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scenario_id
string
inventory_t0
int64
inventory_t1
int64
inventory_t2
int64
demand_rate_t0
int64
demand_rate_t1
int64
demand_rate_t2
int64
supplier_delay
int64
transport_delay
int64
warehouse_utilization
float64
restock_response
float64
forecast_noise
float64
reporting_noise
float64
label
int64
SC001
520
510
500
82
84
85
1
1
0.62
0.74
0.31
0.41
0
SC002
520
480
420
84
92
108
4
3
0.78
0.36
0.33
0.39
1
SC003
610
600
590
74
76
77
1
1
0.55
0.8
0.28
0.36
0
SC004
600
540
470
76
88
102
3
4
0.81
0.34
0.35
0.42
1
SC005
540
530
520
80
81
82
1
1
0.64
0.72
0.3
0.38
0
SC006
540
490
430
82
95
110
4
4
0.84
0.33
0.37
0.43
1
SC007
630
620
610
70
72
73
1
1
0.52
0.83
0.27
0.35
0
SC008
610
560
480
74
88
103
3
3
0.8
0.35
0.34
0.41
1
SC009
560
550
540
78
79
80
1
1
0.6
0.75
0.29
0.37
0
SC010
560
500
430
80
93
108
4
3
0.83
0.34
0.36
0.42
1
SC011
520
510
505
82
83
84
1
1
0.63
0.73
0.3
0.39
0
SC012
520
470
410
83
96
112
4
4
0.86
0.32
0.37
0.43
1
SC013
610
600
590
74
75
76
1
1
0.55
0.82
0.28
0.35
0
SC014
600
540
470
76
89
104
3
4
0.82
0.33
0.35
0.41
1
SC015
540
530
520
80
81
82
1
1
0.64
0.71
0.3
0.38
0
SC016
520
510
500
82
84
85
1
1
0.62
0.74
0.31
0.41
0
SC017
520
510
500
82
88
96
2
3
0.74
0.42
0.31
0.41
1
SC018
610
600
590
74
76
77
1
1
0.55
0.8
0.28
0.36
0
SC019
610
580
520
74
90
106
3
4
0.8
0.37
0.28
0.36
1
SC020
540
530
520
80
81
82
1
1
0.64
0.72
0.3
0.38
0
SC021
540
490
430
82
95
110
4
4
0.84
0.33
0.37
0.43
1
SC022
630
620
610
70
72
73
1
1
0.52
0.83
0.27
0.35
0
SC023
610
560
480
74
88
103
3
3
0.8
0.35
0.34
0.41
1
SC024
560
550
540
78
79
80
1
1
0.6
0.75
0.29
0.37
0
SC025
560
500
430
80
93
108
4
3
0.83
0.34
0.36
0.42
1
SC026
520
510
505
82
83
84
1
1
0.63
0.73
0.3
0.39
0
SC027
520
470
410
83
96
112
4
4
0.86
0.32
0.37
0.43
1
SC028
610
600
590
74
75
76
1
1
0.55
0.82
0.28
0.35
0
SC029
600
540
470
76
89
104
3
4
0.82
0.33
0.35
0.41
1
SC030
540
530
520
80
81
82
1
1
0.64
0.71
0.3
0.38
0

supply-chain-buffer-exhaustion-v0.1

What this dataset does

This dataset evaluates whether models can detect supply chain instability arising from inventory pressure and logistics delay.

Each row represents a simplified supply-chain scenario across three time steps.

The task is to determine whether the system remains stable or moves toward inventory collapse.

Core stability idea

Supply chains rarely fail because of demand alone.

Instead instability emerges from interactions between:

  • inventory depletion
  • demand acceleration
  • supplier delay
  • transport delay
  • restocking response capacity

A system may survive high demand if restocking and logistics remain responsive.

Conversely, moderate demand can trigger collapse when buffers and response capacity are insufficient.

Prediction target

label = 1 → supply chain buffer exhaustion risk
label = 0 → stable inventory trajectory

Row structure

Each row includes:

  • inventory trajectory
  • demand trajectory
  • supplier delay
  • transport delay
  • warehouse utilization
  • restock response capacity

Decoy variables:

  • forecast_noise
  • reporting_noise

These variables appear meaningful but do not determine the label alone.

Evaluation

Predictions must use: scenario_id,prediction SC101,0 SC102,1

Run:

python scorer.py --predictions predictions.csv --truth data/test.csv --output metrics.json

Metrics returned:

  • accuracy
  • precision
  • recall
  • f1
  • confusion matrix
  • dataset integrity diagnostics

Structural Note

This dataset reflects latent stability geometry through observable proxies.

The generator and latent rule structure are not included.

This dataset is part of the Clarus Stability Reasoning Benchmark.

License

MIT

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