diff --git "a/7770_MSFT.json" "b/7770_MSFT.json"
new file mode 100644--- /dev/null
+++ "b/7770_MSFT.json"
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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21733, 38288, 30227, 47425, 16635, 73061, 30603, 46285, 51789, 30602, 31815, 41347, 54652, 173061, 162045]], "text": {"content": "If I Could Own Only One Stock, This Would Be It\nBy newsfeedback@fool.com (Billy Duberstein)\nPublished on: 2021-06-01T10:15:00Z\n\nFor those new to investing, this would also be my pick as your first core holding.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nWhile diversification is a good way to limit risk in your portfolio, there's also the risk of being overly diversified, or diluting one's returns by allocating too much to your 50th-best idea and not enough to your best. Even Warren Buffett has advocated that active investors who own individual stocks might benefit from a \"punch card\" philosophy, in which an investor only has 20 investments to make in a lifetime, and no more.\nWhile that may be a bit extreme, it can be helpful to ask, \"If I only had to own one stock for the next 10 years, what would it be?\" Consider the qualities you would look for: defensive, recession-resistant businesses; wide economic moats, a long growth runway, and excellent management, just to name a few.\nIf only one or a handful of names come to mind, Foolish investors might wish to concentrate more of their portfolios in those stocks, and less in more-speculative stocks or alternative assets.\nAnd if I had to pick just one stock to recommend, especially for risk-off beginners, one company sticks out above the rest.\nMicrosoft is building a next-generation work collaboration platform. Image source: Getty Images.\nAmong high-quality growth stocks, Microsoft (MSFT -1.68%) has some of the most superior defensive and offensive characteristics I've ever encountered in any stock -- and all in one company. That makes it an excellent investment today, tomorrow, and for the next decade.\nIn terms of Microsoft's defensive characteristics, consider this: It's one of two companies with a higher credit rating than the U.S. government! That's right, Microsoft is one of two companies with a AAA rating from S&P Global\u00a0(Johnson & Johnson\u00a0being the other). Meanwhile, the U.S. government was downgraded to AA+ by S&P in 2011 following the debt ceiling standoff.\nMicrosoft's sterling financial position is bolstered by two main characteristics: a fortress balance sheet along with several highly profitable, wide-moat, competitively advantaged businesses.\nMicrosoft is currently sitting on a huge $125 billion in cash, against just $58 billion in debt, and it's generating very strong cash flow every quarter. Last quarter, it added another $17 billion in free cash flow, some of which it reinvested in acquisitions, some in share repurchases, and some in paying its growing dividend.\nThat financial cushion gives the company ballast in case of economic downturns. In fact, if a downturn does happen, that cash can be deployed to scoop up other companies on the cheap, or to buy back more of its own stock, just as it was able to repurchase shares during the COVID-19 downturn.\nPerhaps more important than the balance sheet, virtually all of Microsoft's various business lines have high competitive advantages versus competitors and are \"sticky\" for customers, helping to fend off competition and grow profits.\nMicrosoft's older products, such as the original Windows operating system and its Office software suite, are deeply embedded in the technology industry and business in general. These products therefore benefit from powerful network effects, perhaps the most powerful competitive advantage around. This happens when a product or service gets an early lead and becomes more valuable as it grows.\nIn other words, everyone gets trained on PowerPoint and Excel because this software is now the agreed-upon standard across the business world. Software vendors develop for the Windows operating system because it is an industry standard. There have even been open-source free alternatives to Office over the years, yet Microsoft's Office Suite continues to grow by double-digit rates.\nEven its newer segments enjoy network effects as well, including LinkedIn, the leading social network for business, and its Xbox gaming platform. Like all social networks, LinkedIn benefits from them (after all, they are called network effects), and Xbox benefits as one of only three major video game platforms. Video game software developers must standardize on one or more major platforms, so there isn't room for tons of different gaming platforms.\nMicrosoft's collaboration tools are growing fast. Image source: Getty Images.\nThe story gets even better with Microsoft's high-growth enterprise software and cloud infrastructure platforms, which benefit, respectively, from high switching costs and economies of scale.\nDynamics is Microsoft's hybrid enterprise resource planning (ERP) and customer relationship management (CRM) software suite. When an organization begins using a piece of software, it's a big deal to move employees off a system and onto another one, then reacquaint an entire workforce on a new system. So all subscription-based enterprise software companies benefit from high switching costs, especially ERP and CRM suites that form the backbone of how a business functions.\nBut perhaps the star of the show is Microsoft's Azure cloud platform. Although transformation to the cloud has been going on for some time, many think we are still in the early innings of the move, as businesses of all sizes transfer most of their storage and compute functions from their own data centers to more flexible third-party cloud data centers managed by giants like Microsoft.\nWhile Amazon\u00a0was the pioneer of enterprise cloud computing and is currently the biggest platform, Microsoft is in a very strong second place, and it's taking market share. Google is also making an effort. Yet outside of these three companies, there likely won't be any other substantial cloud infrastructure platforms outside of China. Cloud infrastructure takes a massive amount of capital and technological expertise to run, and only a handful of companies have the wherewithal to compete. Thus, all cloud infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) platforms benefit from economies of scale, forming an oligopoly (when an industry only has a handful of competitors).\nWhen you look at Microsoft's diversified business lines, basically all have deep competitive advantages, either from network effects, high switching costs, or economies of scale -- or a combination thereof. It's an extremely formidable set of assets.\nNot only does Microsoft have highly defensible positions in each of its end-markets, but those markets themselves also are growing rapidly. Under Satya Nadella, who took over as CEO in 2014, Microsoft is taking market share from competitors on top of these strong industry tailwinds. This combination should fuel strong growth.\nThis can be seen especially in Azure cloud and Dynamics 365. In 2020, the IaaS market grew 33.9%, but Microsoft Azure is taking market share and growing at higher rates; last quarter, Azure grew a whopping 50%. It also won the $10 billion JEDI contract from the Department of Defense two years ago against stiff competition from Amazon (though Amazon is challenging the contract, alleging political interference). Tech research firm Gartner projects the good times to continue with IaaS market growth of 38.5% in 2021 and 26% in 2022, with strength through the rest of the decade.\nNot to be outdone, Dynamics 365 surged 45% last quarter, in what Nadella called a breakthrough quarter for that product. Apparently, Dynamic's unified, integrated ERP/CRM service is catching on with businesses, likely due to its full-stack integrations with big data and intelligence offerings, like the Cosmos database, Azure Synapse data warehouse, and Microsoft's Power BI data analytics platform. Dynamics 365's ability to integrate all of these systems in a way that allows businesses to make sense of all their data and automate these back-end processes is proving valuable, and legacy vendors in ERP or CRM might struggle to match it.\nThis is so exciting because Microsoft only has a single-digit market share in the highly fragmented CRM market and a low double-digit share of the similarly fragmented ERP market, so the growth runway for Dynamics could be as big as it is for Azure.\nThen there's Teams, Microsoft's unified platform for employee chat and video. This has been a massive success, and on the recent conference call, Nadella noted there are now 145 million Teams users, up about 100% relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMicrosoft is now combining Teams, Dynamics, and Azure into what it calls its Power Platform, which integrates and automates virtually all business processes through the various combinations of Microsoft tools. Customers seem to love the new capabilities: In the most recently reported quarter, Power Platform users were up 97% to 16 million.\nThis next-gen cloud-based enterprise intelligence and automation platform should be the star of the show, but even older Microsoft products should grow this decade. The Office suite is still growing by double digits, Windows-based laptops and Surface PCs/tablets should benefit from work-from-home trends, and the video game market is growing faster than GDP at a projected 7.2% compound annual rate from 2019 to 2023, according to game and esports data firm Newzoo.\nMicrosoft weaves big data and AI into all its productivity tools. Image source: Getty Images.\nUnder Nadella, Microsoft has not only organically grown this next-gen business intelligence platform, but has also made a number of consequential acquisitions, including Minecraft in 2014, LinkedIn in 2016, code depository GitHub in 2018, video game studio ZeniMax Media in 2020, and artificial-intelligence-based healthcare company Nuance Communications (NASDAQ: NUAN) this year.\nWhen you consider that Microsoft has been allowed to make all these acquisitions, it's a huge advantage over its FAANG rivals, all of which are now under the spotlight of antitrust regulators. Microsoft has already been through its big antitrust suit 20 years ago, and is perhaps the only large U.S.-based internet giant with the ability to make consequential acquisitions today without much interference.\nToday, Microsoft trades at roughly a 30 forward P/E ratio, or a 3.3% earnings yield, and pays a 0.9% dividend yield, which should grow by double digits. That might not seem cheap at first glance, but consider this: That earnings yield is more than double that of the 10-year Treasury bond\u00a0-- and Microsoft has an even higher credit rating than the U.S. government!\nThat earnings yield alone should make Microsoft more attractive than so-called \"risk-free\" assets, but those earnings should also grow by leaps and bounds over the next decade. Last quarter, revenue surged 19% and margins expanded, leading to operating income growth of 31% and EPS growth of 45%.\nEPS was helped by a one-time tax benefit, but even taking the operating income as a cue, Microsoft's PEG ratio (price-to-earnings-growth ratio), one of Peter Lynch's favorite ways to value growth stocks, is under 1, which is actually considered quite cheap. And as Azure, Dynamics, LinkedIn, and its other high-growth businesses make up a greater and greater portion of the company over the next decade, I think Microsoft can maintain or possibly even accelerate these growth rates and margins as these businesses scale further.\nWhen you consider Microsoft's best-in-class defensive and offensive characteristics, there is perhaps more risk in not owning this all-star stock over the next decade than in owning it. That's why it's the first core holding I'd recommend for new investors.\nJohn Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Teresa Kersten, an employee of LinkedIn, a Microsoft subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Billy Duberstein owns shares of Alphabet (C shares), Amazon, and Microsoft and has the following options: short June 2021 $1,320 puts on Alphabet (C shares), short June 2021 $190 puts on Microsoft, and short June 2021 $200 puts on Microsoft. His clients may own shares of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Amazon, Microsoft, and Zoom Video Communications. The Motley Fool recommends Gartner and Johnson & Johnson and recommends the following options: long January 2022 $1,920 calls on Amazon and short January 2022 $1,940 calls on Amazon. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.\nMarket-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.\nCalculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 11/17/2023.\nCalculated by Time-Weighted Return since 2002. Volatility profiles based on trailing-three-year calculations of the standard deviation of service investment returns.\n\nSource: The Motley Fool\n", "timestamp_ms": 1622542500000, "published_utc": "2021-06-01T10:15:00Z", "article_url": "https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/01/if-i-could-only-own-one-stock-this-would-be-it/?source=iedfolrf0000001", "label_type": ["[2][c] Stock Recommendations"], "label_time": ["[3][a] Short-Term Outlook (Next 3\u20136 months)"], "label_sentiment": ["[1][a] Bullish"]}, "trend": {"input_percentage_change": -0.22507169214872075, "input_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", "output_percentage_change": -0.9544333388554236, "output_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", "overall_percentage_change": -1.7082389412185546, "overall_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%"}, "technical": {"in_sma_10": [251.61, 251.685, 251.66666666666666, 251.5275, 251.401, 251.41750000000002, 251.42785714285716, 251.43687500000001, 251.42111111111112, 251.404, 251.34649999999996, 251.2905, 251.24450000000002, 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\ No newline at end of file