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TRSDM-001
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
far
strong
stable
stable
high
aligned
Maturities distant and refinance access strong.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
coherent
Plan matches maturity profile.
stable_refinance
Synthetic
TRSDM-002
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
near
weak
upward
upward
low
misaligned
Large maturities near but refinance window weak.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
incoherent
Refinance risk high.
rollover_risk
Synthetic
TRSDM-003
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
medium
strong
stable
stable
adequate
aligned
Planned refinancing staged.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
coherent
Access supports plan.
stable
Synthetic
TRSDM-004
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
near
moderate
upward
upward
adequate
partial
Refinance plan delayed vs rising rates.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
incoherent
Timing mismatch.
cost_spike_risk
Synthetic
TRSDM-005
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
far
strong
stable
stable
high
aligned
Healthy profile.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
coherent
Buffers strong.
stable
Synthetic
TRSDM-006
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
medium
weak
upward
upward
low
misaligned
Market access weakening as maturities approach.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
incoherent
Access vs maturity gap.
rollover_risk
Synthetic
TRSDM-007
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
medium
strong
stable
stable
adequate
aligned
Aligned.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
coherent
Plan coherent.
stable
Synthetic
TRSDM-008
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
near
weak
upward
upward
low
misaligned
Wall approaching with tight liquidity.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
incoherent
Liquidity and access misaligned.
distress_risk
Synthetic
TRSDM-009
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
far
strong
stable
stable
high
aligned
Stable.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
coherent
No near-term risk.
stable
Synthetic
TRSDM-010
treasury-debt-maturity-refinance-coherence-risk-v0.1
medium
moderate
stable
stable
adequate
aligned
Staggered maturities.
Is debt-maturity coherence intact. Answer coherent or incoherent.
coherent
Refinance laddered.
stable
Synthetic

What this repo is for

Detect when debt maturities outpace refinance capacity.

Focus

maturity walls

market access

rate and spread shifts

plan timing

Why it matters Refinance risk builds quietly, then forces distressed actions.

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