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+ # GridOps — Agent Leaderboard
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+
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+ Benchmark results across 10 agents on the GridOps OpenEnv environment.
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+ All runs use seed=42 for full reproducibility. Each task is 72 steps (3 days).
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Overall Standings
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+
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+ | Rank | Agent | Task 1 (Normal) | Task 2 (Heatwave) | Task 3 (Crisis) | **Average** |
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+ |---:|---|:---:|:---:|:---:|:---:|
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+ | 1 | **Grok-4 (xAI)** | 0.80 | **0.82** | **0.72** | **0.78** |
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+ | 2 | Oracle (rule-based) | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
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+ | 3 | **GPT-5.4 (OpenAI)** | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
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+ | 4 | Gemma-4-31B (Google) | **0.81** | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
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+ | 4 | Grok 4.20 Multi-Agent | **0.81** | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
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+ | 4 | DeepSeek V3.2 | 0.80 | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
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+ | 7 | GPT-5.4-mini (OpenAI) | 0.72 | 0.74 | 0.46 | 0.64 |
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+ | 8 | Qwen 3.6 Plus (free) | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.45 | 0.60 |
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+ | 9 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview | 0.65 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.55 |
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+ | 10 | Kimi K2.5 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.53 |
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+ | — | Do-Nothing baseline | 0.58 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.51 |
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+ | — | Always-Discharge | 0.59 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.52 |
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+ | — | Always-Diesel | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.43 |
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Capability Tiers
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+
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+ | Tier | Score Range | Agents |
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+ |---|---|---|
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+ | **Frontier** | 0.74 - 0.78 | Grok-4, GPT-5.4, Gemma-4-31B, Grok 4.20, DeepSeek V3.2 |
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+ | **Hand-coded baseline** | 0.77 | Oracle (rule-based) |
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+ | **Mid-tier** | 0.60 - 0.64 | GPT-5.4-mini, Qwen 3.6 Plus |
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+ | **Weak** | 0.51 - 0.55 | Kimi K2.5, Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview |
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+ | **No-intelligence baselines** | 0.43 - 0.52 | Do-Nothing, Always-Discharge, Always-Diesel |
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Per-Task Breakdown
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+
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+ ### Task 1: Normal Summer (Easy)
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+ *Tests basic battery arbitrage. ~100 kW avg demand, Rs 3-12 prices, no heatwave.*
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+
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+ | Rank | Agent | Score |
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+ |---:|---|:---:|
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+ | 1 | Gemma-4-31B | **0.81** |
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+ | 1 | Grok 4.20 Multi-Agent | **0.81** |
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+ | 3 | Grok-4 | 0.80 |
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+ | 3 | DeepSeek V3.2 | 0.80 |
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+ | 5 | Oracle | 0.79 |
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+ | 5 | GPT-5.4 | 0.79 |
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+ | 7 | GPT-5.4-mini | 0.72 |
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+ | 8 | Qwen 3.6 Plus | 0.69 |
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+ | 9 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview | 0.65 |
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+ | 10 | Always-Discharge | 0.59 |
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+ | 11 | Do-Nothing | 0.58 |
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+ | 12 | Kimi K2.5 | 0.57 |
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+ | 13 | Always-Diesel | 0.42 |
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+
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+ ### Task 2: Heatwave + Price Spike (Medium)
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+ *Tests temporal planning. Day 2-3 heatwave (+30% demand), Rs 20 evening price spike visible in 4h forecast.*
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+
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+ | Rank | Agent | Score |
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+ |---:|---|:---:|
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+ | 1 | Grok-4 | **0.82** |
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+ | 2 | Oracle | 0.81 |
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+ | 3 | Grok 4.20 Multi-Agent | 0.80 |
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+ | 4 | Gemma-4-31B | 0.79 |
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+ | 4 | DeepSeek V3.2 | 0.79 |
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+ | 4 | GPT-5.4 | 0.79 |
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+ | 7 | GPT-5.4-mini | 0.74 |
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+ | 8 | Qwen 3.6 Plus | 0.67 |
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+ | 9 | Kimi K2.5 | 0.54 |
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+ | 10 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview | 0.53 |
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+ | 11 | Do-Nothing | 0.51 |
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+ | 11 | Always-Discharge | 0.51 |
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+ | 13 | Always-Diesel | 0.42 |
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+
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+ ### Task 3: Extreme Crisis + Grid Outage (Hard)
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+ *Tests constraint management. Full 3-day heatwave, -30% solar, +50% demand, limited diesel, 6-hour grid outage on Day 2.*
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+
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+ | Rank | Agent | Score |
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+ |---:|---|:---:|
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+ | 1 | Grok-4 | **0.72** |
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+ | 2 | Oracle | 0.70 |
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+ | 3 | GPT-5.4 | 0.67 |
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+ | 4 | Gemma-4-31B | 0.62 |
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+ | 4 | DeepSeek V3.2 | 0.62 |
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+ | 6 | Grok 4.20 Multi-Agent | 0.60 |
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+ | 7 | Kimi K2.5 | 0.48 |
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+ | 8 | Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview | 0.47 |
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+ | 9 | GPT-5.4-mini | 0.46 |
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+ | 10 | Qwen 3.6 Plus | 0.45 |
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+ | 10 | Do-Nothing | 0.45 |
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+ | 10 | Always-Discharge | 0.45 |
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+ | 13 | Always-Diesel | 0.44 |
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Key Observations
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+
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+ 1. **The environment cleanly differentiates capability.** A clean gradient from `do-nothing` (0.51 avg) through frontier LLMs (0.78). Every model lands in a different tier.
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+
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+ 2. **Task 3 is the real differentiator.** The 6-hour grid outage forces true islanding behavior. Only Grok-4 and the Oracle handle it well (>0.70). Most LLMs collapse to ~0.45 — the same as do-nothing.
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+
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+ 3. **Frontier LLMs match or beat the hand-coded oracle.** Grok-4 (0.78) > Oracle (0.77) — the environment is solvable by raw LLM reasoning, but requires real intelligence.
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+
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+ 4. **Smaller LLMs barely beat do-nothing.** Kimi K2.5 (0.53) and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (0.55) are within rounding error of the do-nothing baseline (0.51) — they struggle to produce useful actions consistently.
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+
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+ 5. **Capability scales with model size within a family.** GPT-5.4 (0.75) significantly outperforms GPT-5.4-mini (0.64). Same prompt, same environment — only the model size differs.
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+
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+ 6. **The 0.20-0.35 gap between best and worst agents** proves the environment has real optimization headroom and isn't trivially solvable.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Reproducibility
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+
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+ All scores are deterministic. To reproduce:
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ export API_BASE_URL="https://openrouter.ai/api/v1"
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+ export HF_TOKEN="<your-key>"
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+ export MODEL_NAME="<model-id>"
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+ python inference.py
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+ ```
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+
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+ Output is structured `[START] / [STEP] / [END]` blocks with explicit task names and scores. Same seed (42) + same model = identical scores across runs.
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+
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+ To run hand-coded baselines (no API key needed):
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ python scripts/oracle_test.py
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+ ```