dataset_bundle/factor_matrix.csv

factor_key,plain_label,bucket,direction,score,supporting_source_count,why_it_matters,public_interpretation
cooperation_exchange_or_testimony_trade,Clemency-for-testimony shape,What looks unusual or contested,normality_down,9.315,12,A perceived clemency-for-testimony trade raises rule-of-law and witness reliability concerns.,A pardon or commutation discussed as leverage for testimony is a major reason this case shape looks unusual.
congressional_opposition_or_oversight,Congressional opposition or oversight,What looks unusual or contested,normality_down,8.84,16,Formal congressional scrutiny or opposition is evidence that the treatment is contested.,Formal opposition and oversight show the treatment is contested in public institutions.
offense_gravity_minor_sex_trafficking,Serious conviction/victim profile,What looks unusual or contested,normality_down,8.298,6,The underlying conviction category and victim profile make clemency unusually sensitive.,The underlying conviction and victim profile make the clemency question unusually sensitive.
unusual_prison_transfer_or_treatment,Unusual custody/treatment signal,What looks unusual or contested,normality_down,7.056,15,"Unusual custody-treatment signals can increase abnormality pressure, though they are distinct from clemency.","Custody-transfer controversy is separate from clemency, but it raises the background abnormality pressure."
explicit_pardon_or_commutation_pursuit_or_support,Specific pardon/commutation pursuit or support,What raises active-discussion pressure,likelihood_up,6.708,10,"Specific support, requests, or application signals increase evidence that a pardon or commutation is being pursued or seriously discussed.","Specific request, application, or support signals show the issue is more than abstract speculation."
law_constitutional_pardon_power,Normal legal authority exists,What looks normal,normality_up,6.54,6,The president has broad constitutional power over federal pardons and commutations.,A pardon or commutation would not be outside presidential legal power just because the case is controversial.
short_time_served_or_sentence_remaining,Large sentence remainder,What looks unusual or contested,normality_down,5.379,6,Serving a small fraction of a long sentence weighs against ordinary clemency expectations.,A long remaining sentence weighs against ordinary mercy framing.
procedure_doj_clemency_review,Normal DOJ clemency process exists,What looks normal,normality_up,4.45,5,Federal clemency has an established DOJ review process and may consider cooperation or victim notification.,"There is a normal federal clemency review channel, even though the President is not bound by it."
lack_of_remorse_or_responsibility,Remorse/responsibility concern,What looks unusual or contested,normality_down,1.4,1,Acceptance of responsibility and remorse are DOJ clemency-review considerations.,"This factor pushes toward unusual, contested, or active-discussion context."
official_denial_or_no_current_plan,Official/no-plan signal reduces likelihood,What lowers likelihood,likelihood_down,1.287,2,Current official denials or no-plan statements reduce the evidence that clemency is actively planned.,Public no-plan statements cut against treating clemency as already decided.