| """
|
| src/temporal_data.py
|
| Phase 1: Data Ingestion and Standardization
|
| """
|
| import pandas as pd
|
| import numpy as np
|
| import os
|
| from sklearn.preprocessing import MultiLabelBinarizer
|
| import pyarrow.parquet as pq
|
| import argparse
|
| import torch
|
| import duckdb
|
| import gc
|
| try:
|
| from torch_geometric.data import TemporalData
|
| except ImportError:
|
| print("[WARNING] torch_geometric not found. Phase 4 will fail without PyG installed.")
|
|
|
|
|
| CONFIG = {
|
|
|
| "DATA_DIR": "data",
|
| "PROCESSED_DIR": "data/processed",
|
| "EDGE_OUT_DIR": "data/processed/master_edges_parquet",
|
| "PYG_OUT_DIR": "data/processed/pyg_graph",
|
|
|
|
|
| "FILES": {
|
| "trades": "cropped/ml_dataset_continuous.csv",
|
| "lobbying": "processed/events_lobbying.csv",
|
| "camp_fin": "processed/events_campaign_finance.csv",
|
| "geo": "processed/events_geographical_industry.csv",
|
| "company_sic": "cropped/company_sic_data.csv",
|
| "committee": "cropped/committee_assignments.csv",
|
| "sec_financials": "cropped/sec_quarterly_financials.csv"
|
| },
|
|
|
|
|
| "INCLUDE_EDGES": {
|
| "trades": False,
|
| "lobbying": True,
|
| "camp_fin": True,
|
| "geo": True
|
| },
|
|
|
| "START_DATE": "2021-01-01"
|
| }
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| def validate_columns(df: pd.DataFrame, required_columns: list, dataset_name: str):
|
| """Raises a clear ValueError if expected columns are missing."""
|
| missing = [col for col in required_columns if col not in df.columns]
|
| if missing:
|
| raise ValueError(f"[{dataset_name}] Missing required columns: {missing}\n"
|
| f"Available columns: {list(df.columns)}")
|
|
|
| def load_and_standardize_events(data_dir="data"):
|
| """
|
| PHASE 1: Load the four primary data sources and map them to a unified schema.
|
| Returns standardized pandas DataFrames for each event type.
|
| """
|
| print("==================================================")
|
| print("PHASE 1: DATA INGESTION & STANDARDIZATION")
|
| print("==================================================")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| path_trades = os.path.join(CONFIG["DATA_DIR"], CONFIG["FILES"]["trades"])
|
| print(f"Loading Trades from: {path_trades}")
|
| df_trades = pd.read_csv(path_trades)
|
|
|
|
|
| market_features = [
|
| 'vol_20d', 'vol_60d', 'vol_120d', 'vol_252d', 'vol_of_vol_60d', 'vol_trend', 'idio_vol_60d',
|
| 'mom_60d', 'mom_252d', 'reversal_21d',
|
| 'beta_20d', 'beta_60d', 'downside_beta', 'excess_vol', 'max_dd_60d', 'skew_60d', 'sharpe_60d'
|
| ]
|
| trade_features = ['Trade_Size_USD', 'Filing_Gap', 'Transaction']
|
|
|
| req_trade_cols = ['BioGuideID', 'Matched_Ticker', 'Filed'] + trade_features + market_features
|
| validate_columns(df_trades, req_trade_cols, "Trades")
|
|
|
| df_trades = df_trades.rename(columns={
|
| 'BioGuideID': 'src',
|
| 'Matched_Ticker': 'dst',
|
| 'Filed': 'time'
|
| })
|
| df_trades['event_type'] = 0
|
|
|
|
|
| if 'Excess_Return_6M' in df_trades.columns:
|
| threshold = df_trades['Excess_Return_6M'].quantile(0.75)
|
| df_trades['y'] = (df_trades['Excess_Return_6M'] >= threshold).astype(int)
|
| else:
|
| print("[WARNING] 'Excess_Return_6M' not found. Setting dummy target 'y' = 0")
|
| df_trades['y'] = 0
|
|
|
| print(f" -> Trades loaded successfully. Shape: {df_trades.shape}")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| if CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get("lobbying", True):
|
| path_lobbying = os.path.join(CONFIG["DATA_DIR"], CONFIG["FILES"]["lobbying"])
|
| df_lobbying = pd.read_csv(path_lobbying)
|
|
|
| path_lobbying = os.path.join(CONFIG["DATA_DIR"], CONFIG["FILES"]["lobbying"])
|
| print(f"Loading Lobbying from: {path_lobbying}")
|
| df_lobbying = pd.read_csv(path_lobbying)
|
|
|
|
|
| time_col_lobby = 'estimated_filing_date' if 'estimated_filing_date' in df_lobbying.columns else 'date'
|
|
|
| validate_columns(df_lobbying, ['bioguide_id', 'ticker', time_col_lobby, 'event_type'], "Lobbying")
|
|
|
| df_lobbying = df_lobbying.rename(columns={
|
| 'bioguide_id': 'src',
|
| 'ticker': 'dst',
|
| time_col_lobby: 'time'
|
| })
|
|
|
|
|
| df_lobbying['is_sponsorship'] = (df_lobbying['event_type'] == 'LOBBY_STRONG').astype(float)
|
| df_lobbying['voted_yea'] = (df_lobbying['event_type'] == 'LOBBY_WEAK').astype(float)
|
| df_lobbying['event_type'] = 1
|
|
|
| print(f" -> Lobbying loaded successfully. Shape: {df_lobbying.shape}")
|
|
|
| else:
|
| print(" -> [CONFIG] Skipping Lobbying edges...")
|
| df_lobbying = pd.DataFrame()
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| if CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get("camp_fin", True):
|
| path_camp_fin = os.path.join(CONFIG["DATA_DIR"], CONFIG["FILES"]["camp_fin"])
|
| df_camp_fin = pd.read_csv(path_camp_fin)
|
|
|
| time_col_cf = 'estimated_filing_date' if 'estimated_filing_date' in df_camp_fin.columns else 'date'
|
| validate_columns(df_camp_fin, ['bioguide_id', 'industry_code', time_col_cf, 'weight'], "Campaign Finance")
|
|
|
| df_camp_fin = df_camp_fin.rename(columns={
|
| 'bioguide_id': 'src',
|
| 'industry_code': 'dst_temp',
|
| time_col_cf: 'time',
|
| 'weight': 'Fin_Amt'
|
| })
|
| df_camp_fin['event_type'] = 2
|
|
|
| print(f" -> Campaign Finance loaded successfully. Shape: {df_camp_fin.shape}")
|
|
|
| else:
|
| print(" -> [CONFIG] Skipping Campaign Finance edges...")
|
| df_camp_fin = pd.DataFrame()
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| if CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get("geo", True):
|
| path_geo = os.path.join(CONFIG["DATA_DIR"], CONFIG["FILES"]["geo"])
|
| df_geo = pd.read_csv(path_geo)
|
|
|
| validate_columns(df_geo, ['bioguide_id', 'sic_code', 'release_date', 'establishments', 'employment', 'annual_payroll'], "Geo-Industrial")
|
|
|
| df_geo = df_geo.rename(columns={
|
| 'bioguide_id': 'src',
|
| 'sic_code': 'dst_temp',
|
| 'release_date': 'time'
|
| })
|
|
|
|
|
| df_geo['Geo_Weight'] = np.log1p(df_geo['employment'].fillna(0))
|
| df_geo['event_type'] = 3
|
|
|
| print(f" -> Geo-Industrial loaded successfully. Shape: {df_geo.shape}")
|
|
|
| else:
|
| print(" -> [CONFIG] Skipping Geo-Industrial edges...")
|
| df_geo = pd.DataFrame()
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| print("Loading Crosswalk Dictionaries...")
|
| path_cw_2012 = os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped", "industry_codes_NAICS", "2012-NAICS-to-SIC-crosswalk.csv")
|
| path_cw_2017 = os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped", "industry_codes_NAICS", "2017-NAICS-to-SIC-crosswalk.csv")
|
| path_cw_cat = os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped", "industry_codes_NAICS", "2013-CAT_to_SIC_to_NAICS_mappings.csv")
|
|
|
| cw_2012 = pd.read_csv(path_cw_2012)
|
| cw_2017 = pd.read_csv(path_cw_2017)
|
| cw_cat = pd.read_csv(path_cw_cat)
|
|
|
| validate_columns(cw_cat, ['OpenSecretsCatcode', 'SICcode'], "CAT to SIC Crosswalk")
|
| print(" -> All Data and Crosswalks successfully ingested.")
|
| print("==================================================\n")
|
|
|
| return df_trades, df_lobbying, df_camp_fin, df_geo, cw_2012, cw_2017, cw_cat
|
|
|
| def broadcast_and_pad_edges(df_trades, df_lobbying, df_camp_fin, df_geo, cw_cat, data_dir="data"):
|
| """
|
| PHASE 2: Memory-Optimized Sector Broadcasting & Tensor Alignment
|
| """
|
| print("==================================================")
|
| print("PHASE 2: OPTIMIZED BROADCASTING & ALIGNMENT")
|
| print("==================================================")
|
|
|
|
|
| path_company_sic = os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped", "company_sic_data.csv")
|
| df_comp_sic = pd.read_csv(path_company_sic)
|
| df_comp_sic = df_comp_sic.drop_duplicates(subset=['ticker', 'sic'])
|
| df_comp_sic['sic'] = df_comp_sic['sic'].astype(str).str.replace(r'\.0$', '', regex=True).str.strip().str.zfill(4)
|
|
|
|
|
| df_camp_fin['dst_temp'] = df_camp_fin['dst_temp'].astype(str).str.strip().str.upper()
|
| cw_cat['OpenSecretsCatcode'] = cw_cat['OpenSecretsCatcode'].astype(str).str.strip().str.upper()
|
| cw_cat['SICcode'] = cw_cat['SICcode'].astype(str).str.replace(r'\.0$', '', regex=True).str.strip().str.zfill(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| print("Broadcasting Geo-Industrial edges...")
|
| df_geo['dst_temp'] = df_geo['dst_temp'].astype(str).str.replace(r'\.0$', '', regex=True).str.strip().str.zfill(4)
|
| df_geo = df_geo.merge(df_comp_sic[['sic', 'ticker']], left_on='dst_temp', right_on='sic', how='inner')
|
| df_geo = df_geo.rename(columns={'ticker': 'dst'}).drop(columns=['dst_temp', 'sic'])
|
|
|
| print("Broadcasting Campaign Finance edges...")
|
| df_camp_fin = df_camp_fin.merge(cw_cat[['OpenSecretsCatcode', 'SICcode']],
|
| left_on='dst_temp', right_on='OpenSecretsCatcode', how='inner')
|
| df_camp_fin = df_camp_fin.merge(df_comp_sic[['sic', 'ticker']],
|
| left_on='SICcode', right_on='sic', how='inner')
|
| df_camp_fin = df_camp_fin.rename(columns={'ticker': 'dst'}).drop(columns=['dst_temp', 'OpenSecretsCatcode', 'SICcode', 'sic'])
|
|
|
| print(f" -> Geo edges: {len(df_geo)} | Fin edges: {len(df_camp_fin)}")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| print("Mapping categorical Trade variables to numeric...")
|
| if df_trades['Transaction'].dtype == object:
|
| df_trades['Transaction'] = df_trades['Transaction'].astype(str).str.lower().apply(
|
| lambda x: 1.0 if 'purchase' in x or 'buy' in x else 0.0
|
| )
|
|
|
| size_map = {
|
| '$1,001 - $15,000': 1.0,
|
| '$15,001 - $50,000': 2.0,
|
| '$50,001 - $100,000': 3.0,
|
| '$100,001 - $250,000': 4.0,
|
| '$250,001 - $500,000': 5.0,
|
| '$500,001 - $1,000,000': 6.0,
|
| '$1,000,001 - $5,000,000': 7.0,
|
| '$5,000,001 - $25,000,000': 8.0,
|
| '$25,000,001 - $50,000,000': 9.0,
|
| 'Over $50,000,000': 10.0
|
| }
|
| if df_trades['Trade_Size_USD'].dtype == object:
|
| df_trades['Trade_Size_USD'] = df_trades['Trade_Size_USD'].map(size_map).fillna(0.0)
|
|
|
| market_features = [
|
| 'vol_20d', 'vol_60d', 'vol_120d', 'vol_252d', 'vol_of_vol_60d', 'vol_trend', 'idio_vol_60d',
|
| 'mom_60d', 'mom_252d', 'reversal_21d',
|
| 'beta_20d', 'beta_60d', 'downside_beta', 'excess_vol', 'max_dd_60d', 'skew_60d', 'sharpe_60d'
|
| ]
|
| all_msg_cols = ['Trade_Size_USD', 'Filing_Gap', 'Transaction', 'is_sponsorship', 'voted_yea', 'Fin_Amt', 'Geo_Weight'] + market_features
|
|
|
| def align_schema(df):
|
|
|
| for col in all_msg_cols:
|
| if col not in df.columns:
|
| df[col] = np.float32(0.0)
|
| elif df[col].dtype != 'float32':
|
|
|
| df[col] = df[col].astype('float32')
|
| return df
|
|
|
| print("Aligning D=24 schemas and downcasting to float32...")
|
| df_trades = align_schema(df_trades)
|
|
|
|
|
| df_lobbying['y'] = -1
|
| df_camp_fin['y'] = -1
|
| df_geo['y'] = -1
|
| if 'y' not in df_trades.columns:
|
| df_trades['y'] = -1
|
|
|
| df_lobbying['y'] = -1
|
| df_camp_fin['y'] = -1
|
| df_geo['y'] = -1
|
| if 'y' not in df_trades.columns:
|
| df_trades['y'] = -1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| import gc
|
| import pyarrow as pa
|
| import pyarrow.parquet as pq
|
|
|
| output_dir = CONFIG["EDGE_OUT_DIR"]
|
| os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True)
|
| print(f"Writing chunks directly to Parquet at: {output_dir}")
|
|
|
| base_cols = ['src', 'dst', 'time', 'event_type', 'y']
|
|
|
|
|
| datasets = [
|
| ("trades", df_trades),
|
| ("lobbying", df_lobbying),
|
| ("camp_fin", df_camp_fin),
|
| ("geo", df_geo)
|
| ]
|
|
|
|
|
| del df_trades, df_lobbying, df_camp_fin, df_geo
|
| gc.collect()
|
|
|
|
|
| chunk_size = 5_000_000
|
|
|
| for i in range(len(datasets)):
|
| name, df_full = datasets[i]
|
|
|
| out_path = os.path.join(output_dir, f"edges_{name}.parquet")
|
| writer = None
|
|
|
|
|
| for start in range(0, len(df_full), chunk_size):
|
| end = min(start + chunk_size, len(df_full))
|
| df_chunk = df_full.iloc[start:end].copy()
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| df_chunk['time'] = pd.to_datetime(df_chunk['time'])
|
| df_chunk = df_chunk.sort_values(by='time').reset_index(drop=True)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| for col in all_msg_cols:
|
| if col not in df_chunk.columns:
|
| df_chunk[col] = np.float32(0.0)
|
| else:
|
| df_chunk[col] = df_chunk[col].astype('float32')
|
|
|
|
|
| df_chunk = df_chunk[base_cols + all_msg_cols]
|
|
|
|
|
| table = pa.Table.from_pandas(df_chunk)
|
| if writer is None:
|
|
|
| writer = pq.ParquetWriter(out_path, table.schema)
|
| writer.write_table(table)
|
|
|
|
|
| del df_chunk
|
| gc.collect()
|
|
|
| if writer:
|
| writer.close()
|
|
|
| print(f" -> Saved {name} ({len(df_full)} rows) to {out_path}")
|
|
|
|
|
| datasets[i] = None
|
| del df_full
|
| gc.collect()
|
|
|
| print(" -> Master Edge Parquet chunks successfully written.")
|
| print("==================================================\n")
|
|
|
| return output_dir, all_msg_cols
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| SEC_FACTS = [
|
| "NetIncomeLoss", "StockholdersEquity", "EarningsPerShareBasic",
|
| "EarningsPerShareDiluted", "IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit",
|
| "CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue", "WeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic",
|
| "OperatingIncomeLoss", "WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding",
|
| "Assets", "LiabilitiesAndStockholdersEquity", "InterestExpense",
|
| "RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit", "NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities",
|
| "NetCashProvidedByUsedInFinancingActivities", "NetCashProvidedByUsedInInvestingActivities",
|
| "Liabilities", "CommonStockValue", "AccumulatedOtherComprehensiveIncomeLossNetOfTax",
|
| "PropertyPlantAndEquipmentNet", "Revenues", "AssetsCurrent",
|
| "LiabilitiesCurrent", "OperatingExpenses", "GrossProfit",
|
| "PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "Goodwill",
|
| "AmortizationOfIntangibleAssets", "SellingGeneralAndAdministrativeExpense",
|
| "AccountsPayableCurrent", "CommonStockDividendsPerShareDeclared",
|
| "NonoperatingIncomeExpense", "OtherAssetsNoncurrent",
|
| "AdditionalPaidInCapital", "AccountsReceivableNetCurrent",
|
| "ResearchAndDevelopmentExpense"
|
| ]
|
|
|
| def map_sic_to_division(sic_code):
|
| """Maps a 4-digit SIC code to its 10 parent divisions (0-9)."""
|
| try:
|
| sic = int(sic_code)
|
| if sic < 1000: return 0
|
| elif sic < 1500: return 1
|
| elif sic < 1800: return 2
|
| elif sic < 4000: return 3
|
| elif sic < 5000: return 4
|
| elif sic < 5200: return 5
|
| elif sic < 6000: return 6
|
| elif sic < 6800: return 7
|
| elif sic < 9000: return 8
|
| else: return 9
|
| except:
|
| return 9
|
|
|
| def process_node_features(data_dir="data/", processed_dir="data/processed/"):
|
| """
|
| Phase 3: Generate and save temporally aligned node features for politicians and companies.
|
| """
|
| pol_parquet_path = os.path.join(processed_dir, "politician_features.parquet")
|
| comp_parquet_path = os.path.join(processed_dir, "company_features.parquet")
|
|
|
| if os.path.exists(pol_parquet_path) and os.path.exists(comp_parquet_path):
|
| print(" -> Found existing node feature parquets. Skipping Phase 3 generation...")
|
| return pol_parquet_path, comp_parquet_path
|
|
|
| print("==================================================")
|
| print("PHASE 3: NODE FEATURE EXTRACTION")
|
| print("==================================================")
|
|
|
|
|
| print(" -> Processing Politician Features...")
|
| df_com = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped/committee_assignments.csv"))
|
| df_com['Committees'] = df_com['Committees'].fillna('').astype(str).str.split(r';\s*')
|
|
|
| mlb = MultiLabelBinarizer()
|
| encoded_com = mlb.fit_transform(df_com['Committees'])
|
| df_com_encoded = pd.DataFrame(encoded_com, columns=[f"Com_{c}" for c in mlb.classes_])
|
| df_pol = pd.concat([df_com.drop('Committees', axis=1), df_com_encoded], axis=1)
|
|
|
|
|
| print(" -> Processing Company Features (SEC & SIC)...")
|
| df_sec = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped/sec_quarterly_financials.csv"))
|
| df_sec['FiledDate'] = pd.to_datetime(df_sec['FiledDate'])
|
|
|
| df_sec = df_sec[df_sec['Fact'].isin(SEC_FACTS)]
|
| df_sec = df_sec.drop_duplicates(subset=['Ticker', 'FiledDate', 'Fact'], keep='last')
|
|
|
| df_comp = df_sec.pivot(index=['Ticker', 'FiledDate'], columns='Fact', values='Value').reset_index()
|
| for fact in SEC_FACTS:
|
| if fact not in df_comp.columns:
|
| df_comp[fact] = np.nan
|
|
|
| df_comp = df_comp[['Ticker', 'FiledDate'] + SEC_FACTS].sort_values(['Ticker', 'FiledDate'])
|
| df_comp = df_comp.groupby('Ticker').ffill().fillna(0.0)
|
|
|
| for col in SEC_FACTS:
|
| df_comp[col] = np.sign(df_comp[col]) * np.log1p(np.abs(df_comp[col]))
|
|
|
| df_sic = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped/company_sic_data.csv"))
|
| df_sic['sic_division'] = df_sic['sic'].apply(map_sic_to_division)
|
| sic_dummies = pd.get_dummies(df_sic['sic_division'], prefix='SIC_Div')
|
|
|
| for i in range(10):
|
| if f'SIC_Div_{i}' not in sic_dummies.columns:
|
| sic_dummies[f'SIC_Div_{i}'] = 0
|
|
|
| df_sic = pd.concat([df_sic[['ticker']], sic_dummies[[f'SIC_Div_{i}' for i in range(10)]].astype(np.float32)], axis=1)
|
| df_sic = df_sic.rename(columns={'ticker': 'Ticker'})
|
|
|
| df_comp = df_comp.merge(df_sic, on='Ticker', how='left')
|
| sic_cols = [f'SIC_Div_{i}' for i in range(10)]
|
| df_comp[sic_cols] = df_comp[sic_cols].fillna(0.0)
|
|
|
| print(" -> Saving Phase 3 Parquets...")
|
| df_pol.to_parquet(pol_parquet_path)
|
| df_comp.to_parquet(comp_parquet_path)
|
|
|
| return pol_parquet_path, comp_parquet_path
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| SEC_FACTS = [
|
| "NetIncomeLoss", "StockholdersEquity", "EarningsPerShareBasic",
|
| "EarningsPerShareDiluted", "IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit",
|
| "CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue", "WeightedAverageNumberOfSharesOutstandingBasic",
|
| "OperatingIncomeLoss", "WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding",
|
| "Assets", "LiabilitiesAndStockholdersEquity", "InterestExpense",
|
| "RetainedEarningsAccumulatedDeficit", "NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities",
|
| "NetCashProvidedByUsedInFinancingActivities", "NetCashProvidedByUsedInInvestingActivities",
|
| "Liabilities", "CommonStockValue", "AccumulatedOtherComprehensiveIncomeLossNetOfTax",
|
| "PropertyPlantAndEquipmentNet", "Revenues", "AssetsCurrent",
|
| "LiabilitiesCurrent", "OperatingExpenses", "GrossProfit",
|
| "PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment", "Goodwill",
|
| "AmortizationOfIntangibleAssets", "SellingGeneralAndAdministrativeExpense",
|
| "AccountsPayableCurrent", "CommonStockDividendsPerShareDeclared",
|
| "NonoperatingIncomeExpense", "OtherAssetsNoncurrent",
|
| "AdditionalPaidInCapital", "AccountsReceivableNetCurrent",
|
| "ResearchAndDevelopmentExpense"
|
| ]
|
|
|
| def map_sic_to_division(sic_code):
|
| """Maps a 4-digit SIC code to its 10 parent divisions (0-9)."""
|
| try:
|
| sic = int(sic_code)
|
| if sic < 1000: return 0
|
| elif sic < 1500: return 1
|
| elif sic < 1800: return 2
|
| elif sic < 4000: return 3
|
| elif sic < 5000: return 4
|
| elif sic < 5200: return 5
|
| elif sic < 6000: return 6
|
| elif sic < 6800: return 7
|
| elif sic < 9000: return 8
|
| else: return 9
|
| except:
|
| return 9
|
|
|
|
|
| CBP_RELEASE_DATES = {
|
| 2023: "2025-06-26", 2022: "2024-06-27", 2021: "2023-04-20",
|
| 2020: "2022-04-28", 2019: "2021-04-22", 2018: "2020-06-25",
|
| 2017: "2019-11-21", 2016: "2018-04-19", 2015: "2017-04-20",
|
| 2014: "2016-04-24", 2013: "2015-04-23", 2012: "2014-05-29",
|
| 2011: "2013-04-30", 2010: "2012-06-26"
|
| }
|
|
|
| STATE_ABBREV = {
|
| 'Alabama': 'AL', 'Alaska': 'AK', 'Arizona': 'AZ', 'Arkansas': 'AR', 'California': 'CA',
|
| 'Colorado': 'CO', 'Connecticut': 'CT', 'Delaware': 'DE', 'Florida': 'FL', 'Georgia': 'GA',
|
| 'Hawaii': 'HI', 'Idaho': 'ID', 'Illinois': 'IL', 'Indiana': 'IN', 'Iowa': 'IA',
|
| 'Kansas': 'KS', 'Kentucky': 'KY', 'Louisiana': 'LA', 'Maine': 'ME', 'Maryland': 'MD',
|
| 'Massachusetts': 'MA', 'Michigan': 'MI', 'Minnesota': 'MN', 'Mississippi': 'MS',
|
| 'Missouri': 'MO', 'Montana': 'MT', 'Nebraska': 'NE', 'Nevada': 'NV', 'New Hampshire': 'NH',
|
| 'New Jersey': 'NJ', 'New Mexico': 'NM', 'New York': 'NY', 'North Carolina': 'NC',
|
| 'North Dakota': 'ND', 'Ohio': 'OH', 'Oklahoma': 'OK', 'Oregon': 'OR', 'Pennsylvania': 'PA',
|
| 'Rhode Island': 'RI', 'South Carolina': 'SC', 'South Dakota': 'SD', 'Tennessee': 'TN',
|
| 'Texas': 'TX', 'Utah': 'UT', 'Vermont': 'VT', 'Virginia': 'VA', 'Washington': 'WA',
|
| 'West Virginia': 'WV', 'Wisconsin': 'WI', 'Wyoming': 'WY', 'District of Columbia': 'DC'
|
| }
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| def process_node_features(data_dir="data/", processed_dir="data/processed/"):
|
| """Phase 3: Generate and save standardized node features."""
|
| import re
|
| pol_path = os.path.join(processed_dir, "politician_features.parquet")
|
| comp_path = os.path.join(processed_dir, "company_features.parquet")
|
| cbp_out_path = os.path.join(processed_dir, "district_economics_cbp.parquet")
|
|
|
| if all(os.path.exists(p) for p in [pol_path, comp_path, cbp_out_path]):
|
| print(" -> Found all node feature parquets. Skipping Phase 3...")
|
| return pol_path, comp_path
|
|
|
| print("==================================================")
|
| print("PHASE 3: NODE FEATURE EXTRACTION")
|
| print("==================================================")
|
|
|
|
|
| print(" -> Processing Politician Static Features...")
|
| df_com = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped/committee_assignments.csv"))
|
| df_com['Committees'] = df_com['Committees'].fillna('').astype(str).str.split(r';\s*')
|
| mlb = MultiLabelBinarizer()
|
| encoded_com = mlb.fit_transform(df_com['Committees'])
|
| df_pol_static = pd.concat([df_com.drop('Committees', axis=1),
|
| pd.DataFrame(encoded_com, columns=[f"Com_{c}" for c in mlb.classes_])], axis=1)
|
| df_pol_static['District_Num'] = df_pol_static['District'].astype(str).str.extract(r'(\d+)').fillna('0')
|
|
|
|
|
| print(" -> Processing CBP District Economics (Handling 2012/2017 NAICS Schema)...")
|
| cbp_dir = os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped/district_industries")
|
| cbp_dfs = []
|
|
|
|
|
| def _parse_geo(name):
|
| try:
|
| match = re.search(r'(?:District\s|at Large)(\d+)?.*?,\s*(.*)', str(name))
|
| if match:
|
| dist = match.group(1) if match.group(1) else '0'
|
| state = STATE_ABBREV.get(match.group(2).strip(), 'XX')
|
| return state, str(int(dist))
|
| except: pass
|
| return "XX", "-1"
|
|
|
| for year, release_date in CBP_RELEASE_DATES.items():
|
| file_name = f"{year}_CB_estimates.csv" if year <= 2012 else f"{year}_CB_esurvey.csv"
|
| file_path = os.path.join(cbp_dir, file_name)
|
| if not os.path.exists(file_path): continue
|
|
|
| df_year = pd.read_csv(file_path, low_memory=False)
|
| df_year.columns = [c.split('(')[-1].replace(')', '').strip() if '(' in c else c for c in df_year.columns]
|
|
|
|
|
| naics_col = next((c for c in df_year.columns if 'NAICS' in c), None)
|
| if not naics_col: continue
|
|
|
| df_year = df_year[['NAME', naics_col, 'EMP']].copy()
|
| df_year.rename(columns={naics_col: 'Sector_Raw'}, inplace=True)
|
| df_year['EMP'] = pd.to_numeric(df_year['EMP'], errors='coerce').fillna(0)
|
| df_year['ReleaseDate'] = pd.to_datetime(release_date)
|
|
|
|
|
| df_year[['State', 'District']] = pd.DataFrame(df_year['NAME'].apply(_parse_geo).tolist(), index=df_year.index)
|
| df_year['Sector'] = df_year['Sector_Raw'].astype(str).str[:2]
|
| cbp_dfs.append(df_year)
|
|
|
| if cbp_dfs:
|
| df_cbp = pd.concat(cbp_dfs, ignore_index=True)
|
| df_cbp_pivot = df_cbp.pivot_table(index=['State', 'District', 'ReleaseDate'],
|
| columns='Sector', values='EMP', aggfunc='sum').reset_index()
|
|
|
|
|
| df_cbp_pivot = df_cbp_pivot.sort_values(['State', 'District', 'ReleaseDate'])
|
| sector_cols = [c for c in df_cbp_pivot.columns if c not in ['State', 'District', 'ReleaseDate']]
|
|
|
|
|
| df_cbp_pivot.rename(columns={c: f"NAICS_EMP_{c}" for c in sector_cols}, inplace=True)
|
| naics_prefixed = [f"NAICS_EMP_{c}" for c in sector_cols]
|
|
|
| df_cbp_pivot[naics_prefixed] = df_cbp_pivot.groupby(['State', 'District'])[naics_prefixed].ffill().fillna(0.0)
|
|
|
| df_cbp_pivot.to_parquet(cbp_out_path)
|
| print(f" -> Saved District Economics (Dims: {len(naics_prefixed)})")
|
|
|
|
|
| print(" -> Processing Company Features (SEC & SIC)...")
|
| df_sec = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped/sec_quarterly_financials.csv"))
|
| df_sec['FiledDate'] = pd.to_datetime(df_sec['FiledDate'])
|
| df_sec = df_sec[df_sec['Fact'].isin(SEC_FACTS)].drop_duplicates(subset=['Ticker', 'FiledDate', 'Fact'], keep='last')
|
|
|
| df_comp = df_sec.pivot(index=['Ticker', 'FiledDate'], columns='Fact', values='Value').reset_index()
|
| for fact in SEC_FACTS:
|
| if fact not in df_comp.columns: df_comp[fact] = np.nan
|
| df_comp = df_comp[['Ticker', 'FiledDate'] + SEC_FACTS].sort_values(['Ticker', 'FiledDate'])
|
|
|
| df_comp[SEC_FACTS] = df_comp.groupby('Ticker')[SEC_FACTS].ffill().fillna(0.0)
|
| for col in SEC_FACTS:
|
| df_comp[col] = np.sign(df_comp[col]) * np.log1p(np.abs(df_comp[col]))
|
|
|
| df_sic = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(data_dir, "cropped/company_sic_data.csv"))
|
| df_sic['sic_division'] = df_sic['sic'].apply(map_sic_to_division)
|
| sic_dummies = pd.get_dummies(df_sic['sic_division'], prefix='SIC_Div')
|
| for i in range(10):
|
| if f'SIC_Div_{i}' not in sic_dummies.columns: sic_dummies[f'SIC_Div_{i}'] = 0
|
| df_sic_proc = pd.concat([df_sic[['ticker']], sic_dummies[[f'SIC_Div_{i}' for i in range(10)]]], axis=1).rename(columns={'ticker': 'Ticker'})
|
| df_comp = df_comp.merge(df_sic_proc, on='Ticker', how='left').fillna(0.0)
|
|
|
|
|
| print(" -> Saving Phase 3 Parquets...")
|
| df_pol_static.to_parquet(pol_path)
|
| df_comp.to_parquet(comp_path)
|
|
|
| return pol_path, comp_path
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| def generate_hillstreet_dataset(edge_dir="data/processed/master_edges_parquet", start_date="2012-07-01", include_structural_edges=True):
|
| """
|
| PHASE 4: Sharded conversion to PyTorch Geometric TemporalData.
|
| Anchored to the true STOCK Act start date: July 2012.
|
| """
|
| print("==================================================")
|
| print("PHASE 4: OUT-OF-CORE TEMPORAL SHARDING")
|
| print("==================================================")
|
|
|
|
|
| edge_files = [
|
| "edges_trades.parquet",
|
| "edges_lobbying.parquet",
|
| "edges_camp_fin.parquet",
|
| "edges_geo.parquet"
|
| ]
|
|
|
| valid_files = []
|
|
|
| edge_map = {
|
| "edges_trades.parquet": "trades",
|
| "edges_lobbying.parquet": "lobbying",
|
| "edges_camp_fin.parquet": "camp_fin",
|
| "edges_geo.parquet": "geo"
|
| }
|
|
|
| for file in edge_files:
|
| config_key = edge_map[file]
|
|
|
|
|
| if not CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get(config_key, True):
|
| print(f" -> Skipping '{config_key}' edge file per config.")
|
| continue
|
|
|
| file_path = os.path.join(edge_dir, file)
|
| if not os.path.exists(file_path):
|
| print(f" -> [WARNING] Expected edge chunk not found: {file}")
|
| continue
|
|
|
| valid_files.append(file_path)
|
|
|
| files_sql = "[" + ", ".join([f"'{f}'" for f in valid_files]) + "]"
|
|
|
|
|
| print(f"Extracting global distinct Node IDs for events >= {start_date}...")
|
| out_dir = "data/processed/pyg_graph"
|
| os.makedirs(out_dir, exist_ok=True)
|
|
|
|
|
| df_src = duckdb.query(f"""
|
| SELECT DISTINCT src FROM read_parquet({files_sql})
|
| WHERE src IS NOT NULL AND time >= '{start_date}'
|
| """).df()
|
| unique_src = df_src['src'].values
|
| src_map = {val: i for i, val in enumerate(unique_src)}
|
|
|
| df_dst = duckdb.query(f"""
|
| SELECT DISTINCT dst FROM read_parquet({files_sql})
|
| WHERE dst IS NOT NULL AND time >= '{start_date}'
|
| """).df()
|
| unique_dst = df_dst['dst'].values
|
| dst_start_idx = len(unique_src)
|
| dst_map = {val: i + dst_start_idx for i, val in enumerate(unique_dst)}
|
|
|
|
|
| np.save(os.path.join(out_dir, "src_id_map.npy"), src_map)
|
| np.save(os.path.join(out_dir, "dst_id_map.npy"), dst_map)
|
| print(f" -> Global mapping established: {len(src_map)} Politicians | {len(dst_map)} Companies")
|
|
|
| del df_src, df_dst
|
| gc.collect()
|
|
|
|
|
| print("Identifying active years...")
|
| years_df = duckdb.query(f"""
|
| SELECT DISTINCT extract(year from time) as yr
|
| FROM read_parquet({files_sql})
|
| WHERE time >= '{start_date}'
|
| ORDER BY yr
|
| """).df()
|
| active_years = years_df['yr'].dropna().astype(int).tolist()
|
|
|
| saved_shards = []
|
|
|
|
|
| for year in active_years:
|
| print(f"\n--- Processing Shard: {year} ---")
|
|
|
|
|
| query = f"""
|
| SELECT * FROM read_parquet({files_sql})
|
| WHERE extract(year from time) = {year}
|
| AND time >= '{start_date}'
|
| ORDER BY time ASC
|
| """
|
|
|
| master_table = duckdb.query(query).arrow()
|
| if hasattr(master_table, 'read_all'):
|
| master_table = master_table.read_all()
|
|
|
| num_rows = master_table.num_rows
|
| if num_rows == 0:
|
| print(f" -> No valid events found for {year} after {start_date}. Skipping.")
|
| continue
|
|
|
| print(f" -> Mapping {num_rows:,} events...")
|
| df_ids = master_table.select(['src', 'dst']).to_pandas()
|
| src_idx_array = df_ids['src'].map(src_map).values
|
| dst_idx_array = df_ids['dst'].map(dst_map).values
|
| del df_ids
|
|
|
|
|
| src_tensor = torch.from_numpy(src_idx_array).to(torch.long)
|
| dst_tensor = torch.from_numpy(dst_idx_array).to(torch.long)
|
| y_tensor = torch.from_numpy(master_table['y'].to_numpy()).to(torch.long)
|
| event_type_tensor = torch.from_numpy(master_table['event_type'].to_numpy()).to(torch.long)
|
|
|
| time_array = master_table['time'].to_numpy().astype('datetime64[s]').astype(np.int64)
|
| t_tensor = torch.from_numpy(time_array).to(torch.long)
|
|
|
|
|
| base_cols = ['src', 'dst', 'time', 'y', 'event_type']
|
| msg_cols = [c for c in master_table.column_names if c not in base_cols]
|
|
|
| msg_tensor = torch.empty((num_rows, len(msg_cols)), dtype=torch.float)
|
| for i, col in enumerate(msg_cols):
|
| arr = master_table[col].combine_chunks().to_numpy(zero_copy_only=False)
|
| msg_tensor[:, i] = torch.from_numpy(arr)
|
| del arr
|
|
|
|
|
| data = TemporalData(
|
| src=src_tensor,
|
| dst=dst_tensor,
|
| t=t_tensor,
|
| msg=msg_tensor,
|
| y=y_tensor
|
| )
|
| data.event_type = event_type_tensor
|
|
|
|
|
| is_sorted = torch.all(t_tensor[1:] >= t_tensor[:-1]).item()
|
| assert is_sorted, f"[{year}] Temporal leak detected: Events are not strictly chronological!"
|
|
|
|
|
| shard_path = os.path.join(out_dir, f"hillstreet_temporal_graph_{year}.pt")
|
| torch.save(data, shard_path)
|
| saved_shards.append(shard_path)
|
| print(f" -> Shard saved successfully: {shard_path}")
|
|
|
|
|
| del master_table, src_tensor, dst_tensor, y_tensor, event_type_tensor, t_tensor, msg_tensor, data
|
| gc.collect()
|
|
|
| print("\n==================================================")
|
| print(f"PHASE 4 COMPLETE: Generated {len(saved_shards)} annual shards.")
|
| print("==================================================\n")
|
|
|
| return saved_shards
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| if __name__ == "__main__":
|
|
|
| EDGE_DIR = CONFIG["EDGE_OUT_DIR"]
|
| os.makedirs(EDGE_DIR, exist_ok=True)
|
|
|
|
|
| REQUIRED_EDGES = []
|
| if CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get("trades", True): REQUIRED_EDGES.append("edges_trades.parquet")
|
| if CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get("lobbying", True): REQUIRED_EDGES.append("edges_lobbying.parquet")
|
| if CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get("camp_fin", True): REQUIRED_EDGES.append("edges_camp_fin.parquet")
|
| if CONFIG["INCLUDE_EDGES"].get("geo", True): REQUIRED_EDGES.append("edges_geo.parquet")
|
|
|
|
|
| phase2_done = all(os.path.exists(os.path.join(EDGE_DIR, f)) for f in REQUIRED_EDGES) and len(REQUIRED_EDGES) > 0
|
|
|
| if phase2_done:
|
| print(f" -> Found existing edge parquets in {EDGE_DIR}. Skipping Phases 1 & 2.")
|
| schema = pq.read_schema(os.path.join(EDGE_DIR, REQUIRED_EDGES[0]))
|
| base_cols = ['src', 'dst', 'time', 'y', 'event_type']
|
| all_msg_cols = [c for c in schema.names if c not in base_cols]
|
| else:
|
| df_trades, df_lobbying, df_camp_fin, df_geo, cw_2012, cw_2017, cw_cat = load_and_standardize_events()
|
| EDGE_DIR, all_msg_cols = broadcast_and_pad_edges(df_trades, df_lobbying, df_camp_fin, df_geo, cw_cat)
|
|
|
|
|
| pol_feat_path, comp_feat_path = process_node_features()
|
|
|
|
|
| shards_generated = generate_hillstreet_dataset(
|
| start_date=CONFIG["START_DATE"],
|
| )
|
|
|
| print(f"Successfully generated the following shards:\n{shards_generated}") |