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scenario_id
string
pressure
float64
coupling_strength
float64
drift_gradient
float64
propagation_factor
float64
boundary_distance
float64
label_coupling_explosion
int64
CE01
0.81
0.92
0.46
0.88
0.21
1
CE02
0.78
0.89
0.43
0.85
0.24
1
CE03
0.74
0.87
0.41
0.82
0.27
1
CE04
0.71
0.84
0.38
0.79
0.3
1
CE05
0.68
0.82
0.35
0.76
0.33
1
CE06
0.52
0.41
-0.1
0.38
0.66
0
CE07
0.49
0.37
-0.15
0.34
0.7
0
CE08
0.45
0.33
-0.19
0.3
0.74
0
CE09
0.42
0.29
-0.23
0.26
0.79
0
CE10
0.38
0.25
-0.28
0.22
0.83
0

CE — Coupling Explosion Probe

This dataset is a periodic-table probe designed to detect coupling explosion in complex systems.

Coupling explosion occurs when subsystem interactions become so strong that disturbances rapidly propagate through the entire system. Small perturbations can amplify quickly, producing system-wide instability.

This probe evaluates whether models can detect the structural conditions that enable this amplification.


Geometry Symbol

CE

Coupling Explosion

Family: Interaction Amplification Failures


Mechanism

Coupling explosion emerges when subsystem coupling strength becomes high enough that disturbances propagate faster than the system can absorb them.

Typical characteristics include:

high subsystem coupling
positive drift toward instability
strong propagation factors
shrinking boundary distance

These conditions create rapid system-wide instability.


Signals

pressure
overall system stress level

coupling_strength
degree of interaction between subsystems

drift_gradient
direction of system trajectory

propagation_factor
how strongly disturbances spread

boundary_distance
distance to instability threshold


Prediction Target

label_coupling_explosion

1 = coupling-driven instability forming
0 = system interactions remain contained


Row Structure

Each row represents a snapshot of system state.

Signals are normalized between 0 and 1.

Higher values generally indicate stronger instability forces.


Files

data/train.csv
data/tester.csv
scorer.py


Evaluation

Predictions must include:

scenario_id
prediction

Metrics reported:

accuracy
precision
recall
f1


Instability Geometry Probes

This dataset is part of the instability geometry probe library.

CC — Cascade Collapse
BE — Buffer Exhaustion
DF — Delayed Feedback
OE — Oscillatory Instability
BD — Boundary Drift Collapse
CE — Coupling Explosion

These probes isolate fundamental instability geometries across complex systems.


License

MIT

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