rarebench-br-trajectory / baselines.json
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RareBench-BR Trajectory v2 — first autocorrelation-immune rare-disease trajectory benchmark. 5 tasks, 44k patients, baselines (repeat-last oracle fails at 12.4%, bigram bar 64.4%).
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{
"T1_next_proc_transition": {
"test": {
"n": 6174,
"freq_top1": [
0.2694,
0.2582,
0.2802
],
"freq_top5": [
0.6806,
0.6689,
0.6921
],
"repeat_last_top1": [
0.1237,
0.1155,
0.1325
],
"bigram_top1": [
0.6437,
0.6317,
0.656
],
"bigram_top5": [
0.9598,
0.9551,
0.9645
]
},
"ext_test": {
"n": 4,
"freq_top1": [
0.0,
0.0,
0.0
],
"freq_top5": [
0.75,
0.25,
1.0
],
"repeat_last_top1": [
0.75,
0.25,
1.0
],
"bigram_top1": [
0.75,
0.25,
1.0
],
"bigram_top5": [
1.0,
1.0,
1.0
]
}
},
"T2_will_change": {
"test": {
"n": 12348,
"majority_acc": [
0.5,
0.4914,
0.5089
],
"always_continue_acc": [
0.5,
0.4908,
0.5085
]
},
"ext_test": {
"n": 8,
"majority_acc": [
0.5,
0.125,
0.875
],
"always_continue_acc": [
0.5,
0.125,
0.875
]
}
},
"T3_new_onset": {
"test": {
"n": 1591,
"freq_top1": [
0.1747,
0.1565,
0.1936
],
"freq_top5": [
0.5789,
0.555,
0.6034
]
},
"ext_test": {
"n": 1,
"freq_top1": [
0.0,
0.0,
0.0
],
"freq_top5": [
0.0,
0.0,
0.0
]
}
},
"T4_discontinuation": {
"test": {
"n": 1214,
"majority_acc": [
0.5,
0.4736,
0.528
]
},
"ext_test": {
"n": 6,
"majority_acc": [
0.5,
0.1667,
0.8333
]
}
}
}