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(JPM) is a Trending Stock\nBy Zacks Equity Research\nPublished on: 2023-06-27T13:00:11Z\n\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nJPM Quick QuoteJPM\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM Quick QuoteJPM - Free Report) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.\nShares of this company have returned +1.6% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.1% change. The Zacks Banks - Major Regional industry, to which JPMorgan Chase & Co. belongs, has gained 1.2% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?\nAlthough media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.\nRevisions to Earnings Estimates\nHere at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock.\nOur analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. is expected to post earnings of $3.64 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +31.9%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0.8%.\nThe consensus earnings estimate of $14.43 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +19.4%. This estimate has changed +0.5% over the last 30 days.\nFor the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $13.90 indicates a change of -3.7% from what JPMorgan Chase & Co. is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +0.3%.\nWith an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for JPMorgan Chase & Co.\nThe chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:\n12 Month EPS\nRevenue Growth Forecast\nEven though a company's earnings growth is arguably the best indicator of its financial health, nothing much happens if it cannot raise its revenues. It's almost impossible for a company to grow its earnings without growing its revenue for long periods. Therefore, knowing a company's potential revenue growth is crucial.\nFor JPMorgan Chase & Co. the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $36.9 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +20.2%. For the current and next fiscal years, $148.02 billion and $145.17 billion estimates indicate +15% and -1.9% changes, respectively.\nLast Reported Results and Surprise History\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. reported revenues of $38.35 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +24.9%. EPS of $4.10 for the same period compares with $2.63 a year ago.\nCompared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $35.19 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +8.98%. The EPS surprise was +20.23%.\nOver the last four quarters, JPMorgan Chase & Co. surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times. The company topped consensus revenue estimates three times over this period.\nValuation\nWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.\nComparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.\nThe Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. is graded F on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.\nBottom Line\nThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about JPMorgan Chase & Co. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today - it's really free!\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n", "timestamp_ms": 1687870811000, "published_utc": "2023-06-27T13:00:11Z", "article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2113510/here-is-what-to-know-beyond-why-jpmorgan-chase-co-jpm-is-a-trending-stock", "label_type": ["[1][c] Company-Specific News", "[2][a] Fundamental Analysis", "[2][c] Stock Recommendations"], "label_time": ["[1][a] Short-Term Retrospective", "[2][a] Real-Time Market Developments", "[3][a] Short-Term Outlook"], "label_sentiment": ["[1][b] Growth-Oriented"]}, "trend": {"input_percentage_change": -1.5195007172879877, "input_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", "output_percentage_change": -0.4334422078248136, "output_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", "overall_percentage_change": -2.485820320705841, "overall_bin_label": "-2% ~ -4%"}, "technical": {"in_sma_10": 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