File size: 16,942 Bytes
f28409b
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
"""Decomposed reward function.



Two stages:

1. **Per-step reward** ``compute_step_reward``: shapes behaviour with small

   incentives (progress, evidence quality, valid prerequisites) and

   penalties (rule violations, repeated work, wasted resources).

2. **Terminal reward** ``compute_terminal_reward``: graded only when the

   agent submits a discovery claim or runs out of resources. Compares the

   submitted claim against the hidden ``LatentParticle`` truth.



The terminal reward is intentionally dominant so the policy must care about

the *correct* discovery, not just looking busy.



Anti-reward-hacking design notes

--------------------------------

The shaping reward is layered with several independent checks so that

exploiting any single one alone cannot dominate the terminal grade

(see hackathon guidance: *"use multiple independent reward functions"*):



* ``tool_fit`` is **gated**: the agent only earns it when ``method`` is

  in ``TOOL_REGISTRY`` *and* the tool's category matches the action's

  expected category. Bogus method strings get **penalized**, not rewarded.

* ``valid_action`` is gated on a parsed structured action that the rules

  engine accepts — pure JSON-shaped junk does not earn it.

* ``progress_milestone`` only fires on the *first* time a milestone is

  unlocked, so re-doing already-completed steps cannot farm it.

* ``redundancy`` and the new ``repeat_action_penalty`` punish loops that

  re-emit the same action type many times in a row.

* The terminal grade dominates total reward via ``terminal_scale``, and

  the overconfident-wrong penalty also fires when the claim *significance*

  exceeds what was actually measured.

"""

from __future__ import annotations

from collections import deque
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from typing import Deque, Dict, List, Optional

import numpy as np

from models import (
    ActionType,
    DiscoveryClaim,
    ExperimentAction,
    IntermediateOutput,
    TOOL_REGISTRY,
    is_recommended_tool,
)

from server.rules.engine import RuleResult, ViolationCode
from server.simulator.latent_state import FullLatentState


# ── Configuration ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────


@dataclass
class RewardWeights:
    # ── per-step shaping ────────────────────────────────────────
    valid_action: float = 0.05
    progress_milestone: float = 0.25
    evidence_quality: float = 0.20
    tool_fit: float = 0.10            # paid only on a method ∈ TOOL_REGISTRY
                                      # whose category matches the action.
    bogus_method_penalty: float = -0.05  # penalises method strings outside
                                         # TOOL_REGISTRY (anti-string-spam).
    repeat_action_penalty: float = -0.08  # per consecutive repeat beyond the
                                          # second identical action_type in a row.
    soft_violation: float = -0.05
    hard_violation: float = -0.50
    redundancy: float = -0.10
    resource_overspend: float = -0.30
    failure: float = -0.30

    # Hard cap on what a single shaping step can earn. Without this a
    # policy could in principle stack milestone + evidence_quality +
    # tool_fit + valid_action and approach the terminal reward magnitude.
    step_reward_clip: float = 0.75

    # ── terminal grading ────────────────────────────────────────
    terminal_scale: float = 5.0   # multiplied with the convex sum below

    mass_calibration: float = 0.30
    significance_quality: float = 0.20
    channel_correctness: float = 0.20
    spin_correctness: float = 0.10
    width_calibration: float = 0.05
    confidence_calibration: float = 0.10
    efficiency_bonus: float = 0.05

    overconfident_wrong_penalty: float = 4.0  # subtracted from terminal
    overclaim_significance_penalty: float = 1.5  # claim_sigma >> measured_sigma


# ── Outputs ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────


@dataclass
class RewardBreakdown:
    components: Dict[str, float] = field(default_factory=dict)
    total: float = 0.0

    def add(self, key: str, value: float) -> None:
        self.components[key] = self.components.get(key, 0.0) + value
        self.total += value


@dataclass
class StepReward:
    reward: float
    breakdown: RewardBreakdown


@dataclass
class TerminalReward:
    reward: float
    breakdown: RewardBreakdown
    discovered: bool
    correct_mass: bool
    correct_channel: bool
    correct_spin: bool


# ── Per-step ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────


_PROGRESS_FLAGS = [
    "beam_configured",
    "luminosity_allocated",
    "trigger_set",
    "collisions_collected",
    "channel_selected",
    "tracks_reconstructed",
    "detector_calibrated",
    "invariant_mass_built",
    "background_subtracted",
    "resonance_fitted",
    "significance_estimated",
]


def _milestone_progress(state_before: FullLatentState, state_after: FullLatentState) -> int:
    """Number of new progress milestones unlocked this step."""
    delta = 0
    for flag in _PROGRESS_FLAGS:
        was = getattr(state_before.progress, flag)
        now = getattr(state_after.progress, flag)
        if now and not was:
            delta += 1
    return delta


def _consecutive_repeat_count(

    history: List, action_type: ActionType, look_back: int = 6

) -> int:
    """How many times this action_type appeared *consecutively* most recently

    (excluding the just-applied action). Used to dampen loops.

    """
    if not history:
        return 0
    n = 0
    for rec in reversed(history[-look_back:]):
        if getattr(rec, "action_type", None) == action_type:
            n += 1
        else:
            break
    return n


def compute_step_reward(

    *,

    action: ExperimentAction,

    output: IntermediateOutput,

    state_before: FullLatentState,

    state_after: FullLatentState,

    rule_result: RuleResult,

    weights: RewardWeights = RewardWeights(),

    history: Optional[List] = None,

) -> StepReward:
    """Compute the per-step shaping reward.



    ``history`` is the list of ``PipelineStepRecord`` *before* this step. We

    use it to detect consecutive-repeat loops (e.g. a model spamming the

    same action_type to farm shaping). All other fields are local.

    """

    breakdown = RewardBreakdown()

    # ── basic validity / failure ────────────────────────────────────
    if rule_result.allowed and output.success:
        breakdown.add("valid_action", weights.valid_action)
    if not output.success:
        breakdown.add("failure", weights.failure)

    # ── milestone progress (one-shot per flag, anti-farming) ────────
    new_milestones = _milestone_progress(state_before, state_after)
    if new_milestones > 0:
        breakdown.add("progress", weights.progress_milestone * new_milestones)

    # ── evidence quality ────────────────────────────────────────────
    if output.success:
        breakdown.add(
            "evidence_quality",
            weights.evidence_quality * float(output.quality_score),
        )

    # ── tool fit: gated on TOOL_REGISTRY membership + category match ─
    # Bogus or mismatched method strings are explicitly penalised so the
    # model can't farm shaping reward by setting method='whatever'.
    if action.method:
        if is_recommended_tool(action.action_type, action.method):
            breakdown.add("tool_fit", weights.tool_fit)
        elif action.method not in TOOL_REGISTRY:
            breakdown.add("bogus_method", weights.bogus_method_penalty)
        # If the tool exists but the category doesn't match the action,
        # we silently award nothing (no penalty, no reward).

    # ── rule penalties ──────────────────────────────────────────────
    if rule_result.violations:
        breakdown.add(
            "hard_violation",
            weights.hard_violation * len(rule_result.violations),
        )
    if rule_result.soft_violations:
        soft_redundant = sum(
            1 for v in rule_result.soft_violations if v == ViolationCode.REDUNDANT
        )
        soft_other = len(rule_result.soft_violations) - soft_redundant
        if soft_redundant:
            breakdown.add("redundancy", weights.redundancy * soft_redundant)
        if soft_other:
            breakdown.add("soft_violation", weights.soft_violation * soft_other)

    # ── consecutive-repeat penalty (catches loop hacks) ─────────────
    # Two-in-a-row is mildly OK (sometimes you re-collect data); three
    # or more identical action_types in a row earns escalating penalty.
    repeats = _consecutive_repeat_count(history or [], action.action_type)
    if repeats >= 2:
        breakdown.add(
            "repeat_action",
            weights.repeat_action_penalty * (repeats - 1),
        )

    # ── resource overspend ──────────────────────────────────────────
    res = state_after.resources
    if res.budget_used_musd > res.budget_total_musd:
        breakdown.add("budget_overspend", weights.resource_overspend)
    if res.luminosity_used_fb > res.luminosity_total_fb:
        breakdown.add("lumi_overspend", weights.resource_overspend)
    if res.time_used_days > res.time_limit_days:
        breakdown.add("time_overspend", weights.resource_overspend)

    # ── total + soft cap ────────────────────────────────────────────
    total = float(breakdown.total)
    if weights.step_reward_clip > 0:
        total = float(np.clip(total, -10.0, weights.step_reward_clip))
    return StepReward(reward=total, breakdown=breakdown)


# ── Terminal grading ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────


def _mass_score(true_mass: float, claim_mass: Optional[float], unc: Optional[float]) -> float:
    """1.0 within 1σ, smoothly decays to 0 by 5 GeV (or 5σ, whichever larger)."""
    if claim_mass is None or true_mass <= 0:
        return 0.0
    err = abs(claim_mass - true_mass)
    # Tolerance: max(1.0 GeV, 1% of true mass, claimed unc)
    tol = max(1.0, 0.01 * true_mass)
    if unc is not None and unc > 0:
        tol = max(tol, float(unc))
    if err <= tol:
        return 1.0
    if err >= 5 * tol:
        return 0.0
    return float(np.clip(1.0 - (err - tol) / (4 * tol), 0.0, 1.0))


def _significance_score(state: FullLatentState, claim_sigma: Optional[float]) -> float:
    """High score when claimed σ matches measured σ and is ≥ 5.



    A claim_sigma far above the measured significance is a classic

    reward-hacking pattern (just write '50' in the field), so we penalise

    over-claiming proportionally.

    """
    measured = state.progress.best_significance_sigma or 0.0
    if claim_sigma is None:
        return 0.0
    over_claim = max(0.0, claim_sigma - measured)
    base = float(np.clip(measured / 5.0, 0.0, 1.0))
    penalty = float(np.clip(over_claim / 3.0, 0.0, 1.0))
    return float(np.clip(base - 0.5 * penalty, 0.0, 1.0))


def _significance_overclaim(

    state: FullLatentState, claim_sigma: Optional[float], threshold_sigma: float = 1.5

) -> float:
    """How many σ the claim *exceeds* what the env actually measured.



    Used as an extra penalty — distinct from ``_significance_score`` —

    so that a model can't compensate a giant over-claim by getting the

    mass slightly more accurate. Returns ``max(0, claim - measured - τ)``.

    """
    if claim_sigma is None:
        return 0.0
    measured = state.progress.best_significance_sigma or 0.0
    return float(max(0.0, claim_sigma - measured - threshold_sigma))


def _confidence_calibration(claim_conf: float, mass_score: float, channel_correct: bool) -> float:
    """Reward agents whose confidence tracks their actual accuracy."""
    actual = 0.5 * mass_score + 0.5 * (1.0 if channel_correct else 0.0)
    err = abs(actual - claim_conf)
    return float(np.clip(1.0 - err, 0.0, 1.0))


def _efficiency_bonus(state: FullLatentState) -> float:
    """Reward leftover budget (encourages succinct experiments)."""
    res = state.resources
    score = 0.0
    score += np.clip(res.budget_remaining / res.budget_total_musd, 0.0, 1.0)
    score += np.clip(res.luminosity_remaining / res.luminosity_total_fb, 0.0, 1.0)
    score += np.clip(res.time_remaining / res.time_limit_days, 0.0, 1.0)
    return float(score / 3.0)


def compute_terminal_reward(

    *,

    state: FullLatentState,

    claim: DiscoveryClaim,

    weights: RewardWeights = RewardWeights(),

) -> TerminalReward:
    breakdown = RewardBreakdown()
    truth = state.particle

    mass_score = _mass_score(truth.mass_gev, claim.mass_estimate_gev, claim.mass_uncertainty_gev)
    breakdown.add("mass_calibration", weights.mass_calibration * mass_score)

    sig_score = _significance_score(state, claim.significance_sigma)
    breakdown.add("significance_quality", weights.significance_quality * sig_score)

    channel_ok = claim.decay_channel == truth.primary_channel
    breakdown.add("channel_correctness", weights.channel_correctness * (1.0 if channel_ok else 0.0))

    spin_ok = claim.spin_hypothesis is not None and claim.spin_hypothesis == truth.spin
    breakdown.add("spin_correctness", weights.spin_correctness * (1.0 if spin_ok else 0.0))

    width_score = 0.0
    if claim.width_estimate_gev is not None and truth.width_gev > 0:
        rel = abs(claim.width_estimate_gev - truth.width_gev) / max(truth.width_gev, 1e-3)
        width_score = float(np.clip(1.0 - rel, 0.0, 1.0))
    breakdown.add("width_calibration", weights.width_calibration * width_score)

    conf_score = _confidence_calibration(claim.confidence, mass_score, channel_ok)
    breakdown.add("confidence_calibration", weights.confidence_calibration * conf_score)

    eff_score = _efficiency_bonus(state)
    breakdown.add("efficiency_bonus", weights.efficiency_bonus * eff_score)

    discovered = (
        mass_score >= 0.5
        and channel_ok
        and (claim.significance_sigma or 0.0) >= 4.5
    )

    raw = breakdown.total * weights.terminal_scale

    # Overconfident-wrong penalty: high confidence but wrong channel & far mass
    if claim.confidence >= 0.8 and (mass_score < 0.2 or not channel_ok):
        raw -= weights.overconfident_wrong_penalty
        breakdown.add("overconfident_wrong", -weights.overconfident_wrong_penalty)

    # Significance-overclaim penalty (anti-reward-hacking): discourages the
    # model from just writing a giant σ in the claim regardless of evidence.
    overclaim_sigma = _significance_overclaim(state, claim.significance_sigma)
    if overclaim_sigma > 0:
        pen = weights.overclaim_significance_penalty * float(
            np.clip(overclaim_sigma / 3.0, 0.0, 2.0)
        )
        raw -= pen
        breakdown.add("overclaim_significance", -pen)

    # If the claim has zero/None mass and zero/None significance, treat it
    # as a "no-information" submission — clamp the raw reward so the model
    # can't pass the rules engine and then submit garbage to end early.
    if (claim.mass_estimate_gev is None) and (claim.significance_sigma in (None, 0.0)):
        raw = float(min(raw, 0.0))
        breakdown.add("no_information_claim", 0.0)

    return TerminalReward(
        reward=float(raw),
        breakdown=breakdown,
        discovered=discovered,
        correct_mass=mass_score >= 0.5,
        correct_channel=channel_ok,
        correct_spin=spin_ok,
    )


__all__ = [
    "RewardBreakdown",
    "RewardWeights",
    "StepReward",
    "TerminalReward",
    "compute_step_reward",
    "compute_terminal_reward",
]