Datasets:
scenario_id string | infection_load float64 | buffer_capacity float64 | lag_burden float64 | coupling_stress float64 | drift_gradient float64 | drift_velocity float64 | drift_acceleration float64 | boundary_distance float64 | secondary_boundary_distance float64 | boundary_competition_ratio float64 | boundary_uncertainty float64 | trajectory_uncertainty float64 | regime_confidence float64 | regime_transition_score float64 | transition_direction string | regime_separation_margin float64 | transition_uncertainty float64 | transition_velocity float64 | intervention_leverage_score float64 | intervention_alignment_score float64 | rescue_window_width float64 | pathway_divergence_margin float64 | intervention_competition_ratio float64 | primary_intervention_path string | secondary_intervention_path string | intervention_uncertainty float64 | pathway_switch_velocity float64 | control_sequence_alignment_score float64 | control_horizon int64 | feedback_response_score float64 | intervention_timing_score float64 | adaptation_latency int64 | control_stability_margin float64 | sequence_divergence_margin float64 | controller_confidence float64 | recovery_consistency_score float64 | control_recalibration_count int64 | terminal_pathway_state string | feedback_noise_ratio float64 | controller_oscillation_score float64 | rollback_trigger_count int64 | perturbation_radius float64 | collapse_trigger string | recovery_distance float64 | recovery_gradient float64 | return_feasibility float64 | policy_drift_sensitivity float64 | adaptive_policy_margin float64 | stabilization_half_life float64 | policy_fragility_score float64 | policy_reselection_trigger int64 | policy_decay_rate float64 | temporal_control_consistency float64 | reselection_delay_cost float64 | delta_infection_load float64 | delta_buffer_capacity float64 | delta_lag_burden float64 | delta_coupling_stress float64 | trajectory_shift float64 | minimal_intervention_path string | stabilization_success int64 | label_sepsis_transition_temporal_policy int64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
seps_t001 | 0.84 | 0.31 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.47 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.7 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.76 | 0.65 | toward_failure | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.61 | 0.83 | 0.8 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.65 | antibiotics_then_fluids | source_control_then_antibiotics | 0.21 | 0.39 | 0.78 | 4 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.75 | 0.7 | 1 | stabilized | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0 | 0.49 | early_sepsis_burden | 0.38 | -0.24 | 0.56 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.8 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.77 | 0.05 | -0.08 | 0.06 | 0.03 | -0.02 | -0.19 | antibiotics_then_fluids | 1 | 1 |
seps_t002 | 0.9 | 0.23 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.83 | 0.57 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.81 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.67 | 0.75 | toward_failure | 0.28 | 0.36 | 0.7 | 0.87 | 0.72 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.75 | pressor_then_fluids | antibiotics_then_fluids | 0.31 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 5 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 4 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 0.52 | 3 | unstable_recovery | 0.24 | 0.33 | 2 | 0.6 | vasoplegic_sepsis | 0.5 | -0.11 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.62 | 0.41 | 0.28 | -0.11 | 0.03 | 0.05 | -0.03 | -0.03 | pressor_then_fluids | 0 | 1 |
seps_t003 | 0.78 | 0.4 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.45 | 0.62 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.4 | 0.61 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.82 | 0.54 | toward_failure | 0.49 | 0.2 | 0.47 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.53 | antibiotics_only | antibiotics_then_fluids | 0.16 | 0.28 | 0.82 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.77 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.35 | 0.81 | 0.79 | 1 | stabilized | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0 | 0.35 | contained_bacteremia | 0.32 | -0.34 | 0.68 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.75 | 0.23 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.8 | 0.04 | -0.05 | 0.07 | -0.02 | 0.01 | -0.24 | antibiotics_only | 1 | 1 |
seps_t004 | 0.93 | 0.19 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.72 | 0.88 | 0.62 | 0.1 | 0.18 | 0.86 | 0.3 | 0.32 | 0.6 | 0.81 | toward_failure | 0.22 | 0.39 | 0.76 | 0.88 | 0.69 | 0.2 | 0.17 | 0.81 | mechanical_support_then_source_control | pressor_then_fluids | 0.35 | 0.5 | 0.57 | 6 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 5 | 0.4 | 0.54 | 0.61 | 0.45 | 4 | relapse | 0.28 | 0.37 | 2 | 0.68 | septic_multiorgan_escalation | 0.58 | -0.08 | 0.22 | 0.72 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 0.66 | 1 | 0.69 | 0.38 | 0.35 | -0.12 | 0.02 | 0.06 | -0.04 | -0.02 | mechanical_support_then_source_control | 0 | 1 |
seps_t005 | 0.74 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.38 | 0.57 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.84 | 0.48 | toward_recovery | 0.57 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.74 | 0.84 | 0.59 | 0.43 | 0.46 | antibiotics_then_fluids | antibiotics_only | 0.14 | 0.24 | 0.84 | 3 | 0.82 | 0.79 | 1 | 0.78 | 0.32 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0 | stabilized | 0.1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.32 | early_source_control | 0.31 | -0.36 | 0.71 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.84 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.84 | 0.03 | -0.04 | 0.08 | -0.01 | 0 | -0.26 | antibiotics_then_fluids | 1 | 1 |
seps_t006 | 0.83 | 0.28 | 0.66 | 0.7 | 0.54 | 0.74 | 0.46 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.23 | 0.75 | 0.64 | toward_failure | 0.42 | 0.25 | 0.61 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.65 | source_control_then_antibiotics | antibiotics_then_fluids | 0.23 | 0.38 | 0.76 | 4 | 0.73 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.68 | 0.44 | 0.74 | 0.67 | 2 | unstable_recovery | 0.17 | 0.22 | 1 | 0.51 | delayed_source_control | 0.41 | -0.2 | 0.49 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 1 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.19 | -0.08 | 0.05 | 0.04 | -0.02 | -0.06 | source_control_then_antibiotics | 0 | 1 |
seps_t007 | 0.71 | 0.47 | 0.5 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 0.49 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.86 | 0.43 | toward_recovery | 0.6 | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.72 | 0.85 | 0.61 | 0.44 | 0.42 | antibiotics_only | antibiotics_then_fluids | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.85 | 2 | 0.83 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.3 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 0 | stabilized | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.3 | contained_infection | 0.3 | -0.38 | 0.72 | 0.18 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 0.16 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0.03 | -0.04 | 0.08 | -0.01 | 0 | -0.27 | antibiotics_only | 1 | 1 |
seps_t008 | 0.87 | 0.24 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.6 | 0.81 | 0.54 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.79 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.68 | 0.72 | toward_failure | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.84 | 0.74 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.73 | pressor_then_fluids_then_antibiotics | antibiotics_then_fluids | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.66 | 5 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.46 | 0.67 | 0.54 | 3 | relapse | 0.22 | 0.31 | 2 | 0.6 | vasoplegic_escalation | 0.48 | -0.13 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 0.14 | 0.4 | 0.53 | 1 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.24 | -0.1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | -0.03 | -0.03 | pressor_then_fluids_then_antibiotics | 0 | 1 |
seps_t009 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.6 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.83 | 0.5 | toward_recovery | 0.54 | 0.18 | 0.43 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.49 | antibiotics_then_fluids | source_control_then_antibiotics | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.83 | 3 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 0.8 | 1 | stabilized | 0.1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0.33 | mixed_inflammatory_shift | 0.33 | -0.33 | 0.68 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.78 | 0.22 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.81 | 0.04 | -0.05 | 0.07 | -0.02 | 0.01 | -0.23 | antibiotics_then_fluids | 1 | 1 |
seps_t010 | 0.84 | 0.27 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.47 | 0.2 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.74 | 0.65 | toward_failure | 0.39 | 0.27 | 0.62 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.67 | source_control_then_fluids | antibiotics_then_fluids | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.72 | 5 | 0.69 | 0.65 | 3 | 0.61 | 0.43 | 0.72 | 0.62 | 2 | unstable_recovery | 0.18 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.54 | drainage_delay | 0.44 | -0.18 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.46 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.18 | -0.09 | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.02 | -0.05 | source_control_then_fluids | 0 | 1 |
Clinical Quad Infection Buffer Lag Coupling Sepsis Transition v1.2
What this repo does
This repository contains a Clarus v1.2 benchmark dataset.
The v1.2 layer introduces Temporal Policy Stability Geometry.
Earlier versions evaluate:
- system state
- trajectory
- intervention selection
- closed-loop control
- counterfactual policy quality
v1.2 extends the framework to evaluate policy handling across time.
The benchmark asks:
- does the chosen policy remain correct as conditions evolve
- when does a previously correct policy become unsafe
- does the controller know when to maintain the current policy
- does the controller know when to switch strategy
This is not only a durability benchmark.
It is a benchmark for temporally correct policy handling.
Core quad
The system is defined by four interacting variables.
- infection_load
- buffer_capacity
- lag_burden
- coupling_stress
These variables define the state geometry of the system.
All higher-level signals describe how this state changes under pressure, intervention, drift, and feedback.
Clinical variable mapping
| Quad Variable | Clinical Measurements | Typical Indicators |
|---|---|---|
| infection_load | infectious burden, source severity, microbial pressure | source persistence, bacteremia load, uncontrolled infection |
| buffer_capacity | physiological reserve, perfusion reserve, immune reserve | remaining compensation, reserve to tolerate septic stress |
| lag_burden | delayed correction load, unresolved instability debt | late antibiotics, delayed source control, untreated progression |
| coupling_stress | cross-system destabilization linking infection, perfusion, and organs | vasoplegia, inflammatory spillover, organ strain |
Prediction target
label_sepsis_transition_temporal_policy
Binary classification.
1= temporally correct policy handling0= temporally incorrect policy handling
A positive label includes two valid cases:
- the original policy remained correct over time and was correctly maintained
- the original policy became invalid and the controller correctly identified that policy reselection was required
Label logic
A positive label means the controller handled temporal policy evolution correctly.
That includes:
Stable-policy case
The original policy remains valid over time.
Typical properties:
- stabilization is real
- trajectory improves materially
- control remains aligned
- policy drift sensitivity stays low
- policy half-life stays high
- no reselection trigger is required
Correct-switch case
The original policy degrades over time.
Typical properties:
- drift sensitivity rises
- policy half-life falls
- fragility increases
- a reselection trigger should fire
- the controller correctly identifies that the policy must change
This means v1.2 rewards both:
- correct policy retention
- correct switch detection
What v1.2 adds
Earlier versions ask:
- where the system is
- where it is moving
- which intervention is best
- whether that intervention remains robust under alternatives
v1.2 adds a temporal question:
- does the controller know when to stay with the current policy
- and does it know when to switch
This introduces:
- policy durability
- policy decay
- reselection timing
- temporal control correctness
The shift is precise.
From:
- choosing the correct policy
To:
- handling policy evolution correctly over time
New v1.2 temporal policy signals
v1.2 introduces signals describing policy validity under drift.
| Signal | Meaning |
|---|---|
policy_drift_sensitivity |
how rapidly the chosen policy becomes invalid as conditions change |
adaptive_policy_margin |
tolerance before the policy must be changed |
stabilization_half_life |
duration for which the chosen policy remains effective |
policy_fragility_score |
sensitivity of the policy to small temporal or state perturbations |
policy_reselection_trigger |
binary indicator that the controller should switch policy |
policy_decay_rate |
rate at which policy effectiveness declines over time |
temporal_control_consistency |
whether control remains coherent across successive temporal states |
reselection_delay_cost |
cost incurred by failing to switch when reselection is needed |
These signals define Temporal Policy Stability Geometry.
Example scenario
A representative v1.2 switch case:
- the initial intervention is correct at first
- the septic state begins to drift
- policy effectiveness decays
- a reselection trigger should fire
- the controller must switch rather than remain on the original path
In v1.2, this can still be a positive case.
The controller is rewarded not only for holding a stable policy, but also for correctly detecting when the policy must change.
Example numeric row pattern
| Signal | Value |
|---|---|
control_sequence_alignment_score |
0.64 |
policy_drift_sensitivity |
0.65 |
stabilization_half_life |
0.36 |
policy_fragility_score |
0.60 |
policy_reselection_trigger |
1 |
temporal_control_consistency |
0.41 |
reselection_delay_cost |
0.28 |
label_sepsis_transition_temporal_policy |
1 |
Interpretation:
- the original policy does not remain valid
- the system correctly signals that policy reselection is needed
- the controller is rewarded for correct switch detection
Row structure
Each row includes:
- core system variables
- trajectory signals
- boundary geometry
- regime transition signals
- intervention competition signals
- control sequence signals
- temporal policy signals
- perturbation and recovery signals
- quad delta signals
- final outcome fields
This allows a model to evaluate not only whether a policy works, but whether it continues to work as the system changes.
Files
data/train.csv
Full training dataset with labels and all temporal policy signals.data/tester.csv
Evaluation-style dataset with:stabilization_successlabel_sepsis_transition_temporal_policy
removed.
scorer.py
Reference scorer computing binary metrics, temporal policy diagnostics, temporal miss diagnostics, and control diagnostics.benchmark_spec.json
Machine-readable benchmark specification.dataset_schema.json
Machine-readable schema with types, ranges, and row order.README.md
This document.
Evaluation
Primary metric:
recall_temporally_correct_policy_handling
This measures how often the model handles temporal policy evolution correctly.
That includes both:
- keeping a policy that remains valid
- switching when the policy becomes invalid
Secondary metric:
false_temporal_handling_rate
This measures how often the model predicts temporally correct handling when the policy handling was actually wrong.
Binary metrics:
- accuracy
- precision
- recall
- f1
- confusion matrix
Temporal policy diagnostics:
temporal_policy_path_accuracypolicy_drift_sensitivity_erroradaptive_policy_margin_errorstabilization_half_life_errorpolicy_fragility_score_errorpolicy_reselection_trigger_accuracypolicy_decay_rate_errortemporal_control_consistency_errorreselection_delay_cost_error
Temporal miss diagnostics:
high_uncertainty_temporal_miss_ratenarrow_window_temporal_miss_rate
Control diagnostics:
control_sequence_alignment_accuracycontrol_horizon_errorfeedback_response_accuracyintervention_timing_accuracyadaptation_latency_errorcontrol_stability_errorrecovery_consistency_errorrecalibration_overuse_ratecontroller_oscillation_misread_rateterminal_pathway_state_accuracy
Dataset construction
The dataset is generated using structured temporal scenarios.
Typical generation steps:
- construct an initial system state from the quad variables
- simulate one or more intervention policies
- evolve the system through temporal drift
- measure whether the original policy remains valid
- identify whether and when reselection becomes necessary
- compute temporal policy signals
- assign the benchmark label based on correctness of temporal policy handling
Temporal scenarios are designed to capture two key classes:
Policy retention cases
The original policy remains valid across the relevant horizon.
Policy switch cases
The original policy becomes invalid and reselection is required.
This means v1.2 is designed to test the controller’s capacity for temporal judgment, not just policy endurance.
Running the scorer
python scorer.py data/train.csv predictions.csv
python scorer.py data/train.csv predictions.csv --verbose
Dataset limitations
This dataset evaluates structural temporal policy handling, not exact real-world treatment precision.
Important limits:
temporal drift is represented structurally rather than as a full mechanistic simulation
policy reselection logic is generated at dataset construction time
temporal signals represent control quality and decay, not literal bedside protocols
domain abstractions may omit real-world noise, staffing effects, or intervention delays outside the modeled geometry
These datasets should be treated as benchmarks for temporal control reasoning.
Intended use
This dataset is intended for:
control policy evaluation
temporal decision stability testing
reinforcement learning benchmarking
adaptive controller benchmarking
model robustness research under drift
This dataset is not intended for:
direct clinical decision making
diagnosis
treatment recommendation
deployment without external validation
use as a sole decision system
Structural note
v1.2 marks the move from:
choosing the correct policy
to:
handling policy evolution correctly across time
That means v1.2 evaluates both:
stable-policy retention
correct switch detection
This makes v1.2 the first Clarus layer that formally tests whether a controller knows:
when to stay
when to switch
Position in the Clarus ladder
v0.1 — detection
v0.2 — trajectory
v0.3 — cascade forecasting
v0.4 — boundary discovery
v0.5 — recovery geometry
v0.6 — intervention reasoning
v0.7 — uncertainty geometry
v0.8 — regime transition
v0.9 — intervention competition
v1.0 — closed-loop control
v1.1 — counterfactual and adversarial policy testing
v1.2 — temporal policy stability
Production deployment
This dataset format is suitable for controlled benchmarking in domains where policy validity changes over time.
Examples include:
ICU stabilization under evolving state
sepsis management under delayed source control
infectious escalation under shifting instability
adaptive control in distributed systems
sequential intervention planning in high-risk environments
Enterprise and research collaboration
Clarus evaluates stability and control in complex systems.
The goal is not simply to predict what happens next.
The goal is to determine:
whether the chosen action remains valid
whether the controller can track changing conditions
whether the system knows when the correct move is to switch
v1.2 extends Clarus from control correctness into temporal control correctness.
License
MIT
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