include: # === DISTRICT — age demographics === - variable: person_count geo_level: district domain_variable: age # === DISTRICT — count targets === # REMOVED: person_count by AGI — filer-gated, all AGI bins 100% underestimated - variable: household_count geo_level: district # === DISTRICT — dollar targets (all <8% mean error, restored) === - variable: real_estate_taxes geo_level: district - variable: self_employment_income geo_level: district - variable: taxable_pension_income geo_level: district - variable: refundable_ctc geo_level: district - variable: unemployment_compensation geo_level: district # === DISTRICT — ACA PTC (2% mean error, restored) === - variable: aca_ptc geo_level: district - variable: tax_unit_count geo_level: district domain_variable: aca_ptc # === STATE === - variable: person_count geo_level: state domain_variable: medicaid_enrolled # REMOVED: is_pregnant — 100% unachievable across all 51 state geos - variable: snap geo_level: state # === NATIONAL — aggregate dollar targets === # REMOVED: adjusted_gross_income — filer-gated - variable: child_support_expense geo_level: national - variable: child_support_received geo_level: national # REMOVED: eitc — filer-gated - variable: health_insurance_premiums_without_medicare_part_b geo_level: national - variable: medicaid geo_level: national - variable: medicare_part_b_premiums geo_level: national - variable: other_medical_expenses geo_level: national - variable: over_the_counter_health_expenses geo_level: national # REMOVED: qualified_business_income_deduction — filer-gated - variable: rent geo_level: national # REMOVED: salt_deduction — 11.3x overestimate, worst variable in model - variable: snap geo_level: national - variable: social_security geo_level: national - variable: social_security_disability geo_level: national - variable: social_security_retirement geo_level: national - variable: spm_unit_capped_housing_subsidy geo_level: national - variable: spm_unit_capped_work_childcare_expenses geo_level: national - variable: ssi geo_level: national - variable: tanf geo_level: national # REMOVED: tip_income — filer-gated - variable: unemployment_compensation geo_level: national # === NATIONAL — IRS SOI domain-constrained dollar targets (restored: |rel_err| < 15%) === - variable: aca_ptc geo_level: national domain_variable: aca_ptc - variable: net_capital_gains geo_level: national domain_variable: net_capital_gains - variable: refundable_ctc geo_level: national domain_variable: refundable_ctc - variable: self_employment_income geo_level: national domain_variable: self_employment_income - variable: tax_unit_partnership_s_corp_income geo_level: national domain_variable: tax_unit_partnership_s_corp_income - variable: taxable_pension_income geo_level: national domain_variable: taxable_pension_income - variable: unemployment_compensation geo_level: national domain_variable: unemployment_compensation # REMOVED (|rel_err| > 15% or tension with counts): # adjusted_gross_income (28%), dividend_income (26%, tension), eitc (23%), # eitc by child_count (14-77%, tension), income_tax_before_credits (21%), # income_tax_positive (22%), qualified_business_income_deduction (55-63%), # qualified_dividend_income (29%, tension), rental_income (20%), # salt (102%), salt_deduction (1130%), tax_exempt_interest_income (61%), # taxable_interest_income (61%), taxable_ira_distributions (68%), # taxable_social_security (55%) # === NATIONAL — IRS SOI filer count targets (restored: |rel_err| < 10%) === - variable: tax_unit_count geo_level: national domain_variable: aca_ptc - variable: tax_unit_count geo_level: national domain_variable: refundable_ctc # REMOVED (|rel_err| > 10%): all other filer count targets (22-706% error)