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README.md
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---
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license: mit
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| 1 |
+
---
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license: mit
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tags:
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- forcast
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- weather
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- lstm
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- classification
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- regression
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- weather-forcast
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- multitask
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- harley-ml
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---
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# Hweh-6M
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Hweh-6M is a **6 million parameter LSTM** trained to predict the next **12 hours of weather**, including temperature, humidity, pressure, precipitation, and more, using the previous **72 hours of weather context**.
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We recommend using this model as a backup to a weather API or for offline forecasting if internet access is unavailable.
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We want to give a shoutout to [**Open-Meteo**](https://open-meteo.com/) for providing a **free-to-use** weather-forcasting API.
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---
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[unfinished]
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# Inference
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```python
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#!/usr/bin/env python3
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from __future__ import annotations
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import json
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import time
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from pathlib import Path
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from typing import Any
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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import requests
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import torch
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from transformers import AutoConfig, AutoModel
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from zoneinfo import ZoneInfo
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# ----------------------------
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# Change these values here
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# ----------------------------
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MODEL_ID = r"Harley-ml/Hweh-6M" # HF repo id or local path
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CITY = "Seattle"
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SEQUENCE_META_PATH = "Harley-ml/Hweh-6M/weather_sequences.metadata.json"
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CONTEXT_HOURS = 72
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FORECAST_HOURS = 12
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DEVICE = None # "cpu", "cuda", "cuda:0", or None for auto
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API_BASE_URL = "https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast"
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MAX_RETRIES = 6
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REQUEST_TIMEOUT_S = 60
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HOURLY_VARS = [
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"temperature_2m",
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"relative_humidity_2m",
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"apparent_temperature",
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"precipitation",
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"weather_code",
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"pressure_msl",
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"surface_pressure",
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"cloud_cover",
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"visibility",
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"wind_speed_10m",
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"wind_direction_10m",
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]
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WEATHER_CODE_BUCKETS = 7
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TEMP_SCALE = 50.0
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HUMIDITY_SCALE = 100.0
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WIND_SCALE = 100.0
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# ----------------------------
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# City metadata (82 locations)
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# ----------------------------
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CITY_SPECS: dict[str, dict[str, Any]] = {
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"Seattle": {"location_id": "1", "latitude": 47.6062, "longitude": -122.3321, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 56},
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"Portland": {"location_id": "2", "latitude": 45.5152, "longitude": -122.6784, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 15},
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"San Francisco": {"location_id": "3", "latitude": 37.7749, "longitude": -122.4194, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "foggy_mediterranean", "elevation": 16},
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"Los Angeles": {"location_id": "4", "latitude": 34.0522, "longitude": -118.2437, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "sunny_mediterranean", "elevation": 71},
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"Denver": {"location_id": "5", "latitude": 39.7392, "longitude": -104.9903, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "semi_arid_highland", "elevation": 1609},
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"Chicago": {"location_id": "6", "latitude": 41.8781, "longitude": -87.6298, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "humid_continental", "elevation": 181},
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"Dallas": {"location_id": "7", "latitude": 32.7767, "longitude": -96.7970, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "hot_subhumid", "elevation": 131},
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"Atlanta": {"location_id": "8", "latitude": 33.7490, "longitude": -84.3880, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "humid_subtropical", "elevation": 320},
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"New York": {"location_id": "9", "latitude": 40.7128, "longitude": -74.0060, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "humid_subtropical", "elevation": 10},
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"Miami": {"location_id": "10", "latitude": 25.7617, "longitude": -80.1918, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 2},
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"Phoenix": {"location_id": "11", "latitude": 33.4484, "longitude": -112.0740, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "hot_arid", "elevation": 331},
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"Salt Lake City": {"location_id": "12", "latitude": 40.7608, "longitude": -111.8910, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "semi_arid", "elevation": 1288},
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"Anchorage": {"location_id": "13", "latitude": 61.2181, "longitude": -149.9003, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "subarctic_snowy", "elevation": 31},
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| 93 |
+
"Minneapolis": {"location_id": "14", "latitude": 44.9778, "longitude": -93.2650, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "cold_snowy", "elevation": 264},
|
| 94 |
+
"Toronto": {"location_id": "15", "latitude": 43.6532, "longitude": -79.3832, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "humid_continental", "elevation": 76},
|
| 95 |
+
"Montreal": {"location_id": "16", "latitude": 45.5017, "longitude": -73.5673, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "cold_snowy", "elevation": 233},
|
| 96 |
+
"Vancouver": {"location_id": "17", "latitude": 49.2827, "longitude": -123.1207, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 70},
|
| 97 |
+
"Mexico City": {"location_id": "18", "latitude": 19.4326, "longitude": -99.1332, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "highland_subtropical", "elevation": 2240},
|
| 98 |
+
"Havana": {"location_id": "19", "latitude": 23.1136, "longitude": -82.3666, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 59},
|
| 99 |
+
"San Juan": {"location_id": "20", "latitude": 18.4655, "longitude": -66.1057, "continent": "North America", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 8},
|
| 100 |
+
|
| 101 |
+
"Lima": {"location_id": "21", "latitude": -12.0464, "longitude": -77.0428, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "coastal_arid", "elevation": 154},
|
| 102 |
+
"Santiago": {"location_id": "22", "latitude": -33.4489, "longitude": -70.6693, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "mediterranean", "elevation": 520},
|
| 103 |
+
"Buenos Aires": {"location_id": "23", "latitude": -34.6037, "longitude": -58.3816, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "humid_subtropical", "elevation": 25},
|
| 104 |
+
"Bogotá": {"location_id": "24", "latitude": 4.7110, "longitude": -74.0721, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "highland_cool", "elevation": 2640},
|
| 105 |
+
"Quito": {"location_id": "25", "latitude": -0.1807, "longitude": -78.4678, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "highland_equatorial", "elevation": 2850},
|
| 106 |
+
"Caracas": {"location_id": "26", "latitude": 10.4806, "longitude": -66.9036, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 900},
|
| 107 |
+
"Rio de Janeiro": {"location_id": "27", "latitude": -22.9068, "longitude": -43.1729, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 5},
|
| 108 |
+
"São Paulo": {"location_id": "28", "latitude": -23.5505, "longitude": -46.6333, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "humid_subtropical", "elevation": 760},
|
| 109 |
+
"La Paz": {"location_id": "29", "latitude": -16.4897, "longitude": -68.1193, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "highland_cold", "elevation": 3640},
|
| 110 |
+
"Cusco": {"location_id": "30", "latitude": -13.5319, "longitude": -71.9675, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "highland_cool", "elevation": 3399},
|
| 111 |
+
"Montevideo": {"location_id": "31", "latitude": -34.9011, "longitude": -56.1645, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 43},
|
| 112 |
+
"Asunción": {"location_id": "32", "latitude": -25.2637, "longitude": -57.5759, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "humid_subtropical", "elevation": 43},
|
| 113 |
+
"Manaus": {"location_id": "33", "latitude": -3.1190, "longitude": -60.0217, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 92},
|
| 114 |
+
"Recife": {"location_id": "34", "latitude": -8.0476, "longitude": -34.8770, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "tropical_coastal", "elevation": 4},
|
| 115 |
+
"Punta Arenas": {"location_id": "35", "latitude": -53.1638, "longitude": -70.9171, "continent": "South America", "climate_tag": "cold_windy", "elevation": 34},
|
| 116 |
+
|
| 117 |
+
"London": {"location_id": "36", "latitude": 51.5074, "longitude": -0.1278, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 11},
|
| 118 |
+
"Paris": {"location_id": "37", "latitude": 48.8566, "longitude": 2.3522, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 35},
|
| 119 |
+
"Madrid": {"location_id": "38", "latitude": 40.4168, "longitude": -3.7038, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "hot_summer_mediterranean", "elevation": 667},
|
| 120 |
+
"Rome": {"location_id": "39", "latitude": 41.9028, "longitude": 12.4964, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "hot_summer_mediterranean", "elevation": 21},
|
| 121 |
+
"Berlin": {"location_id": "40", "latitude": 52.52, "longitude": 13.4050, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "temperate_continental", "elevation": 34},
|
| 122 |
+
"Stockholm": {"location_id": "41", "latitude": 59.3293, "longitude": 18.0686, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "cold_marine", "elevation": 28},
|
| 123 |
+
"Oslo": {"location_id": "42", "latitude": 59.9139, "longitude": 10.7522, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "cold_snowy", "elevation": 23},
|
| 124 |
+
"Helsinki": {"location_id": "43", "latitude": 60.1699, "longitude": 24.9384, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "cold_snowy", "elevation": 25},
|
| 125 |
+
"Reykjavik": {"location_id": "44", "latitude": 64.1466, "longitude": -21.9426, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "cold_windy", "elevation": 12},
|
| 126 |
+
"Kyiv": {"location_id": "45", "latitude": 50.4501, "longitude": 30.5234, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "humid_continental", "elevation": 179},
|
| 127 |
+
"Lisbon": {"location_id": "46", "latitude": 38.7223, "longitude": -9.1393, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "sunny_mediterranean", "elevation": 7},
|
| 128 |
+
"Athens": {"location_id": "47", "latitude": 37.9838, "longitude": 23.7275, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "sunny_mediterranean", "elevation": 70},
|
| 129 |
+
"Zurich": {"location_id": "48", "latitude": 47.3769, "longitude": 8.5417, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "temperate_continental", "elevation": 408},
|
| 130 |
+
"Dublin": {"location_id": "49", "latitude": 53.3498, "longitude": -6.2603, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 20},
|
| 131 |
+
"Vienna": {"location_id": "50", "latitude": 48.2082, "longitude": 16.3738, "continent": "Europe", "climate_tag": "temperate_continental", "elevation": 171},
|
| 132 |
+
|
| 133 |
+
"Dubai": {"location_id": "51", "latitude": 25.2048, "longitude": 55.2708, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "hot_arid", "elevation": 16},
|
| 134 |
+
"Riyadh": {"location_id": "52", "latitude": 24.7136, "longitude": 46.6753, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "hot_arid", "elevation": 612},
|
| 135 |
+
"Delhi": {"location_id": "53", "latitude": 28.7041, "longitude": 77.1025, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "hot_semi_arid", "elevation": 216},
|
| 136 |
+
"Mumbai": {"location_id": "54", "latitude": 19.0760, "longitude": 72.8777, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 14},
|
| 137 |
+
"Bangkok": {"location_id": "55", "latitude": 13.7563, "longitude": 100.5018, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "tropical_monsoon", "elevation": 2},
|
| 138 |
+
"Singapore": {"location_id": "56", "latitude": 1.3521, "longitude": 103.8198, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 15},
|
| 139 |
+
"Tokyo": {"location_id": "57", "latitude": 35.6762, "longitude": 139.6503, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "humid_subtropical", "elevation": 40},
|
| 140 |
+
"Seoul": {"location_id": "58", "latitude": 37.5665, "longitude": 126.9780, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "humid_continental", "elevation": 38},
|
| 141 |
+
"Ulaanbaatar": {"location_id": "59", "latitude": 47.8864, "longitude": 106.9057, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "cold_steppe", "elevation": 1350},
|
| 142 |
+
"Kathmandu": {"location_id": "60", "latitude": 27.7172, "longitude": 85.3240, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "highland_subtropical", "elevation": 1400},
|
| 143 |
+
"Chiang Mai": {"location_id": "61", "latitude": 18.7883, "longitude": 98.9853, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "tropical_seasonal", "elevation": 300},
|
| 144 |
+
"Lhasa": {"location_id": "62", "latitude": 29.6520, "longitude": 91.1721, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "high_altitude_cold", "elevation": 3656},
|
| 145 |
+
"Jakarta": {"location_id": "63", "latitude": -6.2088, "longitude": 106.8456, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 8},
|
| 146 |
+
"Manila": {"location_id": "64", "latitude": 14.5995, "longitude": 120.9842, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 16},
|
| 147 |
+
"Karachi": {"location_id": "65", "latitude": 24.8607, "longitude": 67.0011, "continent": "Asia", "climate_tag": "hot_arid", "elevation": 10},
|
| 148 |
+
|
| 149 |
+
"Cairo": {"location_id": "66", "latitude": 30.0444, "longitude": 31.2357, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "hot_arid", "elevation": 23},
|
| 150 |
+
"Alexandria": {"location_id": "67", "latitude": 31.2001, "longitude": 29.9187, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "coastal_mediterranean", "elevation": 5},
|
| 151 |
+
"Casablanca": {"location_id": "68", "latitude": 33.5731, "longitude": -7.5898, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "coastal_mediterranean", "elevation": 56},
|
| 152 |
+
"Marrakech": {"location_id": "69", "latitude": 31.6295, "longitude": -7.9811, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "hot_semi_arid", "elevation": 466},
|
| 153 |
+
"Lagos": {"location_id": "70", "latitude": 6.5244, "longitude": 3.3792, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 41},
|
| 154 |
+
"Nairobi": {"location_id": "71", "latitude": -1.2921, "longitude": 36.8219, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "temperate_highland", "elevation": 1795},
|
| 155 |
+
"Addis Ababa": {"location_id": "72", "latitude": 8.9806, "longitude": 38.7578, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "temperate_highland", "elevation": 2355},
|
| 156 |
+
"Cape Town": {"location_id": "73", "latitude": -33.9249, "longitude": 18.4241, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "mediterranean", "elevation": 25},
|
| 157 |
+
"Johannesburg": {"location_id": "74", "latitude": -26.2041, "longitude": 28.0473, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "subtropical_highland", "elevation": 1753},
|
| 158 |
+
"Windhoek": {"location_id": "75", "latitude": -22.5609, "longitude": 17.0658, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "semi_arid", "elevation": 1650},
|
| 159 |
+
"Accra": {"location_id": "76", "latitude": 5.6037, "longitude": -0.1870, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "tropical_humid", "elevation": 61},
|
| 160 |
+
"Kigali": {"location_id": "77", "latitude": -1.9441, "longitude": 30.0619, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "highland_tropical", "elevation": 1567},
|
| 161 |
+
"Tunis": {"location_id": "78", "latitude": 36.8065, "longitude": 10.1815, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "mediterranean", "elevation": 4},
|
| 162 |
+
"Dakar": {"location_id": "79", "latitude": -14.7167, "longitude": -17.4677, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "hot_coastal", "elevation": 25},
|
| 163 |
+
"Mombasa": {"location_id": "80", "latitude": -4.0435, "longitude": 39.6682, "continent": "Africa", "climate_tag": "tropical_coastal", "elevation": 17},
|
| 164 |
+
|
| 165 |
+
"Sydney": {"location_id": "81", "latitude": -33.8688, "longitude": 151.2093, "continent": "Oceania", "climate_tag": "humid_subtropical", "elevation": 58},
|
| 166 |
+
"Melbourne": {"location_id": "82", "latitude": -37.8136, "longitude": 144.9631, "continent": "Oceania", "climate_tag": "temperate_oceanic", "elevation": 31},
|
| 167 |
+
}
|
| 168 |
+
|
| 169 |
+
CITY_TIMEZONES: dict[str, str] = {
|
| 170 |
+
"Seattle": "America/Los_Angeles",
|
| 171 |
+
"Portland": "America/Los_Angeles",
|
| 172 |
+
"San Francisco": "America/Los_Angeles",
|
| 173 |
+
"Los Angeles": "America/Los_Angeles",
|
| 174 |
+
"Denver": "America/Denver",
|
| 175 |
+
"Chicago": "America/Chicago",
|
| 176 |
+
"Dallas": "America/Chicago",
|
| 177 |
+
"Atlanta": "America/New_York",
|
| 178 |
+
"New York": "America/New_York",
|
| 179 |
+
"Miami": "America/New_York",
|
| 180 |
+
"Phoenix": "America/Phoenix",
|
| 181 |
+
"Salt Lake City": "America/Denver",
|
| 182 |
+
"Anchorage": "America/Anchorage",
|
| 183 |
+
"Minneapolis": "America/Chicago",
|
| 184 |
+
"Toronto": "America/Toronto",
|
| 185 |
+
"Montreal": "America/Toronto",
|
| 186 |
+
"Vancouver": "America/Vancouver",
|
| 187 |
+
"Mexico City": "America/Mexico_City",
|
| 188 |
+
"Havana": "America/Havana",
|
| 189 |
+
"San Juan": "America/Puerto_Rico",
|
| 190 |
+
"Lima": "America/Lima",
|
| 191 |
+
"Santiago": "America/Santiago",
|
| 192 |
+
"Buenos Aires": "America/Argentina/Buenos_Aires",
|
| 193 |
+
"Bogotá": "America/Bogota",
|
| 194 |
+
"Quito": "America/Guayaquil",
|
| 195 |
+
"Caracas": "America/Caracas",
|
| 196 |
+
"Rio de Janeiro": "America/Sao_Paulo",
|
| 197 |
+
"São Paulo": "America/Sao_Paulo",
|
| 198 |
+
"La Paz": "America/La_Paz",
|
| 199 |
+
"Cusco": "America/Lima",
|
| 200 |
+
"Montevideo": "America/Montevideo",
|
| 201 |
+
"Asunción": "America/Asuncion",
|
| 202 |
+
"Manaus": "America/Manaus",
|
| 203 |
+
"Recife": "America/Recife",
|
| 204 |
+
"Punta Arenas": "America/Punta_Arenas",
|
| 205 |
+
"London": "Europe/London",
|
| 206 |
+
"Paris": "Europe/Paris",
|
| 207 |
+
"Madrid": "Europe/Madrid",
|
| 208 |
+
"Rome": "Europe/Rome",
|
| 209 |
+
"Berlin": "Europe/Berlin",
|
| 210 |
+
"Stockholm": "Europe/Stockholm",
|
| 211 |
+
"Oslo": "Europe/Oslo",
|
| 212 |
+
"Helsinki": "Europe/Helsinki",
|
| 213 |
+
"Reykjavik": "Atlantic/Reykjavik",
|
| 214 |
+
"Kyiv": "Europe/Kyiv",
|
| 215 |
+
"Lisbon": "Europe/Lisbon",
|
| 216 |
+
"Athens": "Europe/Athens",
|
| 217 |
+
"Zurich": "Europe/Zurich",
|
| 218 |
+
"Dublin": "Europe/Dublin",
|
| 219 |
+
"Vienna": "Europe/Vienna",
|
| 220 |
+
"Dubai": "Asia/Dubai",
|
| 221 |
+
"Riyadh": "Asia/Riyadh",
|
| 222 |
+
"Delhi": "Asia/Kolkata",
|
| 223 |
+
"Mumbai": "Asia/Kolkata",
|
| 224 |
+
"Bangkok": "Asia/Bangkok",
|
| 225 |
+
"Singapore": "Asia/Singapore",
|
| 226 |
+
"Tokyo": "Asia/Tokyo",
|
| 227 |
+
"Seoul": "Asia/Seoul",
|
| 228 |
+
"Ulaanbaatar": "Asia/Ulaanbaatar",
|
| 229 |
+
"Kathmandu": "Asia/Kathmandu",
|
| 230 |
+
"Chiang Mai": "Asia/Bangkok",
|
| 231 |
+
"Lhasa": "Asia/Shanghai",
|
| 232 |
+
"Jakarta": "Asia/Jakarta",
|
| 233 |
+
"Manila": "Asia/Manila",
|
| 234 |
+
"Karachi": "Asia/Karachi",
|
| 235 |
+
"Cairo": "Africa/Cairo",
|
| 236 |
+
"Alexandria": "Africa/Cairo",
|
| 237 |
+
"Casablanca": "Africa/Casablanca",
|
| 238 |
+
"Marrakech": "Africa/Casablanca",
|
| 239 |
+
"Lagos": "Africa/Lagos",
|
| 240 |
+
"Nairobi": "Africa/Nairobi",
|
| 241 |
+
"Addis Ababa": "Africa/Addis_Ababa",
|
| 242 |
+
"Cape Town": "Africa/Johannesburg",
|
| 243 |
+
"Johannesburg": "Africa/Johannesburg",
|
| 244 |
+
"Windhoek": "Africa/Windhoek",
|
| 245 |
+
"Accra": "Africa/Accra",
|
| 246 |
+
"Kigali": "Africa/Kigali",
|
| 247 |
+
"Tunis": "Africa/Tunis",
|
| 248 |
+
"Dakar": "Africa/Dakar",
|
| 249 |
+
"Mombasa": "Africa/Nairobi",
|
| 250 |
+
"Sydney": "Australia/Sydney",
|
| 251 |
+
"Melbourne": "Australia/Melbourne",
|
| 252 |
+
}
|
| 253 |
+
|
| 254 |
+
# ----------------------------
|
| 255 |
+
# Helpers
|
| 256 |
+
# ----------------------------
|
| 257 |
+
def weather_code_to_bucket(code) -> int:
|
| 258 |
+
if code is None:
|
| 259 |
+
return 1
|
| 260 |
+
try:
|
| 261 |
+
if pd.isna(code):
|
| 262 |
+
return 1
|
| 263 |
+
except Exception:
|
| 264 |
+
pass
|
| 265 |
+
|
| 266 |
+
code = int(code)
|
| 267 |
+
if code == 0:
|
| 268 |
+
return 0
|
| 269 |
+
if code in (1, 2, 3):
|
| 270 |
+
return 1
|
| 271 |
+
if code in (45, 48):
|
| 272 |
+
return 2
|
| 273 |
+
if code in (51, 53, 55, 56, 57):
|
| 274 |
+
return 3
|
| 275 |
+
if code in (61, 63, 65, 66, 67, 80, 81, 82):
|
| 276 |
+
return 4
|
| 277 |
+
if code in (71, 73, 75, 77, 85, 86):
|
| 278 |
+
return 5
|
| 279 |
+
if code in (95, 96, 99):
|
| 280 |
+
return 6
|
| 281 |
+
return 1
|
| 282 |
+
|
| 283 |
+
|
| 284 |
+
def cyc(x: np.ndarray, period: float) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray]:
|
| 285 |
+
angle = 2.0 * np.pi * (x / period)
|
| 286 |
+
return np.sin(angle), np.cos(angle)
|
| 287 |
+
|
| 288 |
+
|
| 289 |
+
def request_with_backoff(session: requests.Session, url: str, params: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
|
| 290 |
+
last_exc: Exception | None = None
|
| 291 |
+
for attempt in range(MAX_RETRIES):
|
| 292 |
+
try:
|
| 293 |
+
resp = session.get(url, params=params, timeout=REQUEST_TIMEOUT_S)
|
| 294 |
+
if resp.status_code == 429:
|
| 295 |
+
retry_after = resp.headers.get("Retry-After")
|
| 296 |
+
sleep_s = float(retry_after) if retry_after else min(60.0, 2**attempt)
|
| 297 |
+
print(f"Rate limited. Sleeping {sleep_s:.1f}s and retrying.", flush=True)
|
| 298 |
+
time.sleep(sleep_s)
|
| 299 |
+
continue
|
| 300 |
+
resp.raise_for_status()
|
| 301 |
+
return resp.json()
|
| 302 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 303 |
+
last_exc = e
|
| 304 |
+
sleep_s = min(60.0, 2**attempt)
|
| 305 |
+
print(f"Request failed: {e}. Sleeping {sleep_s:.1f}s and retrying.", flush=True)
|
| 306 |
+
time.sleep(sleep_s)
|
| 307 |
+
raise RuntimeError(f"Failed after {MAX_RETRIES} retries: {params}") from last_exc
|
| 308 |
+
|
| 309 |
+
|
| 310 |
+
def load_sequence_meta(path: str) -> dict[str, Any]:
|
| 311 |
+
p = Path(path)
|
| 312 |
+
if not p.exists():
|
| 313 |
+
return {"location_to_id": {}}
|
| 314 |
+
with open(p, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f:
|
| 315 |
+
meta = json.load(f)
|
| 316 |
+
meta.setdefault("location_to_id", {})
|
| 317 |
+
return meta
|
| 318 |
+
|
| 319 |
+
|
| 320 |
+
def load_model():
|
| 321 |
+
config = AutoConfig.from_pretrained(MODEL_ID, trust_remote_code=True)
|
| 322 |
+
model = AutoModel.from_pretrained(MODEL_ID, config=config, trust_remote_code=True)
|
| 323 |
+
model.eval()
|
| 324 |
+
return model, config
|
| 325 |
+
|
| 326 |
+
|
| 327 |
+
def fetch_recent_history(city: str, context_hours: int) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 328 |
+
if city not in CITY_SPECS:
|
| 329 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Unknown city: {city}")
|
| 330 |
+
|
| 331 |
+
spec = CITY_SPECS[city]
|
| 332 |
+
session = requests.Session()
|
| 333 |
+
session.headers.update({"User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0"})
|
| 334 |
+
|
| 335 |
+
params = {
|
| 336 |
+
"latitude": spec["latitude"],
|
| 337 |
+
"longitude": spec["longitude"],
|
| 338 |
+
"hourly": ",".join(HOURLY_VARS),
|
| 339 |
+
"timezone": "UTC",
|
| 340 |
+
"temperature_unit": "celsius",
|
| 341 |
+
"wind_speed_unit": "kmh",
|
| 342 |
+
"precipitation_unit": "mm",
|
| 343 |
+
"past_hours": int(context_hours) + 2,
|
| 344 |
+
"forecast_hours": 0,
|
| 345 |
+
}
|
| 346 |
+
|
| 347 |
+
data = request_with_backoff(session, API_BASE_URL, params=params)
|
| 348 |
+
hourly = data.get("hourly", {})
|
| 349 |
+
if "time" not in hourly:
|
| 350 |
+
raise ValueError(f"No hourly data returned for {city}: {data}")
|
| 351 |
+
|
| 352 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame(hourly)
|
| 353 |
+
if df.empty:
|
| 354 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Empty hourly response for {city}.")
|
| 355 |
+
|
| 356 |
+
df["time"] = pd.to_datetime(df["time"], errors="coerce", utc=True)
|
| 357 |
+
df = df.dropna(subset=["time"]).sort_values("time").drop_duplicates(subset=["time"]).reset_index(drop=True)
|
| 358 |
+
|
| 359 |
+
needed = HOURLY_VARS
|
| 360 |
+
missing = [c for c in needed if c not in df.columns]
|
| 361 |
+
if missing:
|
| 362 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Missing hourly columns in API response: {missing}")
|
| 363 |
+
|
| 364 |
+
for c in needed:
|
| 365 |
+
df[c] = pd.to_numeric(df[c], errors="coerce")
|
| 366 |
+
|
| 367 |
+
df["weather_code"] = df["weather_code"].fillna(1)
|
| 368 |
+
df["precipitation"] = df["precipitation"].fillna(0.0)
|
| 369 |
+
|
| 370 |
+
for c in [
|
| 371 |
+
"temperature_2m",
|
| 372 |
+
"relative_humidity_2m",
|
| 373 |
+
"apparent_temperature",
|
| 374 |
+
"precipitation",
|
| 375 |
+
"pressure_msl",
|
| 376 |
+
"surface_pressure",
|
| 377 |
+
"cloud_cover",
|
| 378 |
+
"visibility",
|
| 379 |
+
"wind_speed_10m",
|
| 380 |
+
"wind_direction_10m",
|
| 381 |
+
]:
|
| 382 |
+
df[c] = df[c].interpolate(limit_direction="both").ffill().bfill()
|
| 383 |
+
|
| 384 |
+
now_utc = pd.Timestamp.now(tz="UTC")
|
| 385 |
+
df = df[df["time"] <= now_utc].copy()
|
| 386 |
+
|
| 387 |
+
if len(df) < context_hours:
|
| 388 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Not enough observed rows: got {len(df)}, need {context_hours}")
|
| 389 |
+
|
| 390 |
+
return df.tail(context_hours).reset_index(drop=True)
|
| 391 |
+
|
| 392 |
+
|
| 393 |
+
def build_single_sequence(df: pd.DataFrame) -> np.ndarray:
|
| 394 |
+
hour = df["time"].dt.hour.to_numpy()
|
| 395 |
+
doy = df["time"].dt.dayofyear.to_numpy()
|
| 396 |
+
|
| 397 |
+
hour_sin, hour_cos = cyc(hour.astype(float), 24.0)
|
| 398 |
+
doy_sin, doy_cos = cyc(doy.astype(float), 365.25)
|
| 399 |
+
|
| 400 |
+
temp = np.nan_to_num(df["temperature_2m"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 401 |
+
humidity = np.nan_to_num(df["relative_humidity_2m"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 402 |
+
apparent = np.nan_to_num(df["apparent_temperature"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 403 |
+
precip = np.nan_to_num(df["precipitation"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 404 |
+
pressure = np.nan_to_num(df["pressure_msl"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 405 |
+
surface_pressure = np.nan_to_num(df["surface_pressure"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 406 |
+
cloud_cover = np.nan_to_num(df["cloud_cover"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 407 |
+
visibility = np.nan_to_num(df["visibility"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 408 |
+
wind = np.nan_to_num(df["wind_speed_10m"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 409 |
+
wind_dir = np.nan_to_num(df["wind_direction_10m"].astype(float).to_numpy(), nan=0.0)
|
| 410 |
+
wind_dir_sin, wind_dir_cos = cyc(wind_dir, 360.0)
|
| 411 |
+
weather_bucket = df["weather_code"].fillna(1).apply(weather_code_to_bucket).to_numpy(dtype=np.int64)
|
| 412 |
+
|
| 413 |
+
rows = []
|
| 414 |
+
for i in range(len(df)):
|
| 415 |
+
wc_oh = np.zeros(WEATHER_CODE_BUCKETS, dtype=np.float32)
|
| 416 |
+
wc_oh[weather_bucket[i]] = 1.0
|
| 417 |
+
|
| 418 |
+
row = np.concatenate(
|
| 419 |
+
[
|
| 420 |
+
np.array(
|
| 421 |
+
[
|
| 422 |
+
temp[i] / TEMP_SCALE,
|
| 423 |
+
humidity[i] / HUMIDITY_SCALE,
|
| 424 |
+
apparent[i] / TEMP_SCALE,
|
| 425 |
+
np.log1p(max(precip[i], 0.0)) / 3.0,
|
| 426 |
+
pressure[i] / 1100.0,
|
| 427 |
+
surface_pressure[i] / 1100.0,
|
| 428 |
+
cloud_cover[i] / 100.0,
|
| 429 |
+
visibility[i] / 50000.0,
|
| 430 |
+
wind[i] / WIND_SCALE,
|
| 431 |
+
wind_dir_sin[i],
|
| 432 |
+
wind_dir_cos[i],
|
| 433 |
+
hour_sin[i],
|
| 434 |
+
hour_cos[i],
|
| 435 |
+
doy_sin[i],
|
| 436 |
+
doy_cos[i],
|
| 437 |
+
],
|
| 438 |
+
dtype=np.float32,
|
| 439 |
+
),
|
| 440 |
+
wc_oh,
|
| 441 |
+
]
|
| 442 |
+
)
|
| 443 |
+
rows.append(row)
|
| 444 |
+
|
| 445 |
+
seq = np.asarray(rows, dtype=np.float32)
|
| 446 |
+
|
| 447 |
+
if not np.isfinite(seq).all():
|
| 448 |
+
bad = np.argwhere(~np.isfinite(seq))
|
| 449 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Non-finite values remain in sequence at positions like: {bad[:10].tolist()}")
|
| 450 |
+
|
| 451 |
+
return seq
|
| 452 |
+
|
| 453 |
+
|
| 454 |
+
def to_iso(ts: pd.Timestamp, tz_name: str | None = None) -> str:
|
| 455 |
+
if tz_name:
|
| 456 |
+
try:
|
| 457 |
+
return ts.tz_convert(ZoneInfo(tz_name)).isoformat()
|
| 458 |
+
except Exception:
|
| 459 |
+
pass
|
| 460 |
+
return ts.isoformat()
|
| 461 |
+
|
| 462 |
+
|
| 463 |
+
def get_logits(out):
|
| 464 |
+
if isinstance(out, dict) and "logits" in out:
|
| 465 |
+
return out["logits"]
|
| 466 |
+
if hasattr(out, "logits"):
|
| 467 |
+
return out.logits
|
| 468 |
+
return out
|
| 469 |
+
|
| 470 |
+
|
| 471 |
+
def resolve_location_index(seq_meta: dict[str, Any], city_location_id: str) -> int:
|
| 472 |
+
location_to_id = seq_meta.get("location_to_id", {})
|
| 473 |
+
|
| 474 |
+
if city_location_id in location_to_id:
|
| 475 |
+
return int(location_to_id[city_location_id])
|
| 476 |
+
|
| 477 |
+
try:
|
| 478 |
+
as_int = int(city_location_id)
|
| 479 |
+
if as_int in location_to_id:
|
| 480 |
+
return int(location_to_id[as_int])
|
| 481 |
+
if str(as_int) in location_to_id:
|
| 482 |
+
return int(location_to_id[str(as_int)])
|
| 483 |
+
except Exception:
|
| 484 |
+
pass
|
| 485 |
+
|
| 486 |
+
for unk_key in ("UNK", "<UNK>", "unknown", "UNKNOWN"):
|
| 487 |
+
if unk_key in location_to_id:
|
| 488 |
+
return int(location_to_id[unk_key])
|
| 489 |
+
|
| 490 |
+
return 0
|
| 491 |
+
|
| 492 |
+
|
| 493 |
+
def predict():
|
| 494 |
+
seq_meta = load_sequence_meta(SEQUENCE_META_PATH)
|
| 495 |
+
model, config = load_model()
|
| 496 |
+
|
| 497 |
+
if CITY not in CITY_SPECS:
|
| 498 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Unknown city: {CITY}")
|
| 499 |
+
|
| 500 |
+
if CONTEXT_HOURS <= 0:
|
| 501 |
+
raise ValueError("CONTEXT_HOURS must be > 0")
|
| 502 |
+
|
| 503 |
+
if hasattr(config, "seq_len") and int(config.seq_len) != CONTEXT_HOURS:
|
| 504 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Set CONTEXT_HOURS to {int(config.seq_len)} for this model.")
|
| 505 |
+
|
| 506 |
+
city_spec = CITY_SPECS[CITY]
|
| 507 |
+
city_tz = CITY_TIMEZONES.get(CITY, "UTC")
|
| 508 |
+
model_location_id = resolve_location_index(seq_meta, str(city_spec["location_id"]))
|
| 509 |
+
|
| 510 |
+
df = fetch_recent_history(CITY, CONTEXT_HOURS)
|
| 511 |
+
seq = build_single_sequence(df)
|
| 512 |
+
|
| 513 |
+
X = torch.from_numpy(seq).unsqueeze(0)
|
| 514 |
+
loc = torch.tensor([model_location_id], dtype=torch.long)
|
| 515 |
+
|
| 516 |
+
target_device = torch.device(
|
| 517 |
+
DEVICE if DEVICE else ("cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu")
|
| 518 |
+
)
|
| 519 |
+
model = model.to(target_device)
|
| 520 |
+
X = X.to(target_device)
|
| 521 |
+
loc = loc.to(target_device)
|
| 522 |
+
|
| 523 |
+
weather_class_names = getattr(config, "weather_class_names", None)
|
| 524 |
+
if not weather_class_names:
|
| 525 |
+
weather_class_names = [f"class_{i}" for i in range(int(getattr(config, "num_weather_classes", 7)))]
|
| 526 |
+
|
| 527 |
+
with torch.no_grad():
|
| 528 |
+
out = model(X=X, location_id=loc)
|
| 529 |
+
logits = get_logits(out)
|
| 530 |
+
|
| 531 |
+
(
|
| 532 |
+
temp_pred,
|
| 533 |
+
humidity_pred,
|
| 534 |
+
apparent_pred,
|
| 535 |
+
precip_pred,
|
| 536 |
+
sea_level_pressure_pred,
|
| 537 |
+
surface_pressure_pred,
|
| 538 |
+
cloud_cover_pred,
|
| 539 |
+
wind_pred,
|
| 540 |
+
wind_dir_sin_pred,
|
| 541 |
+
wind_dir_cos_pred,
|
| 542 |
+
rain_logit,
|
| 543 |
+
weather_logits,
|
| 544 |
+
) = logits
|
| 545 |
+
|
| 546 |
+
temp_pred = temp_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 547 |
+
humidity_pred = humidity_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 548 |
+
apparent_pred = apparent_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 549 |
+
precip_pred = precip_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 550 |
+
sea_level_pressure_pred = sea_level_pressure_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 551 |
+
surface_pressure_pred = surface_pressure_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 552 |
+
cloud_cover_pred = cloud_cover_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 553 |
+
wind_pred = wind_pred.squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 554 |
+
rain_prob = torch.sigmoid(rain_logit).squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 555 |
+
weather_probs = torch.softmax(weather_logits, dim=-1).squeeze(0).detach().cpu().numpy()
|
| 556 |
+
weather_idx = np.argmax(weather_probs, axis=-1).astype(np.int64)
|
| 557 |
+
|
| 558 |
+
context_start = df["time"].iloc[0]
|
| 559 |
+
context_end = df["time"].iloc[-1]
|
| 560 |
+
requested_at_utc = pd.Timestamp.now(tz="UTC")
|
| 561 |
+
|
| 562 |
+
horizon = min(
|
| 563 |
+
int(FORECAST_HOURS),
|
| 564 |
+
int(temp_pred.shape[0]),
|
| 565 |
+
int(humidity_pred.shape[0]),
|
| 566 |
+
int(weather_idx.shape[0]),
|
| 567 |
+
)
|
| 568 |
+
|
| 569 |
+
forecast = []
|
| 570 |
+
for lead in range(1, horizon + 1):
|
| 571 |
+
target_time = context_end + pd.Timedelta(hours=lead)
|
| 572 |
+
idx = lead - 1
|
| 573 |
+
w_idx = int(weather_idx[idx])
|
| 574 |
+
|
| 575 |
+
forecast.append(
|
| 576 |
+
{
|
| 577 |
+
"lead_hours": lead,
|
| 578 |
+
"target_utc": target_time.isoformat(),
|
| 579 |
+
"target_local": to_iso(target_time, city_tz),
|
| 580 |
+
"temperature_2m_c": float(temp_pred[idx]),
|
| 581 |
+
"relative_humidity_2m_pct": float(humidity_pred[idx]),
|
| 582 |
+
"apparent_temperature_c": float(apparent_pred[idx]),
|
| 583 |
+
"precipitation_mm": float(precip_pred[idx]),
|
| 584 |
+
"pressure_msl_hpa": float(sea_level_pressure_pred[idx]),
|
| 585 |
+
"surface_pressure_hpa": float(surface_pressure_pred[idx]),
|
| 586 |
+
"cloud_cover_pct": float(cloud_cover_pred[idx]),
|
| 587 |
+
"wind_speed_10m_kmh": float(wind_pred[idx]),
|
| 588 |
+
"rain_probability": float(rain_prob[idx]),
|
| 589 |
+
"weather_class": w_idx,
|
| 590 |
+
"weather_class_name": weather_class_names[w_idx] if w_idx < len(weather_class_names) else f"class_{w_idx}",
|
| 591 |
+
"weather_class_probabilities": {
|
| 592 |
+
name: float(prob) for name, prob in zip(weather_class_names, weather_probs[idx])
|
| 593 |
+
},
|
| 594 |
+
}
|
| 595 |
+
)
|
| 596 |
+
|
| 597 |
+
result = {
|
| 598 |
+
"city": CITY,
|
| 599 |
+
"location_id": str(city_spec["location_id"]),
|
| 600 |
+
"model_location_id": int(model_location_id),
|
| 601 |
+
"data_source": "open-meteo forecast api (past-hours context only)",
|
| 602 |
+
"requested_at_utc": requested_at_utc.isoformat(),
|
| 603 |
+
"context": {
|
| 604 |
+
"hours": int(len(df)),
|
| 605 |
+
"start_utc": context_start.isoformat(),
|
| 606 |
+
"end_utc": context_end.isoformat(),
|
| 607 |
+
"start_local": to_iso(context_start, city_tz),
|
| 608 |
+
"end_local": to_iso(context_end, city_tz),
|
| 609 |
+
},
|
| 610 |
+
"model": {
|
| 611 |
+
"model_id": MODEL_ID,
|
| 612 |
+
"encoder_type": getattr(config, "encoder_type", None),
|
| 613 |
+
"seq_len": int(getattr(config, "seq_len", CONTEXT_HOURS)),
|
| 614 |
+
"input_dim": int(getattr(config, "input_dim", seq.shape[1])),
|
| 615 |
+
"num_weather_classes": int(getattr(config, "num_weather_classes", len(weather_class_names))),
|
| 616 |
+
},
|
| 617 |
+
"forecast": forecast,
|
| 618 |
+
"sanity": {
|
| 619 |
+
"sequence_shape": list(seq.shape),
|
| 620 |
+
"finite_features": bool(np.isfinite(seq).all()),
|
| 621 |
+
},
|
| 622 |
+
}
|
| 623 |
+
|
| 624 |
+
print(json.dumps(result, indent=2))
|
| 625 |
+
|
| 626 |
+
|
| 627 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 628 |
+
predict()
|
| 629 |
+
```
|