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The dataset generation failed because of a cast error
Error code: DatasetGenerationCastError
Exception: DatasetGenerationCastError
Message: An error occurred while generating the dataset
All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 1 new columns ({'text'}) and 4 missing columns ({'num_embeddings', 'embedding_offset', 'passage_offset', 'num_passages'}).
This happened while the json dataset builder was generating data using
hf://datasets/forcemultiplier/diverse_subjects_nov13/colbert/indexes/pdf_files_index/collection.json (at revision 71885d6a36bc82e9dc30ba65e58681d1384ac230)
Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations)
Traceback: Traceback (most recent call last):
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1870, in _prepare_split_single
writer.write_table(table)
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/arrow_writer.py", line 622, in write_table
pa_table = table_cast(pa_table, self._schema)
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2292, in table_cast
return cast_table_to_schema(table, schema)
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2240, in cast_table_to_schema
raise CastError(
datasets.table.CastError: Couldn't cast
text: string
-- schema metadata --
pandas: '{"index_columns": [], "column_indexes": [], "columns": [{"name":' + 192
to
{'passage_offset': Value(dtype='int64', id=None), 'num_passages': Value(dtype='int64', id=None), 'num_embeddings': Value(dtype='int64', id=None), 'embedding_offset': Value(dtype='int64', id=None)}
because column names don't match
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 1417, in compute_config_parquet_and_info_response
parquet_operations = convert_to_parquet(builder)
File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 1049, in convert_to_parquet
builder.download_and_prepare(
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 924, in download_and_prepare
self._download_and_prepare(
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1000, in _download_and_prepare
self._prepare_split(split_generator, **prepare_split_kwargs)
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1741, in _prepare_split
for job_id, done, content in self._prepare_split_single(
File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1872, in _prepare_split_single
raise DatasetGenerationCastError.from_cast_error(
datasets.exceptions.DatasetGenerationCastError: An error occurred while generating the dataset
All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 1 new columns ({'text'}) and 4 missing columns ({'num_embeddings', 'embedding_offset', 'passage_offset', 'num_passages'}).
This happened while the json dataset builder was generating data using
hf://datasets/forcemultiplier/diverse_subjects_nov13/colbert/indexes/pdf_files_index/collection.json (at revision 71885d6a36bc82e9dc30ba65e58681d1384ac230)
Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations)Need help to make the dataset viewer work? Make sure to review how to configure the dataset viewer, and open a discussion for direct support.
passage_offset int64 | num_passages int64 | num_embeddings int64 | embedding_offset int64 | text string |
|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 22,909 | 6,115,434 | 0 | null |
null | null | null | null | AN INTRODUCTION TO
BOUNDARY LAYER METEOROLOGY |
null | null | null | null | ROLAND B. STULL
Atmospheric Science Programme, Department of Geography
The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.
An Introduction to
Boundary
Layer
Meteorology
KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS
DORDRECHT / BOSTON / LONDON |
null | null | null | null | Libfary 01 Congress Cataloging in Publication Data
SIUI I. RolinG S .. 1950-
An
,n'"OOuct lon to b. "n alrY loy," • • ' "O"OlogV
" o," 'V!
~.
CI. -- (AUos~~or,c Hllne U
' Rollno e. 5'ul'.
IncluUS O'O II .G""O~ '" Ona I na ...
ISIIN,'3: 918-9().2n·2769-5
,. Bou nOlry I IY", ' MIII.ralcgv... |
null | null | null | null | H~t publislled 1999
RCIlO"inted 1989. 199 1. 1993. 1994
Reprinted with cITata 1991
R""rintoo 1999. 2001. 2003
Printtd on acid-fru paptr
All Rights Reserved
© t 988 by Kh./We, ACademic Publishers
SoftOOvef reprint of the hardoover tst edition t988
No part 01 the material protected by this copyrig... |
null | null | null | null | C!oo[co[s
Preface
XI
Mean Boundary Layer Characteristics
Turbulent transport
Taylor's hypothesis
1.1 A bowlCjary-layer definition
1.2 Wind and flow
1.3
1.4
l.5 Virtual potential temperature
1.6 Boundary layer depth and slructure
1.7 Micrometeorology
1.8
1.9 General references
1.10 Referenc... |
null | null | null | null | vi
3
4
5
BOUNDARYLAYER~OROLOGY
Application or the Governing Equations to Turbulent Flow
75
Simplifications, approximations, and scaling arguments
3.1 Methodology
3.2 Basic governing equations
3.3
3.4 Equations for mean variables in a turbulent flow
3.5 Summary of equations, with simplifi... |
null | null | null | null | 3 Local closure -
6.4
Local closure -
6.5
Local closure -
6.6 Local closure -
6.7
Local closure -
6.8 Nonlocal closure -
6.9 Nonlocal closure -
6.10 References
6.11 Exercises
zero and half order
first order
one-and·a·half order
second order
third order
transilient turbulence theory
spectral diffusivi... |
null | null | null | null | COmENTS
vii
7
8
Boundary Conditions and External Forcings
251
7.1 Effective surface turbulent flux
7.2 Heat budget at the surface
7.3 Radiation budget
7.4 Auxes at interfaces
7.5 Partitioning of flux into sensible and latent portions
7.6 Aux 10 and from the ground
7.7 References
7.8 Ex... |
null | null | null | null | viii
BOUNDARY LAYER MmTEOROLOGY
10 Measurement and Simulation Techniques
405
Instrument platforms
10.1 Sensor and measurement categories
10.2 Sensor lists
10.3 Active remote sensor observations of morphology
10.4
10.5 Field experiments
10.6 Simulation methods
10.7 Analysis methods
10.8 Refe... |
null | null | null | null | 14 Geographic Effects
14.1 Geographically generated local winds
14.2 Geographically modified flow
14.3 Urban heat island
14.4 References
14.5 Exercises
Appendices
Scaling variables and dimensionless groups
A.
B. Notation
C. Useful constants, parameters and conversion factors
D. Derivation of vi... |
null | null | null | null | Preface
Part of the excitement of boundary-layer meteorology is the challenge in :;tudying and
one of the unsolved problems of classical physics.
understanding turbulent flow -
Additional excitement stems from the rich diversity of topics and research methods that we
collect under the umbrella of boundary-... |
null | null | null | null | By excluding a few chapters, instructors can easily fit the
remaining material into a one-semester course. With supplemental readings, the book can
serve as a two-semester sequence in atmospheric turbulence and boundary-layer
meteorology.
Notational diversity proved to be the greatest difficulty. Each ... |
null | null | null | null | ~ BOUNDARYLAYER~OROLOGY
I certainly cannot claim to be an expert in all the myriad subdisciplines of boundary
layer meteorology. yet I knew the book should be comprehensive to be useful. My
interest and enthusiasm in writing this book motivated many trips to the library. and
stimulated ... |
null | null | null | null | Bob Murphy. Ruwim Berkowicz. Peter
Hildebrand. Don Lenschow. and others. Eric Nelson proofread the manuscript. and
helped with the list of notation. Sam Zhang compiled the index. Some of the equations
were typeset by Camille Riner and Michelle Vlllldall (her name keeps reappearing). Four
years of... |
null | null | null | null | Z
(m)
1000
500
0
(a)
z
(m)
500
250
o
(b)
1000
Range from
lidar (km)
Range from
lidar (km)
Frontispiece
lidar images of the aerosol-laden boundary layer, obtained during
the FIFE field experiment in Kansas. (a) Convective mixed layer
observed at 1030 local time on 1 July 1987, when... |
null | null | null | null | Claude V. Palisca
HUMANISM
IN
ITALIAN
RENAISSANCE
MUSICAL
THOUGHT
Yale University Press
New Haven and London |
null | null | null | null | Humanism in Italian Renaissance
Musical Thought |
null | null | null | null | To tile memory of my motller
Gisella Fleisch/lacker Palisca (1895-1944)
I'ublishcd wilh .1SsUtanCr from the Louis 51t'", Memori;al Fund.
Copyright 4) 1985 by Yale UniversilY. All righls reserved. This book
may 1101 br reproduced. in whole or in pUI. ill ;any form (beyolld
Ih;al copy ill... |
null | null | null | null | I. Music-haly-15th century-History ;and criticism. 2. Music
h.:aly-16th cmlury-History .and crilicism. 3. nen;aissance-haly. 4.
Humanism. I. Tide.
ML2'JeI.2.1)34 1985781.745 as-8ICJO
ISDN 0-300-03302-8
The paprr in Ihis book meets thr guidelincs for permanence and du
rability of the Committee on ... |
null | null | null | null | Contents
Preface
ONE
Introduction: An Italian Renaissance in Music?
TWO
The Rediscovery of the Ancient Sources
THREE
The Earliest Musical Humanists: Pietro d'Abano
FOUR
The Earliest Musical Humanists: Giorgio Valla
FIVE
The Earliest Musical Humanists: Carlo Valgulio
The Proem to... |
null | null | null | null | Contents
TWELVE
A Natural New Alliance of the Arts
Grammar
Mei on tonic accent
Pietro Bembo
THIRTEEN
The Poetics of Music
Music as Poetry
Vincenzo Galilci
The Poetics of Imitation
The Case against Mimesis: Francesco Patrizi
Expressing the Affections
FOURTEEN
Theory of Dramatic Music
... |
null | null | null | null | Preface
Music historians have long been aware of a link between the revival of
ancient learning and the changes in musical style and theory that occurred
during the Renaissance. But the ties to antiquity have been hard to pin
down. because ancient music could not be recreated as... |
null | null | null | null | PaulO. Kristeller. Nino Pirrotta, Leo Schrade, D. P.
Walker. and Edith Weber, for I have learned enormously from them.
In general the field has been dominated by the hunt for parallels between
musical manifestations and those in other ans and humanities that show a
strong reliance on ancient model... |
null | null | null | null | Preface
xiii
University. enriched and enhanced this book in many ways. by lending me
microfilms of Greek manuscripts that once belonged to Giorgio Valla. by
letting me use some of the information in the catalog of Greek manuscripts
of music theory he is preparing for the RepertOire imernationale... |
null | null | null | null | limiting myself to those connections between music and ancient
thought that we know existed in the minds of Renaissance men because
they are recorded in writing. These considerations. too. explain why I have
not allocated much space to past literature on musical humanism. As a
conseque... |
null | null | null | null | The Whitney Griswold Fund of Yale University aided
the preparation of the manuscript. And. of course. the Yale libraries. p~r
ticularly the Music Library and the Beinecke: Rare Book and Manuscnpt
Library. provided a solid home base for my investigations.
Several of my students at Yal... |
null | null | null | null | It
ONE
Introduction: An Italian Renaissance in Music?
istorians generally view the Renaissance as a movement
that began in Italy and spread northward. Music histo
rians. however. have habitually begun the study of music
in the Renaissance with composers associated with France
Jnd the Low ... |
null | null | null | null | but it is dis
concerting when applied to cultural historiography. If history in general
has a proverbial "problem of the Renaissance." how much more acute it is
in music history!
Heinrich Besseler. reflecting on his own work in Renaissance studies since
I. Gustave: R.e:rse. MIlS;( ;11 IlIr RtI... |
null | null | null | null | Game Theory |
null | null | null | null | GAME THEORY
Analysis of Conflict
ROGER B. MYERSON
HARVARD UNIVERSITY PRESS
Cambridge, Massachusetts
London, England |
null | null | null | null | Copyright © 1991 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College
All rights reserved
Printed in the United States of America
First Harvard University Press paperback edition, 1997
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Myerson, Roger B.
Game theory : analysis of conflict / Roger B. Myerson.
p. (c... |
null | null | null | null | For Gina, Daniel, and Rebecca
With the hope that a better understanding of conflict
may help create a safer and more peaceful world |
null | null | null | null | Contents
Preface (cid:9)
1 Decision-Theoretic Foundations (cid:9)
1.1 (cid:9) Game Theory, Rationality, and Intelligence
1.2 Basic Concepts of Decision Theory 5
1.3 Axioms 9
1.4 The Expected-Utility Maximization Theorem 12
1.5 (cid:9)
1.6 Bayesian Conditional-Probability Systems 21
1.7 Limitations of the B... |
null | null | null | null | viii (cid:9)
Contents
3.3 Computing Nash Equilibria 99
3.4 Significance of Nash Equilibria 105
3.5 The Focal-Point Effect 108
3.6 The Decision-Analytic Approach to Games 114
3.7 Evolution, Resistance, and Risk Dominance 117
3.8 Two-Person Zero-Sum Games 122
3.9 (cid:9)
3.10 Purification of Randomized Stra... |
null | null | null | null | 5 (cid:9)
5.6 (cid:9)
5.7 Generic Properties 239
5.8 Conclusions 240
Exercises 242
6 Games with Communication (cid:9)
244
Contracts and Correlated Strategies 244
6.1 (cid:9)
6.2 Correlated Equilibria 249
6.3 Bayesian Games with Communication 258
6.4 Bayesian Collective-Choice Problems and Bayesian Bar... |
null | null | null | null | Contents (cid:9)
ix
6.5 Trading Problems with Linear Utility 271
6.6 General Participation Constraints for Bayesian Games with
Contracts 281
6.7 Sender-Receiver Games 283
6.8 Acceptable and Predominant Correlated Equilibria 288
6.9 Communication in Extensive-Form and Multistage Games 294
Exercises 299... |
null | null | null | null | 1 (cid:9)
9.2 Characteristic Functions with Transferable Utility 422
9.3 The Core 427
9.4 The Shapley Value 436
9.5 Values with Cooperation Structures 444
9.6 Other Solution Concepts 452
9.7 Coalitional Games with Nontransferable Utility 456 |
null | null | null | null | x (cid:9)
Contents
9.8 Cores without Transferable Utility 462
9.9 Values without Transferable Utility 468
Exercises 478
Bibliographic Note 481
10 Cooperation under Uncertainty (cid:9)
483
10.1 Introduction 483
10.2 Concepts of Efficiency 485
10.3 An Example 489
10.4 Ex Post Inefficiency and Subseque... |
null | null | null | null | Preface
Game theory has a very general scope, encompassing questions that are
basic to all of the social sciences. It can offer insights into any economic,
political, or social situation that involves individuals who have different
goals or preferences. However, there is a fundamental unity and co-
herent methodol... |
null | null | null | null | xii (cid:9)
Preface
In every chapter, there are some topics of a more advanced or spe-
cialized nature that may be omitted without loss of subsequent compre-
hension. I have not tried to "star" such sections or paragraphs. Instead,
I have provided cross-references to enable a reader to skim or pass over
sections t... |
null | null | null | null | Myrna Wooders, Robert Marshall, Dov Mon-
derer, Gregory Pollock, Leo Simon, Michael Chwe, Gordon Green,
Akihiko Matsui, Scott Page, and Eun Soo Park read parts of the manu-
script and gave many valuable comments. In writing the book, I have
also benefited from the advice and suggestions of Lawrence Ausubel,
Raymond ... |
null | null | null | null | Preface (cid:9)
xiii
Foundation, and by grants from the National Science Foundation and
the Dispute Resolution Research Center at Northwestern University.
Last but most, I must acknowledge the steady encouragement of my
wife, my children, and my parents, all of whom expressed a continual
faith in a writing proje... |
null | null | null | null | Game Theory |
null | null | null | null | 1
Decision-Theoretic Foundations
1.1 Game Theory, Rationality, and Intelligence
Game theory can be defined as the study of mathematical models of
conflict and cooperation between intelligent rational decision-makers.
Game theory provides general mathematical techniques for analyzing
situations in which two or ... |
null | null | null | null | 2 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
behavior in conflict. Thus, it may be natural to hope that advances in
the most fundamental and theoretical branches of the social sciences
might be able to provide the understanding that we need to match our
great advances in the physical sciences. This hope is one of... |
null | null | null | null | The idea that a rational decision-maker should make
decisions that will maximize his expected utility payoff goes back at least
to Bernoulli (1738), but the modern justification of this idea is due to
von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947). Using remarkably weak as-
sumptions about how a rational decision-maker should b... |
null | null | null | null | 1.1 Rationality and Intelligence (cid:9)
3
his expected utility. We call this result the expected-utility maximization
theorem.
It should be emphasized here that the logical axioms that justify the
expected-utility maximization theorem are weak consistency assump-
tions. In derivations of this theorem, the key ... |
null | null | null | null | More gener-
ally, the utility payoff of an individual may depend on many variables
besides his own monetary worth (including even the monetary worths
of other people for whom he feels some sympathy or antipathy).
When there is uncertainty, expected utilities can be defined and com-
puted only if all relevant uncert... |
null | null | null | null | 4 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
which quantitatively measure the likelihood of each event. Ramsey
(1926) and Savage (1954) showed that, even where objective probabili-
ties cannot be assigned to some events, a rational decision-maker should
be able to assess all the subjective probability numbers that... |
null | null | null | null | For an example of a theory that assumes rationality but not intelli-
gence, consider price theory in economics. In the general equilibrium
model of price theory, it is assumed that every individual is a rational
utility-maximizing decision-maker, but it is not assumed that individuals
understand the whole structure ... |
null | null | null | null | 1.2 • Basic Concepts (cid:9)
5
Of course, the assumption that all individuals are perfectly rational
and intelligent may never be satisfied in any real-life situation. On the
other hand, we should be suspicious of theories and predictions that
are not consistent with this assumption. If a theory predicts that som... |
null | null | null | null | There is a vast literature on axiomatic derivations of the subjective
probability, expected-utility maximization, and Bayes's formula, begin-
ning with Ramsey (1926), von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947), and
Savage (1954). Other notable derivations of these results have been
offered by Herstein and Milnor (1953), Luc... |
null | null | null | null | 6 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
scombe and Aumann (1963), and Pratt, Raiffa, and Schlaiffer (1964);
for a general overview, see Fishburn (1968). The axioms used here are
mainly borrowed from these earlier papers in the literature, and no
attempt is made to achieve a logically minimal set of axioms. (... |
null | null | null | null | On the other hand, many events do not have obvious probabilities;
the result of a future sports event or the future course of the stock
market are good examples. We refer to such events as subjective un-
knowns. Gambles that depend on subjective unknowns correspond to
the "horse lotteries" of Anscombe and Aumann (... |
null | null | null | null | 1.2 Basic Concepts (cid:9)
7
the prize may depend on both objective unknowns (which may be di-
rectly described by probabilities) and subjective unknowns (which must
be described by a state variable). (In the terminology of Fishburn, 1970,
we are allowing extraneous probabilities in our model.)
Let us now develo... |
null | null | null | null | (Following common probability notation, "1" in parentheses
may be interpreted here to mean "given.") For this interpretation to
make sense, the state must be defined broadly enough to summarize all
subjective unknowns that might influence the prize to be received. Then,
once a state has been specified, only objecti... |
null | null | null | null | •
•
8 (cid:9)
1 Decision-Theoretic Foundations
prize in X represents a complete specification of all aspects that the
decision-maker cares about in the situation resulting from his decisions.
Thus, the decision-maker should be able to assess a preference ordering
over the set of lotteries, given any informat... |
null | null | null | null | We may write >, and — for >n, and —n, respectively. That is,
when no conditioning event is mentioned, it should be assumed that we
are referring to prior preferences before any states in ft are ruled out
by observations.
Notice the assumption here that the decision-maker would have well-
defined preferences over ... |
null | null | null | null | 1.3 • Axioms (cid:9)
9
(af + (1 — a)g)(x1t) = af(x1t) + (1 — a)g(x1t), Vx E X, Vt E
To interpret this definition, suppose that a ball is going to be drawn
from an urn in which a is the proportion of black balls and 1 — a is
the proportion of white balls. Suppose that if the ball is black then the
decision... |
null | null | null | null | AXIOM 1. 1A (COMPLETENESS). f g or g s f.
AXIOM 1. 1B (TRANSITIVITY). If f zs g and g (cid:9)
h then f -?-s h.
It is straightforward to check that Axiom 1.1B implies a number of
other transitivity results, such as if f — s g and g — s h then f— s h; and
if f >s g and g h then f>, h.
Axiom 1.2 a... |
null | null | null | null | 10 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
AXIOM 1.3 (MONOTONICITY). If f >s h and 0 5_ 13<a51, then
of + (1 — a)h >s I3f + ( 1 — (3)h.
Building on Axiom 1.3, Axiom 1.4 asserts that -yf + (1 — y)h gets
better in a continuous manner as y increases, so any lottery that is
ranked between f and h is j... |
null | null | null | null | In Axioms 1.6A
and 1.6B, these events are subjective unknowns, subsets of f/.
AXIOM 1.5A (OBJECTIVE SUBSTITUTION). If e f and g >s h
and 0 s a (cid:9)
1, then ae + (1 — a)g (cid:9)
of + (1 — a)h.
AXIOM 1.5B (STRICT OBJECTIVE SUBSTITUTION). If e >s f
h and 0 < a 5_ 1, then ae + (1 — a)g >s of + (1 —... |
null | null | null | null | 1.3 Axioms (cid:9)
11
To fully appreciate the importance of the substitution axioms, we may
find it helpful to consider the difficulties that arise in decision theory
when we try to drop them. For a simple example, suppose an individual
would prefer x over y, but he would also prefer .5[y]+ .5[z] over .5[x] +
.5... |
null | null | null | null | But this
lottery .5[x] + .5[z] is worse than w. So we get the contradictory conclu-
sion that he should have taken w in the first place.
Thus, if we are to talk about "rational" decision-making without sub-
stitution axioms, then we must specify whether rational decision-makers
are able to commit themselves to foll... |
null | null | null | null | 12 (cid:9)
1 Decision-Theoretic Foundations
AXIOM 1.7 (INTEREST). For every state t in S2, there exist prizes y and
z in X such that [y] >m [z].
Axiom 1.8 is optional in our analysis, in the sense that we can state a
version of our main result with or without this axiom. It asserts that the
decision-maker ... |
null | null | null | null | That
is,
E p(u( f )1 S) =- (cid:9)
p(tIS) (cid:9)
u(x,t)f(x1t).
THEOREM 1.1. Axioms I.1AB, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 1.5AB, 1.6AB, and 1.7
are jointly satisfied if and only if there exists a utility function u:X X SI —) R
and a conditional-probability function
A(1-1) such that |
null | null | null | null | 1.4 • Expected-Utility Maximization Theorem (cid:9)
13
(1.3) (cid:9)
(1.4) (cid:9)
max u(x,t) = 1 and min u(x,t) = 0, bit E
sEX (cid:9)
xEX
p(R1T) = p(Rjs)p(siT), VR, VS, and VT such that
RCSCTCfland SOO;
(1.5) (cid:9)
f (cid:9)
g if and only if E p(u( f )IS) (cid:9)
E p(u(g)IS),
Vf,g E L, VS... |
null | null | null | null | Notice that, with X and Cl finite, there are only finitely many
utility and probability numbers to assess. Thus, the decision-maker's
preferences over all of the infinitely many lotteries in L can be com-
pletely characterized by finitely many numbers.
To apply this result in practice, we need a procedure for a... |
null | null | null | null | 14 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
and worst prizes can be found in every state because the preference
relation (....{,}) forms a transitive ordering over the finite set X.
For any event S in E•„ let bs denote the lottery such that
bs(.1t) = a,(.1t) if t E S,
b5(.1t) = a„(•1t) if t 0 S.
T... |
null | null | null | null | Then let p(tls) equal the number that he specifies, such
a,
that
b{,} (cid:9)
p(tIS)a, + (1 — p(t1S))ao.
In the proof of Theorem 1.1, we show that defining u and p in this way
does satisfy the conditions of the theorem. Thus, finitely many questions
suffice to assess the probabilities and utilities that comp... |
null | null | null | null | 1.4 .Expected-Utility Maximization Theorem (cid:9)
15
u(x,t)b{, } + (1 - u(x,t))ao.
Then subjective substitution implies that, for every event S,
s u(x,t)b{,} + (1 - u(x,t))ao.
Axioms 1.5A and 1.5B together imply that f (cid:9)
g if and only if
( 1 (cid:9)
i ) f + (1
1 (cid:9)
1,—(1-1 ) ao (cid:9)
1... |
null | null | null | null | 16 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
(Ep(u(f )1 S)/1,111)a, + (1 — (Ep(u(f )1S)/IniDao
(Ei (it(g)1S)/ini)a l + (1 — (Ep(u(g)IS)/ini))ao•
But by monotonicity, this final relation holds if and only if
E p(u(f)1S) (cid:9)
E p(u(g)IS),
because interest and strict subjective substitution guarantee t... |
null | null | null | null | Now, suppose that R CSC T. Using b, — s a, again, we get
b„ (cid:9)
p(RIS)b, + (1 — p(RIS))ao.
Furthermore, because b„, bs, and a, all give the same worst prize outside
5, relevance also implies
b„ --r\s p(Ris)b, + (1 — p(RIS))ao.
(Here T\S = {ti t E T, t 0 S}.) So, by subjective and objective subst... |
null | null | null | null | 1.4 • Expected-Utility Maximization Theorem (cid:9)
17
p(RIT)a, + (1 — p(RiT))ao. Also, a, >7- a0, so monotonicity
But b, (cid:9)
implies that p(R1T) = p(Ris)p(sIT). Thus, Bayes's formula (1.4) follows
from the axioms.
If y is the best prize and z is the worst prize in state t, then [y]
{t} a,
and [z] ... |
null | null | null | null | By (1.5), E p(u(f)IS)
E p(u(g)IT). But Bayes's formula (1.4)
implies that
Ep(u(f)1S U T) =
p(tis U T)f(x1t)u(x,t)
r
= E E p(ths)p(sis U T)f(x1t)u(x,t)
/ES vEX
+ (cid:9)
E POI nP(TIs U T)f(xlt)u(x,t)
1E7' vEX
= p(SIS U T)E p(u( f )1 S) + pals U T)E p(u( f )1S)
and
Ep(u(g)1S U T) = p(SIS... |
null | null | null | null | 18 (cid:9)
1 Decision-Theoretic Foundations
1.5 Equivalent Representations
When we drop the range condition (1.3), there can be more than one
pair of utility and conditional-probability functions that represent the
same decision-maker's preferences, in the sense of condition (1.5). Such
equivalent representatio... |
null | null | null | null | Suppose first that A and 13(•) exist as described in the theorem.
Then, for any lottery f,
E q(v( f )1 S) (cid:9)
f(xlt)q(tIS)v(x,t)
IES xEX
= (cid:9)
E focloop(o)u(x,t) + B(0)
IES xEX
= AEIf(Xlop(tis)u(x,t) + (cid:9)
B(t) (cid:9)
foclo
tES xEX (cid:9)
tES (cid:9)
xEX
= AE p (u(f)IS) + (cid:9)
... |
null | null | null | null | 1.5 • Equivalent Representations (cid:9)
19
Conversely, suppose now that v and q represent the same preference
ordering as u and p. Pick any prize x and state t, and let
X =
E q(v(cx
t)I S) — E q(v(ao)IS)
'
E q(v (a 1) I S) — E q(v(ao)I S)
Then, by the linearity of the expected -value operator,
Eq(... |
null | null | null | null | zEX
Thus, going back to the definition of X, we get
p(tis)u(x,t) .---
q(t I S)(v(x a) — min v(z,t))
zEX
E q(v(a 1)1 S) — E q(v(a0)I S)
Now let
A = E q(v (a 01 S) — E q(v (601 S) ,
and let
B(t)' = q(tI S) min v(z,t).
zEX |
null | null | null | null | 20 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
Then
Ap(tIS)u(x,t) + B(t) = q(tIS)v(x,t).
Notice that A is independent of x and t and that B(t) is independent of
x. In addition, A > 0, because a, >s a, implies Eq(v(a,)IS) >
E ,(v (a 0)1S). n
It is easy to see from Theorem 1.2 that more than one probabil... |
null | null | null | null | Proof. Let A =
,(v(a S) —
from the proof of Theorem 1.2,
q(v(ao) I S), and let C = minzExv(z). Then,
Ap(t1S)u(x) + q(tIS)C = q(tIS)v(x), Vx E X, Vt E S.
Summing this equation over all t in S, we get Au(x) + C = v(x). Then,
substituting this equation back, and letting x be the best prize so u(x) ... |
null | null | null | null | 1.6 • Bayesian Conditional-Probability Systems (cid:9)
21
1.6 Bayesian Conditional-Probability Systems
We define a Bayesian conditional-probability system (or simply a conditional-
probability system) on the finite set f2 to be any conditional-probability
function p on SI that satisfies condition (1.4) (Bayes... |
null | null | null | null | This
fact is asserted by the following theorem. For the proof, see Myerson
(1986b).
THEOREM 1 . 4 . The probability function p is a Bayesian conditional-prob-
ability system in
if and only if there exists a sequence of probability
distributions {fik },7_, in A°(S2) such that, for every nonempty subset S of Cl ... |
null | null | null | null | 22 (cid:9)
1 Decision-Theoretic Foundations
1.7 Limitations of the Bayesian Model
We have seen how expected-utility maximization can be derived from
axioms that seem intuitively plausible as a characterization of rational
preferences. Because of this result, mathematical social scientists have
felt confident th... |
null | null | null | null | When a person has had sufficient time to learn about a situation
and think clearly about it, we can expect that he will make relatively
few mistakes. Thus, we can expect expected-utility maximization to be
predictively accurate in many situations.
However, experimental research on decision-making has revealed
som... |
null | null | null | null | 1.7 • Limitations of the Bayesian Model (cid:9)
23
here three of the best-known examples in which people often seem to
violate expected-utility maximization: one in which utility functions
seem inapplicable, one in which subjective probability seems inapplica-
ble, and one in which any economic model seems inappli... |
null | null | null | null | Other paradoxes have been generated that challenge the role of
subjective probability in decision theory, starting with a classic paper by
Ellsberg (1961). For a simple example of this kind, due to Raiffa (1968),
let X = {—$100,$100}, let SZ = {A,N}, and let
bA($1001A) = 1 = bA(—$1001N),
b,(—$1001A) = 1 = bN($10... |
null | null | null | null | 24 (cid:9)
1 • Decision-Theoretic Foundations
the state in which the National League will win the next All-Star game.
(One of these two leagues must win the All-Star game, because the rules
of baseball do not permit ties.)
Many people who feel that they know almost nothing about American
baseball express the pr... |
null | null | null | null | You
did not buy tickets in advance, but you put $40 in your pocket when
you left home. You suddenly realize that the $40 has fallen out of your
pocket and is lost. You must decide whether to buy a pair of tickets for
$40 with your charge card (which you still have) or simply go home.
As Kahneman and Tversky (1982... |
null | null | null | null | 1.7 • Limitations of the Bayesian Model (cid:9)
25
wealth and theatrical consumption are all that should matter to the
decision-maker in these situations.
Any analytical model must derive its power from simplifying assump-
tions that enable us to see different situations as analytically equivalent,
but such simp... |
null | null | null | null | For example, let us reconsider the problem of betting on the All-Star
game. To get a decision-maker to express his preference ordering (.--11)
over fb,, 6,, .5[$100] + .5[—$100]}, we must ask him, for each pair in
this set, which bet would he choose if this pair of bet-options were
offered to him uninformatively, ... |
null | null | null | null | 26 (cid:9)
1 Decision-Theoretic Foundations
an opportunity to bet on one side of the All-Star game should (by Bayes's
formula) make someone who knows little about baseball decrease his
subjective probability of the event that this side will win, so he may well
prefer to bet on a fair coin toss. We can try to offe... |
null | null | null | null | Consider a decision-maker who has a state-dependent utility function
u:X x SZ --> R and can choose any x in X. That is, let us reinterpret X
as the set of decision-options available to the decision-maker. If his
subjective probability of each state t in Si were p(t) (that is, p(t) = 0111),
Vt E 14), then the d... |
null | null | null | null | 1.8 Domination (cid:9)
27
(1.7) (cid:9)
E p(t)u(y,t) (cid:9) E p(t)u(x,t), vx E X.
(En (cid:9)
tEO
Convexity is an important property of many sets that arise in math-
ematical economics. A set of vectors is convex iff, for any two vectors p
and q and any number X between 0 and 1, if p is in the set and ... |
null | null | null | null | With only two states, p(01 ) = 1 — p(02).
The decision a is optimal for the decision-maker iff the following two
inequalities are both satisfied:
8p(01 ) + 1(1 — p(01 )) (cid:9)
5p(0,) + 3(1 — p(01 ))
8p(01 ) + 1(1 — p(01 )) > 4p(01 ) + 7(1 — p(01 )).
Table 1.1 Expected utility payoffs for states 0, and 02
... |
null | null | null | null | 28 (cid:9)
1 Decision-Theoretic Foundations
The first of these inequalities asserts that the expected utility payoff
from a must be at least as much as from p, and the second asserts that
the expected utility payoff from a must be at least as much as from y.
By straightforward algebra, these inequalities imply t... |
null | null | null | null | Option 13 is a kind of intermediate
decision, in that it is neither best nor worst in either column of the
payoff table. However, such intermediate decision-options are not nec-
essarily dominated. For example, if the utility payoffs from decision 13
were changed to 6 in both states, then 13 would be the optimal d... |
null | null | null | null | 1.8 Domination (cid:9)
29
Tails. We may denote this strategy by .5[a] + .5[y], because it gives a
probability of .5 to a and -y each. If the true state were 01, then this
randomized strategy would give the decision-maker an expected utility
payoff of .5 x 8 + .5 x 4 = 6, which is better than the payoff of 5 that ... |
null | null | null | null | We have now used the term "strongly dominated" in two different
senses. The following theorem asserts that they are equivalent.
THEOREM 1.6. Given u:X x f/ —> R, where X and ft are nonempty finite
sets, and given any y in X, there exists a randomized strategy o- in A(X) such
that y is strongly dominated by c... |
End of preview.
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- American Herbal Academy - The Native American Herbalism Encyclopedia - A Complete Medical Herbs Handbook_ Discover How to Find and Grow Forgotten Herbs a (2020, Herbalism Academy) - libgen.li.pdf Pages: 167 Author: Academy, American Herbal Creator: calibre 3.48.0 [https://calibre-ebook.com]
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