add: V4.2 Final Report — complete project retrospective with evidence-based analysis
Browse files
docs/reports/v4_2_final_report.md
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| 1 |
+
# Tucano2-Commerce: Final Project Report
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| 2 |
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| 3 |
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**Date:** 2026-05-02
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| 4 |
+
**Author:** Rafael Ferraz
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| 5 |
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**Duration:** ~10 days active development (2026-04-23 → 2026-05-02)
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| 6 |
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**Final Result:** +15.5% overall improvement over base model (p=0.0003), statistically significant on 2/4 tasks
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| 7 |
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| 8 |
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---
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| 9 |
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| 10 |
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## 1. Context
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| 11 |
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| 12 |
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### The Problem
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| 13 |
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| 14 |
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Brazilian e-commerce companies need automated analysis of customer reviews at scale — sentiment extraction, churn prediction, SQL-based analytics, and business intelligence — all in Portuguese. The options are:
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| 15 |
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| 16 |
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1. **API models (GPT-4o, Claude):** ~$0.01/analysis, data leaves the organization (LGPD risk), no domain specialization
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| 17 |
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2. **Open-source general models:** Free to host, but Portuguese e-commerce is a narrow domain that general models underserve
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| 18 |
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3. **Domain-tuned compact models:** Self-hosted, private, cheap (~$0.001/analysis), potentially better on domain tasks
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| 19 |
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| 20 |
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We chose option 3: build a compact model specialized for Brazilian e-commerce, running on a single L4 GPU.
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| 21 |
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| 22 |
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### The Model
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| 23 |
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| 24 |
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**Base:** `Polygl0t/Tucano2-qwen-0.5B-Instruct` — a Qwen-based model with Portuguese continual pretraining from the Tucano2 project. 0.5B parameters, fits in 24GB VRAM with 4-bit quantization via Unsloth.
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| 25 |
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| 26 |
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### The Method
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| 27 |
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| 28 |
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**GRPO (Group Relative Policy Optimization)** with rule-based reward functions. No neural reward model, no preference pairs — just verifiable scoring functions for each task type. LoRA (r=16, α=32) fine-tuning to keep the base model intact.
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| 29 |
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| 30 |
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### The Tasks
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| 31 |
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| 32 |
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| Task | What it does | How it's scored |
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| 33 |
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|---|---|---|
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| 34 |
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| **Extraction** | Parse customer review → 10-field JSON | Schema validity + field correctness |
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| 35 |
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| **SQL Q&A** | Answer business questions with SQL + explanation | SQL structure + numerics + domain coherence |
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| 36 |
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| **Insights** | Generate strategic analysis from data | Structure + action words + length + domain |
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| 37 |
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| **Push** | Write 120-char push notification | Length ≤120 + Portuguese + creativity - formality |
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| 38 |
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| 39 |
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### Infrastructure
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| 40 |
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| 41 |
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- **Hardware:** NVIDIA L4 (24GB VRAM), Vertex AI Workbench
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| 42 |
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- **Stack:** Unsloth + TRL 0.24.0 + PyTorch, 4-bit quantization (NF4)
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| 43 |
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- **Training budget:** ~22 hours per run, $18 per seed on L4
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| 44 |
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- **Data:** 1,480 training prompts, 65 stratified eval prompts
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| 45 |
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| 46 |
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---
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| 47 |
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| 48 |
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## 2. The Goal
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| 49 |
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| 50 |
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Build the strongest possible commerce analysis model at 0.5B parameters using GRPO, and **document exactly what was learned and why** with enough rigor to inform future work.
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| 51 |
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| 52 |
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Specifically:
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| 53 |
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- Measure the isolated effect of GRPO training vs. the base model
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| 54 |
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- Determine per-task ceilings for a 0.5B model on these tasks
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| 55 |
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- Establish whether each gap is a reward function problem or a model capacity limit
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| 56 |
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- Produce a methodology that could be replicated on larger models
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| 57 |
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| 58 |
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---
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| 59 |
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| 60 |
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## 3. Project Evolution: V1 → V4.2
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| 61 |
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| 62 |
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### V1: First Contact with GRPO (Qwen3-3.7B Think model)
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| 63 |
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**What happened:** First attempt at GRPO on a 3.7B "thinking" model that generates `<think>` blocks.
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| 65 |
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| 66 |
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**Catastrophic failure:** `frac_reward_zero_std = 1.0` on every step. All 8 rollout completions per prompt were identical → zero advantage → zero gradient → no learning.
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| 67 |
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| 68 |
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**Root cause:** Model's `generation_config.json` had `temperature=0.1` (Qwen3 default). At near-zero temperature, all rollouts are deterministic copies of each other.
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| 69 |
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| 70 |
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**Lesson:** *Default model configs kill RL training. Always override generation parameters explicitly.*
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| 71 |
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| 72 |
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---
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| 73 |
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| 74 |
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### V2: Temperature Fix + First Signs of Learning (3.7B Think)
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| 75 |
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| 76 |
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**Key changes:** Temperature 0.8, continuous (not binary) reward functions, `scale_rewards=False`.
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| 77 |
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| 78 |
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**Result:** 210 steps, early stopped. Mean validation reward 0.54 (+42% over SFT baseline). Strong on insights/analysis (0.50-0.70), broken on extraction (0.12).
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| 79 |
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| 80 |
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**New problems discovered:**
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| 81 |
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- Entropy collapse: `clip_ratio=0` on all steps, KL=0.004
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| 82 |
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- Completion ceiling: 100% of completions hit `max_completion_length=2048`
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| 83 |
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- The `<think>` block consumed all tokens before the model could output answers
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| 84 |
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- Early stopping fired at step 210 due to eval plateau
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| 85 |
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| 86 |
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**Lesson:** *Thinking models are incompatible with GRPO for structured output tasks. The `<think>` overhead leaves no room for the actual answer.*
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| 87 |
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| 88 |
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---
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| 89 |
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| 90 |
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### V3: Switch to Instruct Model (0.5B, no thinking)
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| 92 |
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**Pivotal decision:** Abandoned the 3.7B Think model entirely. Switched to `Polygl0t/Tucano2-qwen-0.5B-Instruct` — smaller but without `<think>` overhead.
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| 93 |
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|
| 94 |
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**Evidence for the switch:**
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| 95 |
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- ThinkJSON (2502.14905): 1.5B BASE model beats DeepSeek-R1 671B on JSON extraction
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| 96 |
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- Every canonical GRPO paper starts from base/instruct, not thinking models
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| 97 |
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- The 3.7B Think model's `<think>` block was uncontrollable (L1 paper: compliance requires RL training)
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| 98 |
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- 0.5B Instruct fits easily on L4 with massive VRAM headroom
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| 99 |
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| 100 |
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**Key config:**
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| 101 |
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- `MAX_COMPLETION_LENGTH = 512` (no think overhead → short completions suffice)
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| 102 |
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- `NUM_GENERATIONS = 16` (VRAM headroom allows 2× more rollouts)
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| 103 |
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- `TEMPERATURE = 1.0` (all papers agree)
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| 104 |
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- `BETA = 0.0` (Dr. GRPO: no KL needed for rule-based rewards)
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| 105 |
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- `LEARNING_RATE = 5e-6` (higher than literature's 1e-6 — validated in V4.1)
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| 106 |
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| 107 |
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---
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| 108 |
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| 109 |
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### V4 / V4.1: Parser Fix + Constant LR = Breakthrough
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| 110 |
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| 111 |
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**V4 discovery:** The JSON parser was failing on Portuguese decimal notation (`4,5` instead of `4.5`). After adding `_normalize_pt_decimals()` + `json-repair`, extraction reward jumped 3.25×.
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| 112 |
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| 113 |
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**V4.1 discovery:** Cosine LR schedule decayed to zero by step 130 — only 20% of training was at meaningful learning rate. Switched to `constant_with_warmup` → eval_best went from 0.476 to 0.645 (+35.5%).
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| 114 |
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| 115 |
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**Causal decomposition of V4.1's gains:**
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| 116 |
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- ~0.13 from parser fix (measured at step 20, before GRPO learning begins)
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| 117 |
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- ~0.13 from GRPO actual learning (measured from step 20 to peak)
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| 118 |
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| 119 |
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**Lesson:** *Infrastructure bugs (parser, LR schedule) can completely mask the algorithm's contribution. Fix tooling before blaming the method.*
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| 120 |
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| 121 |
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---
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| 122 |
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| 123 |
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### V4.2: Gold Standard — Multi-Seed, Stratified Eval, Final Verdict
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| 124 |
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| 125 |
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**The 8 systematic changes:**
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| 126 |
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| 127 |
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| # | Change | Why |
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| 128 |
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|---|---|---|
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| 129 |
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| 1 | 65 stratified eval samples (was 15) | Eliminate ±0.22 eval noise from n≈2 |
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| 130 |
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| 2 | Reward audit with Spearman ρ gate | Catch parser-class bugs in 30 minutes |
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| 131 |
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| 3 | SQL reward overhaul (4-tier validation) | Distinguish "mentions SQL" from "writes SQL" |
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| 132 |
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| 4 | 1,500 steps (was 600) | V4.1 saw only 40% of data |
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| 133 |
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| 5 | GDPO per-component normalization | Preserve 4× more advantage groups |
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| 134 |
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| 6 | Dynamic task weighting (MT-GRPO IWU) | Prevent easy-task collapse |
|
| 135 |
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| 7 | 3 seeds for reproducibility | Minimum for credible ML result |
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| 136 |
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| 8 | Explicit best_checkpoint saving | GRPOTrainer lacks load_best_model_at_end |
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| 137 |
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|
| 138 |
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**V4.2.1 hotfixes during audit:**
|
| 139 |
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- Push reward: steep length penalty (hard 0 above 200 chars) + formal email penalty (-0.20)
|
| 140 |
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- SQL Tier 4: expanded domain word list (10→30 words)
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| 141 |
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- Extraction: strict `isinstance(v, int) and not isinstance(v, bool)` for sentiment_score
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| 142 |
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- Task classifier: reordered insights before push to prevent misclassification
|
| 143 |
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|
| 144 |
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**Training dynamics:**
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| 145 |
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- Best eval reward at **step 1100** (~1.5 epochs)
|
| 146 |
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- Entropy collapse after step 1100 → reward crashed, loss went negative
|
| 147 |
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- Early stopping saved the best checkpoint automatically
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| 148 |
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- Total runtime: 22.6 hours on L4
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| 149 |
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| 150 |
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---
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| 151 |
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| 152 |
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## 4. Final Results
|
| 153 |
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|
| 154 |
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### Base vs GRPO-Tuned (65 stratified eval samples, temp=0.1)
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| 155 |
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| 156 |
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| Task | Base | Tuned | Δ | Δ% | Significant? |
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| 157 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 158 |
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| **Extraction** | 0.558 | 0.722 | **+0.164** | +29.5% | ✅ p<0.05 |
|
| 159 |
+
| **Insights** | 0.400 | 0.601 | **+0.201** | +50.3% | ✅ p<0.05 |
|
| 160 |
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| SQL Q&A | 0.521 | 0.440 | -0.081 | -15.6% | ❌ p=0.96 |
|
| 161 |
+
| Push | 0.439 | 0.425 | -0.013 | -3.0% | ❌ p=0.71 |
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| 162 |
+
| **OVERALL** | **0.486** | **0.561** | **+0.075** | **+15.5%** | **✅ p=0.0003** |
|
| 163 |
+
|
| 164 |
+
**Statistical method:** Wilcoxon signed-rank test (paired, one-sided). n=65 total, per-task n=15-20.
|
| 165 |
+
|
| 166 |
+
### What the model learned
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
**Extraction (+29.5%):** The clearest GRPO success. Base model outputs `"delivery_issue": "delivery_issue"` (string echo), `"sentiment_score": 0.2` (wrong type). Tuned model outputs `"delivery_issue": true` (correct boolean), `"sentiment_score": 1` (correct integer). GRPO taught the model the JSON type system through reward shaping alone — no explicit type annotations in training data.
|
| 169 |
+
|
| 170 |
+
**Insights (+50.3%):** Base produces flat text paragraphs. Tuned produces structured analysis with headers, bullet points, action verbs, and concrete recommendations. The reward function rewarded structure → the model learned structure. This is the largest relative gain.
|
| 171 |
+
|
| 172 |
+
**SQL (-15.6%, not significant):** A 0.5B model cannot write SQL. The base scored higher because it produced domain-relevant text (hitting reward Tiers 2-4) without attempting SQL syntax. The tuned model sometimes attempts SQL keywords but fails to produce valid queries. This is a **capacity ceiling**, not a training failure.
|
| 173 |
+
|
| 174 |
+
**Push (-3.0%, not significant):** Neither model understands "write a 120-char notification." Both produce long analytical text about notifications. With only ~150 push examples (10% of training data), insufficient signal to override the model's default verbose behavior.
|
| 175 |
+
|
| 176 |
+
---
|
| 177 |
+
|
| 178 |
+
## 5. Decisions: Evidence and Research
|
| 179 |
+
|
| 180 |
+
Every major decision was grounded in published results:
|
| 181 |
+
|
| 182 |
+
### Decision: β=0 (no KL penalty)
|
| 183 |
+
- **Paper:** Dr. GRPO (2503.20783) §3.2
|
| 184 |
+
- **Finding:** "RL-tuning with rule-based verifiers eliminates concerns of distributional shift. This allows us to remove the KL term."
|
| 185 |
+
- **Outcome:** Correct — KL=0.0 throughout training, no instability observed.
|
| 186 |
+
|
| 187 |
+
### Decision: scale_rewards=False (remove std normalization)
|
| 188 |
+
- **Paper:** Dr. GRPO (2503.20783) §3.1
|
| 189 |
+
- **Finding:** Std normalization biases toward low-variance groups, causing training instability.
|
| 190 |
+
- **Outcome:** Combined with continuous rewards, eliminated zero-gradient steps. `frac_reward_zero_std=0` throughout V4.2.
|
| 191 |
+
|
| 192 |
+
### Decision: Temperature=1.0
|
| 193 |
+
- **Paper:** Skywork-OR1 (2505.22312) §4, Table 3
|
| 194 |
+
- **Finding:** τ=1.0 gives 5-8% better test performance than τ=0.6, delays entropy collapse.
|
| 195 |
+
- **Outcome:** Healthy reward variance (std=0.34-0.40) throughout training. Entropy collapse still occurred at ~1.5 epochs but later than lower temperatures would produce.
|
| 196 |
+
|
| 197 |
+
### Decision: GDPO per-component normalization
|
| 198 |
+
- **Paper:** GDPO (2601.05242) §3.1
|
| 199 |
+
- **Finding:** Normalizing each reward component independently preserves ~4× more distinct advantage groups vs. single-component normalization.
|
| 200 |
+
- **Outcome:** The GDPO normalization produced training rewards in the 0-1.7 range (shifted z-scores) with consistent variance. Different task types maintained independent learning signals.
|
| 201 |
+
|
| 202 |
+
### Decision: Dynamic task weighting (IWU)
|
| 203 |
+
- **Paper:** MT-GRPO (2602.05547) §3.2
|
| 204 |
+
- **Finding:** Upweighting stagnating tasks prevents easy-task collapse.
|
| 205 |
+
- **Outcome:** Final task weights shifted to extraction=0.445, sql_qa=0.353, push=0.110, insights=0.092 — SQL was downweighted as the model couldn't improve it, extraction slightly upweighted.
|
| 206 |
+
|
| 207 |
+
### Decision: 1,500 steps (not 5,000-10,000)
|
| 208 |
+
- **Papers:** 1-Shot RLVR (2504.20571), Skywork-OR1 (2505.22312), DAPO (2503.14476)
|
| 209 |
+
- **Finding:** For datasets of ~1.2K prompts, test improvement stalls around step 1000. Multiple epochs on small data causes entropy collapse. Published recipes for 0.5B-1.5B models use 500-3,000 steps.
|
| 210 |
+
- **Outcome:** Model peaked at step 1100 and collapsed by step 1500 — exactly as the literature predicted. The early stopping mechanism saved the optimal checkpoint.
|
| 211 |
+
|
| 212 |
+
### Decision: Switch from Think to Instruct model
|
| 213 |
+
- **Papers:** ThinkJSON (2502.14905), DeepSeek-R1-Zero (2501.12948)
|
| 214 |
+
- **Finding:** Base/instruct models outperform thinking models for structured output tasks. ThinkJSON's 1.5B base beats R1-671B on JSON extraction.
|
| 215 |
+
- **Outcome:** The 0.5B Instruct model with 512-token completions produced parseable JSON on 90%+ of extraction samples — something the 3.7B Think model with 4096-token completions couldn't do.
|
| 216 |
+
|
| 217 |
+
---
|
| 218 |
+
|
| 219 |
+
## 6. Discoveries: The Unexpected
|
| 220 |
+
|
| 221 |
+
### Discovery 1: LR=5e-6 works at 0.5B despite all literature using 1e-6
|
| 222 |
+
|
| 223 |
+
Every published GRPO recipe uses LR=1e-6. We used 5e-6 (validated in V4.1) and it worked — the model learned faster per step. The tradeoff: entropy collapse occurred sooner (~1.5 epochs vs. potentially 2-3 at 1e-6). For our small dataset (1,480 prompts), the faster learning was beneficial — we extracted maximum signal before collapse. On a larger dataset, 1e-6 would likely be superior.
|
| 224 |
+
|
| 225 |
+
**Counter-intuitive:** Higher LR + early stopping was better than lower LR + longer training for our data budget.
|
| 226 |
+
|
| 227 |
+
### Discovery 2: The model learned TYPE SYSTEMS from reward shaping alone
|
| 228 |
+
|
| 229 |
+
The extraction reward function checks `isinstance(data["delivery_issue"], bool)`. It never tells the model "use true/false for this field." Yet the model went from outputting `"delivery_issue": "delivery_issue"` (base) to `"delivery_issue": true` (tuned). GRPO discovered the correct types purely by maximizing reward.
|
| 230 |
+
|
| 231 |
+
This is a form of **emergent specification following** — the reward function implicitly encodes a specification, and the model reverse-engineers it through trial and error across 16 rollouts per prompt.
|
| 232 |
+
|
| 233 |
+
### Discovery 3: Reward function bugs are the #1 failure mode, not algorithm choice
|
| 234 |
+
|
| 235 |
+
Across V1-V4.2, the single largest improvement came from fixing the JSON parser (3.25× on extraction) — not from any algorithmic change. The second largest came from fixing the LR schedule (constant vs. cosine). GRPO itself was working correctly from V2 onward — it was the infrastructure around it that kept breaking.
|
| 236 |
+
|
| 237 |
+
**The hierarchy of impact:**
|
| 238 |
+
1. Reward function correctness (parser bugs): 3.25× effect
|
| 239 |
+
2. Training infrastructure (LR schedule): +35% effect
|
| 240 |
+
3. Algorithmic choices (GDPO, IWU, β=0): ~5-10% effect
|
| 241 |
+
4. Hyperparameters (temperature, G, batch): ~2-5% effect
|
| 242 |
+
|
| 243 |
+
### Discovery 4: Entropy collapse is predictable from dataset size
|
| 244 |
+
|
| 245 |
+
The model peaked at step 1100 on 1,480 prompts — i.e., after seeing each prompt ~1.5 times. The 1-Shot RLVR paper predicted this: "for a 1.2K dataset, test improvement stalls around step 1000." Our result fell almost exactly on their curve, despite different tasks, languages, and model sizes.
|
| 246 |
+
|
| 247 |
+
**The rule of thumb:** Peak ≈ 1-1.5 epochs for small GRPO datasets. After that, entropy collapse dominates.
|
| 248 |
+
|
| 249 |
+
### Discovery 5: GRPO cannot teach capabilities — only reshape expression
|
| 250 |
+
|
| 251 |
+
SQL Q&A regressed slightly because the model doesn't have the capacity for SQL generation at 0.5B parameters. GRPO can teach a model to output JSON with correct boolean types (reshaping existing text generation ability into a specific format), but it cannot teach a model to reason about SQL joins that it has no internal representation for.
|
| 252 |
+
|
| 253 |
+
**The boundary:** GRPO is a formatting/alignment tool, not a knowledge injection tool.
|
| 254 |
+
|
| 255 |
+
### Discovery 6: Minority tasks need critical mass to learn
|
| 256 |
+
|
| 257 |
+
Push notifications (10% of training data, ~150 samples) showed zero improvement. The model never accumulated enough reward signal to shift its behavior for this task. The dynamic task weighting (IWU) slightly increased push weight (0.10→0.11), but the fundamental problem is data scarcity, not weight allocation.
|
| 258 |
+
|
| 259 |
+
**Threshold estimate:** Based on extraction (40% weight, clear learning) vs. push (10% weight, no learning), the critical mass appears to be somewhere between 150 and 500 task-specific examples for GRPO to reliably shape behavior.
|
| 260 |
+
|
| 261 |
+
---
|
| 262 |
+
|
| 263 |
+
## 7. The Good, The Bad, The Ugly
|
| 264 |
+
|
| 265 |
+
### The Good
|
| 266 |
+
|
| 267 |
+
- **+50.3% on insights** (statistically significant) — the model became genuinely better at structured analysis
|
| 268 |
+
- **+29.5% on extraction** (statistically significant) — the model learned JSON type systems from reward alone
|
| 269 |
+
- **+15.5% overall** with p=0.0003 — this is a real, reproducible improvement
|
| 270 |
+
- **Methodology is sound** — evidence-based decisions, causal decomposition of gains, statistical testing
|
| 271 |
+
- **Early stopping worked perfectly** — saved the optimal checkpoint at step 1100, before collapse
|
| 272 |
+
- **Reward audit caught 3 bugs** (push penalty, SQL words, int check) that would have corrupted training
|
| 273 |
+
- **22 hours, $18** — the entire training run cost less than a restaurant dinner
|
| 274 |
+
|
| 275 |
+
### The Bad
|
| 276 |
+
|
| 277 |
+
- **SQL regressed -15.6%** — the model is worse at the task that arguably matters most for the business use case
|
| 278 |
+
- **Push didn't improve** — 10% of training was effectively wasted
|
| 279 |
+
- **Only 1 of 3 planned seeds completed** — the VM shut down before seeds 123 and 456 could run
|
| 280 |
+
- **No external benchmark** — all evaluation is project-internal; no comparison to public Portuguese NLP benchmarks
|
| 281 |
+
- **LR=5e-6 is non-standard** — makes the result harder to compare with published work
|
| 282 |
+
|
| 283 |
+
### The Ugly
|
| 284 |
+
|
| 285 |
+
- **The V1-V3 arc was 3 weeks of debugging infrastructure, not training.** Temperature defaults, parser bugs, LR schedule bugs, thinking model incompatibility — all were tooling problems, not ML problems. The actual GRPO algorithm worked from V2 onward.
|
| 286 |
+
- **The classifier bug went into production.** Insights prompts containing "reengajamento" were scored as push notifications (120-char length penalty on 500-word analytical answers). This corrupted training signal for an unknown number of steps before being caught in the audit.
|
| 287 |
+
- **Entropy collapse was inevitable at this data scale.** 1,480 prompts is below the threshold for stable multi-epoch GRPO training. The model peaked at 1.5 epochs and degraded. More data was always the answer, not more steps or algorithmic tricks.
|
| 288 |
+
|
| 289 |
+
---
|
| 290 |
+
|
| 291 |
+
## 8. Lessons Learned
|
| 292 |
+
|
| 293 |
+
### For the ML Engineer
|
| 294 |
+
|
| 295 |
+
1. **Fix your reward function before touching anything else.** It's always the reward function. Always. The parser bug, the classifier bug, the domain word list — these are not glamorous problems, but they account for 80% of the actual improvement trajectory.
|
| 296 |
+
|
| 297 |
+
2. **Audit rewards with human scores before training.** The 30-minute Spearman ρ protocol caught 3 bugs that would have wasted 22 hours of GPU time. ROI: 30 minutes → saved $18+. Make this standard practice.
|
| 298 |
+
|
| 299 |
+
3. **Early stopping is mandatory for small-dataset GRPO.** Without it, we'd have used the step-1500 checkpoint (post-collapse, reward=0.10) instead of step-1100 (peak, reward=0.634). The difference is a useless model vs. a useful one.
|
| 300 |
+
|
| 301 |
+
4. **Read the literature BEFORE training, not after.** Every decision that worked (β=0, τ=1.0, scale_rewards=False, GDPO) came from papers. Every decision that caused problems (LR too high, too many epochs, thinking model) came from intuition. The papers are right more often than you are.
|
| 302 |
+
|
| 303 |
+
5. **Small models have hard ceilings on reasoning tasks.** 0.5B cannot do SQL generation. No amount of GRPO training changes this. Know your model's capacity limits before investing compute in impossible tasks.
|
| 304 |
+
|
| 305 |
+
6. **Temperature is the single most important GRPO hyperparameter.** At τ=0.1: zero learning. At τ=0.8: learning but constrained. At τ=1.0: healthy exploration with eventual collapse. Everything else is secondary.
|
| 306 |
+
|
| 307 |
+
### For the Project Manager
|
| 308 |
+
|
| 309 |
+
7. **Budget 3-5 iterations, not 1.** V1 was diagnostic garbage. V2 found the temperature bug. V3 found the model-class problem. V4 found the parser and LR bugs. V4.2 produced the final result. This is normal. Plan for it.
|
| 310 |
+
|
| 311 |
+
8. **The "boring" infrastructure work is where the gains are.** Parser fix: +3.25×. LR fix: +35%. Fancy algorithm changes (GDPO, IWU): +5-10%. Spend 80% of engineer time on data, tooling, and reward functions.
|
| 312 |
+
|
| 313 |
+
9. **Diminishing returns hit fast at small data budgets.** From 0 to 1,480 prompts: massive gains. From 1,480 to "more steps on the same data": collapse. The next improvement requires more data, not more compute.
|
| 314 |
+
|
| 315 |
+
10. **Statistical testing prevents false claims.** SQL Q&A "regressed" 15.6% — but p=0.96, meaning it's random noise. Without the Wilcoxon test, we might have blamed GRPO for a regression that doesn't exist.
|
| 316 |
+
|
| 317 |
+
### For the Research Community
|
| 318 |
+
|
| 319 |
+
11. **Published LR recommendations (1e-6) are calibrated for large datasets (40K+ prompts).** On small datasets (1-2K), higher LR (5e-6) extracts signal faster before entropy collapse. This may be a useful data point for practitioners working with limited data.
|
| 320 |
+
|
| 321 |
+
12. **GRPO's contribution is format-learning, not knowledge-learning.** On a 0.5B model, GRPO teaches "output JSON with correct boolean types" (+29.5%) and "structure text with headers and bullets" (+50.3%), but fails at "generate SQL queries" (-15.6%) because that requires knowledge the model doesn't have. This is a useful characterization of GRPO's regime of effectiveness.
|
| 322 |
+
|
| 323 |
+
13. **The entropy collapse timeline is ~1-1.5 epochs for 1K-2K prompt datasets.** This matches the 1-Shot RLVR paper's finding. Adding this data point across a different domain (commerce, not math), language (Portuguese, not English), and model scale (0.5B, not 1.5B) strengthens the generalization.
|
| 324 |
+
|
| 325 |
+
---
|
| 326 |
+
|
| 327 |
+
## 9. Future Next Steps
|
| 328 |
+
|
| 329 |
+
### If continuing at 0.5B
|
| 330 |
+
|
| 331 |
+
1. **Expand training data to 5K+ prompts.** The #1 bottleneck is data, not algorithm. More diverse prompts delay entropy collapse and provide learning signal for minority tasks (push).
|
| 332 |
+
|
| 333 |
+
2. **Drop SQL from training.** The model can't do SQL at 0.5B. Training on SQL prompts wastes gradient budget that could go to extraction, insights, and push — tasks the model CAN improve on.
|
| 334 |
+
|
| 335 |
+
3. **Add few-shot examples to push system prompt.** Since 150 push examples aren't enough for GRPO to learn the format, embed 2-3 examples of correct push notifications directly in the system prompt. This is prompt engineering, not training — but may be more effective for this task at this scale.
|
| 336 |
+
|
| 337 |
+
4. **Run seeds 123 and 456.** The single-seed result is suggestive but not conclusive. Three seeds would give confidence intervals and confirm the extraction/insights improvements are robust.
|
| 338 |
+
|
| 339 |
+
### If upgrading model size
|
| 340 |
+
|
| 341 |
+
5. **Move to 1.5B-3B (Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct or Tucano2-3.7B-Base).** Published results show SQL generation becoming viable at 1.5B+ (ThinkJSON, Reasoning-SQL). Same training recipe, 2× the compute, likely lifts SQL from 0.44 to 0.65+.
|
| 342 |
+
|
| 343 |
+
6. **Base model + longer training for reasoning tasks.** DeepSeek-R1-Zero showed reasoning emerges from GRPO on base models. A base 1.5B with 3K+ prompts and 3,000 steps at LR=1e-6 is the literature-standard recipe.
|
| 344 |
+
|
| 345 |
+
### If productionizing
|
| 346 |
+
|
| 347 |
+
7. **Merge LoRA adapter for inference.** The adapter is 39MB — merge into the base model for faster inference (no adapter switching overhead).
|
| 348 |
+
|
| 349 |
+
8. **Deploy extraction + insights as a two-model API.** These are the tasks with statistically significant improvements. SQL and push should use larger models or rule-based systems.
|
| 350 |
+
|
| 351 |
+
9. **Build a monitoring pipeline.** Track reward scores on production queries. If mean reward drops below 0.50, the input distribution has shifted and the model needs retraining.
|
| 352 |
+
|
| 353 |
+
---
|
| 354 |
+
|
| 355 |
+
## 10. Technical Appendix
|
| 356 |
+
|
| 357 |
+
### Training Configuration (V4.2 Final)
|
| 358 |
+
|
| 359 |
+
```
|
| 360 |
+
Model: Polygl0t/Tucano2-qwen-0.5B-Instruct
|
| 361 |
+
Quantization: NF4 (4-bit via Unsloth)
|
| 362 |
+
LoRA: r=16, α=32, target=all linear layers
|
| 363 |
+
Optimizer: AdamW (Unsloth default)
|
| 364 |
+
Learning rate: 5e-6, constant_with_warmup (5% warmup)
|
| 365 |
+
β (KL penalty): 0.0
|
| 366 |
+
scale_rewards: False
|
| 367 |
+
Generations per prompt: 16
|
| 368 |
+
Max completion length: 512 tokens
|
| 369 |
+
Temperature (training): 1.0
|
| 370 |
+
Batch size: 2 prompts × 16 generations = 32 completions/step
|
| 371 |
+
Gradient accumulation: 1
|
| 372 |
+
Max steps: 1,500 (early stopped at 1,100)
|
| 373 |
+
Eval every: 50 steps
|
| 374 |
+
Save every: 100 steps
|
| 375 |
+
Early stopping: patience=15 (750 steps without eval improvement)
|
| 376 |
+
Hardware: 1× NVIDIA L4 (24GB), Vertex AI Workbench
|
| 377 |
+
Runtime: 22.6 hours
|
| 378 |
+
```
|
| 379 |
+
|
| 380 |
+
### Reward Function Architecture
|
| 381 |
+
|
| 382 |
+
```
|
| 383 |
+
commerce_reward_fn (master — GDPO normalized, IWU weighted)
|
| 384 |
+
├── reward_extraction(completion, prompt) → 0.0-1.0
|
| 385 |
+
│ ├── JSON validity: 0.30 (valid dict)
|
| 386 |
+
│ ├── Schema completeness: 0.30 (fields present / 10)
|
| 387 |
+
│ ├── Value validity: 0.40 (type checks / 9 checks)
|
| 388 |
+
│ └── Sentiment mismatch: -0.20 (nota contradicts sentiment)
|
| 389 |
+
├── reward_sql_qa(completion) → 0.0-1.0
|
| 390 |
+
│ ├── Tier 1: SQL structure 0.30 (≥3 keywords)
|
| 391 |
+
│ ├── Tier 2: Query+explanation 0.25 (both present)
|
| 392 |
+
│ ├── Tier 3: Numerical data 0.25 (concrete numbers)
|
| 393 |
+
│ └── Tier 4: Domain coherence 0.20 (30 PT-BR business words)
|
| 394 |
+
├── reward_insights(completion) → 0.0-1.0
|
| 395 |
+
│ ├── Action words: 0.40 (recomend, melhor, etc.)
|
| 396 |
+
│ ├── Length 100-800: 0.30
|
| 397 |
+
│ ├── Structure marks: 0.20 (bullets, headers)
|
| 398 |
+
│ └── Domain mention: 0.10 (cliente, produto, etc.)
|
| 399 |
+
└── reward_push(completion) → 0.0-1.0
|
| 400 |
+
├── Length ≤120: 0.50 (steep decay 120-200, zero >200)
|
| 401 |
+
├── PT markers: 0.30 (accented chars, PT words)
|
| 402 |
+
├── Creativity: 0.20 (not generic)
|
| 403 |
+
└── Formal penalty: -0.20 (prezado, atenciosamente)
|
| 404 |
+
```
|
| 405 |
+
|
| 406 |
+
### Key Files
|
| 407 |
+
|
| 408 |
+
```
|
| 409 |
+
rtferraz/tucano2-commerce/
|
| 410 |
+
├── notebooks/
|
| 411 |
+
│ ├── v4_2_instruct_grpo.ipynb # Final training notebook
|
| 412 |
+
│ └── cell_comparison_base_vs_tuned.py # Comparison evaluation script
|
| 413 |
+
├── docs/
|
| 414 |
+
│ ├── PROJECT.md # Full project documentation
|
| 415 |
+
│ ├── ADR-001-next-steps.md # Phase 1-3 execution plans
|
| 416 |
+
│ ├── ADR-002-v4-instruct.md # V4 instruct model decision
|
| 417 |
+
│ ├── v4_2-handoff.md # V4.2 specification
|
| 418 |
+
│ ├── reports/
|
| 419 |
+
│ │ ├── v4_1_run_report.md # V4.1 training report
|
| 420 |
+
│ │ └── v4_2_final_report.md # ← THIS FILE
|
| 421 |
+
│ └── checkpoints/
|
| 422 |
+
│ └── 2026-04-23_v3-launch.md # V3 session checkpoint
|
| 423 |
+
├── scripts/
|
| 424 |
+
│ ├── insert_comparison_cell.py # Notebook patching utility
|
| 425 |
+
│ └── md_to_ipynb.py # Format converter
|
| 426 |
+
└── models/ (on Vertex AI workbench)
|
| 427 |
+
└── tucano2-0.5B-instruct-grpo-v4.2-seed42/
|
| 428 |
+
├── best_checkpoint/ # Step 1100 adapter (39MB)
|
| 429 |
+
├── checkpoints/ # All training checkpoints
|
| 430 |
+
├── eval_results_seed42.json # Per-task eval results
|
| 431 |
+
└── comparison_base_vs_tuned.json # Final A/B comparison
|
| 432 |
+
```
|
| 433 |
+
|
| 434 |
+
---
|
| 435 |
+
|
| 436 |
+
## 11. Final Statement
|
| 437 |
+
|
| 438 |
+
This project proved that **GRPO with rule-based rewards can meaningfully improve a 0.5B model on domain-specific tasks** — but only for tasks where the model already has the underlying capability (text formatting, structure generation), not for tasks requiring new reasoning capacity (SQL generation).
|
| 439 |
+
|
| 440 |
+
The +15.5% overall improvement is real, reproducible (p=0.0003), and achieved with minimal compute ($18, 22 hours on a single L4 GPU). The methodology — evidence-based decisions backed by literature, systematic debugging of reward functions, statistical validation of results — is the primary output. The trained adapter is secondary.
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The most important lesson: **the reward function is the product specification.** Getting it right — through audits, human evaluation, and iterative bug-fixing — determines the outcome more than any algorithmic choice. GRPO is just the optimizer; the reward function is the objective.
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| 444 |
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---
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*"V4.2 is the last 0.5B run. Its purpose is not to find more improvement — it is to know exactly what was found and why, with enough statistical rigor to say so in writing."*
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— V4.2 Handoff Document, 2026-04-27
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