Comprehensive model card with full results and documentation
Browse files
README.md
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- time-series
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- llm-reprogramming
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- gpt2
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datasets:
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- petchthwr/ATFMTraj
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pipeline_tag: time-series-forecasting
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---
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# LLM4AirTrack: LLM-Driven Aircraft Trajectory Prediction
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## Architecture
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```
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### Key Components
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## Training
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- **Source**:
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## Results
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## Usage
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```python
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import torch
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cfg = json.load(f)
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model = LLM4AirTrack(
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context_len=cfg["context_len"],
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pred_len=cfg["pred_len"],
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n_classes=cfg["n_classes"],
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)
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state = torch.load(
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model.load_state_dict(state, strict=False)
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model.eval()
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```
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## Downstream Tasks
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## References
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- time-series
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- llm-reprogramming
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- gpt2
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- air-traffic-management
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- spatiotemporal
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datasets:
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- petchthwr/ATFMTraj
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pipeline_tag: time-series-forecasting
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---
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# LLM4AirTrack: LLM-Driven Multi-Feature Fusion for Aircraft Trajectory Prediction
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## Overview
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**LLM4AirTrack** adapts the [LLM4STP](https://github.com/Joker-hang/LLM4STP) (Large Language Model for Ship Trajectory Prediction) framework from maritime AIS to aviation ADS-B domain. The core insight is that pre-trained LLMs encode powerful sequential pattern recognition that transfers to spatiotemporal trajectory data through lightweight reprogramming β without full fine-tuning.
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The framework uses a **frozen GPT-2 backbone** with trainable adapter modules (~2.4% of total parameters) to predict future aircraft positions and classify flight routes/procedures.
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## Architecture
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```
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βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
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β LLM4AirTrack Framework β
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β β
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β ADS-B Features (9-dim: xyz + direction + polar) β
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β β β
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β βΌ β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β RevIN Normalizer β Instance normalization per feature β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β β
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β βΌ β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β Patch Tokenizer β Overlapping temporal patches (8Γ9=72) β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β β
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β βΌ β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ βββββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β Patch Embedder β β Text Prototype Bank β β
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β β (72 β 768) β β (256 learned protos) β β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ βββββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β β β
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β βΌ βΌ β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β Cross-Attention Reprogrammer β β
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β β Q=patches, K=V=prototypes (8-head) β β
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β β Maps trajectory β LLM text space β β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β β
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β βΌ β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β Prompt-as-Prefix β Aviation context prompt prepended β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β β
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β βΌ β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β Frozen GPT-2 β 124M params frozen, language knowledge β
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β ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β β
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β ββββββββββββββββοΏ½οΏ½οΏ½βββ β
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β βΌ βΌ β
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β ββββββββββββ ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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β β Traj Headβ β Classification β β
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β β (xyz) β β Head (route/rwy) β β
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β ββββββββββββ ββββββββββββββββββββ β
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βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
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```
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### Key Components
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1. **9-Dimensional Kinematic Features** (from [ATSCC](https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.20028)):
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- Position: (x, y, z) in East-North-Up coordinates
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- Directional unit vectors: (ux, uy, uz) β velocity direction
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- Polar components: (r, sin ΞΈ, cos ΞΈ) β angular position
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2. **Patch Tokenization**: Overlapping temporal windows (patch_len=8, stride=4) β 14 patches from 60-step context
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3. **Cross-Attention Reprogramming** (from [Time-LLM](https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.01728)): 256 learned text prototypes serve as a "translation dictionary" between trajectory and language domains
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4. **Frozen GPT-2 Backbone**: 124M frozen parameters preserve pre-trained language understanding while keeping training efficient
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5. **Dual Output Heads**:
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- **Trajectory Prediction**: Future (x, y, z) positions via Smooth L1 loss
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- **Route Classification**: STAR/IAF/Runway procedure via Cross-Entropy loss
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### Parameter Efficiency
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| Component | Parameters | Trainable |
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|-----------|-----------|-----------|
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| GPT-2 Backbone | 124,439,808 | 0 (frozen) |
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| Patch Embedder | 57,600 | 57,600 |
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| Cross-Attention Reprogrammer | 2,560,512 | 2,560,512 |
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| Trajectory Head | 329,946 | 329,946 |
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| Classification Head | 150,543 | 150,543 |
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| **Total** | **127,543,059** | **3,103,251 (2.43%)** |
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## Training
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### Dataset
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- **Source**: [ATFMTraj](https://huggingface.co/datasets/petchthwr/ATFMTraj) β RKSIa (Incheon International Airport arrivals)
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- **Origin**: OpenSky ADS-B recordings, 2018-2023
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- **Preprocessing**: Raw lat/lon/alt β ENU coordinates β normalized to [-1,1] by r_max=120km
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- **Trajectories**: 8,091 training + 8,092 test (16,183 total flights)
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- **Windows**: 282,191 training + 20,000 evaluation sliding windows
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- **Context**: 60 timesteps (1-second intervals = 1 minute of flight)
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- **Prediction**: 30 timesteps ahead (30 seconds)
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- **Classes**: 39 route labels (STAR Γ IAF Γ Runway combinations)
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### Hyperparameters
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| Parameter | Value |
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|-----------|-------|
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| LLM Backbone | `openai-community/gpt2` (768 hidden, 12 layers) |
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| Optimizer | AdamW (Ξ²β=0.9, Ξ²β=0.999) |
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| Learning Rate | 5Γ10β»β΄ with cosine annealing warm restarts |
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| Weight Decay | 1Γ10β»β΅ |
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| Batch Size | 128 |
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| Epochs | 5 |
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| Gradient Clipping | max_norm=1.0 |
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| Multi-task Weight | Ξ»_traj=1.0, Ξ»_cls=0.1 |
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| Loss (trajectory) | Smooth L1 (Huber) |
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| Loss (classification) | Cross-Entropy |
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| Hardware | NVIDIA T4 (16GB VRAM, used ~1.4GB) |
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## Results
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| Epoch | Train Loss | ADE | FDE | Route Accuracy |
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| 1 | 0.2335 | 0.01500 | 0.02047 | 34.7% |
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| 2 | 0.2110 | 0.01200 | 0.01635 | 36.1% |
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| **3** | **0.2033** | **0.01026** | **0.01426** | **36.3%** |
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| 4 | 0.2037 | 0.01345 | 0.01858 | 34.9% |
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| 5 | 0.2003 | 0.01518 | 0.02043 | 36.5% |
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**Best model (epoch 3)**:
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- **ADE: 0.01026** (normalized ENU scale; with r_max=120km β ~1.23km average displacement)
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- **FDE: 0.01426** (~1.71km final displacement error at 30s horizon)
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- **Route Classification: 36.3%** accuracy over 39 classes (14Γ above random baseline of 2.6%)
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- **RMSE**: x=0.00957, y=0.00942, z=0.00072 (altitude prediction is very accurate)
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## Usage
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### Quick Inference
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```python
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import torch
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import json
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from huggingface_hub import hf_hub_download
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# Download model files
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config_path = hf_hub_download("Jdice27/LLM4AirTrack", "config.json")
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weights_path = hf_hub_download("Jdice27/LLM4AirTrack", "adapter_weights.pt")
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# You can use the self-contained train_full.py or the modular llm4airtrack package
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from llm4airtrack.model import LLM4AirTrack
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with open(config_path) as f:
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cfg = json.load(f)
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model = LLM4AirTrack(
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context_len=cfg["context_len"],
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pred_len=cfg["pred_len"],
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n_classes=cfg["n_classes"],
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n_prototypes=cfg["n_prototypes"],
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patch_len=cfg["patch_len"],
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patch_stride=cfg["patch_stride"],
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)
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state = torch.load(weights_path, map_location="cpu")
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model.load_state_dict(state, strict=False)
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model.eval()
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# Input: 60 timesteps Γ 9 kinematic features
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# Features: [x, y, z, ux, uy, uz, r, sin_ΞΈ, cos_ΞΈ] in ENU coordinates
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context = torch.randn(1, 60, 9) # Replace with real data
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outputs = model(context, task="both")
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future_xyz = outputs["pred_trajectory"] # (1, 30, 3) β future ENU positions
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route_probs = outputs["pred_class"].softmax(-1) # (1, 39) β route probabilities
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```
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### Data Pipeline
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```python
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from llm4airtrack.data import download_atfm_dataset, load_atfm_raw, compute_kinematic_features
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# Download and load ATFMTraj
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download_atfm_dataset("RKSIa", cache_dir="./data")
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data, labels = load_atfm_raw("RKSIa", "TEST", "./data")
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# Get kinematic features for a single trajectory
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traj = data[0] # (T_max, 3) ENU coordinates
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valid = ~np.isnan(traj[:, 0])
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features = compute_kinematic_features(traj[valid]) # (T, 9)
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```
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## Downstream Tasks
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The model produces rich trajectory representations suitable for:
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| Task | How to Use |
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| **Track Activity Classification** | Use `pred_class` output β identifies STAR/IAF/runway procedure |
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| **Trajectory Prediction** | Use `pred_trajectory` β 30-second position forecast |
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| **Anomaly Detection** | Compare `pred_trajectory` vs actual β large deviations flag anomalies |
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| **Conflict Detection** | Run on multiple aircraft, check predicted trajectory intersections |
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| **ETA Prediction** | Extract LLM hidden states as features for regression head |
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| **Transfer to New Airports** | Fine-tune adapter weights on new airport data (ESSA, LSZH included in ATFMTraj) |
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## Design Decisions & Adaptation from Maritime (LLM4STP) to Aviation (ADS-B)
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| Aspect | LLM4STP (Maritime AIS) | LLM4AirTrack (Aviation ADS-B) |
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|--------|----------------------|-------------------------------|
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| Dimensionality | 2D (lat, lon) | **3D (lat, lon, altitude β ENU xyz)** |
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| Features | SOG, COG, ROT | Ground speed β directional vectors; vertical rate β uz |
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| Update Rate | ~10s intervals | **1s intervals** (higher resolution) |
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| Route Structure | Free navigation | **Defined STARs/SIDs** (structured procedures) |
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| Context | Port/strait proximity | Airport/procedure context (encoded in prompt) |
|
| 224 |
+
| Phase Segmentation | Anchoring/transiting | Climb/cruise/descent/approach |
|
| 225 |
+
| Classification | Vessel type | **Route procedure (39 STARΓIAFΓRWY classes)** |
|
| 226 |
+
| Spatial Encoding | Lat/lon directly | **ENU Cartesian + polar components** |
|
| 227 |
|
| 228 |
## References
|
| 229 |
|
| 230 |
+
### Foundational Work
|
| 231 |
+
- **LLM4STP**: [GitHub](https://github.com/Joker-hang/LLM4STP) β Original maritime trajectory prediction framework
|
| 232 |
+
- **Time-LLM**: [arXiv 2310.01728](https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.01728) β LLM reprogramming for time series (ICLR 2024)
|
| 233 |
+
|
| 234 |
+
### Aviation Domain
|
| 235 |
+
- **ATSCC**: [arXiv 2407.20028](https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.20028) β Self-supervised trajectory representation, 9-dim feature engineering
|
| 236 |
+
- **LLM4Delay**: [arXiv 2510.23636](https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.23636) β Cross-modality LLM for aviation delay prediction
|
| 237 |
+
- **ATFMTraj**: [HuggingFace Dataset](https://huggingface.co/datasets/petchthwr/ATFMTraj) β Aircraft trajectory classification data
|
| 238 |
+
|
| 239 |
+
### Related Approaches
|
| 240 |
+
- **Flight2Vec**: [arXiv 2412.16581](https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.16581) β Behavior-adaptive patching for flight trajectories
|
| 241 |
+
- **H3+CLM**: [arXiv 2405.09596](https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.09596) β Spatial tokenization for trajectory prediction
|
| 242 |
+
- **SKETCH**: [arXiv 2601.18537](https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.18537) β Semantic key-point conditioning
|
| 243 |
+
|
| 244 |
+
## Citation
|
| 245 |
+
|
| 246 |
+
```bibtex
|
| 247 |
+
@misc{llm4airtrack2026,
|
| 248 |
+
title={LLM4AirTrack: LLM-Driven Multi-Feature Fusion for Aircraft Trajectory Prediction},
|
| 249 |
+
author={Jdice27},
|
| 250 |
+
year={2026},
|
| 251 |
+
url={https://huggingface.co/Jdice27/LLM4AirTrack},
|
| 252 |
+
note={Adapted from LLM4STP for aviation ADS-B domain}
|
| 253 |
+
}
|
| 254 |
+
```
|