--- tags: - time-series-forecasting - foundation-models - pretrained-models - time-series - timeseries - forecasting - observability - safetensors - pytorch_model_hub_mixin license: apache-2.0 pipeline_tag: time-series-forecasting thumbnail: https://web-assets.dd-static.net/42588/1778691695-toto-2-hero.png model-index: - name: Toto-2.0-22m results: - task: type: time-series-forecasting dataset: name: BOOM type: BOOM metrics: - name: CRPS type: CRPS value: 0.363 - name: MASE type: MASE value: 0.601 source: name: BOOM 💥 Observability Time-Series Forecasting Leaderboard url: https://huggingface.co/spaces/Datadog/BOOM - task: type: time-series-forecasting dataset: name: GIFT-Eval type: GIFT-Eval metrics: - name: CRPS type: CRPS value: 0.496 - name: MASE type: MASE value: 0.719 source: name: GIFT-Eval Time Series Forecasting Leaderboard url: https://huggingface.co/spaces/Salesforce/GIFT-Eval - task: type: time-series-forecasting dataset: name: TIME type: TIME metrics: - name: CRPS type: CRPS value: 0.556 - name: MASE type: MASE value: 0.668 source: name: TIME Benchmark Leaderboard url: https://huggingface.co/spaces/Real-TSF/TIME-leaderboard --- # Toto-2.0-22m Toto (Time Series Optimized Transformer for [Observability](https://www.datadoghq.com/knowledge-center/observability/)) is a family of time series foundation models for multivariate forecasting developed by [Datadog](https://www.datadoghq.com/). Toto 2.0 is the current generation, featuring u-μP-scaled transformers ranging from 4m to 2.5B parameters, all trained from a single recipe. Forecast quality improves reliably with parameter count across the family. The family sets a new state of the art on three forecasting benchmarks: [BOOM](https://huggingface.co/spaces/Datadog/BOOM), our observability benchmark; [GIFT-Eval](https://huggingface.co/spaces/Salesforce/GIFT-Eval), the standard general-purpose benchmark; and the recent contamination-resistant [TIME](https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.12147) benchmark. ## 📊 Performance
Pareto frontier on BOOM and GIFT-Eval
Every Toto 2.0 size sits on or near the Pareto frontier on both BOOM and GIFT-Eval. The three largest sizes rank first, second, and third among foundation models on GIFT-Eval CRPS rank. On TIME, Toto 2.0 sizes take the top three spots on every metric, ahead of every other external foundation model evaluated.
## ⚡ Quick Start Inference code is available on [GitHub](https://github.com/DataDog/toto). ### Installation ```bash pip install "toto-2 @ git+https://github.com/DataDog/toto.git#subdirectory=toto2" ``` ### Inference Example ```python import torch from toto2 import Toto2Model model = Toto2Model.from_pretrained("Datadog/Toto-2.0-22m") device = torch.device("cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu") model = model.to(device).eval() # (batch, n_variates, time_steps) target = torch.randn(1, 1, 512, device=device) target_mask = torch.ones_like(target, dtype=torch.bool) series_ids = torch.zeros(1, 1, dtype=torch.long, device=device) # Returns quantiles of shape (9, batch, n_variates, horizon) # Quantile levels: [0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9] quantiles = model.forecast( {"target": target, "target_mask": target_mask, "series_ids": series_ids}, horizon=96, decode_block_size=768, has_missing_values=False, ) ``` For more examples, see the [Quick Start notebook](https://github.com/DataDog/toto/blob/main/toto2/notebooks/quick_start.ipynb) and [GluonTS integration notebook](https://github.com/DataDog/toto/blob/main/toto2/notebooks/gluonts_integration.ipynb). ## 💾 Available Checkpoints All five Toto 2.0 sizes share the same training recipe; pick a size based on your accuracy/latency budget. Latency is forward-pass time for a 1,024-step single-pass forecast at batch size 8 on a single A100. | Model | Params | Weights (fp32) | Latency | Recommended for | |:---:|:---:|:---:|---|---| | [Toto‑2.0‑4m](https://huggingface.co/Datadog/Toto-2.0-4m) | 4m | 16 MB | ~3.8 ms | Edge / CPU deployment; tightest latency or memory budgets. | | [Toto‑2.0‑22m](https://huggingface.co/Datadog/Toto-2.0-22m) | 22m | 84 MB | ~5.0 ms | Efficient default — matches or beats Toto 1.0 quality with ~7× fewer parameters. | | [Toto‑2.0‑313m](https://huggingface.co/Datadog/Toto-2.0-313m) | 313m | 1.2 GB | ~15.4 ms | Strong general-purpose checkpoint; top-3 foundation model on GIFT-Eval. | | [Toto‑2.0‑1B](https://huggingface.co/Datadog/Toto-2.0-1B) | 1B | 3.9 GB | ~20.9 ms | Best quality / cost tradeoff for production workloads. | | [Toto‑2.0‑2.5B](https://huggingface.co/Datadog/Toto-2.0-2.5B) | 2.5B | 9.1 GB | ~36.2 ms | Highest accuracy; #1 foundation model on every benchmark. | ## ✨ Key Features - **Zero-Shot Forecasting:** Forecast without fine-tuning on your specific time series. - **Multi-Variate Support:** Efficiently process multiple variables using alternating time/variate attention. - **Probabilistic Predictions:** Generate point forecasts and uncertainty estimates via a quantile output head. - **Decoder-Only Architecture:** Support for variable prediction horizons and context lengths. - **u-μP Scaling:** A single training recipe transfers cleanly across all five sizes (4m → 2.5B). ## 🏗️ Architecture
Overview of the Toto 2.0 architecture.
A decoder-only patched transformer whose attention layers alternate between time-axis (causal) and variate-axis (full) views of the input. Toto 2.0 adds contiguous patch masking (CPM) for single-pass parallel decoding, a quantile output head trained with pinball loss, a robust arcsinh input scaler, residual MLP patch projections, and is trained with NorMuon. See the technical report for details.
## 🔗 Additional Resources - **Technical Report** — *(coming soon)* - [Blog Post](https://www.datadoghq.com/blog/ai/toto-2/) - [GitHub Repository](https://github.com/DataDog/toto) - [Toto 2.0 Collection](https://huggingface.co/collections/Datadog/toto-20) — all five base checkpoints - [BOOM Dataset](https://huggingface.co/datasets/Datadog/BOOM) — Datadog's observability time-series benchmark - [Toto 1.0 Weights](https://huggingface.co/Datadog/Toto-Open-Base-1.0) ## 📖 Citation ```bibtex (citation coming soon) ```