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Apr 14

VLUCI: Variational Learning of Unobserved Confounders for Counterfactual Inference

Causal inference plays a vital role in diverse domains like epidemiology, healthcare, and economics. De-confounding and counterfactual prediction in observational data has emerged as a prominent concern in causal inference research. While existing models tackle observed confounders, the presence of unobserved confounders remains a significant challenge, distorting causal inference and impacting counterfactual outcome accuracy. To address this, we propose a novel variational learning model of unobserved confounders for counterfactual inference (VLUCI), which generates the posterior distribution of unobserved confounders. VLUCI relaxes the unconfoundedness assumption often overlooked by most causal inference methods. By disentangling observed and unobserved confounders, VLUCI constructs a doubly variational inference model to approximate the distribution of unobserved confounders, which are used for inferring more accurate counterfactual outcomes. Extensive experiments on synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets demonstrate VLUCI's superior performance in inferring unobserved confounders. It is compatible with state-of-the-art counterfactual inference models, significantly improving inference accuracy at both group and individual levels. Additionally, VLUCI provides confidence intervals for counterfactual outcomes, aiding decision-making in risk-sensitive domains. We further clarify the considerations when applying VLUCI to cases where unobserved confounders don't strictly conform to our model assumptions using the public IHDP dataset as an example, highlighting the practical advantages of VLUCI.

  • 5 authors
·
Aug 1, 2023

Auger Spectroscopy via Generative Quantum Eigensolver: A Quantum Approach to Molecular Excitations

Auger electron spectroscopy, a way of characterizing electronic structure through core-level decay processes, is widely used in materials characterization; however direct calculation from molecular geometry requires accurate treatment of many excited states, posing a challenge for classical methods. We present a hybrid quantum-classical workflow for calculating Auger spectra that combines the generative quantum eigensolver (GQE) for ground-state preparation, the quantum self-consistent equation-of-motion method for excited-state calculations, and the one-centre approximation for Auger transition rates. GQE uses a GPT-2 model to generate quantum circuits for ground-state optimization, allowing our workflow to benefit from HPC parallelization and GPU-acceleration for favourable scaling with system size. We demonstrate the validity of our workflow by calculating the Auger spectrum of water with the STO-3G basis set and demonstrating qualitative and quantitative agreement with spectra obtained using completely classical full configuration interaction calculations, from the computational literature, and from the experimental literature. We also find that for water, substituting the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) for GQE results in near-identical spectra, but that the ground state estimator generated by GQE contains about half the total gate count as that generated by VQE.

  • 19 authors
·
Mar 13