 里
14
+ sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent))
15
+
16
+ from src.data.loader import load_l2_day, BLACKLIST_DATES
17
+ from src.features.passive_orders import (
18
+ compute_vwap,
19
+ extract_passive_orders,
20
+ prepare_features,
21
+ select_candidates,
22
+ )
23
+ from src.clustering.daily_cluster import cluster_candidates
24
+ from src.matching.cross_day_match import match_clusters, match_multi_window
25
+ from src.tracking.entity_tracker import EntityTracker
26
+
27
+ # 测试日期:2024年3月第二周(避开黑名单)
28
+ TEST_DATES = [20240311, 20240312, 20240313, 20240314, 20240315]
29
+
30
+ OUTPUT_DIR = os.path.join(
31
+ os.path.dirname(__file__), "..", "outputs", "local_test"
32
+ )
33
+
34
+
35
+ def main():
36
+ os.makedirs(OUTPUT_DIR, exist_ok=True)
37
+ print(f"本地测试: {len(TEST_DATES)} 天, 输出目录: {OUTPUT_DIR}\n")
38
+
39
+ tracker = EntityTracker(inactive_threshold=5)
40
+ recent_history = {}
41
+
42
+ for i, date in enumerate(TEST_DATES):
43
+ print(f"--- {date} ---")
44
+
45
+ # 1. 加载
46
+ try:
47
+ data = load_l2_day(date)
48
+ except Exception as e:
49
+ print(f" SKIP: 加载失败 ({e})")
50
+ continue
51
+
52
+ trades = data["trades"]
53
+ orders = data["orders"]
54
+ if "is_cancellation" in trades.columns:
55
+ trades = trades[~trades["is_cancellation"]]
56
+
57
+ print(f" trades={len(trades):,}, orders={len(orders):,}")
58
+
59
+ # 2. VWAP + 被动单
60
+ vwap = compute_vwap(trades)
61
+ passive = extract_passive_orders(trades, vwap)
62
+ candidates = select_candidates(passive, top_n=150)
63
+ print(f" passive_orders={len(passive):,}, candidates={len(candidates)}")
64
+ print(f" VWAP={vwap:.2f}, bid_candidates={len(candidates[candidates['side']=='bid'])}, ask_candidates={len(candidates[candidates['side']=='ask'])}")
65
+
66
+ if candidates.empty:
67
+ recent_history[date] = {}
68
+ continue
69
+
70
+ # 3. 聚类
71
+ feats = prepare_features(candidates)
72
+ labeled, centroids = cluster_candidates(candidates, feats)
73
+ n_clusters = len(centroids)
74
+ n_noise = (labeled["cluster_id"] == -1).sum()
75
+ print(f" clusters={n_clusters}, noise={n_noise}")
76
+
77
+ # 4. 跨日匹配
78
+ prev_dates = sorted(
79
+ [d for d in recent_history.keys() if d < date]
80
+ )[-2:]
81
+ prev_c_for_match = {}
82
+ for pd_ in prev_dates:
83
+ if recent_history.get(pd_):
84
+ prev_c_for_match[pd_] = recent_history[pd_]
85
+
86
+ matches = match_multi_window(date, centroids, prev_c_for_match)
87
+ print(f" matches={len(matches)}")
88
+ for m in matches:
89
+ print(f" {m[0]} c{m[1]} → {m[2]} cost={m[3]:.3f}")
90
+
91
+ # 5. 实体追踪
92
+ cid_to_eid = tracker.process_day(date, centroids, matches)
93
+ print(f" entity mapping: {cid_to_eid}")
94
+
95
+ # 6. 仓位推断
96
+ signal = tracker.compute_position_signal(date)
97
+ print(f" signal: score={signal['score']:.4f}, bid_entities={signal['bid_entities']}, ask_entities={signal['ask_entities']}")
98
+
99
+ recent_history[date] = centroids
100
+
101
+ # ---- 导出 ----
102
+ print("\n===== 导出 =====")
103
+
104
+ entity_df = tracker.get_entity_timeline()
105
+ print(f"实体总数: {len(entity_df)}")
106
+ print(entity_df.to_string())
107
+
108
+ entity_path = os.path.join(OUTPUT_DIR, "entity_timeline.parquet")
109
+ entity_df.to_parquet(entity_path)
110
+ print(f"实体表 → {entity_path}")
111
+
112
+ signals_df = tracker.get_daily_signals()
113
+ signals_path = os.path.join(OUTPUT_DIR, "position_signal_daily.parquet")
114
+ signals_df.to_parquet(signals_path)
115
+ print(f"信号表 → {signals_path}")
116
+ print(signals_df[["date", "score", "score_z", "n_active_entities"]].to_string())
117
+
118
+ # 被动单样本(第一天)
119
+ passive_path = os.path.join(OUTPUT_DIR, "sample_passive_orders.parquet")
120
+ passive.to_parquet(passive_path)
121
+ print(f"被动单样本 → {passive_path}")
122
+
123
+ # 聚类样本
124
+ cluster_path = os.path.join(OUTPUT_DIR, "sample_clusters.parquet")
125
+ labeled.to_parquet(cluster_path)
126
+ print(f"聚类样本 → {cluster_path}")
127
+
128
+ print("\n===== 本地验证完成 =====")
129
+
130
+
131
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
132
+ main()
scripts/validate_with_moneyflow.py ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,101 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ #!/usr/bin/env python3
2
+ """
3
+ 校验:将推断的主力仓位信号与 Tushare moneyflow_dc 的主力净流入做相关性检查。
4
+
5
+ 这不是拟合目标——只是 sanity check,确认推断方向不与外部数据严重矛盾。
6
+
7
+ 用法:
8
+ python scripts/validate_with_moneyflow.py --signal outputs/signals/position_signal_daily.parquet
9
+ """
10
+
11
+ from __future__ import annotations
12
+
13
+ import argparse
14
+ import os
15
+ import sys
16
+ from pathlib import Path
17
+
18
+ import numpy as np
19
+ import pandas as pd
20
+ from scipy.stats import pearsonr, spearmanr
21
+
22
+ sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent))
23
+
24
+ from src.data.loader import load_tushare_table
25
+ from huggingface_hub import snapshot_download
26
+
27
+
28
+ def main():
29
+ parser = argparse.ArgumentParser()
30
+ parser.add_argument("--signal", required=True, help="position_signal_daily.parquet 路径")
31
+ parser.add_argument("--output-dir", default="./outputs/reports")
32
+ args = parser.parse_args()
33
+
34
+ # 加载信号
35
+ signal = pd.read_parquet(args.signal)
36
+ signal["date"] = signal["date"].astype(int)
37
+
38
+ # 下载并加载 moneyflow_dc
39
+ tushare_root = snapshot_download(
40
+ "kangkangchen/a-share-tushare-context-600809",
41
+ repo_type="dataset",
42
+ allow_patterns=["data/moneyflow_dc_daily/**/*.parquet"],
43
+ )
44
+ mf = load_tushare_table(tushare_root, "moneyflow_dc_daily")
45
+ if mf.empty:
46
+ print("ERROR: moneyflow_dc_daily is empty")
47
+ return
48
+
49
+ mf["trade_date"] = mf["trade_date"].astype(int)
50
+
51
+ # Merge
52
+ merged = signal.merge(mf, left_on="date", right_on="trade_date", how="inner")
53
+ print(f"Merged days: {len(merged)} / {len(signal)} signal days")
54
+
55
+ if len(merged) < 10:
56
+ print("Too few overlapping days for correlation")
57
+ return
58
+
59
+ # 相关性检查
60
+ # moneyflow_dc 的主力净流入字段通常叫 buy_elg_amount - sell_elg_amount 或 net_mf_amount
61
+ net_col = None
62
+ for col in ["net_mf_amount", "buy_elg_amount", "net_mainforce_amount"]:
63
+ if col in merged.columns:
64
+ net_col = col
65
+ break
66
+ # fallback: compute from buy/sell
67
+ if net_col is None and "buy_lg_amount" in merged.columns:
68
+ merged["_net_mf"] = merged["buy_lg_amount"] - merged["sell_lg_amount"]
69
+ net_col = "_net_mf"
70
+
71
+ if net_col is None:
72
+ print(f"Available moneyflow columns: {list(merged.columns)}")
73
+ print("Cannot find net flow column, printing sample:")
74
+ print(merged.head())
75
+ return
76
+
77
+ # Normalize
78
+ merged["mf_norm"] = merged[net_col] / merged[net_col].abs().mean()
79
+
80
+ for score_col in ["score_z", "score"]:
81
+ if score_col not in merged.columns:
82
+ continue
83
+ clean = merged.dropna(subset=[score_col, net_col])
84
+ r_pearson, p_pearson = pearsonr(clean[score_col], clean[net_col])
85
+ r_spearman, p_spearman = spearmanr(clean[score_col], clean[net_col])
86
+ print(f"\n{score_col} vs {net_col}:")
87
+ print(f" Pearson: r={r_pearson:.4f}, p={p_pearson:.4f}")
88
+ print(f" Spearman: r={r_spearman:.4f}, p={p_spearman:.4f}")
89
+ print(
90
+ f" Interpretation: {'同向 ✓' if r_pearson > 0 else '反向 ✗' if r_pearson < -0.1 else '弱相关'}"
91
+ )
92
+
93
+ # 保存合并结果
94
+ os.makedirs(args.output_dir, exist_ok=True)
95
+ out_path = os.path.join(args.output_dir, "signal_vs_moneyflow.parquet")
96
+ merged.to_parquet(out_path)
97
+ print(f"\nMerged data saved to {out_path}")
98
+
99
+
100
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
101
+ main()