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v8: multi-airport + airport-ID token + LOAO support

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  1. train_v8_finetune.py +1209 -0
train_v8_finetune.py ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,1209 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # /// script
2
+ # requires-python = ">=3.10"
3
+ # dependencies = ["torch>=2.1","numpy","pandas","scikit-learn","huggingface-hub","trackio"]
4
+ # ///
5
+ """
6
+ Flight-JEPA v2 — bundled training script for HF Jobs.
7
+
8
+ Self-contained: downloads the dataset from HF, trains either the supervised
9
+ baseline (`--lambda-jepa 0`) or the JEPA-augmented model, runs blindspot
10
+ scoring + extrapolation eval, and pushes the result to a hub repo.
11
+
12
+ Usage (HF Jobs):
13
+ python train_v2_prod.py --tag baseline --lambda-jepa 0.0 \
14
+ --hub-model-id guychuk/flight-jepa-v2 --push-to-hub
15
+
16
+ python train_v2_prod.py --tag jepa --lambda-jepa 0.5 \
17
+ --hub-model-id guychuk/flight-jepa-v2 --push-to-hub
18
+ """
19
+ from __future__ import annotations
20
+ import argparse
21
+ import copy
22
+ import json
23
+ import math
24
+ import os
25
+ import shutil
26
+ import sys
27
+ import time
28
+
29
+ import numpy as np
30
+ import pandas as pd
31
+ import torch
32
+ import torch.nn as nn
33
+ import torch.nn.functional as F
34
+ from torch.utils.data import Dataset, DataLoader
35
+
36
+ try:
37
+ import trackio
38
+ HAS_TRACKIO = True
39
+ except ImportError:
40
+ HAS_TRACKIO = False
41
+
42
+
43
+ # ============================================================================
44
+ # DATA UTILITIES (inlined from flight_jepa.data)
45
+ # ============================================================================
46
+
47
+ def load_atfm(dset_name, mode, path):
48
+ variables = ["X", "Y", "Z"]
49
+ data, labels = [], None
50
+ for var in variables:
51
+ df = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(path, f"{dset_name}_{mode}_{var}.tsv"),
52
+ sep="\t", header=None, na_values="NaN")
53
+ if labels is None:
54
+ labels = df.values[:, 0]
55
+ data.append(df.values[:, 1:])
56
+ return np.stack(data, axis=-1), labels.astype(int)
57
+
58
+
59
+ def compute_features(traj_xyz: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
60
+ if traj_xyz.shape[0] < 2:
61
+ T = traj_xyz.shape[0]
62
+ return np.concatenate([
63
+ traj_xyz, np.zeros((T, 3), dtype=traj_xyz.dtype),
64
+ np.zeros((T, 3), dtype=traj_xyz.dtype)
65
+ ], axis=1)
66
+ x, y, z = traj_xyz[:, 0], traj_xyz[:, 1], traj_xyz[:, 2]
67
+ diff = np.diff(traj_xyz, axis=0)
68
+ norms = np.maximum(np.linalg.norm(diff, axis=1, keepdims=True), 1e-8)
69
+ u = diff / norms
70
+ u = np.vstack([u, u[-1:]])
71
+ r = np.sqrt(x ** 2 + y ** 2)
72
+ theta = np.arctan2(y, x)
73
+ return np.column_stack([
74
+ traj_xyz, u,
75
+ r[:, None], np.sin(theta)[:, None], np.cos(theta)[:, None]
76
+ ]).astype(np.float32)
77
+
78
+
79
+ def ensure_data(airport: str, data_dir: str = "data"):
80
+ target = os.path.join(data_dir, airport)
81
+ if os.path.isdir(target) and any(f.endswith(".tsv") for f in os.listdir(target)):
82
+ return target
83
+ print(f"[data] downloading {airport} from HF ...")
84
+ from huggingface_hub import snapshot_download
85
+ snap = snapshot_download(
86
+ "petchthwr/ATFMTraj",
87
+ repo_type="dataset",
88
+ allow_patterns=[f"{airport}/*"],
89
+ )
90
+ os.makedirs(data_dir, exist_ok=True)
91
+ src = os.path.join(snap, airport)
92
+ if not os.path.isdir(target):
93
+ shutil.copytree(src, target)
94
+ return target
95
+
96
+
97
+ # ============================================================================
98
+ # DATASET — variable-length blindspot
99
+ # ============================================================================
100
+
101
+ PAD_VALUE = 0.0
102
+
103
+ # Multi-airport (v8) — global registry. Order is the airport-ID embedding index.
104
+ # r_max from the ATFMTraj README; used to convert normalized ENU [-1,1] -> meters.
105
+ AIRPORTS = ["RKSIa", "RKSId", "ESSA", "LSZH"]
106
+ RMAX_KM_PER_AIRPORT = {
107
+ "RKSIa": 120.0,
108
+ "RKSId": 120.0, # same airport, departures
109
+ "ESSA": 100.0,
110
+ "LSZH": 40.0 * 1.852, # 40 NM -> km
111
+ }
112
+ AIRPORT_TO_ID = {a: i for i, a in enumerate(AIRPORTS)}
113
+
114
+
115
+ class BlindspotDataset(Dataset):
116
+ def __init__(self, airport, mode, data_dir,
117
+ past_max=256, past_min=60,
118
+ delta_min=30, delta_max=120,
119
+ seed=0, epoch_multiplier=4,
120
+ held_out_classes=None, # None = no filter; list = exclude these classes
121
+ keep_only_classes=None, # None = no filter; list = keep ONLY these classes (overrides held_out)
122
+ ):
123
+ ensure_data(airport, data_dir)
124
+ airport_dir = os.path.join(data_dir, airport)
125
+ raw, labels = load_atfm(airport, mode, airport_dir)
126
+
127
+ self.past_max = past_max
128
+ self.past_min = past_min
129
+ self.delta_min = delta_min
130
+ self.delta_max = delta_max
131
+ self.epoch_multiplier = epoch_multiplier
132
+ self.rng_seed = seed
133
+
134
+ lengths = np.array(
135
+ [int(np.sum(~np.isnan(raw[i, :, 0]))) for i in range(raw.shape[0])],
136
+ dtype=np.int64,
137
+ )
138
+ min_required = past_min + delta_max + 1
139
+ keep = lengths >= min_required
140
+ if keep.sum() == 0:
141
+ raise RuntimeError(
142
+ f"No trajectories of length >= {min_required} in {airport}/{mode}"
143
+ )
144
+
145
+ # Class-based filtering (held-out generalization eval)
146
+ if keep_only_classes is not None:
147
+ keep_set = set(int(c) for c in keep_only_classes)
148
+ class_keep = np.array([int(c) in keep_set for c in labels])
149
+ keep = keep & class_keep
150
+ elif held_out_classes is not None:
151
+ held = set(int(c) for c in held_out_classes)
152
+ class_keep = np.array([int(c) not in held for c in labels])
153
+ keep = keep & class_keep
154
+
155
+ raw = raw[keep]
156
+ lengths = lengths[keep]
157
+ self.labels = labels[keep].astype(np.int64)
158
+
159
+ self.positions = []
160
+ for i in range(raw.shape[0]):
161
+ L = int(lengths[i])
162
+ self.positions.append(np.nan_to_num(raw[i, :L], nan=0.0).astype(np.float32))
163
+ del raw
164
+
165
+ self.n_traj = len(self.positions)
166
+ self.airport = airport
167
+ # Airport ID for multi-airport conditioning. Single-airport runs
168
+ # default to ID 0 (which is RKSIa); multi-airport runs read this.
169
+ self.airport_id = AIRPORT_TO_ID.get(airport, 0)
170
+ print(f"[data] {airport}/{mode}: {self.n_traj} trajectories "
171
+ f"(after filtering for L >= {min_required})")
172
+
173
+ def __len__(self):
174
+ return self.n_traj * self.epoch_multiplier
175
+
176
+ def __getitem__(self, idx):
177
+ traj_idx = idx % self.n_traj
178
+ rng = np.random.default_rng(self.rng_seed + idx * 9173)
179
+ positions = self.positions[traj_idx]
180
+ L = positions.shape[0]
181
+ delta = int(rng.integers(self.delta_min, self.delta_max + 1))
182
+ t_in_max = L - delta - 1
183
+ t_in_min = self.past_min
184
+ t_in = int(rng.integers(t_in_min, t_in_max + 1))
185
+
186
+ past_start = max(0, t_in - self.past_max)
187
+ past_pos = positions[past_start:t_in]
188
+ target_pos = positions[t_in:t_in + delta]
189
+
190
+ past_features = compute_features(past_pos)
191
+ T_past = past_features.shape[0]
192
+ feat_pad = np.full((self.past_max, 9), PAD_VALUE, dtype=np.float32)
193
+ feat_pad[:T_past] = past_features
194
+ tgt_pad = np.zeros((self.delta_max, 3), dtype=np.float32)
195
+ tgt_pad[:delta] = target_pos
196
+ return {
197
+ "past_features": torch.from_numpy(feat_pad),
198
+ "past_length": torch.tensor(T_past, dtype=torch.long),
199
+ "target_pos": torch.from_numpy(tgt_pad),
200
+ "delta": torch.tensor(delta, dtype=torch.long),
201
+ "label": torch.tensor(int(self.labels[traj_idx]), dtype=torch.long),
202
+ "airport_id": torch.tensor(self.airport_id, dtype=torch.long),
203
+ }
204
+
205
+
206
+ class MultiAirportBlindspotDataset(Dataset):
207
+ """
208
+ Concatenates several BlindspotDatasets (one per airport) and yields samples
209
+ tagged with `airport_id`. Used for v8 LOAO training: instantiate this with
210
+ {RKSIa, RKSId, ESSA, LSZH} minus the held-out airport.
211
+ """
212
+
213
+ def __init__(self, airports, mode, data_dir,
214
+ past_max=256, past_min=60,
215
+ delta_min=30, delta_max=120,
216
+ seed=0, epoch_multiplier=4):
217
+ self.subsets = []
218
+ for ap in airports:
219
+ ds = BlindspotDataset(
220
+ airport=ap, mode=mode, data_dir=data_dir,
221
+ past_max=past_max, past_min=past_min,
222
+ delta_min=delta_min, delta_max=delta_max,
223
+ seed=seed, epoch_multiplier=1, # we handle multiplier ourselves
224
+ )
225
+ self.subsets.append(ds)
226
+ self.epoch_multiplier = epoch_multiplier
227
+ self.delta_min = delta_min
228
+ self.delta_max = delta_max
229
+ self.past_max = past_max
230
+ # Index map: for each global idx (without multiplier), which subset + local idx
231
+ self._cum = np.cumsum([s.n_traj for s in self.subsets])
232
+ self.n_traj = int(self._cum[-1])
233
+ print(f"[multi-data] union of {[s.airport for s in self.subsets]} "
234
+ f"-> {self.n_traj} trajectories total")
235
+
236
+ def __len__(self):
237
+ return self.n_traj * self.epoch_multiplier
238
+
239
+ def _route(self, global_idx):
240
+ i = global_idx % self.n_traj
241
+ sub = int(np.searchsorted(self._cum, i, side="right"))
242
+ local = i - (self._cum[sub - 1] if sub > 0 else 0)
243
+ return sub, local
244
+
245
+ def __getitem__(self, idx):
246
+ sub, local = self._route(idx)
247
+ ds = self.subsets[sub]
248
+ # Reproducibility: use idx so reshuffling DataLoader still gives stable samples.
249
+ # We bypass ds.__getitem__'s seeding (which is index-relative) by replicating
250
+ # its logic with our own RNG.
251
+ rng = np.random.default_rng(ds.rng_seed + idx * 9173)
252
+ positions = ds.positions[local]
253
+ L = positions.shape[0]
254
+ delta = int(rng.integers(self.delta_min, self.delta_max + 1))
255
+ t_in_max = L - delta - 1
256
+ t_in_min = ds.past_min
257
+ t_in = int(rng.integers(t_in_min, t_in_max + 1))
258
+ past_start = max(0, t_in - self.past_max)
259
+ past_pos = positions[past_start:t_in]
260
+ target_pos = positions[t_in:t_in + delta]
261
+ past_features = compute_features(past_pos)
262
+ T_past = past_features.shape[0]
263
+ feat_pad = np.full((self.past_max, 9), PAD_VALUE, dtype=np.float32)
264
+ feat_pad[:T_past] = past_features
265
+ tgt_pad = np.zeros((self.delta_max, 3), dtype=np.float32)
266
+ tgt_pad[:delta] = target_pos
267
+ return {
268
+ "past_features": torch.from_numpy(feat_pad),
269
+ "past_length": torch.tensor(T_past, dtype=torch.long),
270
+ "target_pos": torch.from_numpy(tgt_pad),
271
+ "delta": torch.tensor(delta, dtype=torch.long),
272
+ "label": torch.tensor(int(ds.labels[local]), dtype=torch.long),
273
+ "airport_id": torch.tensor(ds.airport_id, dtype=torch.long),
274
+ }
275
+
276
+
277
+ # ============================================================================
278
+ # MODEL
279
+ # ============================================================================
280
+
281
+ def sinusoidal_embedding(values, dim):
282
+ half = dim // 2
283
+ device = values.device
284
+ freqs = torch.exp(-math.log(10000.0)
285
+ * torch.arange(half, device=device) / half)
286
+ angles = values.float().unsqueeze(-1) * freqs
287
+ emb = torch.cat([torch.sin(angles), torch.cos(angles)], dim=-1)
288
+ if dim % 2 == 1:
289
+ emb = F.pad(emb, (0, 1))
290
+ return emb
291
+
292
+
293
+ class LearnablePosEnc(nn.Module):
294
+ def __init__(self, max_len, d_model):
295
+ super().__init__()
296
+ self.pe = nn.Parameter(torch.randn(1, max_len, d_model) * 0.02)
297
+ def forward(self, x):
298
+ return x + self.pe[:, :x.size(1)]
299
+
300
+
301
+ class PatchTokenizer(nn.Module):
302
+ def __init__(self, in_channels=9, d_model=256, patch_size=8, max_patches=64):
303
+ super().__init__()
304
+ self.patch_size = patch_size
305
+ self.d_model = d_model
306
+ self.embed = nn.Sequential(
307
+ nn.Conv1d(in_channels, d_model // 2, 5, padding=2),
308
+ nn.GELU(),
309
+ nn.Conv1d(d_model // 2, d_model, 3, padding=1),
310
+ nn.GELU(),
311
+ )
312
+ self.pos_enc = LearnablePosEnc(max_patches, d_model)
313
+ self.norm = nn.LayerNorm(d_model)
314
+
315
+ def forward(self, features, lengths):
316
+ B, T, C = features.shape
317
+ h = self.embed(features.transpose(1, 2))
318
+ N = max(1, T // self.patch_size)
319
+ h = h[:, :, :N * self.patch_size]
320
+ h = h.reshape(B, self.d_model, N, self.patch_size).mean(-1)
321
+ h = h.transpose(1, 2)
322
+ h = self.norm(self.pos_enc(h))
323
+ patch_lengths = (lengths.float() / self.patch_size).clamp(min=1).long()
324
+ patch_lengths = patch_lengths.clamp(max=N)
325
+ return h, patch_lengths
326
+
327
+
328
+ class CausalEncoder(nn.Module):
329
+ def __init__(self, d_model=256, n_heads=8, n_layers=4, d_ff=1024, dropout=0.1):
330
+ super().__init__()
331
+ layer = nn.TransformerEncoderLayer(
332
+ d_model=d_model, nhead=n_heads, dim_feedforward=d_ff,
333
+ dropout=dropout, activation="gelu", batch_first=True,
334
+ norm_first=True,
335
+ )
336
+ self.tf = nn.TransformerEncoder(layer, num_layers=n_layers)
337
+ self.norm = nn.LayerNorm(d_model)
338
+
339
+ def forward(self, x, key_padding_mask):
340
+ N = x.size(1)
341
+ causal_mask = torch.triu(
342
+ torch.ones(N, N, dtype=torch.bool, device=x.device), diagonal=1
343
+ )
344
+ return self.norm(
345
+ self.tf(x, mask=causal_mask, src_key_padding_mask=key_padding_mask)
346
+ )
347
+
348
+
349
+ def last_valid_token(encoded, patch_lengths):
350
+ B, N, D = encoded.shape
351
+ idx = (patch_lengths - 1).clamp(min=0).view(B, 1, 1).expand(-1, 1, D)
352
+ return encoded.gather(1, idx).squeeze(1)
353
+
354
+
355
+ class DeltaEmbedding(nn.Module):
356
+ def __init__(self, d_model=256, d_freq=64):
357
+ super().__init__()
358
+ self.d_freq = d_freq
359
+ self.proj = nn.Sequential(
360
+ nn.Linear(d_freq * 2, d_model),
361
+ nn.GELU(),
362
+ nn.Linear(d_model, d_model),
363
+ )
364
+ def forward(self, delta, t_past):
365
+ d_emb = sinusoidal_embedding(delta.float(), self.d_freq)
366
+ rel = delta.float() / t_past.float().clamp(min=1.0)
367
+ rel_emb = sinusoidal_embedding(rel * 100.0, self.d_freq)
368
+ return self.proj(torch.cat([d_emb, rel_emb], dim=-1))
369
+
370
+
371
+ class GaussianHead(nn.Module):
372
+ def __init__(self, d_model=256, d_hidden=256):
373
+ super().__init__()
374
+ self.net = nn.Sequential(
375
+ nn.Linear(d_model, d_hidden), nn.GELU(),
376
+ nn.Linear(d_hidden, d_hidden), nn.GELU(),
377
+ )
378
+ self.mu_head = nn.Linear(d_hidden, 3)
379
+ self.log_sigma_head = nn.Linear(d_hidden, 3)
380
+ self.rho_head = nn.Linear(d_hidden, 1)
381
+
382
+ def forward(self, h):
383
+ z = self.net(h)
384
+ delta_mu = self.mu_head(z)
385
+ log_sigma = self.log_sigma_head(z).clamp(min=-7.0, max=2.0)
386
+ rho = torch.tanh(self.rho_head(z)).squeeze(-1) * 0.99
387
+ return delta_mu, log_sigma, rho
388
+
389
+
390
+ def gaussian_nll_xyz(true_delta, mu, log_sigma, rho, beta: float = 0.5):
391
+ """
392
+ β-NLL Gaussian for (x, y, z) — bivariate on xy + independent z.
393
+
394
+ Standard NLL has a degenerate minimum where σ→0 ("σ-collapse",
395
+ Detlefsen 2019). β-NLL (Seitzer et al., arxiv:2203.09168) reweights
396
+ each sample's NLL by ��^{2β} (detached) so points with large σ get
397
+ proportionally more gradient on the mean term, preventing collapse.
398
+
399
+ β = 0 → standard NLL (collapse-prone, what v2 used)
400
+ β = 0.5 → recommended; preserves uncertainty learning
401
+ β = 1 → pure squared-error scaling (loses σ learning)
402
+ """
403
+ sx = log_sigma[:, 0].exp()
404
+ sy = log_sigma[:, 1].exp()
405
+ sz = log_sigma[:, 2].exp()
406
+ dx = true_delta[:, 0] - mu[:, 0]
407
+ dy = true_delta[:, 1] - mu[:, 1]
408
+ dz = true_delta[:, 2] - mu[:, 2]
409
+ omr2 = (1.0 - rho * rho).clamp(min=1e-6)
410
+ z2 = (((dx / sx) ** 2)
411
+ - 2.0 * rho * (dx / sx) * (dy / sy)
412
+ + ((dy / sy) ** 2)) / omr2
413
+ log_det = 2.0 * (log_sigma[:, 0] + log_sigma[:, 1]) + torch.log(omr2)
414
+ nll_xy = 0.5 * (z2 + log_det + 2.0 * math.log(2.0 * math.pi))
415
+ nll_z = 0.5 * ((dz / sz) ** 2 + 2.0 * log_sigma[:, 2]
416
+ + math.log(2.0 * math.pi))
417
+
418
+ if beta > 0.0:
419
+ # Detached per-sample weights: σ^{2β}. Weight is treated as constant
420
+ # during backward, so it rescales the gradient without participating
421
+ # in optimization.
422
+ # For xy use geometric-mean σ; for z use σz directly.
423
+ sxy = (sx * sy).sqrt().detach()
424
+ wxy = sxy.pow(2.0 * beta)
425
+ wz = sz.detach().pow(2.0 * beta)
426
+ return wxy * nll_xy + wz * nll_z
427
+ return nll_xy + nll_z
428
+
429
+
430
+ class ParallelDecoder(nn.Module):
431
+ """
432
+ HiVT-style parallel decoder (arxiv:2207.09588).
433
+
434
+ Takes a single context vector h ∈ R^d (fused z_in + Δ_emb) and emits
435
+ a full [T_max, 7] tensor of (μ_x, μ_y, μ_z, log σ_x, log σ_y, log σ_z, ρ)
436
+ in one forward pass. Each row is the prediction for one future timestep
437
+ (relative to the start of the blindspot).
438
+
439
+ Coherence comes from the shared MLP backbone + per-step positional embed
440
+ (every step is a function of the same context, with smoothly-varying
441
+ positional inputs). Variable Δ is handled by masking unused steps in the
442
+ loss.
443
+
444
+ Output represents *absolute positions* at each step, not deltas. The
445
+ NLL loss is applied per-step against target_pos[:, t].
446
+ """
447
+
448
+ def __init__(self, d_model: int = 256, t_max: int = 120, mlp_hidden: int = 512,
449
+ dropout: float = 0.1):
450
+ super().__init__()
451
+ self.t_max = t_max
452
+ self.d_model = d_model
453
+ self.step_pe = LearnablePosEnc(t_max, d_model)
454
+ self.mlp = nn.Sequential(
455
+ nn.Linear(d_model, mlp_hidden),
456
+ nn.GELU(),
457
+ nn.Dropout(dropout),
458
+ nn.Linear(mlp_hidden, mlp_hidden),
459
+ nn.GELU(),
460
+ nn.Dropout(dropout),
461
+ nn.Linear(mlp_hidden, 7),
462
+ )
463
+ # T-Fixup-flavor init: small last-layer std reduces transformer instability
464
+ # (arxiv:2004.08249). For an MLP this matters less but doesn't hurt.
465
+ nn.init.trunc_normal_(self.mlp[-1].weight, std=0.02)
466
+ nn.init.zeros_(self.mlp[-1].bias)
467
+
468
+ def forward(self, h: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
469
+ """
470
+ h: (B, D) context vector
471
+ returns: (B, T_max, 7) — (μ_x, μ_y, μ_z, log σ_x, log σ_y, log σ_z, rho_pre)
472
+ """
473
+ B = h.size(0)
474
+ # Broadcast h across all steps, then add per-step positional embedding.
475
+ h_expand = h.unsqueeze(1).expand(B, self.t_max, self.d_model)
476
+ h_step = self.step_pe(h_expand) # adds learnable per-step PE
477
+ out = self.mlp(h_step) # (B, T_max, 7)
478
+ return out
479
+
480
+
481
+ def split_parallel_output(raw: torch.Tensor):
482
+ """raw (B, T, 7) -> (mu, log_sigma, rho).
483
+ mu: (B, T, 3); log_sigma: (B, T, 3); rho: (B, T)."""
484
+ mu = raw[..., :3]
485
+ log_sigma = raw[..., 3:6].clamp(min=-7.0, max=2.0)
486
+ rho = torch.tanh(raw[..., 6]) * 0.99
487
+ return mu, log_sigma, rho
488
+
489
+
490
+ def parallel_nll_xyz(true_pos: torch.Tensor, mu: torch.Tensor,
491
+ log_sigma: torch.Tensor, rho: torch.Tensor,
492
+ mask: torch.Tensor, beta: float = 0.5) -> torch.Tensor:
493
+ """
494
+ Per-batch β-NLL over a (B, T, ·) tensor. mask: (B, T) float, 1 for valid.
495
+ Returns scalar mean NLL across (sample, valid steps).
496
+ """
497
+ sx = log_sigma[..., 0].exp()
498
+ sy = log_sigma[..., 1].exp()
499
+ sz = log_sigma[..., 2].exp()
500
+ dx = true_pos[..., 0] - mu[..., 0]
501
+ dy = true_pos[..., 1] - mu[..., 1]
502
+ dz = true_pos[..., 2] - mu[..., 2]
503
+ omr2 = (1.0 - rho * rho).clamp(min=1e-6)
504
+ z2 = (((dx / sx) ** 2)
505
+ - 2.0 * rho * (dx / sx) * (dy / sy)
506
+ + ((dy / sy) ** 2)) / omr2
507
+ log_det = 2.0 * (log_sigma[..., 0] + log_sigma[..., 1]) + torch.log(omr2)
508
+ nll_xy = 0.5 * (z2 + log_det + 2.0 * math.log(2.0 * math.pi))
509
+ nll_z = 0.5 * ((dz / sz) ** 2 + 2.0 * log_sigma[..., 2]
510
+ + math.log(2.0 * math.pi))
511
+ nll = nll_xy + nll_z # (B, T)
512
+
513
+ if beta > 0.0:
514
+ sxy = (sx * sy).sqrt().detach()
515
+ wxy = sxy.pow(2.0 * beta)
516
+ wz = sz.detach().pow(2.0 * beta)
517
+ nll = wxy * nll_xy + wz * nll_z
518
+
519
+ nll = nll * mask
520
+ valid = mask.sum(-1).clamp(min=1.0)
521
+ return (nll.sum(-1) / valid).mean()
522
+
523
+
524
+ class FuturePredictor(nn.Module):
525
+ def __init__(self, d_model=256, pred_dim=128, dropout=0.1):
526
+ super().__init__()
527
+ self.proj_in = nn.Linear(d_model * 2, pred_dim)
528
+ layer = nn.TransformerEncoderLayer(
529
+ d_model=pred_dim, nhead=4, dim_feedforward=pred_dim * 2,
530
+ dropout=dropout, activation="gelu", batch_first=True, norm_first=True,
531
+ )
532
+ self.tf = nn.TransformerEncoder(layer, num_layers=2)
533
+ self.proj_out = nn.Linear(pred_dim, d_model)
534
+ self.norm = nn.LayerNorm(d_model)
535
+
536
+ def forward(self, z_in, delta_emb):
537
+ h = self.proj_in(torch.cat([z_in, delta_emb], dim=-1)).unsqueeze(1)
538
+ h = self.tf(h)
539
+ return self.norm(self.proj_out(h.squeeze(1)))
540
+
541
+
542
+ class FlightJEPAv2(nn.Module):
543
+ def __init__(self, cfg):
544
+ super().__init__()
545
+ self.cfg = cfg
546
+ d = cfg.get("d_model", 256)
547
+ h_ = cfg.get("n_heads", 8)
548
+ n_l = cfg.get("n_layers", 4)
549
+ d_ff = cfg.get("d_ff", 1024)
550
+ dr = cfg.get("dropout", 0.1)
551
+ ps = cfg.get("patch_size", 8)
552
+ past_max = cfg.get("past_max", 256)
553
+ max_patches = past_max // ps
554
+ self.lambda_jepa = cfg.get("lambda_jepa", 0.0)
555
+ self.ema_decay = cfg.get("ema_decay", 0.998)
556
+ self.beta_nll = cfg.get("beta_nll", 0.5)
557
+ self.decoder_mode = cfg.get("decoder_mode", "ar") # "ar" or "parallel"
558
+ self.t_max = cfg.get("delta_max", 120)
559
+ # v8: airport-ID conditioning. n_airports=4 = max we currently support
560
+ # (RKSIa, RKSId, ESSA, LSZH). Single-airport runs always pass airport_id=0
561
+ # and the embedding for that index acts as a no-op constant offset.
562
+ self.n_airports = cfg.get("n_airports", 4)
563
+ self.use_airport_token = cfg.get("use_airport_token", False)
564
+
565
+ self.tokenizer = PatchTokenizer(9, d, ps, max_patches)
566
+ self.encoder = CausalEncoder(d, h_, n_l, d_ff, dr)
567
+ self.delta_emb = DeltaEmbedding(d, 64)
568
+ # If airport conditioning is enabled, fuse a (d-dim) airport embed
569
+ # alongside z_in + delta_e via a wider linear projection.
570
+ # This module exists in both single-airport and multi-airport configs;
571
+ # for single-airport we just pass a fixed embedding for airport 0.
572
+ self.airport_emb = nn.Embedding(self.n_airports, d)
573
+ nn.init.trunc_normal_(self.airport_emb.weight, std=0.02)
574
+ if self.use_airport_token:
575
+ self.fuse_in = nn.Sequential(
576
+ nn.Linear(d * 3, d), nn.GELU(),
577
+ nn.Linear(d, d),
578
+ )
579
+ else:
580
+ self.fuse_in = nn.Sequential(
581
+ nn.Linear(d * 2, d), nn.GELU(),
582
+ nn.Linear(d, d),
583
+ )
584
+ # Both heads exist to keep checkpoint structure stable across modes,
585
+ # but only one is used per run.
586
+ self.head = GaussianHead(d, d) # AR head
587
+ self.step_cell = nn.GRUCell(input_size=3, hidden_size=d)
588
+ self.parallel_decoder = ParallelDecoder(
589
+ d_model=d, t_max=self.t_max,
590
+ mlp_hidden=d * 2, dropout=dr,
591
+ )
592
+
593
+ self.target_tokenizer = copy.deepcopy(self.tokenizer)
594
+ self.target_encoder = copy.deepcopy(self.encoder)
595
+ for p in self.target_tokenizer.parameters():
596
+ p.requires_grad = False
597
+ for p in self.target_encoder.parameters():
598
+ p.requires_grad = False
599
+ self.predictor = FuturePredictor(d, d // 2, dr)
600
+
601
+ @torch.no_grad()
602
+ def update_ema(self):
603
+ m = self.ema_decay
604
+ for online, target in [(self.tokenizer, self.target_tokenizer),
605
+ (self.encoder, self.target_encoder)]:
606
+ for po, pt in zip(online.parameters(), target.parameters()):
607
+ pt.data.mul_(m).add_(po.data, alpha=1.0 - m)
608
+
609
+ def encode_past(self, past_features, past_length):
610
+ patches, patch_lens = self.tokenizer(past_features, past_length)
611
+ N = patches.size(1)
612
+ pad_mask = (torch.arange(N, device=patches.device).unsqueeze(0)
613
+ >= patch_lens.unsqueeze(1))
614
+ encoded = self.encoder(patches, key_padding_mask=pad_mask)
615
+ z_in = last_valid_token(encoded, patch_lens)
616
+ return z_in, encoded, patch_lens
617
+
618
+ @torch.no_grad()
619
+ def encode_future_target(self, target_features, target_length):
620
+ patches, patch_lens = self.target_tokenizer(target_features, target_length)
621
+ N = patches.size(1)
622
+ pad_mask = (torch.arange(N, device=patches.device).unsqueeze(0)
623
+ >= patch_lens.unsqueeze(1))
624
+ encoded = self.target_encoder(patches, key_padding_mask=pad_mask)
625
+ return last_valid_token(encoded, patch_lens)
626
+
627
+ def forward(self, past_features, past_length, target_pos, delta, last_pos,
628
+ ss_prob: float = 0.0, airport_id=None):
629
+ """
630
+ ss_prob: scheduled-sampling probability ∈ [0, 1]. AR mode only —
631
+ parallel mode predicts all timesteps in one shot, no SS needed.
632
+ airport_id: (B,) long tensor for v8 multi-airport conditioning. Required
633
+ if cfg.use_airport_token is True; ignored otherwise.
634
+ """
635
+ B = past_features.size(0)
636
+ device = past_features.device
637
+ delta_max = target_pos.size(1)
638
+
639
+ z_in, _, _ = self.encode_past(past_features, past_length)
640
+ delta_e = self.delta_emb(delta, past_length)
641
+ if self.use_airport_token:
642
+ if airport_id is None:
643
+ airport_id = torch.zeros(B, dtype=torch.long, device=device)
644
+ ap_e = self.airport_emb(airport_id)
645
+ h = self.fuse_in(torch.cat([z_in, delta_e, ap_e], dim=-1))
646
+ else:
647
+ h = self.fuse_in(torch.cat([z_in, delta_e], dim=-1))
648
+
649
+ # ---------------- PARALLEL DECODER (v6) ----------------
650
+ if self.decoder_mode == "parallel":
651
+ raw = self.parallel_decoder(h) # (B, t_max, 7)
652
+ # Truncate to current batch's delta_max if smaller (target padding).
653
+ raw = raw[:, :delta_max]
654
+ mu, log_sigma, rho = split_parallel_output(raw)
655
+ arange = torch.arange(delta_max, device=device).unsqueeze(0) # (1, T)
656
+ mask = (arange < delta.unsqueeze(1)).float() # (B, T)
657
+
658
+ nll_loss = parallel_nll_xyz(target_pos, mu, log_sigma, rho, mask,
659
+ beta=self.beta_nll)
660
+ with torch.no_grad():
661
+ step_l2 = (target_pos - mu).pow(2).sum(-1).sqrt() # (B, T)
662
+ ade_train = (step_l2 * mask).sum(-1) / mask.sum(-1).clamp(min=1.0)
663
+ ade_train = ade_train.mean()
664
+
665
+ losses = {"nll": nll_loss, "ade_train": ade_train, "total": nll_loss}
666
+
667
+ if self.lambda_jepa > 0.0:
668
+ tgt_feat = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, 9, device=device)
669
+ tgt_feat[..., :3] = target_pos
670
+ z_target = self.encode_future_target(tgt_feat, delta)
671
+ z_pred = self.predictor(z_in, delta_e)
672
+ jepa_loss = F.l1_loss(z_pred, z_target.detach())
673
+ losses["jepa"] = jepa_loss
674
+ losses["total"] = nll_loss + self.lambda_jepa * jepa_loss
675
+
676
+ return losses
677
+
678
+ # ---------------- AR DECODER (v5, default) ----------------
679
+ prev_pos = last_pos
680
+ nll_total = torch.zeros(B, device=device)
681
+ valid_steps = torch.zeros(B, device=device)
682
+ ade_total = torch.zeros(B, device=device)
683
+
684
+ for t in range(delta_max):
685
+ delta_mu, log_sigma, rho = self.head(h)
686
+ true_pos_t = target_pos[:, t]
687
+ true_delta = true_pos_t - prev_pos
688
+
689
+ # NLL computed always vs truth.
690
+ nll = gaussian_nll_xyz(true_delta, delta_mu, log_sigma, rho,
691
+ beta=self.beta_nll)
692
+ mask = (t < delta).float()
693
+ nll_total = nll_total + nll * mask
694
+ ade_total = (ade_total
695
+ + (true_delta - delta_mu).pow(2).sum(-1).sqrt() * mask)
696
+ valid_steps = valid_steps + mask
697
+
698
+ # Scheduled-sampling: with prob ss_prob, feed predicted delta instead
699
+ # of true delta into the recurrence. Sampled per (batch, step).
700
+ if ss_prob > 0.0 and self.training:
701
+ use_pred = (torch.rand(B, device=device) < ss_prob).float().unsqueeze(-1)
702
+ # Use predicted mean as "what we would do at inference time".
703
+ # Detach so the prev_pos accumulator gradient doesn't recurse.
704
+ fed_delta = use_pred * delta_mu.detach() + (1 - use_pred) * true_delta
705
+ fed_pos = use_pred * (prev_pos + delta_mu.detach()) + (1 - use_pred) * true_pos_t
706
+ else:
707
+ fed_delta = true_delta
708
+ fed_pos = true_pos_t
709
+
710
+ h = self.step_cell(fed_delta, h)
711
+ prev_pos = fed_pos
712
+
713
+ nll_loss = (nll_total / valid_steps.clamp(min=1.0)).mean()
714
+ ade_train = (ade_total / valid_steps.clamp(min=1.0)).mean().detach()
715
+
716
+ losses = {"nll": nll_loss, "ade_train": ade_train, "total": nll_loss}
717
+
718
+ if self.lambda_jepa > 0.0:
719
+ tgt_feat = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, 9, device=device)
720
+ tgt_feat[..., :3] = target_pos
721
+ z_target = self.encode_future_target(tgt_feat, delta)
722
+ z_pred = self.predictor(z_in, delta_e)
723
+ jepa_loss = F.l1_loss(z_pred, z_target.detach())
724
+ losses["jepa"] = jepa_loss
725
+ losses["total"] = nll_loss + self.lambda_jepa * jepa_loss
726
+
727
+ return losses
728
+
729
+ @torch.no_grad()
730
+ def rollout(self, past_features, past_length, delta, last_pos, delta_max,
731
+ airport_id=None):
732
+ B = past_features.size(0)
733
+ device = past_features.device
734
+ z_in, _, _ = self.encode_past(past_features, past_length)
735
+ delta_e = self.delta_emb(delta, past_length)
736
+ if self.use_airport_token:
737
+ if airport_id is None:
738
+ airport_id = torch.zeros(B, dtype=torch.long, device=device)
739
+ ap_e = self.airport_emb(airport_id)
740
+ h = self.fuse_in(torch.cat([z_in, delta_e, ap_e], dim=-1))
741
+ else:
742
+ h = self.fuse_in(torch.cat([z_in, delta_e], dim=-1))
743
+
744
+ if self.decoder_mode == "parallel":
745
+ # Need t_max queries. If extrapolating beyond train t_max, the
746
+ # learnable PE doesn't extend — pad by clamping at t_max.
747
+ req = max(delta_max, 1)
748
+ n_emit = min(req, self.t_max)
749
+ raw = self.parallel_decoder(h) # (B, t_max, 7)
750
+ raw = raw[:, :n_emit]
751
+ mu_abs, log_sigma, rho = split_parallel_output(raw)
752
+ sigma = log_sigma.exp()
753
+ mu_pos = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, 3, device=device)
754
+ sg = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, 3, device=device)
755
+ ro = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, device=device)
756
+ mu_pos[:, :n_emit] = mu_abs
757
+ sg[:, :n_emit] = sigma
758
+ ro[:, :n_emit] = rho
759
+ # If extrapolating beyond t_max, repeat the last predicted step
760
+ # (a deliberate choice — better than zero-fill which would alias
761
+ # to the airport origin).
762
+ if delta_max > n_emit:
763
+ mu_pos[:, n_emit:] = mu_abs[:, -1:]
764
+ sg[:, n_emit:] = sigma[:, -1:]
765
+ ro[:, n_emit:] = rho[:, -1:]
766
+ return mu_pos, sg, ro
767
+
768
+ # ----- AR rollout (v5) -----
769
+ prev_pos = last_pos
770
+ mu_pos = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, 3, device=device)
771
+ sigma = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, 3, device=device)
772
+ rho_out = torch.zeros(B, delta_max, device=device)
773
+ for t in range(delta_max):
774
+ delta_mu, log_sigma, rho = self.head(h)
775
+ cur_pos = prev_pos + delta_mu
776
+ mu_pos[:, t] = cur_pos
777
+ sigma[:, t] = log_sigma.exp()
778
+ rho_out[:, t] = rho
779
+ h = self.step_cell(delta_mu, h)
780
+ prev_pos = cur_pos
781
+ return mu_pos, sigma, rho_out
782
+
783
+
784
+ # ============================================================================
785
+ # TRAIN + SCORE
786
+ # ============================================================================
787
+
788
+ RMAX_KM = 120.0
789
+ DELTA_BUCKETS = [(30, 60), (60, 90), (90, 120)]
790
+ EXTRAP_DELTAS = [180, 300]
791
+ THRESH_M = [500.0, 1000.0, 2000.0]
792
+
793
+
794
+ def get_last_pos(past_features, past_length):
795
+ B = past_features.size(0)
796
+ idx = (past_length - 1).clamp(min=0)
797
+ return past_features[torch.arange(B, device=past_features.device), idx, :3]
798
+
799
+
800
+ def train_one_epoch(model, loader, optimizer, device, grad_clip=1.0,
801
+ log_every: int = 50, ss_prob: float = 0.0):
802
+ model.train()
803
+ sums = {"nll": 0.0, "ade": 0.0, "jepa": 0.0, "total": 0.0, "n": 0}
804
+ t0 = time.time()
805
+ n_batches = len(loader) if hasattr(loader, "__len__") else 0
806
+ for bi, batch in enumerate(loader):
807
+ past_f = batch["past_features"].to(device)
808
+ past_l = batch["past_length"].to(device)
809
+ target = batch["target_pos"].to(device)
810
+ delta = batch["delta"].to(device)
811
+ airport_id = batch.get("airport_id")
812
+ if airport_id is not None:
813
+ airport_id = airport_id.to(device)
814
+ last_pos = get_last_pos(past_f, past_l)
815
+ losses = model(past_f, past_l, target, delta, last_pos,
816
+ ss_prob=ss_prob, airport_id=airport_id)
817
+ optimizer.zero_grad()
818
+ losses["total"].backward()
819
+ torch.nn.utils.clip_grad_norm_(model.parameters(), grad_clip)
820
+ optimizer.step()
821
+ if model.lambda_jepa > 0.0:
822
+ model.update_ema()
823
+ bs = past_f.size(0)
824
+ sums["nll"] += losses["nll"].item() * bs
825
+ sums["ade"] += losses["ade_train"].item() * bs
826
+ if "jepa" in losses:
827
+ sums["jepa"] += losses["jepa"].item() * bs
828
+ sums["total"] += losses["total"].item() * bs
829
+ sums["n"] += bs
830
+
831
+ if (bi + 1) % log_every == 0 or bi == 0:
832
+ dt = time.time() - t0
833
+ rate = (bi + 1) / max(dt, 0.001)
834
+ print(f" [batch {bi+1}/{n_batches}] {dt:.1f}s elapsed, "
835
+ f"{rate:.1f} batch/s, loss={losses['total'].item():.4f}",
836
+ flush=True)
837
+ n = max(sums["n"], 1)
838
+ return {k: v / n for k, v in sums.items() if k != "n"} | {
839
+ "ade_train": sums["ade"] / n
840
+ }
841
+
842
+
843
+ @torch.no_grad()
844
+ def score_loader(model, loader, device, extrap_delta=None):
845
+ model.train(False)
846
+ delta_max_dataset = loader.dataset.delta_max
847
+ per_sample = []
848
+ for batch in loader:
849
+ past_f = batch["past_features"].to(device)
850
+ past_l = batch["past_length"].to(device)
851
+ target = batch["target_pos"].to(device)
852
+ delta = batch["delta"].to(device)
853
+ airport_id = batch.get("airport_id")
854
+ if airport_id is not None:
855
+ airport_id = airport_id.to(device)
856
+ last_pos = get_last_pos(past_f, past_l)
857
+ if extrap_delta is not None:
858
+ forced = torch.full_like(delta, extrap_delta)
859
+ roll_len = extrap_delta
860
+ else:
861
+ forced = delta
862
+ roll_len = int(delta.max().item())
863
+ if roll_len > delta_max_dataset:
864
+ continue
865
+ mu_pos, sigma, rho = model.rollout(past_f, past_l, forced, last_pos, roll_len,
866
+ airport_id=airport_id)
867
+ active_len = torch.minimum(forced, delta).clamp(min=1)
868
+ for i in range(past_f.size(0)):
869
+ L = int(active_len[i].item())
870
+ per_sample.append({
871
+ "mu": mu_pos[i, :L].cpu().numpy(),
872
+ "sigma": sigma[i, :L].cpu().numpy(),
873
+ "rho": rho[i, :L].cpu().numpy(),
874
+ "target": target[i, :L].cpu().numpy(),
875
+ "delta_orig": int(delta[i].item()),
876
+ })
877
+
878
+ if not per_sample:
879
+ return {}
880
+ ades, fdes = [], []
881
+ in_circle = {t: [] for t in THRESH_M}
882
+ nlls, coverage95, delta_orig = [], [], []
883
+ for s in per_sample:
884
+ diff = s["target"] - s["mu"]
885
+ per_step_l2 = np.linalg.norm(diff, axis=1) * RMAX_KM * 1000.0
886
+ ades.append(per_step_l2.mean())
887
+ fdes.append(per_step_l2[-1])
888
+ for t in THRESH_M:
889
+ in_circle[t].append(per_step_l2[-1] <= t)
890
+ sx = max(s["sigma"][-1, 0], 1e-9)
891
+ sy = max(s["sigma"][-1, 1], 1e-9)
892
+ sz = max(s["sigma"][-1, 2], 1e-9)
893
+ rho_xy = s["rho"][-1]
894
+ dx = diff[-1, 0]; dy = diff[-1, 1]; dz = diff[-1, 2]
895
+ omr2 = max(1.0 - rho_xy * rho_xy, 1e-6)
896
+ z2 = ((dx / sx) ** 2 - 2 * rho_xy * (dx / sx) * (dy / sy)
897
+ + (dy / sy) ** 2) / omr2
898
+ coverage95.append(z2 <= 5.991)
899
+ log_det = 2 * (math.log(sx) + math.log(sy)) + math.log(omr2)
900
+ nll_xy = 0.5 * (z2 + log_det + 2 * math.log(2 * math.pi))
901
+ nll_z = 0.5 * ((dz / sz) ** 2 + 2 * math.log(sz) + math.log(2 * math.pi))
902
+ nlls.append(nll_xy + nll_z)
903
+ delta_orig.append(s["delta_orig"])
904
+ ades = np.array(ades); fdes = np.array(fdes)
905
+ nlls = np.array(nlls); coverage95 = np.array(coverage95, dtype=float)
906
+ delta_orig = np.array(delta_orig)
907
+ out = {
908
+ "ade_m": float(ades.mean()),
909
+ "fde_m": float(fdes.mean()),
910
+ "fde_median_m": float(np.median(fdes)),
911
+ "nll_xy_z": float(nlls.mean()),
912
+ "coverage_95": float(coverage95.mean()),
913
+ "n": len(ades),
914
+ }
915
+ for t in THRESH_M:
916
+ out[f"miss_rate_{int(t)}m"] = float(1.0 - np.mean(in_circle[t]))
917
+ if extrap_delta is None:
918
+ per_bucket = {}
919
+ for lo, hi in DELTA_BUCKETS:
920
+ mask = (delta_orig >= lo) & (delta_orig <= hi)
921
+ if mask.sum() == 0:
922
+ continue
923
+ per_bucket[f"delta_{lo}_{hi}"] = {
924
+ "ade_m": float(ades[mask].mean()),
925
+ "fde_m": float(fdes[mask].mean()),
926
+ "coverage_95": float(coverage95[mask].mean()),
927
+ "n": int(mask.sum()),
928
+ }
929
+ out["per_bucket"] = per_bucket
930
+ return out
931
+
932
+
933
+ def main():
934
+ p = argparse.ArgumentParser()
935
+ p.add_argument("--airport", default="RKSIa",
936
+ help="Single-airport training (legacy). Ignored if --multi-airport is set.")
937
+ p.add_argument("--multi-airport", default=None,
938
+ help="Comma-separated TRAINING airports for v8 multi-airport runs, "
939
+ "e.g. 'RKSId,ESSA,LSZH'. Pairs with --eval-airport.")
940
+ p.add_argument("--eval-airport", default=None,
941
+ help="HELD-OUT airport for LOAO eval. If unset and --multi-airport is set, "
942
+ "evaluates on the union (no held-out).")
943
+ p.add_argument("--use-airport-token", action="store_true",
944
+ help="v8: enable airport-ID conditioning (UniTraj recipe).")
945
+ p.add_argument("--data-dir", default="data")
946
+ p.add_argument("--tag", default="run")
947
+ p.add_argument("--out-dir", default="runs")
948
+ p.add_argument("--epochs", type=int, default=30)
949
+ p.add_argument("--batch-size", type=int, default=64)
950
+ p.add_argument("--lr", type=float, default=1e-4)
951
+ p.add_argument("--weight-decay", type=float, default=1e-4)
952
+ p.add_argument("--past-max", type=int, default=256)
953
+ p.add_argument("--past-min", type=int, default=60)
954
+ p.add_argument("--delta-min", type=int, default=30)
955
+ p.add_argument("--delta-max", type=int, default=120)
956
+ p.add_argument("--extrap-delta-max", type=int, default=300)
957
+ p.add_argument("--epoch-multiplier", type=int, default=4)
958
+ p.add_argument("--lambda-jepa", type=float, default=0.0)
959
+ p.add_argument("--ema-decay", type=float, default=0.998)
960
+ p.add_argument("--beta-nll", type=float, default=0.5,
961
+ help="β-NLL exponent (Seitzer 2022). 0=plain NLL, 0.5=recommended.")
962
+ p.add_argument("--ss-max", type=float, default=0.0,
963
+ help="Max scheduled-sampling probability (0=teacher-forcing only, 0.5=Bengio recommended).")
964
+ p.add_argument("--ss-warmup-frac", type=float, default=0.5,
965
+ help="Fraction of training over which ss_prob ramps from 0 to ss_max linearly.")
966
+ p.add_argument("--decoder-mode", choices=["ar", "parallel"], default="ar",
967
+ help="ar = v5 GRU autoregressive; parallel = v6 HiVT-style MLP decoder.")
968
+ p.add_argument("--d-model", type=int, default=256)
969
+ p.add_argument("--n-layers", type=int, default=4)
970
+ p.add_argument("--n-heads", type=int, default=8)
971
+ p.add_argument("--patch-size", type=int, default=8)
972
+ p.add_argument("--seed", type=int, default=0)
973
+ p.add_argument("--num-workers", type=int, default=2)
974
+ p.add_argument("--push-to-hub", action="store_true")
975
+ p.add_argument("--hub-model-id", default=None)
976
+ p.add_argument("--pretrained-encoder", default=None,
977
+ help="Path or HF repo id to a pretrained encoder checkpoint "
978
+ "(loaded into tokenizer + encoder weights before training).")
979
+ p.add_argument("--pretrained-encoder-file", default=None,
980
+ help="If --pretrained-encoder is a HF repo, name of the file in it.")
981
+ p.add_argument("--freeze-encoder", action="store_true",
982
+ help="Freeze tokenizer + encoder weights after loading pretrained.")
983
+ p.add_argument("--held-out-classes", default=None,
984
+ help="Comma-separated class IDs to EXCLUDE from training (e.g., '6,18,28').")
985
+ p.add_argument("--keep-only-classes", default=None,
986
+ help="Comma-separated class IDs to KEEP for evaluation (eval on these only).")
987
+ p.add_argument("--trackio-name", default=None)
988
+ args = p.parse_args()
989
+
990
+ torch.manual_seed(args.seed)
991
+ np.random.seed(args.seed)
992
+
993
+ device = "cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu"
994
+ print(f"[v2] device={device} tag={args.tag} "
995
+ f"decoder_mode={args.decoder_mode} "
996
+ f"lambda_jepa={args.lambda_jepa} beta_nll={args.beta_nll} "
997
+ f"ss_max={args.ss_max} ss_warmup_frac={args.ss_warmup_frac}",
998
+ flush=True)
999
+ if device == "cuda":
1000
+ print(f"[v2] cuda device: {torch.cuda.get_device_name(0)} "
1001
+ f"vram={torch.cuda.get_device_properties(0).total_memory/1e9:.1f}GB",
1002
+ flush=True)
1003
+ else:
1004
+ print("[v2] WARNING: CUDA not available, training on CPU. "
1005
+ "This will be very slow.", flush=True)
1006
+
1007
+ if HAS_TRACKIO and args.trackio_name:
1008
+ trackio.init(project="flight-jepa-v2", name=args.trackio_name,
1009
+ config=vars(args))
1010
+
1011
+ held_out = (
1012
+ [int(c) for c in args.held_out_classes.split(",")]
1013
+ if args.held_out_classes else None
1014
+ )
1015
+ keep_only = (
1016
+ [int(c) for c in args.keep_only_classes.split(",")]
1017
+ if args.keep_only_classes else None
1018
+ )
1019
+ if args.multi_airport:
1020
+ train_airports = [a.strip() for a in args.multi_airport.split(",")]
1021
+ train_ds = MultiAirportBlindspotDataset(
1022
+ airports=train_airports, mode="TRAIN", data_dir=args.data_dir,
1023
+ past_max=args.past_max, past_min=args.past_min,
1024
+ delta_min=args.delta_min, delta_max=args.delta_max,
1025
+ seed=args.seed, epoch_multiplier=args.epoch_multiplier,
1026
+ )
1027
+ eval_ap = args.eval_airport if args.eval_airport else train_airports[0]
1028
+ test_ds = BlindspotDataset(
1029
+ airport=eval_ap, mode="TEST", data_dir=args.data_dir,
1030
+ past_max=args.past_max, past_min=args.past_min,
1031
+ delta_min=args.delta_min, delta_max=args.delta_max,
1032
+ seed=args.seed + 1, epoch_multiplier=1,
1033
+ )
1034
+ extrap_ds = BlindspotDataset(
1035
+ airport=eval_ap, mode="TEST", data_dir=args.data_dir,
1036
+ past_max=args.past_max, past_min=args.past_min,
1037
+ delta_min=args.delta_min, delta_max=args.extrap_delta_max,
1038
+ seed=args.seed + 99, epoch_multiplier=1,
1039
+ )
1040
+ print(f"[v8] LOAO: train={train_airports} eval={eval_ap}")
1041
+ else:
1042
+ train_ds = BlindspotDataset(
1043
+ airport=args.airport, mode="TRAIN", data_dir=args.data_dir,
1044
+ past_max=args.past_max, past_min=args.past_min,
1045
+ delta_min=args.delta_min, delta_max=args.delta_max,
1046
+ seed=args.seed, epoch_multiplier=args.epoch_multiplier,
1047
+ held_out_classes=held_out, keep_only_classes=keep_only,
1048
+ )
1049
+ test_ds = BlindspotDataset(
1050
+ airport=args.airport, mode="TEST", data_dir=args.data_dir,
1051
+ past_max=args.past_max, past_min=args.past_min,
1052
+ delta_min=args.delta_min, delta_max=args.delta_max,
1053
+ seed=args.seed + 1, epoch_multiplier=1,
1054
+ held_out_classes=held_out, keep_only_classes=keep_only,
1055
+ )
1056
+ extrap_ds = BlindspotDataset(
1057
+ airport=args.airport, mode="TEST", data_dir=args.data_dir,
1058
+ past_max=args.past_max, past_min=args.past_min,
1059
+ delta_min=args.delta_min, delta_max=args.extrap_delta_max,
1060
+ seed=args.seed + 99, epoch_multiplier=1,
1061
+ held_out_classes=held_out, keep_only_classes=keep_only,
1062
+ )
1063
+
1064
+ train_dl = DataLoader(train_ds, batch_size=args.batch_size, shuffle=True,
1065
+ num_workers=args.num_workers, pin_memory=True,
1066
+ drop_last=True)
1067
+ test_dl = DataLoader(test_ds, batch_size=args.batch_size, shuffle=False,
1068
+ num_workers=args.num_workers, pin_memory=True)
1069
+ extrap_dl = DataLoader(extrap_ds, batch_size=args.batch_size, shuffle=False,
1070
+ num_workers=args.num_workers, pin_memory=True)
1071
+
1072
+ cfg = {
1073
+ "d_model": args.d_model, "n_heads": args.n_heads,
1074
+ "n_layers": args.n_layers, "d_ff": args.d_model * 4,
1075
+ "dropout": 0.1, "patch_size": args.patch_size,
1076
+ "past_max": args.past_max, "lambda_jepa": args.lambda_jepa,
1077
+ "ema_decay": args.ema_decay, "beta_nll": args.beta_nll,
1078
+ "decoder_mode": args.decoder_mode,
1079
+ "delta_max": args.delta_max,
1080
+ "use_airport_token": args.use_airport_token,
1081
+ "n_airports": len(AIRPORTS),
1082
+ }
1083
+ model = FlightJEPAv2(cfg).to(device)
1084
+ n_params = sum(p.numel() for p in model.parameters())
1085
+ print(f"[v2] params={n_params/1e6:.2f}M")
1086
+
1087
+ # Optionally load pretrained encoder + tokenizer from a v7 pretrain run.
1088
+ if args.pretrained_encoder:
1089
+ path = args.pretrained_encoder
1090
+ if not os.path.exists(path):
1091
+ # Treat as HF repo id; download the named file.
1092
+ from huggingface_hub import hf_hub_download
1093
+ file_name = args.pretrained_encoder_file or "v7-pretrain.pt"
1094
+ path = hf_hub_download(args.pretrained_encoder, file_name)
1095
+ ck = torch.load(path, map_location=device, weights_only=False)
1096
+ miss_t, unx_t = model.tokenizer.load_state_dict(
1097
+ ck["tokenizer_state_dict"], strict=False
1098
+ )
1099
+ miss_e, unx_e = model.encoder.load_state_dict(
1100
+ ck["encoder_state_dict"], strict=False
1101
+ )
1102
+ print(f"[v2] loaded pretrained encoder from {path}")
1103
+ print(f" tokenizer missing={len(miss_t)} unexpected={len(unx_t)}")
1104
+ print(f" encoder missing={len(miss_e)} unexpected={len(unx_e)}")
1105
+ # Also seed the EMA copies with the same weights.
1106
+ model.target_tokenizer.load_state_dict(model.tokenizer.state_dict())
1107
+ model.target_encoder.load_state_dict(model.encoder.state_dict())
1108
+ if args.freeze_encoder:
1109
+ for p_ in model.tokenizer.parameters():
1110
+ p_.requires_grad = False
1111
+ for p_ in model.encoder.parameters():
1112
+ p_.requires_grad = False
1113
+ print("[v2] tokenizer + encoder FROZEN")
1114
+
1115
+ optimizer = torch.optim.AdamW(model.parameters(), lr=args.lr,
1116
+ weight_decay=args.weight_decay)
1117
+ scheduler = torch.optim.lr_scheduler.CosineAnnealingLR(optimizer, T_max=args.epochs)
1118
+
1119
+ os.makedirs(args.out_dir, exist_ok=True)
1120
+ history = []
1121
+ best_fde = float("inf")
1122
+ best_state = None
1123
+
1124
+ for epoch in range(args.epochs):
1125
+ t0 = time.time()
1126
+ # Linear ramp ss_prob: 0 → ss_max over args.ss_warmup_frac of training,
1127
+ # then hold at ss_max.
1128
+ warmup_epochs = max(1, int(args.epochs * args.ss_warmup_frac))
1129
+ ss_prob = min(args.ss_max,
1130
+ args.ss_max * (epoch + 1) / warmup_epochs)
1131
+ train_stats = train_one_epoch(model, train_dl, optimizer, device,
1132
+ ss_prob=ss_prob)
1133
+ scheduler.step()
1134
+
1135
+ score_stats = None
1136
+ if (epoch + 1) % 5 == 0 or epoch == args.epochs - 1:
1137
+ score_stats = score_loader(model, test_dl, device)
1138
+ if score_stats and score_stats["fde_m"] < best_fde:
1139
+ best_fde = score_stats["fde_m"]
1140
+ best_state = {k: v.detach().cpu().clone()
1141
+ for k, v in model.state_dict().items()}
1142
+
1143
+ elapsed = time.time() - t0
1144
+ log = {
1145
+ "epoch": epoch + 1, "elapsed_s": elapsed,
1146
+ "lr": optimizer.param_groups[0]["lr"],
1147
+ "train": train_stats, "score": score_stats,
1148
+ }
1149
+ history.append(log)
1150
+ msg = (f"[v2] ep {epoch+1:03d} | loss={train_stats['total']:.4f} "
1151
+ f"nll={train_stats['nll']:.4f} ade_t={train_stats['ade_train']:.4f} "
1152
+ f"jepa={train_stats['jepa']:.4f} ss={ss_prob:.2f}")
1153
+ if score_stats:
1154
+ msg += f" | fde={score_stats['fde_m']:.0f}m ade={score_stats['ade_m']:.0f}m"
1155
+ msg += f" | {elapsed:.0f}s"
1156
+ print(msg, flush=True)
1157
+
1158
+ if HAS_TRACKIO and args.trackio_name:
1159
+ tlog = {f"train/{k}": v for k, v in train_stats.items()}
1160
+ if score_stats:
1161
+ tlog.update({f"test/{k}": v for k, v in score_stats.items()
1162
+ if isinstance(v, (int, float))})
1163
+ trackio.log(tlog, step=epoch + 1)
1164
+
1165
+ final = {"in_distribution": score_loader(model, test_dl, device)}
1166
+ for d in EXTRAP_DELTAS:
1167
+ final[f"extrap_delta_{d}"] = score_loader(model, extrap_dl, device, extrap_delta=d)
1168
+
1169
+ if best_state is not None:
1170
+ model.load_state_dict(best_state)
1171
+
1172
+ out_path = os.path.join(args.out_dir, f"{args.tag}.pt")
1173
+ torch.save({
1174
+ "state_dict": model.state_dict(),
1175
+ "config": cfg, "args": vars(args),
1176
+ "history": history, "final": final,
1177
+ "best_fde_m": best_fde,
1178
+ }, out_path)
1179
+ print(f"[v2] saved {out_path}")
1180
+
1181
+ summary_path = os.path.join(args.out_dir, f"{args.tag}_summary.json")
1182
+ with open(summary_path, "w") as f:
1183
+ json.dump({
1184
+ "tag": args.tag, "lambda_jepa": args.lambda_jepa,
1185
+ "beta_nll": args.beta_nll,
1186
+ "n_params": n_params, "best_fde_m": best_fde,
1187
+ "final": final, "args": vars(args),
1188
+ }, f, indent=2, default=float)
1189
+ print(f"[v2] summary -> {summary_path}", flush=True)
1190
+
1191
+ if args.push_to_hub and args.hub_model_id:
1192
+ try:
1193
+ from huggingface_hub import HfApi
1194
+ api = HfApi()
1195
+ api.create_repo(args.hub_model_id, exist_ok=True)
1196
+ for path, fname in [(out_path, f"{args.tag}.pt"),
1197
+ (summary_path, f"{args.tag}_summary.json")]:
1198
+ api.upload_file(path_or_fileobj=path, path_in_repo=fname,
1199
+ repo_id=args.hub_model_id)
1200
+ print(f"[v2] uploaded to {args.hub_model_id}")
1201
+ except Exception as e:
1202
+ print(f"[v2] hub upload failed: {e}")
1203
+
1204
+ if HAS_TRACKIO and args.trackio_name:
1205
+ trackio.finish()
1206
+
1207
+
1208
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
1209
+ main()