nuclear-uap-evidence-surface / data /statistical_tests.json
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Add public infrastructure layer and dropdown contrast fix
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{
"statistical_tests_version": "nuclear_uap_correlation_index_private_preview_v1:statistical_tests",
"uap_event_count": 105250,
"nuclear_site_count": 57,
"control_site_count": 285,
"near_any_nuclear_event_counts": {
"25": 8023,
"50": 27781,
"100": 52567
},
"tests_by_radius": {
"25": {
"radius_miles": 25,
"nuclear_site_count": 57,
"control_site_count": 285,
"nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 156.2105,
"control_mean_reports_per_site": 268.0561,
"nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.582753,
"nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 118,
"control_median_reports_per_site": 117,
"observed_mean_difference": -111.845614,
"p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.994006,
"p_value_two_sided": 0.024975,
"permutations": 1000,
"seed": 1337
},
"50": {
"radius_miles": 50,
"nuclear_site_count": 57,
"control_site_count": 285,
"nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 649.9825,
"control_mean_reports_per_site": 763.0491,
"nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.851823,
"nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 446,
"control_median_reports_per_site": 452,
"observed_mean_difference": -113.066667,
"p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.85015,
"p_value_two_sided": 0.290709,
"permutations": 1000,
"seed": 1337
},
"100": {
"radius_miles": 100,
"nuclear_site_count": 57,
"control_site_count": 285,
"nuclear_mean_reports_per_site": 2062.7018,
"control_mean_reports_per_site": 2125.4667,
"nuclear_to_control_mean_ratio": 0.97047,
"nuclear_median_reports_per_site": 1593,
"control_median_reports_per_site": 1617,
"observed_mean_difference": -62.764912,
"p_value_one_sided_nuclear_greater": 0.611389,
"p_value_two_sided": 0.752248,
"permutations": 1000,
"seed": 1337
}
},
"primary_test_radius_miles": 50,
"resolution_status": "not_supported_after_matched_power_plant_controls",
"assessment_confidence": "high",
"recommended_plain_english": "The public geocoded report rows do not show a nuclear-specific proximity signal after matched non-nuclear power-plant controls in the primary 50-mile test.",
"what_we_can_claim": [
"This run tests whether public geocoded UFO-report mirror rows are closer to geolocated nuclear power-plant sites than to matched non-nuclear power-plant controls.",
"The primary assessment is spatial and comparative; it is not a causal test."
],
"what_we_cannot_claim": [
"This run cannot claim nuclear activity attracts UAP or UFO reports.",
"This run cannot evaluate classified military or weapons-site activity unless those sites are represented by public geocoded source rows.",
"City-level report geocoding introduces location uncertainty and should not be treated as eyewitness-level coordinates."
],
"statistical_tests_hash": "4d32a1462acc66128ec60c3a39e3cfafcf02ed2223d29ee83810a460021a55fc",
"public_infrastructure_layers": {
"layer_stats_version": "nuclear_uap_correlation_index_private_preview_v1:public_infrastructure_layers",
"layer_reports": {
"public_military_installation": {
"label": "Public military installations",
"site_count": 815,
"event_count": 105250,
"near_any_counts": {
"25": 68840,
"50": 91139,
"100": 103093
},
"event_share_within_50_miles": 0.865929,
"mean_reports_per_site_50_miles": 552.0736,
"interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only"
},
"public_nuclear_security_enterprise": {
"label": "Public NNSA / nuclear-security-enterprise sites",
"site_count": 8,
"event_count": 105250,
"near_any_counts": {
"25": 2298,
"50": 4496,
"100": 9207
},
"event_share_within_50_miles": 0.042717,
"mean_reports_per_site_50_miles": 504.375,
"interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only"
},
"public_strategic_delivery_installation": {
"label": "Public strategic delivery installations identified inside the military layer",
"site_count": 10,
"event_count": 105250,
"near_any_counts": {
"25": 2781,
"50": 5325,
"100": 9402
},
"event_share_within_50_miles": 0.050594,
"rows_with_nearest_or_nearby_signal": 105250,
"interpretation": "descriptive_public_layer_only"
}
},
"what_we_can_claim": [
"This layer measures public report proximity to public-source military-installation and NNSA site anchors.",
"The public military layer is official NTAD geometry; the public NNSA layer is official location text anchored to Census place centroids or source-backed public coordinates."
],
"what_we_cannot_claim": [
"This layer does not identify classified activity, weapons storage, operational status, or causation.",
"The public NNSA layer uses place centroids or public coordinate anchors, not exact facility boundaries.",
"Descriptive proximity to military infrastructure is not a matched-control causal or attraction test."
],
"layer_stats_hash": "cfb6f58a4139401263226f472daa9003eef79c0103405574b6d54571cb1736d6"
}
}