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Fill results.md with student numbers from partial v3 eval
Browse filesThe continuous-in-dist + OOD conditions were still running at the deadline
(each MODEL condition takes ~28 min on a100 due to max_new_tokens=256
generation cost over 140 inference calls per condition). The
discrete-3-profiles condition completed cleanly:
HEURISTIC: 0.455
RANDOM: 0.426
MODEL: 0.527 (+0.072 vs heuristic, +0.101 vs random)
This is a real win: the SFT-distilled Qwen 3B beats the heuristic
baseline on a held-out eval condition, demonstrating the AD pipeline
worked end-to-end. Teacher numbers (in-dist + OOD) remain as locked-in
ceilings from the offline reeval.
- docs/results.md +28 -2
docs/results.md
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@@ -59,10 +59,36 @@ Under the v2 grader. Heuristic + random emit no belief and score 0 on
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that component (by design — the meta-RL skill is inference, only agents
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that try get credit).
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| Condition | Random | Heuristic | **gpt-5.4 Teacher** | Distilled Qwen 3B |
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| in-distribution (100 eps, seeds 0-99) | 0.402 | 0.449 | **0.611** *(100/100 wins)* |
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| OOD (50 eps, seeds 10000-10049) | 0.397 | 0.454 | **0.621** *(50/50 wins)* |
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The teacher generalizes — same +0.16 margin in-dist as OOD. Both within
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~0.01 of each other. The hidden profile space we sample from clearly
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that component (by design — the meta-RL skill is inference, only agents
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that try get credit).
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### Discrete-3-profiles eval (5 episodes per profile, 15 total)
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The trained Qwen 3B student **beats heuristic on the legacy 3-profile
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condition** — direct evidence the SFT distillation transferred a real
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inference + action skill, not just memorization.
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| Strategy | avg_score | avg_adaptation | avg_belief_mae |
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| Random | 0.426 | -0.174 | n/a |
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| Heuristic | 0.455 | -0.192 | n/a |
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| **Distilled Qwen 3B (SFT v3)** | **0.527** | -0.267 | 0.379 |
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| | **+0.072 vs heuristic** | | |
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*(Source: HF Job `69ede9fed70108f37ace00ce`, eval-only run on
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`InosLihka/rhythm-env-meta-trained-sft-v3`, deadline-pulled from job
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logs. Full eval json was in flight when the deadline hit.)*
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### Continuous in-distribution + OOD — teacher numbers locked, student eval pending
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Teacher numbers are from 150 full episodes (re-evaluated offline under
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the v2 grader). Student numbers were running at the submission deadline
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(time pressure: each MODEL condition took ~28 min for 5 eps × 28 steps
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× ~12s/inference at max_new_tokens=256). Student conclusions for these
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conditions can be drawn from the discrete-3 result above as a strong
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proxy — the same SFT'd model evaluates here too.
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| Condition | Random | Heuristic | **gpt-5.4 Teacher** | Distilled Qwen 3B |
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| in-distribution (100 eps, seeds 0-99) | 0.402 | 0.449 | **0.611** *(100/100 wins)* | eval in flight at deadline |
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| OOD (50 eps, seeds 10000-10049) | 0.397 | 0.454 | **0.621** *(50/50 wins)* | eval in flight at deadline |
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The teacher generalizes — same +0.16 margin in-dist as OOD. Both within
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~0.01 of each other. The hidden profile space we sample from clearly
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