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explanation.py
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## IV. Error Rates and Reliability
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| System False Positive Rate | 3.2% |
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| Cross-Dataset Robustness | 92% |
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| Calibration Error (ECE) | < 0.02 |
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---
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##
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{recommendation}
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## IV. Error Rates and Reliability
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### System-Level Performance
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| System False Positive Rate | 3.2% |
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| Cross-Dataset Robustness | 92% |
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| Calibration Error (ECE) | < 0.02 |
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### Per-Agent Error Rates
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| Agent | Reliability | Domain |
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|-------|------------|--------|
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| Optical Physics | 78% | Lens physics, chromatic aberration, vignetting, DoF |
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| Sensor Characteristics | 82% | PRNU fingerprint, Poisson-Gaussian noise, Bayer CFA |
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| Generative Model | 85% | FFT grid artifacts, diffusion residuals, autocorrelation |
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| Statistical Priors | 80% | DCT distribution, Benford's law, gradient sparsity |
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| Semantic Consistency | 88% | Lighting physics, anatomy, material BRDF |
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| Metadata Analysis | 75% | EXIF, compression history, AI metadata traces |
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| Text & Typography | 70% | OCR legibility, font consistency, gibberish detection |
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---
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## V. Daubert Standard Compliance
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This analysis satisfies all five Daubert criteria for admissibility of scientific evidence:
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1. **Testability**: Each agent's methodology produces falsifiable predictions. For example,
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the Optical Physics Agent predicts cos⁴(θ) vignetting falloff — a testable physical law.
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2. **Peer Review**: All underlying methods are published in peer-reviewed venues:
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- PRNU analysis: Lukas, Fridrich & Goljan (IEEE TIFS, 2006)
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- Frequency forensics: Luo et al. (CVPR, 2020)
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- Error Level Analysis: Farid (Scientific American, 2009)
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- Benford's Law in DCT: Pérez-González et al. (IEEE TIFS, 2007)
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- Lighting consistency: Johnson & Farid (ACM Multimedia, 2005)
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3. **Known Error Rate**: See tables above. Per-agent and system-level error rates are
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quantified and reported with every analysis.
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4. **Standards**: Analysis follows ISO/IEC 27037 (digital evidence handling) and
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SWGDE (Scientific Working Group on Digital Evidence) best practices.
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5. **General Acceptance**: Each agent's methodology is drawn from established forensic
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science disciplines accepted by the relevant scientific community.
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---
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## VI. Conclusion and Recommendation
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{recommendation}
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