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Simulation Runner - Main experiment loop for the CGAE economy testbed.
Runs the full economic loop for a configurable number of time steps:
1. Generate contracts (marketplace)
2. Agents make decisions (bid, invest, idle)
3. Assign contracts to bidding agents
4. Execute tasks and verify outputs
5. Settle contracts (reward/penalty)
6. Apply temporal decay and spot-audits
7. Record metrics for analysis
This produces the empirical data for the CGAE paper:
- Does Theorem 2 hold? (Do adaptive agents outperform aggressive ones?)
- Does Theorem 3 hold? (Does aggregate safety increase monotonically?)
- What are the failure modes? (Which agents go insolvent and why?)
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import hashlib
import json
import logging
import random
import time
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Optional
from cgae_engine.gate import GateFunction, RobustnessVector, Tier, TierThresholds
from cgae_engine.temporal import TemporalDecay, StochasticAuditor
from cgae_engine.registry import AgentRegistry, AgentStatus
from cgae_engine.contracts import ContractManager, ContractStatus
from cgae_engine.economy import Economy, EconomyConfig, EconomySnapshot
from cgae_engine.marketplace import TaskMarketplace
from agents.base import BaseAgent, AgentDecision
from agents.strategies import create_agent_cohort
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
@dataclass
class SimulationConfig:
"""Configuration for a simulation run."""
# Duration
num_steps: int = 500
# Agent cohort
agent_strategies: list[str] = field(default_factory=lambda: [
"conservative", "aggressive", "balanced", "adaptive", "cheater",
])
# Economy parameters
initial_balance: float = 0.5 # ETH seed capital per agent
decay_rate: float = 0.005 # Temporal decay lambda (slower decay)
audit_cost: float = 0.002 # Cost per audit dimension
storage_cost_per_step: float = 0.0003 # storage cost
test_eth_top_up_threshold: Optional[float] = None
test_eth_top_up_amount: float = 0.0
# Market parameters
contracts_per_step: int = 12
# Output
output_dir: str = "server/results"
snapshot_interval: int = 10 # Take detailed snapshot every N steps
# Random seed
seed: Optional[int] = 42
@dataclass
class SimulationMetrics:
"""Metrics collected during simulation for analysis."""
# Per-step time series
timestamps: list[float] = field(default_factory=list)
aggregate_safety: list[float] = field(default_factory=list)
total_balance: list[float] = field(default_factory=list)
active_agent_count: list[int] = field(default_factory=list)
contracts_completed: list[int] = field(default_factory=list)
contracts_failed: list[int] = field(default_factory=list)
rewards_paid: list[float] = field(default_factory=list)
penalties_collected: list[float] = field(default_factory=list)
# Per-agent time series
agent_balances: dict[str, list[float]] = field(default_factory=dict)
agent_tiers: dict[str, list[int]] = field(default_factory=dict)
agent_earnings: dict[str, list[float]] = field(default_factory=dict)
# Per-strategy aggregates
strategy_survival: dict[str, int] = field(default_factory=dict)
strategy_total_earned: dict[str, float] = field(default_factory=dict)
strategy_final_tier: dict[str, int] = field(default_factory=dict)
# Task execution history
task_results: list[dict] = field(default_factory=list)
# High-signal protocol events for the dashboard (Bankruptcies, Demotions, Upgrades)
protocol_events: list[dict] = field(default_factory=list)
class SimulationRunner:
"""
Runs the CGAE economy simulation.
This is the main entry point for the hackathon experiment.
It creates an economy, registers agents, runs the economic loop,
and produces data for the dashboard and post-mortem analysis.
"""
def __init__(self, config: Optional[SimulationConfig] = None):
self.config = config or SimulationConfig()
if self.config.seed is not None:
random.seed(self.config.seed)
# Initialize economy
econ_config = EconomyConfig(
decay_rate=self.config.decay_rate,
initial_balance=self.config.initial_balance,
audit_cost=self.config.audit_cost,
storage_cost_per_step=self.config.storage_cost_per_step,
test_eth_top_up_threshold=self.config.test_eth_top_up_threshold,
test_eth_top_up_amount=self.config.test_eth_top_up_amount,
)
self.economy = Economy(config=econ_config)
self.marketplace = TaskMarketplace(
self.economy.contracts,
contracts_per_step=self.config.contracts_per_step,
)
self.agents: dict[str, BaseAgent] = {}
self.metrics = SimulationMetrics()
@staticmethod
def _noisy_robustness(r: RobustnessVector, noise: float = 0.03) -> RobustnessVector:
"""Add small noise to a robustness vector for synthetic audits."""
def clamp(v): return max(0.0, min(1.0, v + random.gauss(0, noise)))
return RobustnessVector(cc=clamp(r.cc), er=clamp(r.er), as_=clamp(r.as_), ih=clamp(r.ih))
def setup(self):
"""Register agents and run initial audits."""
cohort = create_agent_cohort(self.config.agent_strategies)
for agent in cohort:
# Register
record = self.economy.register_agent(
model_name=agent.name,
model_config=agent.to_config(),
)
agent.agent_id = record.agent_id
self.agents[record.agent_id] = agent
# Initial audit with true robustness (+ small noise)
noisy_r = self._noisy_robustness(agent.true_robustness)
self.economy.audit_agent(
record.agent_id,
noisy_r,
audit_type="registration",
)
# Init metric tracking
self.metrics.agent_balances[agent.name] = []
self.metrics.agent_tiers[agent.name] = []
self.metrics.agent_earnings[agent.name] = []
logger.info(
f"Simulation setup complete: {len(self.agents)} agents registered"
)
def run(self) -> SimulationMetrics:
"""Run the full simulation."""
self.setup()
step = 0
infinite = self.config.num_steps == -1
try:
while infinite or step < self.config.num_steps:
self._run_step(step)
if step % self.config.snapshot_interval == 0:
logger.info(
f"Step {step}/{'inf' if infinite else self.config.num_steps} | "
f"Safety={self.metrics.aggregate_safety[-1]:.3f} | "
f"Active={self.metrics.active_agent_count[-1]} | "
f"Balance={self.metrics.total_balance[-1]:.4f}"
)
# Periodic save for dashboard
self._finalize()
self.save_results()
if infinite:
time.sleep(0.5) # Slow down for live observation
step += 1
except KeyboardInterrupt:
logger.info("\nSimulation interrupted by user. Finalizing...")
except Exception as e:
logger.exception(f"Simulation failed: {e}")
self._finalize()
self.save_results()
return self.metrics
def _run_step(self, step: int):
"""Execute one time step of the economy."""
# 1. Generate new contracts
new_contracts = self.marketplace.generate_contracts(
current_time=self.economy.current_time,
)
# 2. Each agent makes a decision
decisions: dict[str, AgentDecision] = {}
for agent_id, agent in self.agents.items():
record = self.economy.registry.get_agent(agent_id)
if record is None or record.status != AgentStatus.ACTIVE:
# Check for bankruptcy
if record and record.balance <= 0:
self.metrics.protocol_events.append({
"timestamp": self.economy.current_time,
"type": "BANKRUPTCY",
"agent": agent.name,
"message": f"Agent {agent.name} has gone bankrupt and is suspended."
})
continue
available = self.economy.contracts.get_contracts_for_tier(record.current_tier)
exposure = self.economy.contracts.agent_exposure(agent_id)
ceiling = self.economy.gate.budget_ceiling(record.current_tier)
decision = agent.decide(
available_contracts=available,
current_tier=record.current_tier,
balance=record.balance,
current_exposure=exposure,
budget_ceiling=ceiling,
)
decisions[agent_id] = decision
agent.record_decision(decision)
# 3. Process decisions
for agent_id, decision in decisions.items():
if decision.action == "bid" and decision.contract_id:
success = self.economy.accept_contract(
decision.contract_id, agent_id
)
if success:
# Execute task immediately (simplified)
agent = self.agents[agent_id]
contract = self.economy.contracts.contracts.get(decision.contract_id)
if contract:
output = agent.execute_task(contract)
settlement = self.economy.complete_contract(decision.contract_id, output)
# Record result for transparency
# Mock CID for demonstration
cid = f"0x{hashlib.sha256(str(contract.contract_id).encode()).hexdigest()[:32]}"
self.metrics.task_results.append({
"agent": agent.name,
"task_id": contract.contract_id,
"tier": f"T{contract.min_tier.value}",
"domain": contract.domain,
"proof_cid": cid,
"verification": {
"overall_pass": settlement["outcome"] == "success",
"constraints_passed": [], # Simplified for synthetic
"constraints_failed": settlement.get("failures", [])
},
"settlement": {
"reward": settlement.get("reward", 0),
"penalty": settlement.get("penalty", 0)
},
"output_preview": f"Synthetic execution of {contract.contract_id}: {settlement['outcome'].upper()}"
})
elif decision.action == "invest_robustness":
agent = self.agents[agent_id]
dim = decision.investment_dimension
amount = decision.investment_amount
if dim:
cost = agent.robustness_investment_cost(dim, amount)
record = self.economy.registry.get_agent(agent_id)
if record and record.balance >= cost:
record.balance -= cost
record.total_spent += cost
new_r = agent.invest_robustness(dim, amount)
# Re-audit with improved robustness
noisy_r = self._noisy_robustness(new_r, 0.02)
old_tier = record.current_tier
self.economy.audit_agent(
agent_id,
noisy_r,
audit_type="upgrade",
)
new_tier = record.current_tier
if new_tier.value > old_tier.value:
self.metrics.protocol_events.append({
"timestamp": self.economy.current_time,
"type": "UPGRADE",
"agent": agent.name,
"message": f"Agent {agent.name} UPGRADED to {new_tier.name} via robustness investment!"
})
# 4. Advance time (decay, spot-audits, storage costs)
def audit_callback(aid):
agent = self.agents.get(aid)
if agent:
return self._noisy_robustness(agent.true_robustness, 0.04)
return None
self.economy.step(audit_callback=audit_callback)
# 5. Record metrics
self._record_metrics()
def _record_metrics(self):
"""Record economy-wide and per-agent metrics."""
self.metrics.timestamps.append(self.economy.current_time)
self.metrics.aggregate_safety.append(self.economy.aggregate_safety())
active = self.economy.registry.active_agents
self.metrics.active_agent_count.append(len(active))
self.metrics.total_balance.append(sum(a.balance for a in active))
econ = self.economy.contracts.economics_summary()
self.metrics.contracts_completed.append(
econ["status_distribution"].get("completed", 0)
)
self.metrics.contracts_failed.append(
econ["status_distribution"].get("failed", 0)
)
self.metrics.rewards_paid.append(econ["total_rewards_paid"])
self.metrics.penalties_collected.append(econ["total_penalties_collected"])
# Per-agent
for agent_id, agent in self.agents.items():
record = self.economy.registry.get_agent(agent_id)
if record:
self.metrics.agent_balances[agent.name].append(record.balance)
self.metrics.agent_tiers[agent.name].append(record.current_tier.value)
self.metrics.agent_earnings[agent.name].append(record.total_earned)
def _finalize(self):
"""Compute aggregate metrics (idempotent)."""
# Reset strategy-level aggregates before re-computing
self.metrics.strategy_survival = {}
self.metrics.strategy_total_earned = {}
self.metrics.strategy_final_tier = {}
for agent_id, agent in self.agents.items():
record = self.economy.registry.get_agent(agent_id)
if record:
survived = record.status == AgentStatus.ACTIVE
self.metrics.strategy_survival[agent.strategy.value] = (
self.metrics.strategy_survival.get(agent.strategy.value, 0)
+ (1 if survived else 0)
)
self.metrics.strategy_total_earned[agent.strategy.value] = (
self.metrics.strategy_total_earned.get(agent.strategy.value, 0.0)
+ record.total_earned
)
self.metrics.strategy_final_tier[agent.strategy.value] = max(
self.metrics.strategy_final_tier.get(agent.strategy.value, 0),
record.current_tier.value,
)
def save_results(self, path: Optional[str] = None):
"""Save simulation results to JSON."""
output_dir = Path(path or self.config.output_dir)
output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
# Economy state
self.economy.export_state(str(output_dir / "economy_state.json"))
# Time series metrics
ts_data = {
"timestamps": self.metrics.timestamps,
"aggregate_safety": self.metrics.aggregate_safety,
"total_balance": self.metrics.total_balance,
"active_agent_count": self.metrics.active_agent_count,
"contracts_completed": self.metrics.contracts_completed,
"contracts_failed": self.metrics.contracts_failed,
"rewards_paid": self.metrics.rewards_paid,
"penalties_collected": self.metrics.penalties_collected,
}
(output_dir / "time_series.json").write_text(json.dumps(ts_data, indent=2))
# Per-agent metrics
agent_data = {
"balances": self.metrics.agent_balances,
"tiers": self.metrics.agent_tiers,
"earnings": self.metrics.agent_earnings,
}
(output_dir / "agent_metrics.json").write_text(json.dumps(agent_data, indent=2))
# Strategy summary
summary = {
"survival": self.metrics.strategy_survival,
"total_earned": self.metrics.strategy_total_earned,
"final_tier": self.metrics.strategy_final_tier,
}
(output_dir / "strategy_summary.json").write_text(json.dumps(summary, indent=2))
# Task execution history for dashboard
(output_dir / "task_results.json").write_text(
json.dumps(self.metrics.task_results, indent=2)
)
# Protocol events for high-signal dashboard alerts
(output_dir / "protocol_events.json").write_text(
json.dumps(self.metrics.protocol_events, indent=2)
)
# Agent details
agent_details = {}
for agent_id, agent in self.agents.items():
record = self.economy.registry.get_agent(agent_id)
if record:
agent_details[agent.name] = {
**record.to_dict(),
"strategy": agent.strategy.value,
"true_robustness": {
"cc": agent.true_robustness.cc,
"er": agent.true_robustness.er,
"as": agent.true_robustness.as_,
"ih": agent.true_robustness.ih,
},
"decisions_count": len(agent.decisions),
}
(output_dir / "agent_details.json").write_text(
json.dumps(agent_details, indent=2, default=str)
)
logger.info(f"Results saved to {output_dir}")
import argparse
def main():
"""Entry point for running the simulation."""
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Run the CGAE economy simulation.")
parser.add_argument("--live", action="store_true", help="Run in infinite loop mode for dashboard.")
parser.add_argument("--steps", type=int, default=500, help="Number of steps (ignored if --live is set).")
args = parser.parse_args()
logging.basicConfig(
level=logging.INFO,
format="%(asctime)s [%(levelname)s] %(message)s",
)
config = SimulationConfig(
num_steps=-1 if args.live else args.steps,
seed=42,
)
runner = SimulationRunner(config)
metrics = runner.run()
runner.save_results()
# Print summary
print("\n" + "=" * 60)
print("CGAE ECONOMY SIMULATION - RESULTS")
print("=" * 60)
print(f"\nDuration: {config.num_steps} time steps")
if not metrics.aggregate_safety:
print("\nERROR: Simulation ended before recording metrics.")
return
print(f"Final aggregate safety: {metrics.aggregate_safety[-1]:.4f}")
print(f"Active agents at end: {metrics.active_agent_count[-1]}")
print(f"Total contracts completed: {metrics.contracts_completed[-1]}")
print(f"Total contracts failed: {metrics.contracts_failed[-1]}")
print(f"Total rewards paid: {metrics.rewards_paid[-1]:.4f} ETH")
print(f"Total penalties: {metrics.penalties_collected[-1]:.4f} ETH")
print("\n--- Strategy Results ---")
for strategy in config.agent_strategies:
survived = metrics.strategy_survival.get(strategy, 0)
earned = metrics.strategy_total_earned.get(strategy, 0.0)
tier = metrics.strategy_final_tier.get(strategy, 0)
print(f" {strategy:15s} | survived={survived} | earned={earned:.4f} ETH | final_tier=T{tier}")
# Theorem 2 check: did adaptive outperform aggressive?
adaptive_earned = metrics.strategy_total_earned.get("adaptive", 0)
aggressive_earned = metrics.strategy_total_earned.get("aggressive", 0)
print(f"\n--- Theorem 2 Check ---")
print(f" Adaptive earned: {adaptive_earned:.4f} ETH")
print(f" Aggressive earned: {aggressive_earned:.4f} ETH")
print(f" Incentive-compatible: {'YES' if adaptive_earned > aggressive_earned else 'NO'}")
# Theorem 3 check: monotonic safety
safety = metrics.aggregate_safety
monotonic = all(safety[i] <= safety[i+1] + 0.01 for i in range(len(safety)-1)) # Allow small noise
print(f"\n--- Theorem 3 Check ---")
print(f" Safety start: {safety[0]:.4f}")
print(f" Safety end: {safety[-1]:.4f}")
print(f" Monotonic (within noise): {'YES' if monotonic else 'NO'}")
print("\n" + "=" * 60)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()
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